Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Sunday - March 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3/6)-(5/1/3/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/1/3)-(6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3)-(6/4)-(2/5/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TAM-2   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/4)-(6/4/7/5/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (6/4)-(6/4/7/5/1)-(6/4/7/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/4)-(2/5/3)-(1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TAM-3   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/3/1/4)-(2/5/3/1/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/5/3)-(1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3)-(1/6)-(5/8/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TAM-4   WIN (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/6)-(1/6/4/2/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/6)-(1/6/4/2/7)-(1/6/4/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6)-(5/8/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/6)-(5/8/3)-(2/3/8) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TAM-5   WIN (5/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/8/3)-(5/8/3/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/3)-(5/8/3/1/2)-(5/8/3/1/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/8/3)-(2/3/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/8/3)-(2/3/8)-(5/4/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TAM-6   WIN (2/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/8)-(2/3/8/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/8)-(2/3/8/1/4)-(2/3/8/1/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/3/8)-(5/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/8)-(5/4/7)-(1/7/6/3/5) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
TAM-7   WIN (5/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/7)-(5/4/7/9/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/7)-(5/4/7/9/3)-(5/4/7/9/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/4/7)-(1/7/6/3/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/4/7)-(1/7/6/3/5)-(3/2/6) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
TAM-8   WIN (1/7/6/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/7/6/3/5)-(1/7/6/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/7/6/3/5)-(1/7/6/3/5)-(1/7/6/3/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/7/6/3/5)-(3/2/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
TAM-9   WIN (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/2/6)-(3/2/6/9)-(3/2/6/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   03/12/2023 5400ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT-12:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIMMINS Feb22 Jan29 Jan11 Dec16 Oct10 (davis rich)ROWLAND MADELINE 122 1.60 24% 3.10    
2  KALINBA Feb26 Feb15 Jan20 Dec30 Dec16 (cascallares n)LOZADA CARLOS 122 8.00    
3  DEVIL'S MYTH Feb26 Feb15 Jan28 Dec29 Jul16 (dobber arnoud )SUAREZ ANGEL 122 6.00 8% 11.60    
SCR  EL MIC TIESUN Feb26 Feb16 Jan22 Jan06 Dec31 (mardif james )SOSA LAUREANO 115 8.00 9% 10.10    
5  HIGHJUMP CHARLIE Feb26 Feb12 Nov05 Jul24 Jan28 (werneth ro)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 122 2.00 35% 1.80    
6  COLORS Feb22 Jan22 Jan06 Jul10 Jun11 (lusk r)FUENTES MARIO 122 6.00 ★    
 
TAM-2   03/12/2023 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP ALL PT-12:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHAKEM N BREAKEM Feb19 Jan06 Dec09 Nov23 Apr15 (dominguez luis)MENDEZ KEVIN 123 20.00 ★    
2  HONDO GUSTO Feb25 Feb10 Jan25     (roque elis)FUENTES MARIO 123 15.00    
3  KHOZANDO Feb25 Feb10 Nov07 Oct24 Jan23 (ferraro anth)COA J 123 6.00    
4  ENGLISH LAUGHTER Feb10 Jan25 Jan06 Dec30 Oct26 (ferraro anth)ALLEN D 123 4.50 17% 4.80    
5  SEA SPLENDOR Feb25 Feb10 Jan06 Aug20 Jul31 (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 123 1.00 ★    
6  CALL BROS Feb19 Feb04 Jan06 Dec14 Sep30 (mccarthy b)ROWLAND MADELINE 123 5.00 53% 0.90    
7  COLONIST Feb19 Oct15 Aug29 Aug09 Jul26 (escobar aliso)ALICEA JEREMY 116 6.00 ★    
 
TAM-3   03/12/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUNA AMARILLA Feb24 Feb05 Jan22 Dec23 Nov26 (marrero nesto)ALICEA JEREMY 113 12.00 ★    
2  LAVEAU Feb12 Dec07 Nov13 Oct14 Aug12 (orseno joseph )CAMACHO SAMY 122 1.00 51% 1.00    
3  JESS'S GYPSY GIRL         (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 122 4.50 7% 14.30    
4  I CALLED IT RIGHT         (ryan derek)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 10.00 ★    
5  RITABOOK Feb02 May14 May05 Apr17 Mar18 (rigattie)GALLARDO A 122 3.00 18% 4.70    
6  LIFENHOWULIVIT Feb24 Feb05 Jan22 Jun19 May15 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 120 20.00    
7  GILDED CHARMROSE Feb19         (posadas ped)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 8.00    
 
