Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - April 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (6/7/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/4/2)-(6/7/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/4/2)-(6/7/4/2)-(6/7/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/4/2)-(6/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/7/4/2)-(6/5)-(5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CT-2   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/5/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/5)-(6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/5)-(5/8) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (6/5)-(5/8)-(6/4/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CT-3   WIN (5/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/8)-(5/8/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/8)-(5/8/3/7)-(5/8/3/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (5/8)-(6/4/7/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/8)-(6/4/7/3)-(1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CT-4   WIN (6/4/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/7/3)-(6/4/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/7/3)-(6/4/7/3)-(6/4/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/7/3)-(1/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/4/7/3)-(1/5)-(6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CT-5   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/5)-(1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/5)-(6/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (1/5)-(6/1)-(7/4/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CT-6   WIN (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/1)-(6/1/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/1)-(6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/1)-(7/4/5/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/1)-(7/4/5/2)-(8/1/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-7   WIN (7/4/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/5/2)-(7/4/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/5/2)-(7/4/5/2)-(7/4/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/5/2)-(8/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/5/2)-(8/1/2)-(1/4/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-8   WIN (8/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/2)-(8/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/1/2)-(8/1/2)-(8/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/1/2)-(1/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CT-9   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5/9/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5/9/2)-(1/4/5/9/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   04/13/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.7K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NANCYSAIDSO Mar23 Feb17 Jan18 Dec16 Nov23 (spriggs toschia )ACOSTA D 122 15.00    
2  AT THE HALF Mar16 Jan21 Nov30 Nov23 Nov02 (davis russell )MONTANO JOSE 124 10.00 12% 7.70    
3  CHEESE LOUISE Mar23 Feb25 Feb10 Jan07 Dec01 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 12.00    
4  GARY DOING BIZ Mar02 Nov10 Sep28 Sep02 Jul23 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 124 3.00 13% 6.40    
5  SAFE REEZAN Jan12 Nov24 Sep28 Aug12 Jul01 (reynolds joan)THORPE DARIUS 124 4.00    
6  INCLUDE THE BEAST Mar23 Jan28 Dec08 Nov19 Oct07 (garrido raul)LEWIS M 117 1.80 29% 2.40    
7  CALL ME JELLY ROLL Mar02 Jan16 Dec02 Oct14 Sep21 (dunham g)HO WESLEY 124 3.50 16% 5.20    
 
CT-2   04/13/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($9.7K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOONLIGHT MISS Mar10 Mar02 Dec03 Nov09 Oct19 (shanley timothy)CULLUM W 124 15.00    
2  HAD THE NOTION Mar18 Feb25 Jan27 Jan06 Nov18 (harting chri)LEWIS M 117 3.50    
SCR  TINA'S SONG Mar02 Feb16 Jan20 Dec03 Oct19 (aylor l)LARROSA G 124 15.00 13% 6.70    
4  CHIT CHAT GIRL Mar18 Feb24 Feb09 Jan14 Dec17 (atkins mi)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 2.00 ★    
5  CREEDIBILITY Mar18 Mar02 Feb06 Jan11 Dec20 (lane j)ADAMS L 117 4.50 15% 5.70    
6  BONNIE BLUETOOTH Mar10 Nov12 Oct05 Sep09 Aug05 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 126 2.50 44% 1.30    
7  UPSY DAISY DO Mar02 Jan13 Dec03 Nov18 Nov12 (aylor willia)MARRERO CARLOS 124 15.00    
8  MOJO MATTERS Mar30 Nov26 Nov05 Oct15 Sep24 (davis russell )ARAUJO DENIS 124 15.00    
 
CT-3   04/13/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRETTY CASTLE Mar23 Feb22 Feb02 Jan25 Nov30 (boykins k)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 126 15.00    
2  WISHING FOR SPRING Mar23 Feb04 Jan21 Nov24 Nov11 (sigler ronald )ARAUJO DENIS 118 1.60    
3  BANK CARD Mar04 Feb22 Feb02 Jan11 Dec15 (pickett cry)RAMGEET R 126 4.50 ★    
4  BOWMANS LAZY GIRL Mar23 Mar02 Feb22 Nov30 Nov09 (bowman d)BAEZ M 117 20.00    
5  SWISS HORIZON Mar23 Feb22 Feb02 Jan11 Nov30 (joy j)ACOSTA D 124 3.50 49% 1.00    
6  SHOWTHEMONEYHONEY Mar02 Feb04 Jan21 Jan06 Dec02 (sigler g)LARROSA G 118 12.00    
7  A GIRL HAS A NAME Mar16 Jan18       (davis russell )MONTANO JOSE 126 20.00 ★    
8  IMINCHARGENOW Mar02 Feb02 Jan11 Dec17 Nov17 (schott)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 3.00 18% 4.50    
 
CT-4   04/13/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($29.7K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY MADISON Mar17 Feb01 Nov27 Nov03 Oct05 (viands gregor)ADAMS L 115 20.00    
2  MISS LAUREN Mar09 Jan05 Dec03 Nov02 Oct06 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 4.50    
3  MISS WAVE Feb24 Feb01 Jan21 Jan07 Dec09 (hillegass ale)THORPE DARIUS 122 12.00 8% 12.00    
4  JAMESTOWN ROAD Feb24 Jan07 Dec09 Nov26 Nov12 (barber dona)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 2.50 22% 3.60    
5  CRUZ IN THE CASTLE Mar24 Feb22 Feb01 Jan07 Dec10 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 5.00    
6  GRACE ELIZABETH Jan07 Dec09 Nov03 Oct08 Aug19 (runco c)LEWIS M 115 4.00 32% 2.10    
7  SECRET CASTLE Mar30 Feb24 Feb01 Jan07 Dec09 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 122 3.00 11% 8.50    
8  CASTLE OF CAYLEE Mar17 Feb24 Jan19 Jan07 Nov26 (rideout anthony)RODRIGUEZ V 122 20.00    
 
