Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Saturday - March 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LRL-1   WIN (4/3/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/5/1)-(4/3/5/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5/1)-(6/2/5/3)-(4/7/5/1) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
LRL-2   WIN (6/2/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/5/3)-(6/2/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/5/3)-(4/7/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5/3)-(4/7/5/1)-(3/4) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
LRL-3   WIN (4/7/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/5/1)-(4/7/5/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/7/5/1)-(3/4)-(3/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LRL-4   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4/8/9/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/4)-(3/1/6)-(5/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
LRL-5   WIN (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/6)-(3/1/6/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/6)-(5/2)-(4/5/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
LRL-6   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2/10) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (5/2)-(4/5/6)-(3/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
LRL-7   WIN (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/6)-(4/5/6/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/6)-(3/2)-(5/8/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
LRL-8   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/2/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/2)-(5/8/7)-(6/4/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LRL-9   WIN (5/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/8/7)-(5/8/6/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LRL-10   WIN (6/4/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/7/1)-(6/4/7/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   03/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PHRA PHROM Mar05 Feb24 Feb12 Dec09 Nov18 (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 126 8.00 7% 12.70    
PRESSING CONCERN Feb25 Feb10 Jan20 Jan13 Jan01 (mohan davi)RIVERA R 115 20.00    
HIS ROYAL G Feb25 Oct02 Jul14 Jun25 May26 (magana j)MONTERREY R 126 10.00 12% 7.60    
HELLMAN Feb18 Feb04 Jan16 Dec29 Dec04 (juarez ca)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 126 2.00 43% 1.30    
STREET HUSTLE Feb25         (mcmahon hug)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 8.00 12% 7.60    
FEDERAL OFFENSE Jan16 Dec29 Nov24 Nov04 Oct14 (mcmullen maril)BOYCE FOREST 126 4.50    
ICY MINISTER Feb25 Feb04 Jan06 Nov24 Nov04 (vera miguel)KARAMANOS A 126 1.80    
 
LRL-2   03/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($26K) 4UP M/F PT-12:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TARGE Mar04 Feb17 Jan21 Dec03 Nov25 (perri gina)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 4.00    
LEAN ON E Feb07 Dec05 Nov16 Oct25 Oct05 (pattershall )BARBOSA JEIRON 121 3.50 16% 5.10    
CHALK HILL Feb10 Dec17 Nov19 Nov04 Oct05 (ramirez jose )TREJOS JOSEPH 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
LADY MACHO Feb24 Jan27 Dec03 Nov10 Oct19 (atkins )NUNEZ ANAHI 123 12.00    
SHEKNOWSTHEDRILL Feb26 Feb10 Jan06 Dec02 Nov25 (parra)LABARRE GRACE 126 20.00 6% 14.50    
SHACKLEFORD COUNTY Feb17 Jan14 Dec31 Dec06 Nov12 (gonzale)ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 3.00 50% 1.00    
WATCH YOUR TONE Feb10 Jan22 Nov13 Oct23 Sep23 (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 123 1.60    
 
LRL-3   03/18/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($48K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELLA BETTINA Feb20 Feb03 Jan15 Dec31 Dec09 (davis g)BOYCE FOREST 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
STARTWITHABANG Mar10 Feb05 Jan21 Jan13 Dec09 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 5.00    
LIKE A PRO Jan17 Dec21 Oct03 Sep01 Jul04 (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 126 12.00    
I'M GITTIN THERE Feb17 Jan15 Jan01 Dec09 Nov20 (smith hamilt)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 3.50 37% 1.70    
BETCHA BY GOLLY Feb17 Jan21 Jan05 Dec03 Nov13 (andreadakis)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 123 8.00 6% 14.90    
GAMESTONKS Mar10 Jan13 Jan07 Dec18 Oct22 (russell br)RIVERA R 116 2.50    
SHE IS WISKY Feb03 Jan13 Dec09 Jun19 Jun12 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 2.00 28% 2.50    
 
LRL-4   03/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($58K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BORRACHO Feb25 Jun20 May25 Apr16 Mar04 (gorham mich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 12.00    
DOCTOR JEFF May21         (russell b)VARGAS A 123 8.00    
CEES GET DEGREES Mar05 Feb10 Jan27 Jan11 Dec16 (jacobson david)CRUZ ANGEL 126 2.50 44% 1.30    
H P MOON Mar04 Jan22 Jan29     (gaudet lacey)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 3.00 28% 2.60    
IT'S SIZZLING TIME Feb11 Jan28 Jan03 Nov15 Nov02 (smith valr)RIVERA R 116 15.00    
PRACTICAL WAY Feb27 Jan23 Mar19 Jan29   (avila car)PENNINGTON F 126 15.00    
KEEPING THE EDGE Apr09 Mar17 Feb12 Jan13   (trombetta mi)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 10.00    
GOING TO THE LEAD Mar04 Feb25 Feb04 Jan29 Jan19 (cash l)KARAMANOS A 126 3.50    
HOLY SYNCHRONICITY Mar04 Feb24 Feb11 Jan16 Dec18 (sanchez-sal)CONCEPCION AXEL 116 8.00    
 
