Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Laurel Park
Saturday - January 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LRL-1   WIN (7/9/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/9/1/6)-(7/9/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/9/1/6)-(1/9/7/8/6)-(1/4/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-2   WIN (1/9/7/8/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/9/7/8/6)-(1/9/7/8/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    DD (1/9/7/8/6)-(1/4/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/9/7/8/6)-(1/4/5)-(8/5/6) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
LRL-3   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5)-(8/5/6)-(1/3/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
LRL-4   WIN (8/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/5/6)-(8/5/6/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/5/6)-(1/3/4)-(5/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
LRL-5   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4)-(5/6)-(6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
LRL-6   WIN (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/6)-(5/6/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (5/6)-(6)-(2/1/5/8) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
LRL-7   WIN (6) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (6)-(6/5/4/2) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (6)-(2/1/5/8)-(6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
LRL-8   WIN (2/1/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/5/8)-(2/1/5/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
LRL-9   WIN (6) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (6)-(6/4/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRL-1   01/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($45K) Purse ($44K) 3 ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VAX A NATION Dec09 Nov27       (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 124 3.00 19% 4.20    
2  IMAGINE IT Nov13 Oct14       (jenkins rodney)MONTERREY R 124 30.00    
SCR  SUPER ACCELERATE Nov27 Nov04 Oct14     (graham robin )KARAMANOS A 124 12.00 9% 10.70    
4  OROCOVIX Jan06         (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 124 15.00    
SCR  BROOKLYN GIRL Dec16 Nov06       (milosevic mil)ALVELO C 119 15.00    
6  MCMAGIC Oct28 Oct07       (gonzale)ORTIZ ORLANDO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  LAMARVELOUS Nov20         (eppler mary )BARBOSA JEIRON 119 3.50 25% 3.00    
8  GAMING SOUL Dec09         (gonzalez clau)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 5.00    
9  SNACK Dec30 Nov26       (trombetta m)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124 2.50 25% 3.00    
 
LRL-2   01/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT-12:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAHMER Jan01 Oct20 Jul10 Mar19 Feb20 (barr donal)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 126 2.50 38% 1.60    
2  CRIMSON ROCKET Dec29 Dec04 Nov14 Oct29 Oct15 (howard david)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 8.00    
3  CHAUFFEUR Jan01 Dec11 Nov21 Oct21 Sep30 (salzma)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 30.00    
4  CHAMBO Jan01 May29 May05 Apr14 Mar25 (dilodovico da)KARAMANOS A 126 10.00    
5  AMICALOLA FALLS Dec29 Nov21 Oct14 Oct02 Sep17 (howard davi)PAREDES JHOVANY 112 15.00    
6  SOUPER EMPEROR Dec18 Nov27 Nov04 Oct14 Mar20 (trombetta michae)CRUZ ANGEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  FLAMING EAST Jan01 Dec11 Nov27 Oct30 Oct08 (gaudet lace)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 3.50 11% 8.10    
8  SINGLINO Dec07 Nov27 Nov14 Nov02 Oct15 (worsley j)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 126 15.00 10% 8.80    
9  WHAT SAY YOU Jan01 Dec11 Nov04 Oct19 Sep05 (shuman mark)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 3.50 13% 6.60    
SCR  DIVINE PROPORTION Dec02 Nov11 Oct21 Sep29 Sep14 (parram derr)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 30.00    
11  MR. MOSLEY Jan08 Dec18 Nov14 Sep18 Aug26 (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 122 20.00    
 
LRL-3   01/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 1:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHICKIENESS Dec17 Dec03 Nov14 Oct22 Sep28 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 1.60 38% 1.60    
  (by BLOFELD out of CHICKALETTA by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
2  FILTERED LIGHT Dec12 Oct26       (lynch cathal)CRUZ ANGEL 118 8.00 ★    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of LEAFY SHADE by NEW APPROACH)
3  GRACE AND CHARM Jan01 Nov06 Oct08 Sep11   (russell britta)CONNER TYLER 118 2.50 ★    
  (by ACCELERATE out of CRUELMORE by FORESTRY)
4  L STREET LADY Dec04 Oct28       (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 1.80 32% 2.10    
  (by MUNNINGS out of LADY GAYLE by SCAT DADDY)
5  WE'LL SEE Dec14 Oct21       (kravets m)AGUILAR M 118 12.00 7% 14.20    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of SWEET CONTENT by CONGRATS)
SCR  OJITOS BELLOS Jan07 Dec30 Dec10 Nov18   (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 118 30.00    
  (by ANCHOR DOWN out of LOOKS PROMISING by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
 
