Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Sunday - April 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LRL-1   WIN (1/4/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/7/2)-(1/4/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/7/2)-(6/2/4)-(8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LRL-2   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/2/4)-(8/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4)-(8/4)-(5/1/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
LRL-3   WIN (8/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/4)-(8/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (8/4)-(5/1/6)-(4/5/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
LRL-4   WIN (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/6)-(5/1/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/6)-(4/5/2)-(1/10) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
LRL-5   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2)-(1/10)-(1/2/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
LRL-6   WIN (1/10) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/10)-(1/10/3/11) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/10)-(1/2/6)-(5/1/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
LRL-7   WIN (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6)-(5/1/7)-(7/6/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
LRL-8   WIN (5/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/7)-(5/1/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/7)-(7/6/1)-(2/3/6/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-9   WIN (7/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/1)-(7/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
LRL-10   WIN (2/3/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/6/8)-(2/3/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/6/8)-(2/3/6/8)-(2/3/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   04/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEADS OR TAILS Mar05 Dec10 Nov12 Oct21 Oct02 (klesaris robe)KARAMANOS A 126 1.40 29% 2.40    
SUTTON VALLEY Mar26 Mar05 Feb12 Jan12 Dec02 (rodriguez)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 6.00 15% 5.80    
DIMMI QUANDO Mar26 Mar04 Jan25 Aug01 Jun20 (corrales jo)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 122 20.00    
ADDY'S LADDY T N T Mar26 Mar05 Feb12 Jan19 Dec29 (walters h)CARRASCO R 126 3.50 18% 4.70    
GILLIGAN Mar26 Mar17 Jan08 Dec09 Nov12 (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 122 6.00    
LITTLE BAY Apr15 Mar18 Feb26 Feb10 Jan02 (vick m)DELGADO A 122 50.00    
YOUNG TURK Mar17 Feb24 Feb12 Jan13 Dec17 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 126 3.00 16% 5.40    
 
LRL-2   04/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 3 F PT-12:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MODERN SOCIETY Oct27 Oct08       (cooney sus)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 124 10.00    
AUNTIE RONA Mar24         (keefe timothy)ALVELO C 124 3.50 22% 3.50    
NAMI Mar24         (milosevic milan)GOMEZ KEVIN 124 4.50    
LIL SPINNER Apr02 Mar17 Feb24 Feb03 Jan16 (sanchez-sal)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 124 6.00 15% 5.80    
MONTANA ROSE Mar19 Mar05       (rubley)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 3.50    
SING SCAT Mar10 Feb10 Jan14 Dec15 Nov25 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 1.60 42% 1.40    
 
LRL-3   04/16/2023 3630ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NOTTOWAY Dec09 Oct15 Sep23 Apr29   (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 1.60 10% 9.40    
SCR  TOWN OF GOLD Feb18 Jan05 Nov06 Oct13 Sep18 (duarte jorge )TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 2.50 11% 8.10    
FIELDER Mar23 Feb24 Jan31 Jan11 Dec10 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 123 12.00    
GREAT GO GO Mar31 Feb12 Feb05 Jan13 Jan01 (gorham mich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 8.00 5% 18.80    
SCR  THE SICARII Mar25 Mar04 Feb10 Dec31 Dec17 (gorham michae)ALVELO C 123 5.00    
CURLIN'S MALIBU Feb01 Jan07 Oct21 Sep16 Sep05 (atkins )ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 30.00    
BATTLEBUS Nov20 Oct30 Oct14 Sep23 Aug31 (albert l)GOMEZ KEVIN 123 3.50    
BOURBON AND ICE Aug20 Aug10 Jul30 Jul03 Jun18 (magana )BRICENO GREGOR 123 4.50 6% 15.90    
SPEAK UNITY Feb26 Jan29 Jan14 Dec31 Dec16 (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 123 15.00    
SCR  SEANOW Jul04 May15 May08 Apr21 Apr03 (magee kieron)CEDENO CAROL 123 4.50 47% 1.10    
11  RUDY ROD Mar08 Feb27 Jan03 Dec14 Nov21 (velazquez alf)RANGEL JOEZER 123 8.00    
12  BALI'S SHADE Apr01 Mar10 Feb10 Dec31 Dec02 (murtaug)NUNEZ ANAHI 126 15.00    
13  W W SPRINGTIME Mar30 Nov03 Oct07 Aug31 Jun30 (allen a )BUTTERFLY L 119 8.00    
SCR  FUNKY MUSIC Feb16 Jan12 Nov03 Oct11 Sep19 (fletcher kevin)CONNER TYLER 123 10.00    
15  FLASHINTHENIGHT Dec09 Nov20 Oct30 Sep23 Sep14 (salvaggio mic)KARAMANOS A 119 12.00    
SCR  VALMONT Oct07 Jun26 Jun04 Apr21   (brown bru)CARRASCO R 119 6.00    
 