CT-5   04/13/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($36.3K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY FLICKER Mar18 Feb20 Jan15 Dec16 Nov26 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 0.80 36% 1.80    
SCR  COMPLETE SURPRISE Aug06 Jun09 May20 Apr28 Mar30 (boggs joann)RAMGEET R 122 6.00 14% 6.20    
3  TIMEISGOLDEN Feb25 Dec06 Nov26 Oct04 Aug26 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 15.00    
4  QUIET IMAGINATION Mar18 Feb18 Jan18 Nov25 Nov11 (woolley tim)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 4.50    
5  SOMEDAY IS TODAY Mar02 Feb09 Jan19 Dec03 Nov05 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 4.00 23% 3.30    
6  MANAROLA Mar11 Mar01 Jan28 Dec09 Oct08 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 15.00 ★    
7  REIGN ON AND ON Mar11 Feb10 Feb02 Jan12 Nov19 (huet k)LEWIS M 115 20.00    
 
CT-6   04/13/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SLOE GIN BIZ Mar23 Mar09 Feb09 Jan20 Jan04 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 126 3.00 35% 1.80    
2  MEGALODON'SREVENGE Mar16 Jan12 Dec16 Nov10 Oct12 (boggs joa)HERNANDEZ F 124 20.00    
3  LOOKA LOOKA Mar16 Feb18 Feb01 Jan11 Dec04 (shanley timothy)CECIL Y 118 15.00    
4  BET ON BITZ Mar25 Mar02 Feb09 Jan20 Dec03 (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 4.50 ★    
5  TRIPLE AMERICANO Apr04 Feb13 Jan31 Jan17 Aug26 (penalo)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 5.00    
6  FULL AHEAD Mar16 Mar09 Jan15     (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.50 41% 1.50    
SCR  LUCA AT THE SPA Feb15 Dec31 Nov14 Oct17 Sep13 (rojas e)FLORES E 124 4.00 ★    
8  ANGELUS DIAMOND Feb22 Feb13 Jan02 Dec21 Nov28 (perez ernesto)BAEZ M 117 15.00    
 
CT-7   04/13/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WOODSONG'S CASTLE Mar18 Mar04 Feb24 Feb02 Dec09 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 122 15.00    
2  HERETODAYGONMANANA Mar02 Feb16 Jan07 Dec03 Nov03 (boggs joanna)RODRIGUEZ V 124 8.00 8% 12.00    
3  BEST VIRGINIA Mar04 Jan13 Dec15 Nov24 Nov04 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 118 1.40    
4  MOIRAINE Nov26 Oct27 Sep15 Aug26 Aug04 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 4.50 20% 3.90    
5  MY SISTER PAM Feb24 Jan20 Nov24 Sep16 Aug26 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 4.00 20% 4.10    
6  SARAH'S WARRIOR Mar10 Feb08 Jan19 Jan06 Nov26 (viands sta)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 10.00    
7  HOW IS SHE Mar18 Feb24 Jan19 Jan06 Dec10 (johnson de)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 6.00 22% 3.60    
8  EX RATED Mar10 Feb08 Feb01 Jan06 Nov02 (jackson ang)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 12.00    
 
CT-8   04/13/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEG UP Apr06 Mar25 Mar10 Feb25 Feb08 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 122 3.50 23% 3.40    
2  THEWITCHISGONE Mar10 Feb08 Jan06 Nov30 Oct26 (carlis)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 3.00 13% 6.60    
3  GET OFF MY CLOUD Feb25 Jan27 Dec08 Nov17 Nov05 (sanderson w)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 5.00    
SCR  ROCKET'S CASTLE Jan26 Jan06 Nov30 Nov10 Oct05 (shanley mark)CECIL Y 122 6.00 11% 8.50    
5  REY O REYES Apr01 Feb25 Feb15 Feb02 Jan13 (adorno je)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 10.00    
6  ROCK FILE Oct21 Sep23 Sep02 Aug11 Jul01 (o'neill)NUNEZ ANAHI 122 30.00    
7  HARPERSGONEFISHING Mar18 Jan04 Nov23 Nov08   (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 120 12.00    
8  THUNDERINREADYRICK Feb22 Feb08 Jan07 Dec16 Nov16 (bass w)RODRIGUEZ V 122 2.50 26% 2.80    
 
CT-9   04/13/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP ALL PT-10:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIVER ROYALE R V F Feb23 Jan04 Nov26     (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 126 1.80 59% 0.70    
2  MONKEY WRENCH Mar11 Feb23 Jan26 Jan11 Nov30 (barahona is)RAMGEET R 126 8.00 ★    
3  LASTWALKTOFREEDOM Feb17 Jan27       (mckee e)BAEZ M 111 20.00    
4  UNCLE PRESS         (gazzier)NUNEZ MAURICIO 126 5.00 8% 11.80    
5  SMALL PAW Nov09 Oct15 Sep24 Aug20 Apr13 (jackson ang)MENDEZ MARSHALL 126 4.50 5% 19.00    
6  BOO TOO Mar10 Feb23 Jan11 Dec17 Oct29 (boggs joanna)RODRIGUEZ V 126 10.00    
7  DE'S CASTLE Mar24 Mar09 Feb15 Dec14 Nov26 (joy j)ACOSTA D 118 6.00    
8  BAND TOUR Sep14 Sep03 Aug13     (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 20.00    
9  J. WICK Mar31 Mar10       (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 118 6.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.