Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Parx Racing
Monday - April 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PRX-1   WIN (7/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/4)-(7/3/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/3/4)-(7/3/4/6)-(7/3/4/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/3/4)-(4/8/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/3/4)-(4/8/6/1)-(5/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRX-2   WIN (4/8/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/6/1)-(4/8/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/6/1)-(4/8/6/1)-(4/8/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/6/1)-(5/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/8/6/1)-(5/2)-(1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PRX-3   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/2)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/2)-(1/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (5/2)-(1/4)-(8/3/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PRX-4   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4)-(1/4/2/3)-(1/4/2/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (1/4)-(8/3/2/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(8/3/2/6)-(6/5/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRX-5   WIN (8/3/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/2/6)-(8/3/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/2/6)-(8/3/2/6)-(8/3/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/3/2/6)-(6/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/3/2/6)-(6/5/7)-(10/7/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRX-6   WIN (6/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/7)-(6/5/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/5/7)-(6/5/7/4)-(6/5/7/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/5/7)-(10/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/7)-(10/7/6)-(5/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PRX-7   WIN (10/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/7/6)-(10/7/6/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/7/6)-(10/7/6/2/1)-(10/7/6/2/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (10/7/6)-(5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (10/7/6)-(5/7)-(4/3/2/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRX-8   WIN (5/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/7)-(5/7/9/11/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (5/7)-(5/7/9/11/8)-(5/7/9/11/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7)-(4/3/2/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/7)-(4/3/2/5)-(4/2/3/6) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
PRX-9   WIN (4/3/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/2/5)-(4/3/2/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/3/2/5)-(4/3/2/5/8)-(4/3/2/5/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/3/2/5)-(4/2/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PRX-10   WIN (4/2/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/3/6)-(4/2/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/3/6)-(4/2/3/6)-(4/2/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PRX-1   04/17/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMALFI LADY Mar20 Jan21 Sep10 Jul31   (avil)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 10.00    
2  ONLY GIRL Apr05 Mar22 Feb22 Feb07 Jan24 (hogan j)RUIZ ELISEO 116 10.00    
3  LEAPING FOR CANDY Mar21 Feb15 Jan20 Dec20 Nov16 (dandy j)PENNINGTON F 120 4.00 16% 5.10    
4  OVERTHEBLUESKY Apr05 Jan17 Dec06 Nov21 Nov02 (bullock jord)TORRES A 121 4.50 5% 18.20    
5  TREASURE SEEKER Mar21 Mar07 Feb15 Jan24 Jan17 (wilson brenda)BOWMAN ADAM 126 15.00    
6  ESCANDALO Mar21 Feb15 Jan24 Jan09 Dec20 (brown ho)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 126 3.50 ★    
7  FIVE STAR FRAN Apr02 Mar17 Feb25 Feb12 Jan15 (allard edwar)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 2.00 52% 0.90    
8  RUBY DOOBY DOO Apr05 Mar22 Mar07 Feb22 Nov04 (ashton patric)PEREZ M 126 20.00    
 
PRX-2   04/17/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DELIGHTFUL DREAMER Mar09 Feb15 Jan25 Dec08 Nov26 (linder jr)VIVES SOFIA 113 4.00 8% 11.80    
2  CHARLYS WILD ANGEL Mar29 Mar21 Mar07 Feb15 Feb07 (farro patric)HADDOCK DEXTER 126 3.00    
SCR  SAY NO MORE Apr05 Mar20 Feb27 Feb14 Jan09 (nicholson jun)PEREZ M 123 6.00    
4  AMERICA'S PRIDE Mar29 Mar22 Feb05 Jan21 Jul31 (taylor josep)TORRES A 118 5.00 35% 1.90    
SCR  NANA'S BOOPA Mar29 Mar08 Feb27 Feb14 Jan25 (santaella-calde)RUIZ ELISEO 113 6.00    
6  MAARTY'S DILEMMA Mar29 Mar08 Jan24 Jan09 Dec12 (brown ho)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 6.00 9% 9.60    
7  SIRENETTA Apr05 Mar22 Mar13 Mar02 Feb08 (gallimore tre)RIVERA D 118 12.00    
8  QUEEN LUCKY Mar29 Mar20 Feb20 Jan23 Jan10 (wyner harold)BOWMAN ADAM 123 4.50 22% 3.50    
 
PRX-3   04/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOT LOVE Feb08 Jan03 Dec07 Nov22 Nov04 (whylie h)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 118 12.00    
2  SEMPER FIDELIS Mar03 Jan10 Dec03 Nov16 Jan26 (reid e)PENNINGTON F 123 3.00 24% 3.20    
3  BATTER UP BUD Mar28 Feb19 Feb01 Jan10 Aug07 (reid e)ADORNO ABNER 123 3.50 ★    
4  GOLDEN TALENT Mar01 Jan26 Dec24 Dec10 Dec02 (avila juan )RAMOS C 113 6.00    
5  PERFECT SILENT CAT Jan10 Dec13 Sep14 Jun20 May18 (noble jame)SANCHEZ J 123 2.00 43% 1.30    
6  ROCKIN THE PALACE Mar01 Jan19 Dec13 Oct26 Aug25 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 123 4.50    
 
