Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delta Downs
Wednesday - February 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DED-1   WIN (1/6/2/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/6/2/3/5)-(1/6/2/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/6/2/3/5)-(1/6/2/3/5)-(1/6/2/3/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/6/2/3/5)-(2/4/1/9/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (1/6/2/3/5)-(2/4/1/9/7)-(6) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
DED-2   WIN (2/4/1/9/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/4/1/9/7)-(2/4/1/9/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/4/1/9/7)-(2/4/1/9/7)-(2/4/1/9/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/4/1/9/7)-(6) 5 $1.00 $5.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1/9/7)-(6)-(6/2/7/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
DED-3   WIN (6) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (6)-(6/5/4/3/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6)-(6/5/4/3/1)-(6/5/4/3/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (6)-(6/2/7/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (6)-(6/2/7/1)-(8/5/3/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
DED-4   WIN (6/2/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/7/1)-(6/2/7/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/2/7/1)-(6/2/7/1/4)-(6/2/7/1/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/2/7/1)-(8/5/3/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/2/7/1)-(8/5/3/10)-(2/4) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
DED-5   WIN (8/5/3/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/3/10)-(8/5/3/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/3/10)-(8/5/3/10)-(8/5/3/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/5/3/10)-(2/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (8/5/3/10)-(2/4)-(4/8/1/5) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
DED-6   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4/1/6/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (2/4)-(2/4/1/6/7)-(2/4/1/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4)-(4/8/1/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/4)-(4/8/1/5)-(1/5/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
DED-7   WIN (4/8/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/1/5)-(4/8/1/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/8/1/5)-(4/8/1/5/6)-(4/8/1/5/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/8/1/5)-(1/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/8/1/5)-(1/5/4)-(1/6/2/5/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-8   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4/6/2)-(1/5/4/6/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/5/4)-(1/6/2/5/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
DED-9   WIN (1/6/2/5/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/6/2/5/9)-(1/6/2/5/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/6/2/5/9)-(1/6/2/5/9)-(1/6/2/5/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DED-1   02/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($25K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAZZY JUSTIN Jan26 Jan11 Dec21 Dec03 Nov05 (toups brent)POMPELL L 117 2.00 36% 1.80    
DRIED PEPPER Jan11 Dec15 Dec03 Nov19 Oct12 (mojica edit)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 5.00 10% 9.40    
FREDONIAN Jan13 Dec17 Dec01 Nov21 Nov02 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 4.50 8% 11.50    
SCR  TRUE SAINT Feb02 Aug08 Jul24 Jul03 Jun17 (gustafson aust)BACA L 117 15.00    
CASEYS MEMORY Jan11 Dec21 Sep24 Sep04 Aug14 (gustafson austin)BIRZER E 117 3.50 8% 11.80    
SARCASTIC TONE Jan26 Jan12 Dec20 Dec03 Nov11 (hibdon mark )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 6.00 18% 4.70    
GENTRIFIED Jan07 Nov30 Nov19 Oct12 Aug03 (gonzalez v)MCMAHON J 117 6.00    
 
DED-2   02/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEAUX TOX Jan28 Jan12 Nov19 Oct28 May31 (turner patti)HERNANDEZ V 117 8.00 9% 10.60    
CRIDER CHASE Feb01 Jan18 Jan04 Dec20 Nov22 (zenon shelto)BARRERA J 112 4.00 34% 2.00    
CLOCKED IN TYME Jan28 Jan12 Oct21 Aug11 Jul09 (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 117 20.00    
MO BELLA Jan18 Dec07 Nov03 Oct07 Aug24 (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 3.00 26% 2.80    
DAVE'S RONDA Feb01 Jan04 Nov18 Aug24 Aug04 (averett ronnie)TORRES HUGO 112 12.00    
CUSTOM MAIDEN Jan28 Jan18 Dec16 Nov30 Sep10 (washington richard)STOKES J 117 20.00    
T R'S FIRST Feb02 Jan19 Jan07 Dec29 Dec15 (hibdon n)BIRZER E 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
SPECTACULAR IZZY Dec16 Nov12 Oct28 Jul16 Jun25 (ingram steve)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 12.00    
SHE'S MY PRIORITY Feb01 Jan18 Jan04 Dec16 Nov26 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 6.00 6% 16.50    
10  APRIORITY LADY Feb01 Jan18 Dec07 Jul30 Jul03 (thomas lee)POMPELL L 117 6.00    
 
