Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Friday - January 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LRL-1   WIN (5/7/1/8/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/7/1/8/6)-(5/7/1/8/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/7/1/8/6)-(8/5/4/9/1)-(5/8) 50 $0.50 $25.00 
LRL-2   WIN (8/5/4/9/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/5/4/9/1)-(8/5/4/9/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    DD (8/5/4/9/1)-(5/8) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (8/5/4/9/1)-(5/8)-(1/3/6/4/5) 50 $0.50 $25.00 
LRL-3   WIN (5/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/8)-(5/8/2/7/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/8)-(1/3/6/4/5)-(11/8/5/9/4) 50 $0.50 $25.00 
LRL-4   WIN (1/3/6/4/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/3/6/4/5)-(1/3/6/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6/4/5)-(11/8/5/9/4)-(9/1/8) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
LRL-5   WIN (11/8/5/9/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/8/5/9/4)-(11/8/5/9/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (11/8/5/9/4)-(9/1/8)-(1/4/5/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-6   WIN (9/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/1/8)-(9/1/8/5/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/1/8)-(1/4/5/6)-(3/2/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-7   WIN (1/4/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5/6)-(3/2/1)-(8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LRL-8   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
LRL-9   WIN (8/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/4)-(8/6/4/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   01/06/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27K) 4UP ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ITS OVER Dec02 Oct28 Oct15 Oct08 Sep18 (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 3.50 18% 4.50    
BALTIMORE BULLEIT Dec29 Nov14 Apr16 Mar13 Feb24 (gonzale)ORTIZ ORLANDO 126 12.00    
SPIRITUAL GHOST Dec18 Nov24 Nov11 Oct29 Oct09 (buckley rick)ACOSTA D 126 30.00    
NOTION TO TAPIT Dec02 Nov11 Oct22 Oct01 Aug20 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 122 10.00    
PUDGE BOY PALACE Dec04 Nov18 Oct27 Oct14 Sep17 (farrior anth)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 1.80 29% 2.50    
GOD IS LOVE Dec29 Nov13 Oct14 Sep25 Aug15 (gonzalez )HERNANDEZ F 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
WONDER WATER Dec18 Nov24 Nov04 Oct15 Sep29 (sillaman richard)CRUZ ANGEL 126 4.00 19% 4.30    
RUNYONESQUE Dec10 Nov04 Sep28 Aug26 Aug03 (graham edward)KARAMANOS A 126 8.00 7% 13.80    
 
LRL-2   01/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($26K) 4UP ALL PT-12:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOMMY SHELBY Nov26 Nov11 Oct22 Sep25 Jul23 (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
FREE SQUARE Dec17 Nov04 Oct14 Sep25 Sep05 (gaudet lacey)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 4.50    
ANTIPOISON Dec14 Nov25 Nov14 Oct28 Oct15 (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 123 8.00    
MIRACLE SILVER Dec09 Nov05 Oct28 Oct20 Oct08 (nazario pe)MENDOZA JHONATAN 126 8.00 10% 9.40    
ALBERTANO Dec18 Nov19 Oct16 Sep29 Sep16 (magee kiero)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 4.00 22% 3.50    
OTHER THINGS EQUAL Nov12 Nov07 Oct12 Sep23 Sep02 (cash norma)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 123 10.00    
SHOOT THEMESSENGER Dec31 Dec16 Dec03 Nov25 Nov03 (mohan da)BUTTERFLY L 123 3.50    
CAMP PENDLETON Dec04 Nov11 Oct16 Oct08 Sep18 (sanchez-sal)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 126 4.00 26% 2.90    
OFF THE MEDS Dec12 Nov15 Oct19 Oct10 Sep28 (farro patricia)CEDENO CAROL 123 20.00 9% 10.00    
 