PRX-4   04/17/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DUBROVNIK Apr03 Feb27 Feb15 Jan17 Jan09 (avila car)LOPEZ DERECK 116 4.50 48% 1.10    
2  EL GRAN CUYAYA Mar22 Feb09 Jan13 Dec29   (avila carl)OLIVERO A 120 2.50 ★    
3  KANE Mar22 Mar08 Nov30 Nov07 Oct03 (aro c)SILVERA RUBEN 126 6.00 ★    
4  BLACKWATER FALLS Mar29 Feb14 Jan31 Jan11 Dec08 (bryant donald)TREJOS JOSEPH 120 3.50 16% 5.30    
SCR  SHADOW BAY Mar08 Jan23 Oct26 Oct07 Jun15 (romero rafael)BOWMAN ADAM 120 4.00    
6  E T'S CODE RED Mar29         (chacon gusta)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 6.00    
7  UNCLE MARK Apr10 Feb17 Jan22 Dec29   (noble f)RIVERA D 126 5.00    
 
PRX-5   04/17/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NIGHT OPS Mar28 Feb22 Jan23 Jan07 Nov12 (lake a)TORRES A 118 3.50    
2  ARTISTIC REASON Mar21 Feb28 Feb06 Jan14 Dec18 (rodriguez)RODRIGUEZ R 126 10.00 12% 7.20    
3  FAST BREAKIN CASH Mar08 Feb13 Jan25 Jan09 Dec19 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 4.50 16% 5.40    
4  PARADISE PRIDE Mar15 Feb26 Feb13 Jan06 Dec18 (simone micha)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 6.00    
5  WILLY MC Mar20 Feb14 Feb01 Jan02 Dec13 (flores-coba )LAPRIDA JEREMY 123 10.00    
6  CROATIAN Mar15 Feb08 Jan09 Nov30 Nov09 (noble jame)SANCHEZ J 123 6.00 7% 13.30    
7  TEXAS BASIN Apr04 Mar06 Feb06 Oct25 Aug23 (vega richard)HERNANDEZ ANDY 123 10.00    
8  PLAMEN Mar12 Feb28 Feb07 Jan09 Dec10 (ness jamie)PENNINGTON F 123 2.50 40% 1.50    
 
PRX-6   04/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOUELLA STREET Mar08 Jan30 Jan04 Nov11 Sep30 (lake a)SILVERA RUBEN 123 4.50    
2  THE FURMANATOR Mar08 Jan30 Dec20 Nov28 Nov02 (vega richard)HERNANDEZ ANDY 123 5.00    
3  SKERRETT Mar21 Jul12 Jun13 May03 Apr05 (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 6.00    
4  HEART LIGHT Mar08 Feb03 Nov18 Oct16 Oct07 (flores-coba f)MILAN GERARDO 123 5.00 ★    
5  LA REGALADA Mar08 Jan30 Nov28 Nov02 Oct10 (guerrero c)TORRES A 118 3.00 29% 2.50    
6  DYSFUNCTIONAL Mar21 Feb20 Feb04     (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 3.50 37% 1.70    
7  VERDANDI Mar08 Jan31 Dec14 Nov17 Nov03 (lake a)PENNINGTON F 123 4.00 7% 14.40    
 
PRX-7   04/17/2023 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUFFY Mar14 Feb06 Jan18 Dec07 Nov21 (brown ho)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 4.50 ★    
2  BIG BROWN SHOES Apr04 Mar14 Jan23 Dec13 Nov23 (diaz j)GONZALEZ JR 126 12.00 ★    
3  DEPLANE Mar15 Mar01 Feb06 Dec12 Nov09 (dotolo david)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 10.00    
4  IMAGINE THIS Feb06 Jan17 Nov30 Nov07 Oct19 (pollara frank )PENNINGTON F 123 10.00    
5  RYAN'S FLEET Mar13 Feb08 Jan03 Nov21 Oct18 (guerrero guada)CASTILLO A 118 6.00    
6  SCANDALISSIMO Feb20 Jan23 Nov13 Jul23 Jul10 (dominguez )SANCHEZ J 118 5.00 10% 9.50    
7  HOMETOWN HERO Apr03 Mar20 Mar06 Feb07 Jan23 (bravo-estrada )ADORNO ABNER 123 6.00 19% 4.40    
8  YO NESSROUNDONKERN Apr03 Feb16 Feb06 Jan17 Jan02 (ramirez sil)RAMOS C 118 6.00    
9  OUCH OUCH OUCH Apr05 Mar15 Feb01 Jan18 Jan02 (flores-coba )LAPRIDA JEREMY 123 4.00    
10  ROADTRIPTONOWHERE Sep21 Aug23 Aug06 Jul18 Jun28 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 123 3.50 49% 1.10    
 