LRL-4   04/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 3 ALL PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STEP AHEAD Mar31         (salzman e)PEREZ XAVIER 124 3.00 24% 3.20    
ALLIGATOR ARMS Mar31         (aguirre )BUTTERFLY L 124 12.00    
MOON STORM Sep03         (salzma)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 15.00    
SPUNKY IRISHMAN Mar31 Feb20 Jan27 Jan01   (eubanks an)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 124 8.00    
BEST CHOICE BABY Mar25 Feb11 Jan27 Dec30 Dec03 (dilodovico d)BARBOSA JEIRON 124 1.60 34% 1.90    
BUBBA CHROME Mar31 Feb20 Feb03 Jan14 Jan01 (cox kenneth)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124 2.50 20% 3.90    
MUNGO MAGIC Mar25 Mar10 Jan27     (wilson gregory)BOYCE FOREST 124 12.00    
 
LRL-5   04/16/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($34.5K) 3 ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BORUFF Mar05 Jan27 Oct28 Sep24   (vukelic ro)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 121 20.00    
SMART AND FAST Mar03 Feb19 Feb03 Jan08 Dec02 (gonzalez )HERNANDEZ F 121 12.00 6% 15.50    
BONDED (IRE) Mar24 Mar03 Feb03 Jan14 Dec09 (magee kiero)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 3.50    
UNCAPTURED STORM Mar25 Mar10 Feb19 Feb11 Jan08 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 121 1.60 57% 0.80    
THTWASTHENTHISISNW Mar24 Mar03 Feb25 Feb11 Jan22 (gorham mich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 3.00 10% 9.30    
OROCOVIX Mar31 Mar24 Mar16 Mar03 Feb19 (sanchez-salomo)HIRALDO JOHN 121 12.00    
HE'S ON FIRE Mar24 Mar03 Feb11 Jan13 Dec10 (mancilla carlos )RUIZ JORGE 124 6.00    
STEELE MONEY Mar03 Dec17 Nov20 Oct29 Aug01 (sanchez-salomo)ROSADO JOHAN 121 12.00    
 
LRL-6   04/16/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 35 M/F PT- 3:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GYPSY QUEEN Mar02         (stidham micha)TOLEDO JEVIAN 117 3.50 23% 3.40    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of CARNIVAL LASS by DISTORTED HUMOR)
WARIDI CANDY Mar10         (de hora)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 117 12.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of LA EXTRANA DAMA by CATCHER IN THE RYE)
LUSTY         (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 126 5.00    
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of SMART BELIEVER by SMART STRIKE)
DETERMINED EMPIRE Nov22 Oct18 Oct07 Sep07 Aug08 (schoentha)CARRASCO R 126 8.00    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of JOURNEY HOME by WAR FRONT)
WINGS OF A SONG Sep20 Aug23 Aug01 Jul05 Jun14 (schoenthal ph)KARAMANOS A 117 15.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of GRAND PRIX by TALE OF THE CAT)
SCR  SOLVING PROGRESS Mar03 Jan13       (trombetta m)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 117 15.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of SCAURI by GHOSTZAPPER)
ZIPPY DO DA DAY Mar10 Feb17       (samani)LOPEZ EDUARDO 117 20.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of FULL OF ZIP by CITY ZIP)
TENACIOUS TRAVELER Apr02         (aguirre )BUTTERFLY L 126 30.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of KRIS CROSS STREET by STREET HERO)
MISS ANTIETAM Mar03 Jan16       (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 117 20.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of AMERICAN VICTORY by VICTORY GALLOP)
10  THEGIRLFROMIRELAND Mar12 Feb11 Jan04 Nov19 Oct22 (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 117 4.50 19% 4.40    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of TATTOOED GIRL by MORE THAN READY)
11  SHE GOT THE MUNNI Mar10         (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 117 12.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of HELENA THE FIRST by LEMON DROP KID)
SCR  ELKE LODGE Apr24         (perkins jr)ARAUJO DENIS 126 4.00 36% 1.80    
  (by MUNNINGS out of SERENE QUEEN by EXPLICIT)
13  BROOKLYN GIRL Mar26 Mar03 Feb03 Jan22 Dec16 (milosevic mil)ALVELO C 117 15.00    
  (by BLOFELD out of POP DITTY'S GIRL by AFLEET ALEX)
SCR  NONNA'S TIRAMISU Mar19 Feb05       (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 117 8.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of NONNA MIA by EMPIRE MAKER)
SCR  METANOIA Apr04 Feb20 Jan24 Jun14   (krebs steve)RAMOS C 121 30.00    
  (by MR. Z out of BOTTLE DANCE by CAPE BLANCO (IRE))
SCR  GOOD ACCELEBRATE Mar18 Feb20 Jan27 Jan01   (deiter kell)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 117 20.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of ACCELEBRATE by NORTHERN AFLEET)
 