LRL-3   01/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 3 ALL PT- 1:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TERMSOFENGAGEMENT Nov20         (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 124 8.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of ONE FOXY GREY by BIG BROWN)
COLLECT REDEMPTION Dec10         (keefe timothy)ALVELO C 124 3.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of FINAL REDEMPTION by HARD SPUN)
OROCOVIX         (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 124 12.00    
  (by FIRING LINE out of HONORVILLE by PETIONVILLE)
QUICK QUICK WHIT Nov26         (trombetta mi)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 12.00    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of SMARTY SMART by CONGRATS)
GENERAL NOOZ Nov20 Oct28       (dilodovico da)KARAMANOS A 124 3.00 43% 1.30    
  (by ARMY MULE out of NASTY NOOZIE by PARTNER'S HERO)
MARGIE'S FUN SON         (andreadakis ge)ARAUJO DENIS 124 20.00    
  (by KEEN ICE out of MARGARET MARY by DANCE WITH RAVENS)
CODE OF KINGS Nov13 Oct23 Sep03     (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 124 12.00    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of LOOKOUT SISTER by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
CAPTAIN CREED Nov26 May06       (keefe timothy)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 1.80 32% 2.10    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of TORCIDA by PLEASANT TAP)
 
LRL-4   01/06/2023 5940ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EKATI'S VERVE Dec11 Nov11 Oct28 Oct01 Sep09 (mancilla carlos)MONTERREY R 123 2.00 35% 1.80    
TRIPLE JEOPARDY Dec06 Oct15 Sep03 Aug20 Jul24 (graci kimber)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 1.80    
MAMAIGOTTHIS Dec11 Nov18 Nov11 Oct16 Aug20 (cortez )ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 3.50 17% 4.70    
BAPTIZE THE BOY Oct08 Sep03 Jul29 Jul04 Jun10 (howard da)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 123 8.00 9% 10.00    
EXCALIBUR Dec17 Dec02 Nov18 Nov05 Oct15 (dove jr)ARAUJO DENIS 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
MINECRAFTER Dec11 Nov16 Oct20 Sep23 Aug20 (nazario pe)MENDOZA JHONATAN 123 12.00 11% 8.40    
UNIDENTIFIED MAN Dec11 Nov18 Oct15 Oct01 Sep09 (rodrig)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 10.00    
 
LRL-5   01/06/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DULCE KIARA Nov24 Oct22 Sep23 Aug19 Jul16 (magee kiero)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 4.00    
FORTES Nov24 Nov12 Oct27 Oct07 Sep24 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 123 6.00    
UTTERLY ENCHANTING Nov18 Oct22 Oct07 May07 Feb19 (hall d)MONTERREY R 123 12.00    
LIGHTFOOT MISS Dec02 Nov12 Oct23 Oct06 Sep22 (frock char)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 123 15.00 8% 11.40    
EIFS Dec16 Nov24 Oct28 Sep17 Aug25 (mcmahon hugh)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 12.00 16% 5.30    
HAD THE NOTION Nov18 Oct27 Oct15 Sep23 Sep09 (harting )BUTTERFLY L 123 30.00    
SCR  LADY MACHO Dec03 Nov10 Oct19 Sep10 Aug06 (atkins )ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 8.00    
CONGRESS HALL Jul28 Jul01 Jun10 May30 May05 (mcfarlane brando)CRUZ ANGEL 123 6.00 18% 4.60    
SHEKNOWSTHEDRILL Dec02 Nov25 Nov13 Oct06 Sep19 (parram derrick)ARAUJO DENIS 123 15.00 9% 10.10    
10  NOTION INTERRUPTUS Dec29 Dec02 Oct21 Oct12 Sep30 (mohan david)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 123 10.00    
11  MY BOSS LADY Dec29 Dec02 Nov06 Oct26 Oct01 (magee kieron)CEDENO CAROL 123 2.50 24% 3.10    
 
LRL-6   01/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($54K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JARDANI Dec16 Nov24 Oct14 Sep25 Sep01 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 8.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  SHOFAR Dec06 Nov26 Oct27 Oct08 Sep16 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 8.00    
SEA GHOST Nov21 Jun04 May20 Apr28 Mar11 (cole wayne)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 123 20.00    
ELUSIVE AGENT Dec11 Nov05 Oct08 Sep24 Aug29 (keefe timothy )BOYCE FOREST 123 10.00    
PATRIOTIC PARTY Nov20 Oct23 Apr02     (dilodovico da)KARAMANOS A 123 15.00    
GALLANT GOLD Dec18 Nov14 Oct30 Oct15 Sep02 (salzman joh)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 5.00    
ICY MINISTER Nov24 Nov04 Oct15 Sep07 Jul22 (vera miguel)ACOSTA D 123 30.00    
ORO DE MORO MORO Dec11 Nov24 Nov04 Oct19 Sep22 (sanchez-salom)ALVELO C 123 20.00    
TATE Dec16 Nov24 Nov13 Oct23 Sep25 (magana)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 6.00 7% 12.80    
NOSTALGIC RUN Dec16 Nov26 Oct14 May13 Apr22 (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 123 2.50 40% 1.50    
10  MAGIC MULE Dec16 Nov21 Oct16 Sep24 Aug14 (hohlbei)ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 12.00    
11  FRIGHTLAND Dec11 Nov20 Jun17 May26 Apr29 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 6.00    
12  SHAFT'S BULLET Feb20         (capuano gary)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 10.00    
SCR  FOLE'S NOTION Dec13 Oct20 Oct01 Sep02 Aug07 (pickett c)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 123 15.00    
 