LRL-4   01/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AIN'T DA BEER COLD Dec30 Oct22 Sep05 Jul29 Jun12 (cox m)CRUZ ANGEL 122 2.50 ★    
  (by FREEDOM CHILD out of DISTINCT AFFAIR by WITH DISTINCTION)
2  WHISKEY AND YOU Oct22 May08 Apr08 Mar19 Mar04 (peacock roy)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 20.00    
  (by FRIESAN FIRE out of TIZLING by TIZNOW)
3  MONDAY MORNING QB Dec17 Dec03 Nov25 Nov07 Oct22 (cash norma)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 122 15.00    
  (by IMAGINING out of HOW MY HEART WORKS by NOT FOR LOVE)
4  ONE TEN Dec31 Nov25 Nov14 Oct30 Oct06 (corrales jose)ARAUJO DENIS 122 8.00 ★    
  (by ATREIDES out of ELECTRIC VENUS by FLATTER)
5  GALERIO Jan14 Apr21 Mar19 Feb19 Jan29 (cash l)ACOSTA D 126 10.00 11% 8.30    
  (by JUMP START out of CONGAREE PRINCESS by CONGAREE)
6  EXCULPATORY Jan07 Dec10 Oct08 Aug14 Jul10 (merryman edwi)KARAMANOS A 120 10.00 6% 14.80    
  (by MINESHAFT out of ELUSORY by BROKEN VOW)
7  PLOT THE DOTS Jan07 Dec30 Nov24 Nov04 Oct13 (cash l)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 4.50    
  (by UNCLE MO out of LADY OF GOLD by FORMAL GOLD)
8  OURNATIONONPARADE Dec30 Nov26 Oct22 Sep28 Aug02 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 1.60 55% 0.80    
  (by CAL NATION out of PARADE OF COLORS by LEADING THE PARADE)
 
LRL-5   01/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MALIBU BEAUTY Dec30 Nov12 Oct22 Oct01 Aug27 (capuano gar)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 1.40 40% 1.50    
  (by BUFFUM out of SLOW AND STEADY by MALIBU MOON)
2  FOOL YOURSELF Nov13 Oct22 Aug27 Aug06 Jul17 (gonzalez clau)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 10.00 ★    
  (by MOSLER out of LADY LINDY by A.P. INDY)
3  AWARD WANTED Dec18 Oct13 Sep17 Sep02 Aug03 (robb j)CRUZ ANGEL 122 6.00 9% 10.10    
  (by MACHO UNO out of TOURING HONG KONG by CHEROKEE'S BOY)
4  SWEET GRACIE Jan01 Dec04 Oct22 Sep24 Aug19 (allen ferri)ALVELO C 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BANDBOX out of DULCIFY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
5  BOURBON WILDCAT Jan01 Oct22 Oct07 Sep17 Aug29 (magana jose )BARBOSA JEIRON 120 15.00    
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of SOUTHERN SQUALL by INDIAN OCEAN)
SCR  INTREPID DREAM Nov13 Oct26       (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 2.00 22% 3.60    
  (by JESS'S DREAM out of INTREPID TOUR by JUMP START)
7  STARTWITHABANG Jan13 Dec09 Nov19 Oct22 Oct07 (sanchez)ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 20.00    
  (by JUMP START out of BANG AWAY by SKY MESA)
8  SWEET SURPRISE Dec16 Nov27 Oct31 Sep10 Aug12 (hills timothy)KARAMANOS A 122 12.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of CLOSE THE GAP by LEMON DROP KID)
 
LRL-6   01/21/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAVOY Dec30 Dec03 Nov27 Nov12 Nov05 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 120 20.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of SECRET BALLOT by COURAGEOUS CAT)
2  FIVE DREAMS Jan04 Nov08 Oct24 Oct03 Sep07 (rodriguez mig)RIVERA D 120 8.00    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of TRANQUILITY DREAM by PROUD CITIZEN)
3  ALWAYSINAHURRY Dec18 Nov25 Oct22 Sep18 Sep04 (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 6.00 ★    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of OTHERWISE PERFECT by LEMON DROP KID)
4  KARAN'S NOTION Dec30 Dec10 Nov21 Oct22 Sep18 (heil b)CEDENO CAROL 122 30.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of SUSAN KARAN by WAQUOIT)
5  FACTOR IT IN Dec30 Nov26 Oct29 Oct01 Aug16 (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 124 2.50 19% 4.20    
  (by THE FACTOR out of SPEIGHTLASS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
6  YODEL E. A. WHO Jan04 Dec18 Nov23 Nov07 Oct24 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 10.00 7% 13.50    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of LAUGH N YODEL by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
7  AL LOVES JOSIE Nov26 Oct29 Oct08 Sep11 Aug26 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 120 12.00    
  (by HOLY BOSS out of PICK YOUR PLEASURE by LEMON DROP KID)
SCR  PIRATE RICK Dec30 Dec14 Nov28 Nov12 Nov06 (cash norma)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 122 8.00 ★    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of DADDY LOVES GOLD by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  BEREN Dec30 Nov23 Oct18 Oct03 Aug22 (reid e)PENNINGTON F 124 2.00 48% 1.10    
  (by WEIGELIA out of SILMARIL by DIAMOND (GB))
10  AIR TOKEN Dec18 Nov21 Oct01 Sep18 Sep03 (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 122 20.00    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of SAINT DINORAH by ST AVERIL)
 
