Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Gulfstream Park
Thursday - March 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
GP-1   WIN (3/6/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/5/9)-(3/6/5/9/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/6/5/9)-(3/6/5/9/4)-(3/6/5/9/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/6/5/9)-(1/7/6/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
GP-2   WIN (1/7/6/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/7/6/2/3)-(1/7/6/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/7/6/2/3)-(1/7/6/2/3)-(1/7/6/2/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/7/6/2/3)-(3/6/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
GP-3   WIN (3/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/8)-(3/6/8/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/8)-(3/6/8/5/7)-(3/6/8/5/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/6/8)-(4/6/3/5/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
GP-4   WIN (4/6/3/5/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/6/3/5/7)-(4/6/3/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/6/3/5/7)-(4/6/3/5/7)-(4/6/3/5/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/6/3/5/7)-(5/4/3/8/6) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
GP-5   WIN (5/4/3/8/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/4/3/8/6)-(5/4/3/8/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/4/3/8/6)-(5/4/3/8/6)-(5/4/3/8/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/4/3/8/6)-(4/3/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
GP-6   WIN (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/6)-(4/3/6/9/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/6)-(4/3/6/9/8)-(4/3/6/9/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/3/6)-(7/9/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GP-7   WIN (7/9/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/9/3)-(7/9/3/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/9/3)-(7/9/3/6/8)-(7/9/3/6/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/9/3)-(6/1/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-8   WIN (6/1/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/2/3)-(6/1/2/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/1/2/3)-(6/1/2/3/4)-(6/1/2/3/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/1/2/3)-(12/4/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-9   WIN (12/4/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (12/4/11)-(12/4/11/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (12/4/11)-(12/4/11/5/8)-(12/4/11/5/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
GP-1   03/02/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($35K) Purse ($35K) 3 F PT-12:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MYSTIC SUNRISE Feb02 Jan08 Dec18     (spatz ronal)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 12.00    
2  ALGARCA Feb18         (amaya gu)FIGUEROA HERIBERTO 118 30.00    
3  EGOZ UNIT Jan18 Jul17       (gargan danny)ORTIZ L 118 4.50 44% 1.30    
4  LOVE MAMI LOVE Feb02 Jan06 Dec01     (garoffalo jos)ORTIZ JR 118 1.80 ★    
5  LIGHT AND PATH Feb02 Jan07 Dec15 Oct23 Jul01 (sano antonio)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 12% 7.60    
6  ALWAYS ROYAL Jan14 Dec22 Dec08 Nov06   (hess b)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 17% 4.80    
SCR  COCO Feb12         (alvarado jua)ZAYAS J 118 8.00    
8  GYMNAST Feb11         (caramori caio)LEON SONNY 118 20.00    
9  APPLE LOVER Jan26 Jan06       (davis christ)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 6.00 5% 18.60    
 
GP-2   03/02/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24K) 4UP M/F PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRONG EMBRACE Feb09 Dec09 Nov04 May06 Apr08 (garoffalo jos)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00 21% 3.80    
2  TAKE THE PODIUM Dec09 Nov25 Oct21 Sep03 Aug05 (pinchin jose)ORTIZ L 122 3.00 15% 5.50    
3  BELLA MIURA Feb04 Dec23 Dec02 Nov12 Oct29 (sano antonio)REYES LEONEL 122 4.50 11% 8.40    
SCR  SHES A GIFT Feb15 Jan26 Jan13 Dec30 Dec14 (pinchin jose)MORELOS E 122 20.00    
5  KUKARO Feb19 Jan19 Jan06 Nov25 Oct15 (sano anton)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00    
6  ZEN (IRE) Feb09 Jan07 Dec09 Jun05 May21 (casse mark)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.00 16% 5.30    
7  TRUE BLUE PEARL Jan20 Dec09 Jun24 Apr28 Mar23 (o'dwyer jer)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 4.00 17% 4.90    
 