LRL-7   01/06/2023 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PARADISE PRIDE Dec18 Nov27 Nov03 Oct12 Sep19 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 2.00 45% 1.20    
SCR  MYSTIC LINK Dec21 Nov07 Oct22 Sep24 Sep08 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 2.00    
SCR  CLOSER LOOK Dec20 Nov29 Oct21 Sep30 Aug27 (allen f)HERNANDEZ A 126 3.50    
OUR HOISTED MAST Dec02 Nov11 Oct16 Sep04 Aug03 (eubanks an)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 119 12.00    
HONOR THE FLEET Nov25 Nov12 Oct26 Oct12 Sep30 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 3.50 18% 4.60    
NO MORE TALK Nov11 Oct22 Sep16 Aug03 Jul21 (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 123 4.00 7% 13.60    
OXIDE Dec04 Nov11 Oct22 Aug26 Jan29 (gaudet l)BUTTERFLY L 123 12.00 7% 13.70    
ERAWAN Nov27 Nov11 Oct09 Sep30 Sep04 (capuano phil)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 8.00    
 
LRL-8   01/06/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($54K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCK THE BOAT Dec11 Oct22       (bailes robe)KARAMANOS A 123 4.00 17% 4.90    
SUPREME LAW Dec11 Nov25       (sillaman ri)GLASER LAURALEA 123 2.00 22% 3.60    
GERRYS GEM Nov12 Oct21 Oct02 Sep05 Jul16 (dilodovico d)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 2.50 25% 3.10    
ZEN MASTER Oct20 Aug24 Jul30 Jun30 May26 (barr donal)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 123 10.00    
MONSTER MASON Dec11 Nov04 Oct21 Sep24 Aug21 (mcfarlane brand)GOMEZ KEVIN 123 30.00    
SCR  CANT STOP THIS MAN Dec09 Nov23 Nov01 Oct25 Sep14 (penaloza migu)RIVERA D 123 15.00    
BOMBOLONI Dec17 Nov27 Oct30 Oct16 Sep25 (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 6.00    
SCR  TAUBER Dec11 Nov21 Oct22 Sep24 Aug21 (dilodovico damon)CRUZ ANGEL 123 8.00 14% 6.10    
 
LRL-9   01/06/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($34.5K) 3 F PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEVER DONE Oct21 Sep18 Sep05 Jul20   (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 121 8.00    
ICE CUBE BABY Dec16 Nov18 Nov04 Oct13 Sep25 (frock char)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 124 10.00    
SCR  HAPPY CLOUDS Dec09 Nov19 Nov03 Sep15 Jul16 (ennis john)ROSADO JOHAN 121 5.00    
MISS FUSSY PANTS Dec16 Nov07 Oct16 Sep05 Aug12 (smith hamilt)BARBOSA JEIRON 116 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ALAS AND ALACK Dec11 Nov25 Oct13 Aug12 Jul30 (smith hamil)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 8.00 9% 9.70    
COCKTAIL DREAMING Dec16 Nov19 Oct22 Aug31 Aug09 (howard c)CRUZ ANGEL 121 6.00    
GALACTIC TIDE Dec04 Nov12 Oct23 Sep25 Sep05 (young c)ORTIZ ORLANDO 117 20.00    
GOLDEN NEVE Aug13 Jul20 Jul01     (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 121 3.50 57% 0.70    
DROPKICK QUEEN Dec10 Nov19 Sep17 Sep09 Jun17 (o'dwyer jerem)TOLEDO JEVIAN 117 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.