Handicappers' Racing Form

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Fonner Park
Sunday - February 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FON-1   Win (2/5/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
FON-2   Win (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
FON-3   Win (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FON-4   Win (6/5/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
FON-5   Win (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FON-6   Win (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
FON-1   02/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($4.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HALO'S LADDIE Jun11 May19 Apr08 Mar12   (thompson grady)HAAR NATHAN 125 8.00    
LEVEL Aug01 Jul19 Jun18 May23 Apr09 (thompson grady)RAMOS B 125 3.00 31% 2.30    
DANUBE Jan07 Dec17 Nov19 Sep11   (chavez juan)MARTINEZ A 121 2.00 18% 4.60    
SLOOPY HANG ON Jan11 Dec21 Nov25 Nov09 Oct20 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 120 2.50 9% 9.60    
UMATILLA Jan20 Jan07 Dec08 Sep17 Aug26 (gonzalez isai)MORALES ROBERTO 120 3.00 19% 4.20    
 
FON-2   02/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($2.5K) Purse ($5.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GAME DAY DECISION Sep27 Aug23 Aug01 Jul05 Jun17 (rushton temple)CARDOSO DAVID 125 8.00    
THORNISH Aug07 Jul25 Jul05 May14 Apr15 (anderson da)MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.50    
FAYETTE WARRIOR Oct01 Sep19 Sep05 Aug18 Aug04 (bethke a)BETHKE A 125 3.00    
MATRICULATE Jun17 Jun03 May27 May07 Apr15 (rhodes lester)RAMOS B 125 2.50 50% 1.00    
SANCOCHO (MEX) Feb10 Jan23 Jan08     (castillo sa)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 2.00 21% 3.80    
 
FON-3   02/19/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOONSHINE MAX Feb12 Jan13 Dec30 Dec08 Nov23 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.00 14% 5.90    
RUNNING JESSE Feb12 Sep11 Aug27 Jul04 Jun09 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 125 1.80 51% 1.00    
SCR  LOOKIN FOR LARRY Feb10 Jan13 Dec30 Dec16 Dec01 (gonzalez isai )BETHKE A 125 3.00    
SUBSCRIPTION Jun12 May28 May14 Apr30 Apr16 (anderson da)MEDINA ANGEL 125 5.00 11% 8.00    
POPS GIRL ALEXA Feb11 Sep26 Sep12 Aug15 Jul26 (hibdon n)RAMOS B 120 10.00    
 
FON-4   02/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($7.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADDIE BOY Sep05 Aug07 Jul11 May07 Apr23 (anderson c)RAMOS B 125 8.00 17% 4.90    
HOT ARTIE Feb11 Feb03 Jan13 Dec21 Dec07 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 125 2.00    
SCR  KEARNEY Feb10 Dec01 Nov15 Nov01 Oct18 (ibanez alberto)MARTINEZ A 125 12.00    
SILVER MAKER Sep11 Aug23 Aug01 Jul17 Jul03 (anderson da)MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.50 19% 4.30    
GOLD NOTE Feb11 Jan11 Nov16 Oct14 Oct04 (hibdon n)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 3.00 19% 4.20    
LITTLE TOE Feb11 Oct13 Jul11 Jun18 Jun05 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 5.00 24% 3.20    
 
FON-5   02/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($4.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KID SLIPPER Feb11 Sep01 Jul19 Jun20 Jun06 (dunlap m)HAAR NATHAN 125 6.00 25% 3.00    
POWERSHOT Feb09 Jan13 Dec14 Nov19 Nov03 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 125 3.50 11% 8.10    
THREE RUN HOMER Dec18 Dec09 Nov27 Nov04 Jun25 (gonzalez is)MEDINA ANGEL 125 5.00    
HATTIES JEWEL Feb11 Oct02 Aug27 Aug04 Jul02 (bethke a)BETHKE A 125 10.00    
SCR  I'M A SPECIAL STAR Jan18 Jan04 Dec17 Oct29 Jun23 (hibdon n)RAMOS B 125 4.00    
CONATIVE Dec19 Nov25 Nov09 Oct26 Sep25 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 1.60 37% 1.70    
 
FON-6   02/19/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($10.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUDGE'S BRIBE May14 Apr22 Mar27 Mar06   (black maris)MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.50 39% 1.50    
HUSKER LEGACY Jun17 Jun04 May28 May14 Apr03 (compton jesse)RAMOS B 125 8.00    
P R WHY NOT Jun10 May30 May20 Apr29 Apr22 (luke l)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 6.00    
DIAMANTE JOSE Jun17 Jun04 May28 May01 Apr16 (anderson c)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00    
CHIEF TY HE Jun10 May30 May14 Apr22 Mar27 (hemmer terrell)FACKLER CHRIS 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
B T'S BAD BOY May14 Feb27       (hall l)BETHKE A 125 3.50 29% 2.40    
PRINCE B Jun19 Jun10 May30 May14 Apr22 (rivera gregorio)CARDOSO DAVID 125 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.