LRL-7   04/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($34.5K) 3 F PT- 3:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOSSYNESS Mar31 Mar11 Jan28 Jan07 Dec02 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 3.00 61% 0.60    
SCR  DIVISIBILITY Mar29 Mar03 Jan20 Dec31 Dec06 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 3.00    
MO CO GOLD Mar30 Mar08 Feb22 Jan28 Jan07 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 121 1.80 8% 12.30    
NEED A MARKER Mar11 Feb17 Jan29 Jan07 Sep18 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 121 5.00    
SCR  ROWSIE EXPRESS Mar03 Jan07 Dec03 Nov07 Oct26 (mcmahon hug)CONCEPCION AXEL 114 8.00    
BLACK DIAMOND RAIN Apr02 Jan13 Nov26     (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 124 15.00    
COCKTAIL DREAMING Apr06 Mar17 Jan20 Jan06 Dec16 (howard c)CEDENO CAROL 121 3.50 7% 13.10    
GYMNAST Mar26 Mar02 Feb11     (cash l)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 12.00    
 
LRL-8   04/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($48K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUMMER ODDS Mar18 Feb17 Jan15 Oct22 Sep25 (mcclure )BUTTERFLY L 126 3.00 10% 9.10    
BRZINA Mar11 Feb11 Jan22 Jan13 Dec04 (magee kier)RIVERA R 116 10.00    
SIZZLING HOT Feb10 Jan13 Jan01 Nov14 Sep16 (eppler e)GOMEZ KEVIN 123 30.00    
SHINELIKEADIAMOND Feb25 Dec29 Nov19 Nov09 Oct14 (capuano phi)CONCEPCION AXEL 116 12.00    
ROYAL WHISPER Jun18 May13       (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 1.20 59% 0.70    
TAM CHAR Mar24 Mar03 Feb03 Jan16 Dec29 (frock a)RUIZ JORGE 123 6.00    
SPARKLE SPRINKLE Mar11 Feb17 Jan15 Dec09 Nov02 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 126 4.00 6% 14.70    
 
LRL-9   04/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUE LOVES BARBADOS Mar16 Feb18 Dec09 Nov04 Oct02 (capuano phi)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 8.00 10% 8.70    
SCR  BUMP N RUN Feb08 Jan15       (shaw j)HERNANDEZ ANDY 114 10.00 7% 13.00    
SCR  JUDY'S ARMY Sep04 Aug06       (salzman timothy)ACOSTA D 114 20.00    
LADNEEDSAHANDLER Mar26 Mar05 Feb20 Jan28 Jan01 (salzman tim)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 2.00    
TIZ NO CLOWN Mar31 Jan21 Dec31 Dec03 Nov12 (atkins )ORTIZ ORLANDO 117 10.00    
RAHMER Feb20 Feb12 Jan21 Jan01 Oct20 (barr donal)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 123 4.00 22% 3.50    
RAD PAISLEY Mar24 Feb20 Jan16 Dec18 Dec03 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 126 1.80 37% 1.70    
 
LRL-10   04/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($29K) 3 F PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEST WORST IDEA Mar17 Feb10 Jan07 Jun15   (ramirez a)ACOSTA D 124 8.00    
MARIA FROM MIAMI Mar19 Feb24 Feb03 Jan13 Nov25 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 2.00 30% 2.30    
OUT OF LUCK Mar24 Mar03       (smith hamilt)BARBOSA JEIRON 124 4.50 19% 4.20    
BLONDE SAMARITAN Mar11 Feb23 Feb09 Dec04 Nov21 (ramirez j)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 20.00    
LADY LANCER Mar24 Mar03 Feb10 Jan07 Dec10 (sepulveda carl)ROSADO JOHAN 124 4.00    
WEST COAST WILDCAT         (sillaman ri)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124 5.00 13% 6.80    
MUNNIS PRETTY Apr06 Mar11 Oct16 Aug03 Jul12 (cooney sus)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 120 30.00    
SAVI DANCER         (mcmahon hug)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 5.00 13% 6.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.