LRL-5   03/18/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Conniver Purse ($75K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AWARD WANTED Feb18 Jan21 Dec18 Oct13 Sep17 (robb j)CRUZ ANGEL 124 2.00 15% 5.90    
  (by MACHO UNO out of TOURING HONG KONG by CHEROKEE'S BOY)
QUIET IMAGINATION Feb18 Jan18 Nov25 Nov11 Oct19 (woolley tim)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 10.00    
  (by IMAGINING out of PERFECTLY QUIET by QUIET AMERICAN)
RESPONSE TIME Feb24 Feb04 Jan07 Dec04 Nov11 (smith hamilt)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 1.60 51% 0.90    
  (by MOSLER out of DOMINUS EFFECT by DOMINUS)
MY FLICKER Feb20 Jan15 Dec16 Nov26 Nov09 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 8.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of EXPLOSIVE PROSPECT by FORTUNATE PROSPECT)
MAVILUS Feb10 Nov13 Oct22 Oct06 Sep04 (mancilla ca)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 15.00    
  (by ORIENTATE out of MAVIA by ROCK SLIDE)
STREET LUTE Feb04 Jul09 Jun10 May21 Apr23 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 122 6.00 9% 9.90    
  (by STREET MAGICIAN out of ALOTTALUTE by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
COMBAT QUEEN Feb20 Dec16 Oct30 Oct09 Sep25 (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 122 10.00    
  (by CONGRATS out of STARSONHERSHOULDER by QUIET AMERICAN)
SUMMER ODDS Feb17 Jan15 Oct22 Sep25 Sep07 (mcclure )BUTTERFLY L 122 20.00    
  (by DESPITE THE ODDS out of SUMMER WIND HALEY by ROCK SLIDE)
 
LRL-6   03/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Not For Love Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARDEN'SLUCKYTOBE Feb20 Jan27 Dec09     (mcclure )BUTTERFLY L 120 30.00    
  (by MADEFROMLUCKY out of SUMMER WIND HALEY by ROCK SLIDE)
COASTAL MISSION Feb17 Jan20 Dec08 May14 Feb21 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 12.00 7% 13.60    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of SMART CROWD by CROWD PLEASER)
KENNY HAD A NOTION Feb25 Feb08 Jan31 Dec30 Nov17 (jones e)HO WESLEY 120 30.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of DARTING by DURING)
SCR  ALWAYSINAHURRY Feb12 Jan21 Dec18 Nov25 Oct22 (capuano phillip)CRUZ ANGEL 124 8.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of OTHERWISE PERFECT by LEMON DROP KID)
EASTERN BAY Mar04 Feb18 Oct29 Oct08 Sep28 (cash norma)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 126 1.60 69% 0.50    
  (by E DUBAI out of CHRUSCIKI by POLISH NUMBERS)
SCR  AL LOVES JOSIE Feb25 Feb11 Jan21 Nov26 Oct29 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 122 3.00    
  (by HOLY BOSS out of PICK YOUR PLEASURE by LEMON DROP KID)
SCR  BACKNTHEWOODS Feb26 Dec03 Nov06 Oct01 Sep11 (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 122 10.00    
  (by FLASHBACK out of KISS IN THE FOREST by FOREST WILDCAT)
KARAN'S NOTION Feb26 Jan29 Jan21 Dec30 Dec10 (heil b)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 12.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of SUSAN KARAN by WAQUOIT)
BRILLIANT ICE Feb20 Feb05 Jan16 Dec30 Nov18 (eubanks anne)UNKNOWN JOCKEY 120 20.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of LITTLE ICE PATCH by HOUSEBUSTER)
10  BREEZY GUST Mar08 Jan17 Jan10 Nov23 Oct24 (arce josue)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 4.50    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of TAKENBYTHEBREEZE by SHORE BREEZE)
 