PRX-8   04/17/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3 ALL PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  T'WAS THE NIGHT Mar28 Feb28 Feb08 Jan24 Jan03 (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 20.00    
  (by JUMP START out of CHRISTMAS EVE by EXCHANGE RATE)
2  OUR RONNY ALAN         (allard edwar)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 6.00    
  (by DESERT PARTY out of DOWNSTREAM BULL by HOLY BULL)
3  LORD OF THE NAVY Aug13         (maker mich)SANCHEZ J 121 5.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of AWESOMEMUNDO by AWESOME AGAIN)
4  THE GRAYT PUMPKIN Dec06 Nov09 Oct20 Sep22 Aug11 (mann farrel)BOWMAN ADAM 121 15.00    
  (by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN out of PAPER MOON by HENRYTHENAVIGATOR)
5  STREET LIGHTNING         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 4.00 38% 1.60    
  (by STREET SENSE out of KAY TWO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
6  CAPITAL CONQUEST Mar20 Mar06 Jan02 Dec06 Nov07 (lake a)SILVERA RUBEN 121 2.50    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of SHE CRAVES CAPITAL by SHARP HUMOR)
7  GAMBLER'S RUN Mar21         (dunn john)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 6.00 38% 1.60    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of LIFE'S A GAMBLE by MALIBU MOON)
8  SEPARATE WAYS         (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 6.00 ★    
  (by MASTERY out of GIDDY UP by HIGH COTTON)
9  VENTILATOR         (lake a)ADORNO ABNER 121 12.00 ★    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of SNOW SPRITE by SNOW RIDGE)
10  UPFOR PAROLE Mar21 Feb01 Jan12 Nov23 Nov09 (linder loui)NUNEZ Y 121 6.00    
  (by WEIGELIA out of BILLYGETS ARRESTED by LOUIS QUATORZE)
11  SPIRIT SKY         (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 10.00 ★    
  (by PEACE AND JUSTICE out of BLAME DIXIE by BLAME)
12  NORLANDER Mar28 Feb27 Jan03     (reid e)PENNINGTON F 121 8.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of ICY TEA by STORM CAT)
 
PRX-9   04/17/2023 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SAMURAI SAINT Mar30 Feb02 Jan19 Jan04 Dec08 (solis jacinto)SILVERA RUBEN 123 15.00    
2  MR. ROUNDTREE Mar28 Feb20 Jan30 Jan17 Dec21 (padilla-prec)LAPRIDA JEREMY 123 3.50 11% 8.10    
3  STRUGAR Apr04 Feb13 Jan30 Dec31 Dec02 (ness jamie)PENNINGTON F 123 3.00 27% 2.70    
4  GET THE W Apr04 Mar07 Feb13 Jan30 Jan11 (lee hale)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 126 2.50 36% 1.80    
5  SUIGU STAR Mar15 Feb28 Jan30 Jan03 Nov18 (linder louis)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  TRIGGER PULL Jan22 Jan05 Dec16 Dec08 Nov22 (maymo alejand)RIVERA D 123 20.00    
7  JW'S THIRD MISCHIE Mar08 Jan09 Dec19 Nov21 Oct31 (catalano m)SANCHEZ J 123 8.00    
8  NIMBLE BEAST Apr04 Mar20 Feb27 Feb06 Jan09 (velazquez a)CONCEPCION AXEL 116 6.00 ★    
9  COMMISSIONER G Apr04 Mar28 Feb20 Feb13 Jan30 (smith everton)CASTILLO A 123 10.00    
 
PRX-10   04/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FRANKLY MY DEAR Mar15 Feb23 Jan19 Dec21 Oct15 (martinez ale)ROLDAN FELISHA 116 12.00    
2  PROSPERA Mar28 Mar15 Feb15 Jan24 Jan17 (simone mic)SANCHEZ J 123 3.50 5% 19.00    
3  PONTIFFANY Mar27 Feb27 Jan30 Jan10 Dec19 (crow)HUAYAS (JASON) 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
4  STARSHIP ROGUE Mar28 Mar07 Feb22 Jan02 Dec12 (smith evert)DE KEMICH 116 4.50 8% 12.10    
5  WISHES AND DREAMS Mar20 Mar07 Feb15 Nov07 Oct26 (caban carlo)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 123 8.00    
6  ONE WILD WOMAN Mar29 Feb13 Jan17 Dec13 Nov29 (brown howar)WOLFSONT ANDREW 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BACI Mar21 Feb25 Feb02 Jan20 Dec16 (penaloza migu)PANAIJO JORGE 123 4.00 53% 0.90    
8  BLUE SHINE Jan18 Jan04 Dec21 Nov15 Jun28 (christman kimbe)BOWMAN ADAM 123 10.00    
9  PEARLS AND HEELS Apr03 Mar15 Feb08 Jan16 Nov30 (martin f)PENNINGTON F 123 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.