Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - April 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/6/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TAM-2   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/3)-(5/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3)-(5/6/1)-(2/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TAM-3   WIN (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/1)-(5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/1)-(2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1)-(2/4)-(6/3/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TAM-4   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4/5/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4)-(2/4/5/9)-(2/4/5/9) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/4)-(6/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/4)-(6/3/2)-(8/3/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TAM-5   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/2)-(6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/2)-(8/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2)-(8/3/5)-(3/9/8/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-6   WIN (8/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/3/5)-(8/3/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/3/5)-(8/3/5/7)-(8/3/5/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/3/5)-(3/9/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/3/5)-(3/9/8/1)-(9/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TAM-7   WIN (3/9/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/9/8/1)-(3/9/8/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/9/8/1)-(3/9/8/1/4)-(3/9/8/1/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/9/8/1)-(9/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/9/8/1)-(9/8)-(1/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TAM-8   WIN (9/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (9/8)-(9/8/7/3/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (9/8)-(9/8/7/3/6)-(9/8/7/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/8)-(1/8) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
TAM-9   WIN (1/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/8)-(1/8/4/6/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/8)-(1/8/4/6/5)-(1/8/4/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   04/14/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP M/F PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HANNITA'S EMPIRE Mar19 Feb26 Jan27 Dec16 Nov27 (bennett s)FERRER C 120 1.20 26% 2.80    
2  MONIQUES DAREDEVIL Mar29 Mar08 Feb19 Feb08 Jan22 (machado a)RODRIGUEZ A 122 8.00    
3  DANCIN DEE Feb08 Jan13 Dec21 Dec09 Oct22 (potts g)GARCIA GEOVANY 120 3.50 19% 4.20    
4  DIXIELAND DANCER Apr02 Mar29 Mar17 Mar08 Feb19 (machado anto)ARROYO S 118 12.00    
5  YEGUITA QUEEN Mar03 Jan27 Dec23 Nov25 Oct21 (barboza vict)BATISTA A 120 4.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  BEAUTIFUL TIZ Apr05 Mar25 Mar08 Feb26 Feb05 (barboza vict)MENESES MARCOS 118 4.50    
 
TAM-2   04/14/2023 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZONIC Mar18 Dec02 Oct28 Oct13 Sep23 (mcgoey monica)SOSA LAUREANO 115 15.00    
2  ENGLISH LAUGHTER Mar12 Feb10 Jan25 Jan06 Dec30 (ferraro anth)ALLEN D 122 1.40 28% 2.60    
3  LOUD N PROUD Mar31 Mar12 Feb19 Feb04 Aug13 (gatis chris)FERRER C 122 3.00 13% 6.90    
4  SHAKEM N BREAKEM Mar12 Feb19 Jan06 Dec09 Nov23 (dominguez r)MERA C 122 12.00    
5  LAST PROMISE Mar31 Nov03 Oct20 Sep01 Feb27 (padilla tim)BATISTA A 122 2.00 34% 1.90    
6  HONDO GUSTO Mar12 Feb25 Feb10 Jan25   (roque elis)FUENTES MARIO 122 10.00    
 
TAM-3   04/14/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARETE'S CHALICE Apr02 Mar18 Feb17 Jan27 Dec16 (rivera xavi)CLEMENTE ALFRED 122 4.50 13% 6.40    
2  JLO CAN DANCE Apr02 Mar17 Feb10 Jan27 Jan08 (poole jeffrey)JIMENEZ MANNY 122 10.00    
3  DR. ANN Mar29 Mar08 Feb10 Jan08 Dec23 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 122 3.00    
4  CELESTIAL ORB Sep02 Aug26 Aug05 Jul01 Jun02 (march william)FUENTES MARIO 122 12.00    
5  EAST WING Mar12 Jan14 Apr30 Mar09 Jan28 (lerma)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 1.60 28% 2.60    
6  LYRICAL Apr02 Mar19 Mar05 Feb12 Feb01 (rarick lynn)SOSA LAUREANO 115 3.50 25% 3.00    
SCR  TEE UP Mar17 Dec28 Nov26 May29 Apr30 (tsirigotis jam)ALLEN D 122 20.00 7% 13.30    
 
