Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Parx Racing
Monday - May 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PRX-1   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2)-(4/2/1/3)-(4/2/1/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (4/2)-(3/6/1/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/2)-(3/6/1/8)-(1/2/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRX-2   WIN (3/6/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/1/8)-(3/6/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/1/8)-(3/6/1/8)-(3/6/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/1/8)-(1/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1/8)-(1/2/5)-(1/6/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRX-3   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(1/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(1/6/7)-(2/3/5/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRX-4   WIN (1/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/7)-(1/6/7)-(1/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/7)-(2/3/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/7)-(2/3/5/6)-(2/3/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRX-5   WIN (2/3/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/5/6)-(2/3/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/5/6)-(2/3/5/6)-(2/3/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/5/6)-(2/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5/6)-(2/3/6)-(1/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRX-6   WIN (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/6)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/6)-(1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/3/6)-(1/6)-(8/5/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PRX-7   WIN (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/6)-(1/6/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/6)-(1/6/7)-(1/6/7) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/6)-(8/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/6)-(8/5/6)-(2/8/3/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRX-8   WIN (8/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/5/6)-(8/5/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/5/6)-(8/5/6/1)-(8/5/6/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/5/6)-(2/8/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/5/6)-(2/8/3/5)-(4/2/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRX-9   WIN (2/8/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/3/5)-(2/8/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/3/5)-(2/8/3/5)-(2/8/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/8/3/5)-(4/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/8/3/5)-(4/2/6)-(3/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRX-10   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/6/7)-(4/2/6/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/2/6)-(3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
PRX-11   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4/10/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4)-(3/4/10/1)-(3/4/10/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PRX-1   05/01/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEART LIGHT Apr17 Mar08 Feb03 Nov18 Oct16 (flores-coba f)MILAN GERARDO 123 6.00 ★    
2  FANCY SCEPTER Mar14 Jan17 Dec14 Nov21 Oct16 (shaw tim)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 6.00 15% 5.60    
3  THE FURMANATOR Apr17 Mar08 Jan30 Dec20 Nov28 (vega richard)HERNANDEZ ANDY 123 6.00 ★    
4  SEIVER Apr18 Mar02 Jan20 Dec21 Nov17 (ness jamie)PENNINGTON F 123 1.80 58% 0.70    
SCR  LOUELLA STREET Apr17 Mar08 Jan30 Jan04 Nov11 (lake a)SILVERA RUBEN 123 3.00    
6  MILWAUKEE BAY Mar08 Feb08 Jan24 Jan09 Nov12 (linder jr)VIVES SOFIA 116 6.00    
7  ISLAND BELLE Mar27 Mar14 Jan31 Jan11 Oct20 (linder louis)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 4.50    
 
PRX-2   05/01/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LATE TO THE SHOW Apr05 Jan31 Jan10 Nov30 Nov07 (curry dee)OCASIO JONATHAN 123 4.50 10% 8.70    
2  IN SPADES Feb20 Jan30 Nov09 Oct23 Sep24 (crook-dema)SANCHEZ J 118 4.00    
3  JACKIE'S PRIDE Apr05 Mar17 Jan31 Dec08 Nov11 (linder louis)TORRES A 118 6.00 32% 2.10    
4  COFFEE WITH ALEX Apr05 Apr23 Mar24 Feb17   (padilla-prec)LAPRIDA JEREMY 123 5.00    
5  DESTIN'S MISSION Mar29 Jan03 Nov12 Oct18   (servis c)PENNINGTON F 118 6.00    
6  MUST BE LOVE Apr05 Jan31 Jan10 Dec19 Oct19 (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 3.50 15% 5.90    
7  MINXZHIPPSDONTLEYE Apr05 Mar13 Feb20 Jan30 Jan08 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 6.00    
8  ET'S TOY SOLDIER Mar29 Mar08 Apr13 Mar15 Mar01 (wyner harold)OCASIO M 123 5.00 8% 12.20    
 
PRX-3   05/01/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEMPTED TO TOUCH Apr19 Mar21 Feb21 Feb06 Dec14 (whylie o)VIVES SOFIA 111 3.00 30% 2.40    
2  JUMP A FOX Apr07 Feb24       (meister w)HERNANDEZ A 129 2.00 23% 3.30    
3  ELEVENMONTHSLATER Apr19 Mar14 Feb20 Feb06 Jan10 (bedard a)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 5.00    
4  TEMPEST RISING Apr19 Mar14 Feb20 Feb06   (bedard alan)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 4.00    
5  END OF THE RAINBOW Mar14 Jan24       (pattershall)NUNEZ Y 126 10.00 10% 8.50    
SCR  CHARLIZE CHUB Apr10 Feb08       (krebs steven)BOWMAN ADAM 120 8.00    
 