GP-3   03/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($32K) 3 ALL PT- 1:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EVENTFUL Jan19 Jan07 Dec16     (sano antonio)RIOS M 118 12.00    
2  SURPRISE PAYOFF Jan12 Sep03 Aug13     (weaver geo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00    
3  GLENHOLME Feb19 Jan27 Nov25 Oct27 Oct02 (mcdonald michae)PEREZ EDGAR 118 4.00 32% 2.10    
4  FREE BIRDS Jan07         (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00    
5  CATCHHIMANDFREEHIM Jul20 Jun16       (spatz ronald )ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 ★    
6  MINELLA Jan11         (sanchez amado)MORALES ANGEL 111 6.00 23% 3.40    
7  ALWAYS GOLDEN         (arias d)MORELOS E 118 20.00 ★    
8  SOLOMONS GOLD Feb08 Jan12 Dec08 Nov12 Oct08 (bates larry)CASTELLANO J 118 4.50 22% 3.60    
 
GP-4   03/02/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FULTON STREET Feb04 Dec21 Nov26 Oct30 Sep24 (d'angelo jose)MORALES ANGEL 115 3.50    
2  READTHETRANSCRIPT Feb02 Jan08 Dec07 Oct30 Sep24 (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 10.00    
3  PURE SPEIGHT Jan22 Dec28 Nov18 Aug25 Jul01 (hess b)LEON SONNY 122 5.00 11% 7.90    
4  ENSIGN PARKER Feb03 Jan22 Dec14 Nov18 Oct16 (handal raymon)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 35% 1.80    
5  ANOTHER DUKE Feb11 Jan21 Jan04 Dec01 Jun12 (yates )VASQUEZ ANGEL 122 3.50 8% 11.70    
6  ROYAL KITTEN Feb03 Jan21 Nov26 Sep30 Aug27 (walder r)RIOS M 122 8.00 13% 6.60    
7  RAVE ON Feb18 Jan21 Nov27 Oct29 Oct07 (winebaugh cher)REYES LEONEL 122 8.00 7% 12.40    
SCR  LEE ANN'S WARRIOR Feb03 Jan08 Dec14 Nov18 Nov06 (catanese jos)MORELOS E 122 30.00    
 
GP-5   03/02/2023 3300ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($50K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ACE UP HER SLEEVE Jan29 Dec28 Dec10 Sep24 Aug12 (klesaris ste)CASTELLANO J 122 4.50    
2  KISS UPON A STAR Jan04         (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 122 5.00    
3  SIENA LADY Feb02         (pinchin jose)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.50 15% 5.60    
4  STAKE A CLAIM Feb02 Jan05 Dec09 Nov05 Oct13 (o'dwyer jerem)MORALES ANGEL 115 4.50 16% 5.40    
5  LIANA B Feb02 Dec14 Jun05     (kimmel c)ORTIZ L 122 2.50 39% 1.60    
6  HOT FOOT SUSIE Jan15 Dec14 Nov13     (orseno josep)ZAYAS J 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  GRACE CANDY Feb03 Jan20 Dec05 Oct28 Oct05 (caramori eduardo)LEON SONNY 122 12.00    
8  NEVER (IRE) Jan05 Dec09 Sep11 Aug06 Jul16 (ciamei)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 15.00 6% 14.90    
 
GP-6   03/02/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  UNTITLED Dec08 Nov20 Oct02     (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 122 8.00    
2  TORETTO Jan21 Jan05 Dec23 Dec02 Oct16 (garoffalo )GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 15.00    
3  EXECUTIVE SEARCH Nov26 Nov06 Oct16 Sep23 Sep02 (drexler marti)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00 17% 5.10    
4  INHALATION (GB) Feb02 Dec22 Oct28 Aug02 May28 (noda orlando)CASTELLANO J 122 3.00 50% 1.00    
5  STRANGE ARRANGE Feb17 Dec30 Oct20 Sep15 Aug24 (kintz matthew)LEON SONNY 122 15.00    
6  LUCAGO Dec11 Nov11 Sep18 Aug27 Aug14 (caramori cai)MORELOS E 122 5.00 8% 12.10    
7  ADVENTURE SEEKER Jan29 Feb25 Jan12     (croft barry)ORTIZ L 122 15.00    
8  LOYAL LOUIE Feb02 Jan22 Dec16 Dec02 Nov06 (sweezey kent)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00 ★    
9  ADIOS ASHER Jan22 Nov26 Aug23 Aug04 Jul11 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 4.00 ★    
10  MAGICAL JAIME Feb01 Oct08 Aug28 Jul17 Jun18 (mcburney patric)JARAMILLO E 120 20.00    
 
