Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Laurel Park
Saturday - March 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LRL-1   WIN (2) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (2)-(2/7) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    PK3 (2)-(1/3/5)-(7/1/8/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
LRL-2   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    DD (1/3/5)-(7/1/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
LRL-3   WIN (7/1/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/8/4)-(7/1/8/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
LRL-4   WIN NO BET 0 $2.00 $0.00 
    EXA NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
LRL-5   WIN (9/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (9/1)-(9/1/8) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (9/1)-(4/5/6/1/3)-(6/3/4/1/5) 50 $0.50 $25.00 
LRL-6   WIN (4/5/6/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/5/6/1/3)-(4/5/6/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/5/6/1/3)-(6/3/4/1/5)-(6/4/1) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
LRL-7   WIN (6/3/4/1/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/3/4/1/5)-(6/3/4/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4/1/5)-(6/4/1)-(5/4/3) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
LRL-8   WIN (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
LRL-9   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRL-1   03/04/2023 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CRUSH IT Feb02 Jan08 Nov02 Oct06 Jul15 (mcmahon hugh)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 2.00 59% 0.70    
SCR  NORTHERN THUNDER Feb26 Jan29 Dec18 Nov22 Nov02 (mcmahon hugh)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 2.00    
2  MYSTIC LINK Feb14 Jan18 Dec21 Nov07 Oct22 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 3.00 9% 9.80    
SCR  ASSEMBLY POINT (BRZ) Feb26 Jan29 Jan08 Nov27 Nov02 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 2.50 ★    
4  ERAWAN Feb18 Jan06 Nov27 Nov11 Oct09 (capuano phi)CONCEPCION AXEL 116 12.00    
SCR  MOTAGALLY Feb07 Jan26 Jan05 Dec20 Dec10 (cash l)GOMEZ KEVIN 123 10.00 6% 15.20    
SCR  EXCALIBUR Feb17 Jan28 Jan06 Dec17 Dec02 (dove jr)ARAUJO DENIS 119 20.00    
7  LOST MY VOWCHER Feb04 Jan18 Dec20 Oct28 Oct09 (gonzalez c)RIVERA R 119 5.00 ★    
 
LRL-2   03/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT-12:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAJESTIC FRONTIER Jan29 Nov25 Nov07 Oct13 Sep23 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 126 1.80 29% 2.50    
SCR  MR. MOSLEY Feb19 Feb10 Jan21 Jan08 Dec18 (corrales jo)ZAMBRANA JADIEL 112 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  ARISTOCAT Feb25 Feb04 Jan16 Dec30 Dec02 (farrior an)RIVERA R 119 1.60 29% 2.50    
4  REMEMBERING WILBUR Feb22 Feb10 Aug13 Aug05 Jun26 (sanchez-salomon)GOMEZ KEVIN 126 5.00 ★    
5  DIVINE LAW Jan28 Jan11 Dec10 Nov20 Oct15 (mancilla car)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 3.50 9% 9.80    
6  DIMMI QUANDO Jan25 Aug01 Jun20 May07 Apr16 (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 122 15.00    
 
LRL-3   03/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($29K) 3 ALL PT- 1:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHERIFF RONNIE Feb10 Jan27       (howard dav)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 4.00 11% 8.40    
2  SIR SMOAK Feb10 Jan22 Jan13 Dec13 Dec02 (serey jr)MONTERREY R 124 12.00 ★    
3  WILDERZAR Feb25 Feb10 Dec10 Nov27 Nov13 (cash norma)RIVERA R 117 20.00    
4  MOON SIGN Feb20 Jan27 Jan01 Nov18 Oct20 (pradenas serg)KARAMANOS A 120 30.00 6% 16.20    
5  SERGEANT SHERMAN         (howard da)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 124 10.00    
6  INSPIRED IRISH Feb10 Jan07 Nov21 Nov04 Oct14 (meyers madis)LEWIS M 117 4.00    
7  COLLECT REDEMPTION Feb10 Jan06 Dec10     (keefe timothy)ALVELO C 124 1.60 49% 1.10    
8  EXPECT LUCKY Jul15         (geralis eman)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 3.50 8% 11.30    
 
LRL-4   03/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SEANOW Jul04 May15 May08 Apr21 Apr03 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 2.50 67% 0.50    
2  BAPTIZE THE BOY Feb10 Jan06 Oct08 Sep03 Jul29 (howard davi)ZAMBRANA JADIEL 113 15.00 ★    
3  CAMP PENDLETON Feb10 Jan22 Jan06 Dec04 Nov11 (sanchez-salom)ALVELO C 123 3.50 ★    
4  MIRACLE SILVER Feb10 Jan18 Jan06 Dec09 Nov05 (nazario p)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 123 15.00 ★    
SCR  HOT N SPICY LOVE Feb10 Jan22 Jan08 Dec20 Dec06 (magee kiero)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 1.40 ★    
6  EKATI'S VERVE Feb10 Jan22 Jan06 Dec11 Nov11 (mancilla carlos)MONTERREY R 126 4.50    
 