PRX-4   05/01/2023 1320ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($45K) 2 ALL PT- 2:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FUEGO SOS         (crane clovis)CONNER TYLER 118 3.00 38% 1.60    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of DREAM REALIZED by AWESOME AGAIN)
2  INCITATUSWAY         (chapman jame)TORRES A 113 4.00    
  (by DESTIN out of HAPPY RETREAT by FEEL THE POWER)
SCR  SOCIALLY AWKWARD         (crane joanna)CORA D 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SOCIAL INCLUSION out of BLUEGRASS SMILE by BLUEGRASS CAT)
4  REBEL INVASION         (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 118 5.00    
  (by NORMANDY INVASION out of REBEL ROSEMARY by COASTAL STORM)
5  AMIRATI         (chichakly amir)RICHARDS G 115 4.50    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of CAUSE SHE'S FAST by CREATIVE CAUSE)
6  HEAVY TIMBER         (lake a)PENNINGTON F 118 3.50 18% 4.60    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of CULVER MISS by ORB)
7  FACTOR U AND ME IN         (crane clo)HERNANDEZ A 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of YOU BETCHA BABE by YES IT'S TRUE)
 
PRX-5   05/01/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELLA MARIA Apr04 Mar27 Feb27 Feb14 Jan16 (hogan j)RUIZ ELISEO 116 8.00    
2  SHEZ A DOUBLETAKE Apr10 Jan24 Jan11 Nov28 Nov01 (perez ruperto)RIVERA D 123 8.00 24% 3.10    
3  ANOTHER SAUCY SIX Apr11 Mar27 Mar08 Feb15 Feb08 (farro patri)OCASIO JONATHAN 123 5.00 20% 4.00    
4  ROLIN N CONTROLIN Mar29 Feb22 Jan24 Nov21 Nov01 (crook-demasi )SILVERA RUBEN 123 3.50    
5  SCARF Apr11 Mar22 Feb28 Feb01 Jan16 (noble f)CASTILLO A 123 4.00 18% 4.50    
6  WITHOUT A VIEW Apr11 Mar22 Feb28 Feb01 Jan18 (linder jr)VIVES SOFIA 116 4.50 8% 11.20    
7  FRIEDER FANATIC Apr18 Mar29 Mar20 Feb27 Feb14 (polachek janet)ADORNO ABNER 126 15.00    
SCR  ADVOCATE HARBOR Apr25 Apr11 Apr03 Mar22 Mar07 (padilla hug)RAMOS C 123 8.00    
 
PRX-6   05/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PEARLBDANCING Apr11 Mar27 Feb28 Feb14 Jan16 (bullock jordan )RUIZ ELISEO 116 12.00    
2  PURRFECT MISTRESS Apr04 Mar22 Feb28 Feb08 Jan30 (perez a)CASTILLO A 123 2.50 51% 1.00    
3  MOVING IN STEREO Apr24 Apr04 Mar22 Feb08 Dec28 (diaz j)GONZALEZ JR 123 1.60 13% 6.80    
SCR  CRAZY SERENA Apr04 Feb28 Feb13 Feb01 Jan16 (farro patric)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 3.00    
5  MISS ALEX Apr11 Mar27 Feb13 Feb02 Jan25 (chacon gustavo)VIVES SOFIA 116 12.00    
6  RISEN CHANGE Apr03 Mar22 Mar08 Feb20 Feb13 (hogan william)PEREZ M 123 6.00 9% 9.60    
 
PRX-7   05/01/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARVELOUSMOONDANCE Apr19 Mar27 Feb21 Jan23 Nov29 (aristone phil)RIVERA D 126 3.00 38% 1.60    
  (by HARD SPUN out of NIJI'S GRAND GIRL by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
SCR  MODERN ERA (AUS) Oct18 Sep24 Aug21 Aug03   (st u)SANCHEZ J 120 15.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of TOP PERFORMANCE by STATE PERFORMER)
SCR  ONE BITE Feb21 Jan25 Dec03 Oct18 Sep24 (servis tyler)ADORNO ABNER 120 5.00 ★    
  (by MCCRAKEN out of STAR IN THE CORNER by HOLY BULL)
4  SUPREME BEING Apr15 Mar27 Oct31 Oct03 Sep06 (st uriah)VIVES SOFIA 119 6.00    
  (by UPSTART out of PRIVATE ESCORT by DANCE WITH RAVENS)
SCR  BIG POPPER Apr22 Mar23 Oct01 Sep08   (crow)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 10.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of PASCHALI by BERNARDINI)
6  DUDLEY DICKERSON Mar30 Feb26 Jan28 Jan03 Nov21 (linder louis)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 2.50 31% 2.20    
  (by UNION RAGS out of PRETTY LADY by SCAT DADDY)
7  BEYOND BEST Mar27 Feb24 Jan29     (lake a)SILVERA RUBEN 126 4.50 ★    
  (by CURLIN out of VALUE STREAM by A.P. INDY)
 