DED-3   02/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($27K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CUPIE CUTIE Aug25 Aug04 Jul20 Jun30 Jun16 (huitron joe)RAMIREZ PAULINA 123 15.00    
LITTLE Z Jan27 Jan14 Dec22 Dec08 Nov05 (nelson eric)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 10.00    
CECE WAVE Jan27 Dec20 Nov26 Nov05 Oct12 (larrosa ju)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 6.00    
GYPSY JACKPOT Jan27 Jan14 Dec08 Nov22 Oct27 (pomier d)MCMAHON J 123 2.50    
WORLD OF HURT Feb01 Dec20 Oct22 Jul14 Jun10 (brinkman bre)BARRERA J 118 4.50    
MINT JULIUS Feb02 Apr30       (landry ray)STOKES J 123 3.50 61% 0.60    
BEAT THE DOUBLE         (zeno benjamin)STOKES A 123 10.00    
CHARMING KAT Jan25 Jan11 Nov11 Oct13 Aug19 (senegal dalton )BOURQUE J 123 5.00    
 
DED-4   02/15/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIZSPELT Jan11 Dec27 Nov02 Oct15   (alberto antonio)STOKES J 117 12.00 8% 11.90    
1A  AHIMAAZ Jan13 Dec30 Dec16 Nov18 Oct14 (alberto antonio)STOKES J 120 12.00    
SON CARLOS Feb02 Jan12 Aug09 Jul12 Jun04 (dunn r)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 6.00 14% 6.40    
GOTTA DEAL Dec15 Sep13       (roberts kennet)BACA L 117 8.00    
WILLIE THE MAN Jan20 Dec21 Dec07 Nov25 Nov11 (hibdon n)TORRES HUGO 112 5.00    
LONG ARROW Oct15 Aug04 Jul01 Jun17   (gelner scot)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 2.00    
CARLOS PUNCH Nov02 Aug28 Jun08 May21 Apr27 (tracy greg)BIRZER E 117 3.50 45% 1.20    
TEXAS TURBINE Jan12 Dec02 Nov11 Oct20 Aug12 (brinkman bre)BARRERA J 115 4.00 12% 7.60    
 
DED-5   02/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KAITLYN'S COURT Feb05 Jan15 Dec23 Dec04 Nov19 (constantine car)MCMAHON J 114 20.00    
MSCHITCHATTOUR Jan28 Jan04 Nov30 Nov05 Oct05 (zenon shelt)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 4.50    
GIFTED TALENT Jan18 Jan04 Nov30 Nov03 Oct21 (beavin judy)RIVERA JOSEAN 114 12.00 10% 9.40    
SCR  BRI Jan26 Dec15 Nov03 Aug27   (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 5.00 13% 6.60    
XCARET Jan13 Dec20 Dec03 Nov12 Sep26 (guillory j)BIRZER E 120 4.00 10% 9.00    
MISS CHECKMARK Dec27 Nov10 Oct19 Sep20 Aug27 (lloyd ann)TORRES HUGO 112 20.00    
BOSTON LUCILLE Jan18 Dec16 Dec01 Oct27 Oct07 (roberts kenne)VARGAS P 117 10.00    
CASHEW Jan21 Dec19 Oct14 Jun25 May28 (gelner jayde)BARRERA J 112 3.00 27% 2.70    
LIL HOT TODDY Jan28 Dec27 Jun12 May15 Feb03 (lara jorge)RAMIREZ PAULINA 114 8.00    
10  SUE HAPPY Jan28 Jan04 Dec21 Nov25 Oct13 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 8.00 9% 10.80    
 