LRL-7   03/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Harrison Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMERICAN D'ORO Feb12 Jan15 Dec30 Nov26 Nov04 (sillaman ri)GLASER LAURALEA 122 6.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of MEGA DREAM by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
DOUBLE CROWN Mar07 Feb18 Jan30 Jan07 Dec17 (cash norman )BARBOSA JEIRON 124 20.00    
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of TWO COLUMBUS by TWO PUNCH)
HELLO HOT ROD Feb12 Jan14 Dec17 Nov21 Oct27 (russell b)VARGAS A 120 8.00    
  (by MOSLER out of HELLO NOW by TIZNOW)
OURNATIONONPARADE Feb18 Jan21 Dec30 Nov26 Oct22 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 3.00 41% 1.40    
  (by CAL NATION out of PARADE OF COLORS by LEADING THE PARADE)
NIMITZ CLASS Feb18 Dec30 Nov26 Oct12 Sep10 (kravets bruce)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 1.80 24% 3.20    
  (by MUNNINGS out of FIVE DIAMONDS by FLATTER)
AMERICAN PATROL Jan04 Nov07 Oct01 May25 Apr20 (lynch catha)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 4.00 11% 8.50    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of SOOTHING TOUCH by TOUCH GOLD)
SCR  TREASURE TROVE Mar07 Feb18 Feb02 Jan15 Dec31 (cash l)CRUZ ANGEL 124 12.00    
  (by TAPIZAR out of CASHMERE by PHONE TRICK)
ROUGH SEA Feb01 Jan17 Dec11 Nov12 Sep24 (mosco robert)ADORNO ABNER 124 15.00    
  (by INCLUDE out of SEA SONG'S GRACE by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
 
LRL-8   03/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Beyond The Wire Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PHAROAHS BABY GYAL Jan13 Nov14 Oct06 Sep11   (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 2.50 23% 3.40    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of BABY J by SUNRISE SHOWER)
CATS INTHE TIMBER Jan28 Jan13 Oct28 Sep23   (russell t)ROSE J 118 8.00 13% 7.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of WYCHWOOD by TALE OF THE CAT)
LADY LOWERY Feb15 Jan18       (walden willia)GILLIGAN JACK 118 2.00 37% 1.70    
  (by MUNNINGS out of LAST DANCE by REVOLUTIONARY)
HAPPY CLOUDS Mar03 Feb11 Jan28 Jan08 Dec09 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 4.50    
  (by PAYNTER out of TWO TO ONE by YESBYJIMMINY)
VOODOO MAMA JUJU Feb18 Feb10       (sanchez-salomon)GOMEZ KEVIN 118 20.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of FINGERPAINT by UNION RAGS)
WE'LL SEE Feb18 Jan21 Dec14 Oct21   (kravets bruce)KARAMANOS A 118 20.00    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of SWEET CONTENT by CONGRATS)
CAIRO SUGAR Feb19 Jan19 Dec30 Nov29 Nov08 (bedard alan)WOLFSONT ANDREW 124 3.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of SPUN SUGAR by AWESOME AGAIN)
 
LRL-9   03/18/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Private Terms Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 4:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARTY'S MAGIC Feb12 Jan14 Oct13 Sep03 Aug13 (de horac)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 30.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of ECHO STORM by THUNDER GULCH)
FEELING WOOZY Feb18 Jan29 Dec31 Dec03 Nov20 (smith a)CRUZ ANGEL 118 8.00    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of STORMY LOVE AFFAIR by STORMY ATLANTIC)
CIRCLING THE DRAIN Feb20 Jan29 Dec09 Nov20   (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 6.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of WHO'S COZY by COZZENE)
HOWGREATISNATE Mar04 Dec05 Nov05 Sep29 Aug31 (simoff andrew)ACOSTA D 118 4.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of BEE DEES BID by TAPIT)
REGISTER Feb18 Jan28 Jan06     (donk davi)VARGAS A 118 3.00 54% 0.80    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of CHAMPAGNE SUE by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
HAYES STRIKE Jan21 Dec26 Nov26 Oct30 Oct12 (mcpeek kennet)KARAMANOS A 118 3.50    
  (by CONNECT out of PLAID by DEPUTY COMMANDER)
RICCIO Feb18 Dec30 Nov12 Oct15 Sep29 (sillaman ri)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of RICHETTA by POLISH NUMBERS)
COFFEEWITHCHRIS Feb18 Jan21 Dec30 Dec03 Nov12 (salzman joh)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 3.50 15% 5.70    
  (by RIDE ON CURLIN out of ANDIEMAC by OUTFLANKER)
 
LRL-10   03/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIAMONDS N DENIM Mar01 Feb04 Dec08 Oct24 Oct04 (reynolds joa)LEWIS M 119 10.00 9% 10.30    
SALAMINA Mar09 Feb25 Jan15 Dec29 Dec03 (juarez cali)ZAMBRANA JADIEL 112 20.00    
RAISE YOUR GAME Feb04 Jan15 Dec10 Nov19 Nov07 (gorham mich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 6.00    
BACKSTREET AFFAIR Mar05 Feb11 Feb03 Jan07 Dec30 (magee kieron)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 1.40 15% 5.50    
NOTION INTERRUPTUS Mar12 Feb26 Feb17 Feb04 Jan15 (mohan davi)RIVERA R 115 20.00    
QUEEN OF CLASS Feb03 Jan07 Dec10 Nov21 Sep17 (walters henry)ARAUJO DENIS 126 1.60 42% 1.40    
PREPAREFORTAKEOFF Feb25 Feb04 Jan16 Dec15 Nov19 (maldonado j)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 8.00 11% 8.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.