TAM-4   03/12/2023 5610ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($32K) Purse ($28K) 3 ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ENGLISH PAINTER Jan12 Dec03 Oct07 Aug27   (joseph saffi)MENESES MARCOS 119 2.50 62% 0.60    
2  GRATIA PRINCE Feb03 Dec30 Nov30 Sep18   (o'connel)GALLARDO A 121 8.00 ★    
3  FIRE BARON Mar04 Feb18 Feb04 Jan21 Jan07 (paragallo jen)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 20.00    
4  FLAWLESS CAT Feb17 Dec21 Oct20 Oct02   (dini mike)RODRIGUEZ A 119 4.50 ★    
5  HUASTECO Feb17 Feb02 Jan01 Aug27 Jul30 (gutierrez fausti)FERRER C 119 5.00    
6  POSSIBLEMENTE Feb17 Jan28 Dec21 Dec03 Sep24 (rodriguez dari)CAMACHO SAMY 123 1.80 16% 5.40    
7  BRAMBLE BLAZE Feb17 Feb04 Dec07 Oct02 Sep17 (dini mike)ROWLAND MADELINE 119 8.00 ★    
 
TAM-5   03/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 3 ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MINELLA Mar02 Jan11       (sanchez amad)MENESES MARCOS 120 5.00 ★    
2  MORE DRAMA Feb05 Jan22 Jan08 Sep11 Jul23 (hardesty l)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 10.00 ★    
3  MY EAGLE SOARS Feb22 Jan14 Dec23 Nov27 Sep03 (o'connel)GALLARDO A 120 4.50 5% 19.00    
4  POP SOCKS Nov20 Oct27 Sep22     (martin w)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 30.00    
5  AWESOME PRINCE Feb24         (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.00 39% 1.50    
6  COPANELLO BAY         (cordero anton)FLORES ADRIAN 120 15.00    
7  EASTON E Dec07 Nov23 Oct28 Aug29   (cruz jesus)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 120 20.00    
8  BIG BUCKSALOT Feb26         (nunez mauricio)FERRER C 120 2.50 32% 2.20    
9  MYSPECIALVALENTINE Feb24         (lopez r)MORALES PABLO 120 6.00    
10  DISCREET DEVIL Feb05 Jan04 Aug29 Aug08   (ochoa gerard)MARIN SAMUEL 120 20.00    
 
TAM-6   03/12/2023 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($29.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO QUE NO Feb26 Feb11 Jan13 Dec31 Nov26 (gutierrez faus)CAMACHO SAMY 119 4.00 ★    
2  CHESS MASTER Feb18 Jan19 Jan08 Dec24 Oct20 (raven kerri)CASTANON L 123 1.00 34% 1.90    
3  ABOUT TODAY (ARG) Feb26 Jan13 Dec14 Oct20 Sep29 (carrascojr vi)MORALES PABLO 121 3.50 25% 3.00    
4  ALEXIS S Feb02 Dec16 Nov27 Oct30 Sep18 (escobar alison)SUAREZ ANGEL 121 15.00 ★    
SCR  ASHAAB Dec30 Dec06 Nov18 Oct24 Sep03 (escobar alis)SUAREZ ANTHONY 119 20.00    
SCR  MAGICAL WARRIOR Feb17 Jan07 Dec11 Oct15 Sep18 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 119 6.00    
7  TWO STEPPIN KLUKI Jan08 Nov26 Sep18 Aug20 Jul23 (pimental john )MARIN SAMUEL 119 8.00    
8  THEALLIGATORHUNTER Feb26 Sep10 Aug13 Jul16 Jun12 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 8.00 15% 5.50    
 