GP-7   03/02/2023 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($87K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOTA BENE Sep13 Jul24 Jul02 May15 Apr22 (wilkes r)SAEZ LUIS 120 10.00    
2  MAC THE PEE H DEE Jul16 May19 Apr09 Feb27   (duarte j)ORTIZ L 120 6.00    
3  STRATEGIC BIRD Jun04 Apr16 Mar19 Jan15   (casse mark)JARAMILLO E 122 15.00 6% 16.60    
4  HAVE A GOOD DAY (IRE) Oct16 Sep13 Aug11     (delgado gust)CASTELLANO J 122 12.00    
5  ULIKEAPPLES Oct07 Sep17 Aug13 Jun17 Jun03 (falcone rob)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 15.00    
6  MINAUN (IRE) Jul18 May13 Apr16     (walsh brendan)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 ★    
7  LOVE AND MONEY Jan18 Dec01       (devaux che)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.00 56% 0.80    
8  CHOOSE JOY         (dwoski)VASQUEZ ANGEL 122 8.00 ★    
9  LIONESSOFBRITTANY Dec23 Nov20 Sep14 Aug26 Jul11 (klesaris ste)ZAYAS J 120 10.00 8% 11.20    
 
GP-8   03/02/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($86K) 3 ALL PT- 3:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLASSIC CATCH Jan13 Nov20 Oct22     (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 2.00 23% 3.40    
2  RUN CORY RUN Jan21 Dec16       (joseph saffie )ORTIZ L 120 6.00 16% 5.30    
3  MR. RIPPLE Jan08 Oct15       (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 120 3.50 9% 10.00    
4  POINT PROVEN Jan13 Nov26 Sep18 Aug06   (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.00 ★    
5  DEVIL'S CAY Dec22 Nov19       (ramirez luis)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 10.00    
6  GAME CHANGE Feb01 Dec31 Nov06 Aug20   (mcgaughey )GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.00 31% 2.30    
 
GP-9   03/02/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREEN GAL Feb09 Aug14 Jul08 Jun11   (rizo jua)FERNANDEZ R 120 50.00    
2  LET FREEDOM REIN Feb05 Jun12 May29 May08 Apr17 (eppler e)SAEZ LUIS 122 12.00    
SCR  LAMASCO Feb01 Jan18 Dec23 Oct13 Sep05 (gutierrez fa)ZAYAS J 122 6.00    
4  SISTER NELL Jan20 Dec04 Oct27 Sep10 Jan21 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00 36% 1.80    
5  LOVE MY JOB Feb08 Jan15 Dec14 Sep30 Sep10 (alter happy)CASTELLANO J 122 15.00 ★    
6  TURBIE Feb01 Jan15 Nov29 Oct26 Sep03 (dobles elizabe)REYES LEONEL 122 30.00    
7  FLOURISHING Jul30 Jun08 Jan19     (casse mark)MORELOS E 122 10.00    
8  ANDIE ONE Feb01 Jan20 Dec30 Dec09 Jun25 (biancone pa)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 4.00 ★    
9  L. E. GRAY Jan05 Dec09 Nov11 Oct08 Sep02 (fawkes dav)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00    
10  MITESSE Feb09 Jan04 Nov13     (yates )VASQUEZ ANGEL 122 30.00    
11  WALKS LIKE A LADY Feb08 Jan06 Dec28 Jun17   (nagle sarah)RUIZ JORGE 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
12  DEMOGORGON Feb09 Jan20 Dec26 Nov19 May29 (d'angelo jose )ORTIZ L 122 3.50 41% 1.50    
13  CHESS NOT CHECKERS Feb09 Jan05 Dec09 Oct28 May21 (moubarak nad)CASTELLANO J 122 20.00    
SCR  BLUSTERY Feb09 Jan19 Dec29 Nov18 Oct14 (ciamei)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.