TAM-4   04/14/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BORGOBYTHESEA Feb24 Feb11 Jan04 Dec10 Nov25 (carrascojr v)ARROYO S 118 6.00    
2  UNLEVERAGED Mar26 Feb25 Feb11 Jan15 Dec10 (sweezey j)RODRIGUEZ A 118 3.00 33% 2.10    
SCR  ODDS ON Apr02 Mar08 Feb18 Feb01 Jan25 (arriagada jua)JIMENEZ MANNY 118 6.00 25% 3.00    
4  PRINCE AMADEUS Mar11 Feb12 Dec29 Dec21 Oct19 (barboza victo)SOSA LAUREANO 111 3.50 14% 6.40    
5  LORD BARNA Mar24 Mar05 Jan25 Jan04 Aug23 (o'connell kath)CASTANON L 118 12.00 ★    
6  FLY FLY AWAY Feb24 Feb11 Jan28 Jan06 Dec10 (cahill f)BUSH V 118 8.00    
7  SPETTACOLI (ARG) Jul19 Jul07 Jun29 Jun14 Jun02 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 118 20.00    
8  CANDY COVE Mar08 Feb19 Jan25 Dec24 Aug28 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 10.00    
9  JOE PHILLIPS Mar25 Mar11 Feb17 Jan04 Dec28 (raven ke)GALLARDO A 118 5.00 ★    
10  CHAOS KID Mar31 Jan25 Dec10 Sep28 Sep13 (guciardo kathy)MARIN SAMUEL 118 20.00    
 
TAM-5   04/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE'S MY WARRIOR Mar24 Aug13 Jul31 Jul16 Jun25 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 8.00    
2  LI'L MISS CAMILLE Feb24 Jan14 Dec31 Aug19 Jul31 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.00 15% 5.60    
3  R FUNNY BIZNESS Mar26 Feb11 Jan01 Oct29 Sep20 (bennett gera)BATISTA A 122 4.50 18% 4.60    
4  ADIOS BABY Mar11 Feb17 Jan19 Dec21 Dec02 (vinson g)FERRER C 120 3.50    
5  PINK SHOELACES Mar24 Feb11 Jan14 Dec22 Jun18 (wilson tony)CENTENO E 118 6.00    
6  BASKING Sep25         (lewis li)GALLARDO A 118 2.00 40% 1.50    
 
TAM-6   04/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAGA (NZ)         (woodard h)SPIETH S 118 12.00    
  (by GRAYDAR out of LOVELY RAQUEL by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  MAGNA RULER Mar19 Mar05 Feb15 Jan20 Jan11 (ramos o)ZONETT KEYNER 125 20.00    
  (by DOMINUS out of MAGNA MOONGLOW by MAGNA GRADUATE)
3  DUKE OF GLOUCESTER Mar31 Feb11 Dec03 Oct28 Sep29 (machado antoni)CAMACHO SAMY 118 1.80 22% 3.60    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of STRIKE FIRST by SMART STRIKE)
4  EXPANSIVE Mar15 Oct07       (machado anto)ARROYO S 118 20.00    
  (by FROSTED (GB) out of TEMPTING VIEW by STREET CRY (IRE))
5  NOBLE FISH         (rigattie)GALLARDO A 125 4.00 12% 7.40    
  (by UNCAPTURED out of STREET SYMPHONY by STREET HERO)
SCR  MOTIVO         (garcia rodolf)MARTIN MATTIE 111 8.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of SUPPLEMENT by SKY MESA)
7  BOLD ADVANCE         (o'connell kath)CASTANON L 118 6.00 ★    
  (by ACCELERATE out of BOLD EMBRACE by GRAEME HALL)
8  SIR ROBERT HALL Mar31         (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 2.50 42% 1.40    
  (by LORD NELSON out of WEEKEND ROMANCE by KEY RECOGNITION)
 