LRL-7   01/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SNICKET Dec31 Dec10 Dec02 Oct20 Sep22 (dug)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 12.00    
  (by LEMON DROP KID out of EVER SO PRETTY by STORMY ATLANTIC)
2  DONTLETSWEETFOOLYA Dec30 Oct30 Oct23 Sep24 Aug01 (gaudet lacey)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 4.00 ★    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of STUNNING ELECTRA by CATIENUS)
SCR  DISCO EBO Dec10 Nov21 Oct07 Aug22 Jul16 (reid e)PENNINGTON F 122 8.00 ★    
  (by WEIGELIA out of KATARICA DISCO by DISCO RICO)
4  SWAYIN TO AND FRO Dec30 Nov26 Oct30 Oct23 Sep24 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 126 1.60 ★    
  (by STRAIGHT TALKING out of JUNGLE LADY by JUNGLE BLADE)
5  FOUETTE Dec30 Dec08 Nov11 Sep29 Aug20 (rice linda)KARAMANOS A 122 4.50 ★    
  (by NYQUIST out of ALLEZ MARIE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
6  FILLE D'ESPRIT Dec30 Nov25 Oct22 Oct03 Aug26 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 124 2.50 61% 0.60    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of SWEET VALOR by NO ARMISTICE)
 
LRL-8   01/21/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 3:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HELDISH Nov12 Oct22 Sep10 Aug09 Jul01 (maker michael)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 4.50 28% 2.60    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of EVERYTHING MAGIC by STREET SENSE)
2  PRINCE OF JERICHO Dec30 Nov19 Oct28 Oct07   (russell t)NO RIDER 118 1.40 43% 1.30    
  (by MUNNINGS out of GOLDEN REVIEW by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
3  TIZ NO CLOWN Dec31 Dec03 Nov12 Oct22 Jul18 (atkins )ORTIZ ORLANDO 118 15.00    
  (by NO NEVER NO MORE out of SHILOH ROAD by CONGRATS)
4  ON THE MARK Jan01 Dec11 Nov13     (shankle joanne)GOMEZ KEVIN 118 30.00    
  (by ANCHOR DOWN out of LADY RUSHMOORE by WILD RUSH)
5  B WEST Dec17 Nov21 Nov04 Oct07   (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MINESHAFT out of I DARE U EM by LUNARPAL)
6  COFFEEWITHCHRIS Dec30 Dec03 Nov12 Oct14 Aug26 (salzman joh)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 2.00 ★    
  (by RIDE ON CURLIN out of ANDIEMAC by OUTFLANKER)
7  MY BLUE EYES Dec16 Nov23 Nov09 Oct07   (kravets m)AGUILAR M 118 20.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of AERIAL PRANCER by TIZNOW)
8  WE DONT NEED ROADS Nov04 Oct01 Sep08 Aug11   (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of DULCIFY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
 
LRL-9   01/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($29K) 3 F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMALFI LADY Sep10 Jul31       (avila car)TORRES JOMAR 124 12.00    
2  ICESTORMING Jan07 Dec10 Nov25 Nov02 Oct12 (smith d)CRUZ ANGEL 124 4.00 ★    
SCR  MYSTIC SEAPORT         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 3.00 35% 1.90    
4  WILLFUL DESIRE Dec10 Nov27 Nov03 Oct05   (dilodovico d)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 2.50 ★    
SCR  SHE'LL MAKE WAVES         (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 124 3.50 21% 3.80    
6  IRISH LACE         (bailes rober)BOYCE FOREST 124 6.00 20% 4.10    
7  LUNITA Dec31         (nazario pedro)CEDENO CAROL 124 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.