PRX-8   05/01/2023 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUCH OUCH OUCH Apr17 Apr05 Mar15 Feb01 Jan18 (flores-coba )HERNANDEZ ANDY 123 10.00 ★    
2  LOUIE'S LAW Apr03 Mar15 Feb21 Jan25 Jan13 (lake a)SILVERA RUBEN 126 12.00    
3  BEACHWALKER Apr05 Mar06 Feb07 Jan18 Dec06 (guerrero c)TORRES A 118 3.50    
SCR  JAY'STALKER Mar30 Feb18 Dec10 Nov10 Oct02 (taylor joseph)ADORNO ABNER 123 15.00    
5  RUFFY Apr17 Mar14 Feb06 Jan18 Dec07 (brown ho)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 3.00 11% 8.10    
6  MEET THE ELITE Apr05 Jan30 Jan11 Dec21 Nov09 (coletti edw)NUNEZ Y 121 6.00 11% 8.40    
7  YO NESSROUNDONKERN Apr17 Apr03 Feb16 Feb06 Jan17 (ramirez sil)RAMOS C 123 8.00    
8  BULLET BUTCH Apr03 Mar01 Jan11 Mar07 Jan26 (reid e)PENNINGTON F 123 2.00 53% 0.90    
 
PRX-9   05/01/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($45K) 2 F PT- 4:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TROUBLED DREAMS         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 6.00    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of CARPE CASANOVA by CARPE DIEM (FR))
2  SPEIGHTFUL MISS         (servis c)PENNINGTON F 118 2.50 34% 1.90    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of BOW by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
3  MACI'S WORLD         (chapman jame)TORRES A 113 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of BLUE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
SCR  ONE EYED JACKIE         (coletti edw)NUNEZ Y 118 6.00    
  (by EASTWOOD out of AVERY'S SMILE by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN)
5  LIVING MAGIC         (schoentha)CARRASCO R 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
6  KRISTINACHRYSALIS         (farrior ant)CARRASCO CARLOS 118 4.50    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of TIZ HER NOW by TIZNOW)
7  SHE SPEAKS         (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 118 6.00    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of KALYANI by SMART STRIKE)
8  MII AMO         (servis joh)SANCHEZ J 118 3.50 21% 3.70    
  (by SOCIAL INCLUSION out of CODE VARIANCE by AWESOME AGAIN)
 
PRX-10   05/01/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAR HEART Feb22 Nov16 Oct10 Sep23 Sep17 (servis ty)CONCEPCION AXEL 116 12.00    
2  NURTURING Mar07 Feb14 Feb07 Dec12 Nov23 (brown howar)WOLFSONT ANDREW 123 4.00 23% 3.40    
3  MADAME ROUGE Jan16 Jan03 Nov28 Oct18 Oct03 (whylie herold)OCASIO M 123 12.00    
4  BIG CHEEKS Apr10 Mar17 Feb04 Jan07 Jan01 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 126 2.00 40% 1.50    
5  LIKE A PRO Apr14 Mar18 Jan17 Dec21 Oct03 (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 10.00    
6  BABY GUNDIN Apr04 Feb27 Jan18 Dec21 Dec13 (noble jame)SANCHEZ J 126 3.50 16% 5.20    
7  ANNA ROCKS Apr01 Feb22 Jan18 Nov30 Jul22 (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 123 5.00 ★    
 
PRX-11   05/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KING'S HOUSE Apr19 Apr11 Mar20 Jan24 Jan11 (gonzalez-mi)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 123 6.00 ★    
2  TACTICAL PLAN Apr19 Apr05 Mar08 Feb20 Jan31 (guerrero j )RAMOS C 123 4.00    
3  DIZZY GILLESPIE Apr19 Apr11 Mar22 Mar01 Feb08 (perez flores)TORRES A 118 4.50 32% 2.10    
4  R GOODTIME CHARLIE Apr11 Jul12 Jun06 May09 Apr27 (mcca)HUAYAS (JASON) 118 6.00 18% 4.40    
SCR  I LOVE JAXSON Apr12 Jan25 Dec14 Oct19 Aug22 (englehart je)HERNANDEZ ANDY 123 3.00 24% 3.10    
6  POINTER Apr19 Apr11 Mar01 Feb23 Jan18 (diaz jorge)VIVES SOFIA 116 10.00    
SCR  JOHNNY OBVIOUS Nov22 Sep07 Jul20 Jun11 Apr15 (tzortzakis e)RANGEL JOEZER 123 15.00    
8  YOUSHOULDBESOLUCKY Feb20 Jan19 Dec21 Nov30 Nov09 (pessanha ney)PANAS A 123 15.00    
9  MELINA'S DREAM Apr12 Mar24 Feb28 Feb21 Jan18 (diaz jorge)RIVERA D 123 20.00    
10  POSITIVELY AWESOME Apr12 Mar22 Feb21 Jan18 Jan03 (avila carl)RUIZ ELISEO 116 5.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.