Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - January 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (6/3/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/5/7)-(6/3/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/5/7)-(6/3/5/7)-(6/3/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/5/7)-(3/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/5/7)-(3/6/8)-(10/2/4/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-2   WIN (3/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/8)-(3/6/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/8)-(3/6/8)-(3/6/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/8)-(10/2/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/8)-(10/2/4/5)-(3/2/6/8/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-3   WIN (10/2/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/2/4/5)-(10/2/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/2/4/5)-(10/2/4/5)-(10/2/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/2/4/5)-(3/2/6/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/2/4/5)-(3/2/6/8/1)-(3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-4   WIN (3/2/6/8/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/2/6/8/1)-(3/2/6/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/2/6/8/1)-(3/2/6/8/1)-(3/2/6/8/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/2/6/8/1)-(3) 5 $1.00 $5.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6/8/1)-(3)-(2/1/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
CT-5   WIN (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (3)-(3/2) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3)-(2/1/8) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (3)-(2/1/8)-(4/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CT-6   WIN (2/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/8)-(2/1/8/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/8)-(2/1/8/7/5)-(2/1/8/7/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/1/8)-(4/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/8)-(4/1/2)-(2/6/4/5/1) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
CT-7   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/2)-(4/1/2/5/3)-(4/1/2/5/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/1/2)-(2/6/4/5/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
CT-8   WIN (2/6/4/5/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/6/4/5/1)-(2/6/4/5/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/6/4/5/1)-(2/6/4/5/1)-(2/6/4/5/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   01/26/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TWIN CAUSE Dec14 Dec04 Oct22 Oct02 Sep10 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 1.80 25% 2.90    
2  ULTIMATE BREEZE Jan12 Jan05 Dec10 Nov09 Oct28 (sandoval mic)MORALES KELVIN 122 15.00    
3  RED PRIESTESS Jan05 Dec17 Dec03 Oct23 Oct02 (bailes rober)ARAUJO DENIS 120 2.50 13% 7.00    
4  SUPERSNAKE Jan05 Dec14 Nov23 Nov11 Nov02 (sandoval michael)BAEZ M 115 10.00    
5  VEGAS SLIPPERS Nov30 Nov09 Oct26 Sep25 Jun26 (baird michael)PELTROCHE F 122 6.00 10% 9.20    
6  MIDNIGHT FLING Jun03 May12 Apr16 Apr02 Mar09 (brown keith)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.00 29% 2.50    
7  JESS FOR KICKS Jan05 Nov23 Nov02 Sep30 Sep14 (smith osborn)LEWIS M 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-2   01/26/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I B NASTY Jan04 Dec10 Nov30 Nov05 Oct29 (racanelli m)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 10.00    
2  SUPERSTASIA Jan12 Dec17 Dec10 Nov18 Nov11 (rangel ricardo)BAEZ M 115 20.00    
3  JALEBI BABY Jan05 Dec06 Nov08 Oct21 Oct05 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.00 16% 5.20    
SCR  SISTER JOANN Dec15 Nov19 Oct19 Sep29 Sep21 (hess g)MORALES KELVIN 124 4.00 14% 6.10    
5  EXCUSES EXCUSES Jan05 Dec10 Nov26 Oct29 Oct17 (pickett cry)MCKENZIE CONNIE 117 15.00    
6  WALK A FINE LINE Jan05 Dec10 Nov18 Oct01 Aug04 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 124 12.00 11% 8.50    
SCR  MISS LAUREN Jan05 Dec03 Nov02 Oct06 Sep15 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 1.80 28% 2.50    
8  DYLADDIE Jan05 Nov23 Oct29 Oct07 Sep08 (hurley jac)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 8.00 10% 8.60    
 