DED-6   02/15/2023 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THOUGHTSANDPRAYERS Nov18 Nov02 Aug29 Aug08 Jul23 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 6.00    
BLAZING CHARM Dec30 Dec02 Nov05 Sep04 Aug27 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 1.80 62% 0.60    
KIND WAYS Jan26 Jan07 Nov30 Nov02 Aug27 (mojica edith)BARRERA J 112 8.00    
SIMPLE PLEASURE Jan28 Nov15 Sep19 Aug21 Jul30 (broberg karl)VARGAS P 117 3.50 11% 7.80    
BE A BANDIT Jan26 Jan13 Dec14 Nov25 Nov04 (zenon shelton)TORRES HUGO 112 10.00    
LUCKY LINDA Jan07 Dec28 Aug03 Jun18 Jun02 (degeyter ran)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 6.00    
HARLANS WARRIOR Dec02 Jul07 Apr15 Mar03 Jan12 (latour nicholas)STOKES J 117 4.50    
 
DED-7   02/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEASIN' TESLA Dec22 Nov12 Aug25 Aug06 Jul01 (brinkman brett)FUSILIER C 117 3.50 13% 6.70    
US SECOND CUTE PIE Jan21 Nov03 Oct05 Aug28 Aug18 (zeno benjamin)STOKES A 117 8.00    
ANN'S STORM Feb01 Jan06 Dec20 Nov26 Nov03 (landry r)THORNTON G 114 10.00    
CANDY'S PARADE Dec29 Dec03 Jul21 Jun09 May18 (delany sara)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 2.00 35% 1.80    
FLAT ROSE Jan12 Dec20 Nov19 Jun16 May07 (bourque warren)BACA L 120 12.00 8% 12.30    
EL CALIENTE LADY Jan21 Dec20 Dec07 Nov22 Nov03 (nelson r)TORRES HUGO 112 5.00    
FUHR MEO Jan07 Dec20 Dec01 Nov18 Aug24 (melancon do)RAMIREZ PAULINA 114 12.00    
START WELL Jan19 Jan06 Dec20 Dec08 Nov26 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 115 4.50 19% 4.40    
 
DED-8   02/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  PINCH ASSAULT Feb04 Dec27 Dec10 Nov17 Oct27 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 1.60 52% 0.90    
SCR  MAGEEZ Dec20 Nov19 Nov11 Oct21 Aug20 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 1.60    
GRIEF Dec15 Nov19 Oct06 Sep12 Jul23 (tracy greg)BIRZER E 117 6.00    
WISE GUY Jan25 Jan07 Dec15 Nov16 Oct08 (turner patti)HERNANDEZ V 117 12.00    
CYPRIANO Jan14 Oct27 Sep26 Sep12 Aug30 (tracy greg)MCMAHON J 117 8.00 12% 7.50    
MUFFIN NUTS Jan25 Jan06 Dec15 Nov22 Sep20 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 3.00 14% 6.20    
JOHNNYSJOURNEY Nov22 Nov12 Nov02 Sep20 Sep04 (nelson r)TORRES HUGO 112 5.00    
CHEROKEE TAKEOVER Jan13 Dec23 Dec09 Aug19 Jun30 (charles kei)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 8.00    
 
DED-9   02/15/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3 F PT-10:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLY TY         (landry r)THORNTON G 117 3.50 37% 1.70    
ALL AMERICAN PAT         (sam w)STOKES A 117 12.00 9% 9.60    
MALLORI'S MAGIC Dec30         (ward ronnie)BARRERA J 115 12.00    
SUE'S LITTLE ZING Feb02         (nelson r)TORRES HUGO 112 6.00    
MORO MILE HIGH         (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 120 8.00 9% 9.60    
SUPER SPIRIT Jan07         (diodoro roberti)MCMAHON J 120 2.50 14% 6.20    
TROSKA Dec02 Nov16 Aug10 Jun17   (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 6.00    
MARINA Dec09 Nov16 Nov02     (averett ronn)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 5.00    
REQUITE THE EFFORT         (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 117 15.00 9% 9.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.