TAM-7   04/14/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 3 ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MINELLA Mar12 Mar02 Jan11     (sanchez amad)MENESES MARCOS 120 15.00 7% 13.30    
2  BIALYSTOCK Oct12 Sep27 Sep12     (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 113 8.00    
3  DISCREET MAGIC Mar25 Mar08 Feb15 Jan22 Jan04 (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 120 2.00 37% 1.70    
4  STREET COP OFFICER Mar31 Mar10 Feb22 Feb01 Dec24 (philipp karyn)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.00 ★    
5  COLPO D'ORO Apr07 Nov20       (ryan derek)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 12.00    
6  INSTIGATING Feb24         (spanabel kelly)EVANS CECILY 120 12.00    
7  FOREVER SAUCY Mar08 Feb15 Feb05 Jan13 Dec03 (ochoa gerard)DELGADO DAVID 120 20.00    
8  AWESOME HONOR Feb19 Jan27 Jan14 Oct15   (cordero anto)ARROYO S 120 4.50 9% 10.30    
9  ONCE UPON A DREAM Feb04 Dec16 Oct23 Sep18   (orseno joseph)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 6.00 23% 3.40    
 
TAM-8   04/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 3 F PT- 4:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MO TOWN ANNIE Apr01         (mccarthy d)BUSH V 120 8.00    
2  RED DELICIOUS Mar17 Jan13 Dec30 Dec17 Jul15 (cascallares n)FUENTES MARIO 120 15.00    
3  MISS NEO Mar29         (lopez r)ALICEA JEREMY 113 8.00 ★    
SCR  NOBLE ATTITUDE Apr01 Mar17 Feb25 Feb12 Jan18 (manchan be)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 12.00    
5  UNCAPTURED DREAMS Mar29 Mar04 Feb12 Jan29 Jan01 (dominguez luis)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.50    
6  BELLA'S CUPID Mar10 Sep15 Aug10 Jul26   (davis scooter)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 3.00 ★    
7  SISTER SAINT Mar31 Mar05       (granitz antho)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 8.00 ★    
8  ASHES TO ASHES         (rhone berne)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 10.00 24% 3.10    
9  SHUT IT CALI Mar17 Mar01       (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 120 2.50 50% 1.00    
 
TAM-9   04/14/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SNEAKY CHEEKY Mar10 Jan27 Dec31 Dec02 Sep28 (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 118 2.50 40% 1.50    
2  BOURBON BLAST Mar19 Oct20 Sep29 Sep13 Aug29 (cheeks p)SPIETH S 118 20.00    
3  ONE NIGHT STAND Apr01 Mar12 Jan25 Jan07 Dec07 (orseno joseph)JIMENEZ MANNY 118 4.00    
4  LIZZ A BEE Mar19 Feb19 Feb08 Jan21 Jan06 (cahill f)BUSH V 118 6.00 ★    
5  COOL FRONT Mar25 Mar12 Feb19 Jan25 Dec30 (dini mike)RODRIGUEZ A 118 3.00 ★    
6  CLASSY OF COURSE Mar08 Feb05 Jan07 Dec22 Nov26 (mcgoe)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 8.00 ★    
7  TIMELESS GLORY Mar12 Feb03 Jan18 Dec22 Nov15 (granitz anthony )FERRER C 118 12.00    
8  DIA DE SOL Mar25 Mar18 Feb25 Jan27 Jan06 (nunez mauricio)MENDEZ KEVIN 118 10.00 30% 2.30    
9  PURE ELEGANCE Mar19 Feb19 Jan28 Jan11 Dec16 (torres r)MARIN SAMUEL 118 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.