CT-3   01/26/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOBBYS CASE LOAD Jan04 Nov30 Oct15 Oct01   (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 4.00    
2  CRISTIANO BOY Jan05 Nov30 Nov09 Oct19 Sep28 (greaves v)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 3.50 13% 6.70    
3  ROCKET BALLAD Jan05 Nov30 Nov16 Nov05 Oct19 (conn p)BAEZ M 115 20.00    
4  ALLEGHENY HERO Jan11 Nov30       (grams t)NUNEZ ANAHI 122 15.00 6% 15.00    
5  CHARTERED COURSE Jan11 Jan05 Dec17 Oct29 Oct19 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 120 15.00 5% 17.60    
6  MONKEY WRENCH Jan11 Nov30 Nov09 Oct20 Sep29 (barahona isaac)CECIL Y 122 12.00    
SCR  COMEONTURNMELOOSE Jan05 Nov30 Nov05 Oct19 Sep28 (atkins michael)ARAUJO DENIS 122 3.00 24% 3.20    
8  S S SPARTAN ENERGY Dec17 Dec06 Nov14 Oct31 Oct17 (laguna homero)BOCACHICA O 122 15.00    
9  MARCHED Jan07 Dec08 Nov18 Oct23   (kee j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 6.00    
10  WATCHING SNOW FLY Jul08 Jun02 May11 May04 Apr13 (lucas anthony)SIMPSON JASON 122 5.00 27% 2.70    
 
CT-4   01/26/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FEARNOUGHT Jan07 Dec01 Nov19 Nov03 Oct08 (clatterbuck fre)RODRIGUEZ V 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  MAKE THE WAY CLEAR Jan04 Dec03 Nov11 Oct26 Oct08 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 8.00 28% 2.60    
3  PRINCE OF FENTON Jan16 Dec19 Dec07 Sep30 Aug22 (dunham g)HO WESLEY 122 1.80 28% 2.60    
4  DANCIN IN DUBAI Jan07 Dec13 Nov17 Jul20 Jun12 (brown kelto)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 10.00    
5  LIGHTNING LAD Nov26 Oct29 Oct13 Jun25 May15 (milose)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 10.00    
6  STORMIN ROCKET Jan07 Dec09 Nov22 Nov11 Oct02 (craig lewis)RAMGEET R 124 6.00 6% 14.40    
SCR  RED DEVOLUTION Jan04 Dec16 Nov20 Jul30   (perri gina)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 2.00    
8  NO ME DIGAS Jan16 Dec31 Dec07 Jun29 May12 (davis g)ACOSTA D 122 10.00 5% 18.90    
 
CT-5   01/26/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3 F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMOKIN LADY Jan06         (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 8.00    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of PRINCESS KENDRA by BENCHMARK)
2  LET'S DO THIS Nov24 Nov04 Oct06 Sep02 Aug12 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 122 6.00 ★    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of LET ME BE by NOT FOR LOVE)
3  LUCKY BOP Jan13         (craig lewis)RAMGEET R 122 3.00 23% 3.30    
  (by MADEFROMLUCKY out of BEBOPPIN BETTY by BOP)
4  SNEAKY LYNK         (johnson jamey )ARAUJO DENIS 122 10.00    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
5  CARMELIZED Jan06 Dec02       (lewis willi)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 15.00    
  (by LIMEHOUSE out of TRULY THERESA by BWANA CHARLIE)
6  CANDY LOVES HONEY         (dillow h)RODRIGUEZ V 122 12.00    
  (by EVANGELISM out of UNVEXED by ALBERTUS MAXIMUS)
7  VAN HOOK Jan06 Nov19 Oct13 Sep23   (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 4.50    
  (by WEIGELIA out of MALIBU LOVE by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  JUBASLILBALLERINA Jan06         (petty kristy)THORPE DARIUS 122 3.50 32% 2.20    
  (by JUBA out of MISTY BALLERINA by INTO MISCHIEF)
9  ONLY ROMANCE         (figgins oll)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 12.00    
  (by REAL ESTATE out of AUGUST ROMANCE by DANCE MASTER)
10  POLISH THE DIAMOND Jan06         (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 12.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of STONECUTTER by GRINDSTONE)
11  LOVE OF GRACE         (collins tim)PELTROCHE F 122 10.00    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of OFF THE SCREEN by FLOWER ALLEY)
SCR  CLOUD MOVER         (johnson jamey )ARAUJO DENIS 122 6.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of SCARLETT D'HEREA by DEHERE)
SCR  GREY FLAMINGO Jan06         (mckee john )MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 5.00 ★    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of FLAMINGO KEY by INCLUDE)
SCR  PLAYING FOR TWO Jan06         (petty kristy)BOCACHICA O 122 4.00 24% 3.20    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of LET'S PLAY TWO by GRAND SLAM)
 