TAM-7   03/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUNMAN Feb19 Feb01 Jan15 Jan06 Dec21 (manchan be)MITCHELL RICHARD 123 30.00    
2  NO COMMISSION Dec31 Dec14 Nov23 Aug06 Apr17 (tsirigotis jam)MARIN SAMUEL 123 20.00    
3  FORWARD MOTION Feb08 Oct25 Oct11 Sep05 Jun22 (ferraro m )ROWLAND MADELINE 123 6.00 ★    
4  RIDGEPOINTE Feb17 Jan28 Jan13 Dec16 Aug20 (lopez r)ALICEA JEREMY 116 2.50 17% 4.70    
5  ASK FOR BODE Feb19 Feb04 Jan14 Jan04 Dec07 (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 123 2.00 50% 1.00    
6  BLAME BISHOP Sep15 Sep03 Aug11 Jul14 Jun11 (rarick lynn)SOSA LAUREANO 116 6.00    
7  BAM BAM BLU Jan20 Oct22 Oct08 Jul31 Jul04 (mcburney pat)BATISTA A 123 8.00 9% 10.40    
8  KEVIN WITTE Jan14 Dec31 Dec07 Nov23 Oct15 (posadas pedro)JIMENEZ MANNY 123 15.00    
9  LOUD N PROUD Feb19 Feb04 Aug13 Jul24 Jul15 (gatis chris)MENESES MARCOS 123 12.00 ★    
10  I'M MONEY Feb17 Feb05 Dec16 Oct10 Sep21 (cahill steven)WALKER M 123 20.00    
 
TAM-8   03/12/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEA RO Feb19 Feb05 Jan07 Dec14 Nov25 (campbell micha)CAMACHO SAMY 119 2.50 27% 2.80    
2  ONE NIGHT STAND Jan25 Jan07 Dec07 Nov09 Oct09 (orseno joseph)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 8.00    
3  TIMELESS GLORY Feb03 Jan18 Dec22 Nov15 Oct26 (granitz anthony )FERRER C 119 15.00 8% 10.90    
4  TWISTED TREASURE Feb19 Jun19 May30 Apr29 Apr20 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 119 10.00    
5  EAST WING Jan14 Apr30 Mar09 Jan28   (lerma)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 12.00 7% 12.80    
6  LULLABY LAND Feb25 Jan21 Jan07 Dec14 Nov26 (wilson tony)CASTANON L 119 2.00 12% 7.00    
7  COOL FRONT Feb19 Jan25 Dec30 Dec22 Dec02 (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 121 3.50 22% 3.60    
8  SWEET MOOCHIE Feb19 Feb05 Jan25 Nov26 Oct20 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 119 10.00    
 
TAM-9   03/12/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 3 F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SWEET MELADY Feb11         (cascallares n)SOSA LAUREANO 113 30.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of A J'S HONEY by INDIAN CHARLIE)
2  THEGIRLFROMIRELAND Feb11 Jan04 Nov19 Oct22   (motion graha)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 4.00 26% 2.90    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of TATTOOED GIRL by MORE THAN READY)
3  PAYOUT RATIO (IRE)         (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.00 35% 1.90    
  (by KINGMAN out of POLLY'S MARK by MARK OF ESTEEM (IRE))
4  MS EXCUSE Feb11         (cascallares)CASIQUE URBARDO 120 30.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of ANGEL SPIRIT by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
5  DOMO ARIGATOU Feb05 Jan14       (collins john)FERRER C 120 20.00    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of FLEET ALLAIRE by HALO'S IMAGE)
6  OUR DOTSIE Sep14         (oliver victoria)CENTENO E 120 8.00 15% 5.70    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of MAYA PRINCESS by STREET SENSE)
7  TAKE A BREAK Jan29         (mcgaughey cla)MORALES PABLO 120 5.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of ON LEAVE by WAR FRONT)
8  JUST THE SKY Jan22         (brown)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 4.50    
  (by JUSTIFY out of FACT FILE by DIXIE UNION)
9  JUSTDOITALREADY         (harty eoin)CASTANON L 120 10.00 ★    
  (by JUSTIFY out of CONCINNOUS by EL CORREDOR)
10  PEDIGEEK Jan29 Dec11       (casse ma)GALLARDO A 120 5.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of I STILL MISS YOU by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
SCR  IRISH VICTORY (IRE)         (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of CLAIMING VICTORY by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.