LRL-5   03/04/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLDING COURT Feb03 Nov18 Oct27 Sep28 Sep02 (magee kier)RIVERA R 115 8.00 7% 14.10    
2  BAD TEMPER Feb11 Jan22 Nov18 Oct28 Oct07 (parker m)DELGADO A 126 15.00    
3  C TWO Feb12 Jan25 Dec29 Sep10   (graham robi)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 122 30.00    
4  SHE SO COOL Feb10 Dec01 Jul14 Jul02 May26 (rodrigu)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 15.00    
SCR  HOV LANE Feb11 Jan22 Dec09 Nov07 Oct23 (cox kenneth)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 126 4.00 37% 1.70    
6  TORRE BRANCA Feb11 Jan22 Jan01 Nov25 Oct27 (smith hamil)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 4.50    
SCR  SEMIRAMIS Dec09 Nov18 Oct22 Oct01 Sep10 (gonzalez cl)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 12.00    
8  NIBBLES Feb11 Jan22 Jan16 Jan01 Nov19 (sanchez-salo)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 10.00 ★    
9  WATER WITCH Feb15 Jan18 Jan01 Dec16 Oct27 (sillaman ri)GLASER LAURALEA 126 2.50 28% 2.50    
SCR  RED WINE TIME Feb24 Jan20 Jan01 Nov25 Oct22 (sanchez-salomon)GOMEZ KEVIN 126 5.00 ★    
 
LRL-6   03/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARISTOCRATIC Jan20 Dec17 Nov27 Oct27 Sep06 (allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 6.00 9% 10.30    
2  THE SICARII Feb10 Dec31 Dec17 Nov29 Nov08 (gorham michae)ALVELO C 123 12.00    
3  CHARGE TO VICTORY Jan14 Dec17 Oct15 Sep18 Aug26 (mancilla carlo)PEREZ XAVIER 123 6.00 6% 14.80    
4  FREE DANCER Feb02 Jan14 Dec17 Nov24 Nov02 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 123 8.00 33% 2.00    
5  ROMINSKI Feb11 Dec10 Oct08 Sep18 Aug14 (trombetta mi)BARBOSA JEIRON 114 4.50 13% 6.70    
6  BIGMANCAN Feb11 Jan28 Jan16 Dec31 Dec09 (dilodovico dam)ARAUJO DENIS 123 3.50 9% 10.20    
SCR  RAHMER Feb20 Feb12 Jan21 Jan01 Oct20 (barr donald)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 123 12.00    
SCR  MONEY RIDE Jan29 Dec16 Oct13 Jul27 Jun26 (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 123 15.00    
9  BERKS Jan31 Jan11 Dec18 Nov12 Oct29 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 12.00    
10  FORTH Feb10 Jan28 Jan13 Dec29 Nov27 (serey jr)MONTERREY R 122 8.00    
SCR  ALPHA CHI RHO Feb10 Jan26 Dec13 Nov23 Feb21 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 15.00    
 
LRL-7   03/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($54K) 3 ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHERE IS MIKE Feb15 Oct19 Sep17     (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 119 8.00 12% 7.70    
2  LANDON JACK Jan28 Dec30 Nov27 Oct28 Oct07 (salzman joh)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 117 12.00    
3  ON THE MARK Feb12 Jan21 Jan01 Dec11 Nov13 (shankle joanne)MONTERREY R 121 3.00 18% 4.40    
4  ROAN BURGUNDY Oct27 Oct01 Sep16     (russell brittan)GOMEZ KEVIN 121 2.50 12% 7.20    
5  PUTTHEPASTBEHIND Feb18 Jan21 Jun09 May01   (brooks geral)BARBOSA JEIRON 116 5.00 8% 11.10    
6  LOST WEEKEND Feb12 Jan28 Dec31 Dec11 Oct22 (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 121 4.00 29% 2.50    
7  INDYBOUND Nov27 Oct22 Oct07     (corrales jose)ARAUJO DENIS 121 6.00    
 
LRL-8   03/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($58K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLY SYNCHRONICITY Feb24 Feb11 Jan16 Dec18 Nov12 (sanchez-salom)ALVELO C 126 3.00 7% 12.50    
SCR  CASANOVA KITTEN Feb09 Jan28 Dec21 Nov06 Oct23 (ginter ray)RIVERA R 116 20.00 7% 13.20    
SCR  CHOCOLATE SHAKE Dec11 Nov21 Nov05 Sep17   (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 123 4.00 9% 9.80    
4  GOING TO THE LEAD Feb25 Feb04 Jan29 Jan19 Dec30 (cash norman )BARBOSA JEIRON 118 2.50 15% 5.80    
5  ALL THREES Jun11 May27 May07 Apr16 Mar13 (smith hamilton )GOMEZ KEVIN 123 10.00    
6  H P MOON Jan22 Jan29       (gaudet lace)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 1.80 41% 1.40    
 
LRL-9   03/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($43K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RATIONALMILLENNIAL Feb12 Feb03 Dec09 Oct08 Sep02 (corrales )HERNANDEZ F 122 20.00    
2  BLUEBERRY INDYGO Feb03 Dec16 Jul21 May19 Apr09 (perkins jr)BOYCE FOREST 122 3.00 ★    
3  ISABELLA'S GLORY Jan22 Jan13 Dec02 Nov05 Apr08 (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 126 3.50 9% 9.80    
4  OH MRS. MAISEL Jan20 Dec03 Nov13 Oct14 Sep16 (de horac)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 2.50 22% 3.60    
5  PARIS KENTUCKY Feb11 Dec21 Nov18 Oct20 Sep08 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 4.50 42% 1.40    
6  FLIMSY (GB) Feb03 Jan20 Nov18 Oct20 Sep30 (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 126 6.00 ★    
7  PROPER STORM Feb03 Jan01       (keefe timothy)ALVELO C 122 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.