CT-6   01/26/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($29.7K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOTAGALLY Jan05 Dec20 Dec10 Nov16 Oct13 (cash l)ACOSTA D 120 6.00 34% 1.90    
2  KOZY'S WILDCAT Dec31 Dec17 Nov12 Oct20 Sep25 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.80 38% 1.60    
3  ROCKET APPEAL Jan12 Dec09 Nov10 Oct28 Sep24 (campbell marshall)LARROSA G 120 10.00    
4  TRINGALE Dec14 Nov19 Nov03 Oct06 Sep09 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 10.00    
5  BOMBOLONI Jan06 Dec17 Nov27 Oct30 Oct16 (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.50 ★    
6  LET US MAKE GOLD Nov23 Nov02 Sep29 Sep14 Sep05 (johnson jamey )MONTANO JOSE 120 8.00    
7  MR HOOVER Oct22 Oct12 Sep10 Aug27 Aug03 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 120 4.00 ★    
8  ALPHA CHI RHO Dec13 Nov23 Feb21 Jan08   (magee kieron)BOCACHICA O 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-7   01/26/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SARGENT KOBE Jan06 Dec14 Nov26 Oct27 Oct19 (lane j)CULLUM W 120 4.00 23% 3.40    
2  RED HOT TODDY Jan11 Sep29 Aug19 Jul08 Jun17 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 10.00 22% 3.50    
3  ACASHA'S INTUITION Jan04 Nov24 Oct26 Sep29 Aug19 (bass curtis )LEWIS M 117 2.50 ★    
4  ROCKET'S CASTLE Jan06 Nov30 Nov10 Oct05 Sep15 (shanley mark)ARAUJO DENIS 120 3.50 25% 3.00    
5  LEG UP Nov30 Nov16 Oct14 Sep22 Sep07 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 5.00 ★    
6  TIMMY Dec08 Nov16 Oct19 Sep09 Aug13 (gazzier k)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 10.00    
SCR  WINDSOR'S TRACKER Dec10 Nov26 Sep09 Jul02 Jun18 (brown ronne)RAMGEET R 120 15.00    
SCR  CHASE LIL ME Jan13 Nov30 Nov04 Oct22 Oct05 (collins tim)RIOS-CONDE A 120 15.00    
9  TALKING TEDDY Dec01 Nov12 Oct21 Apr29 Apr16 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 120 10.00    
 
CT-8   01/26/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($9.7K) 4UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PANSTER Jan04 Dec12 Nov20 Sep30 Jun26 (nazario p)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  FORT FORTITUDE Jan07 Dec17 Nov26 Nov05 Sep07 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 4.00 32% 2.20    
3  PENNSYLVANIA STEEL Jan04 Dec01 Oct18 Sep28 Sep14 (shanley timot)THORPE DARIUS 122 5.00    
4  ELLIE'S LIL MAN Jan04 Dec01 Oct27 Oct13 Sep15 (pickett cry)RAMGEET R 124 12.00 14% 6.10    
5  SUNMAN Jan07 Dec07 Nov12 Oct21 Sep09 (shanley timothy)BAEZ M 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  UNIDENTIFIED MAN Jan06 Dec11 Nov18 Oct15 Oct01 (rodrig)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.50 25% 3.00    
7  TOMMY SHELBY Jan06 Nov26 Nov11 Oct22 Sep25 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 2.50    
8  MEGA MILLIONS Jan04 Dec01 Oct15 Sep30 Sep16 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 15.00    
SCR  AMEN CORNER Dec01 Nov08 Oct21 Sep28 Sep02 (farrior anthony)BOCACHICA O 122 10.00    
10  FINAL SAY Jan04 Dec02 Nov10 Oct21 Sep28 (robertson r)HO WESLEY 122 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.