Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Saturday - December 10, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   12/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT-12:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY BROTHER MIKE Nov23 Nov05 Oct14 Aug20 Jul23 (orseno joseph )MARIN SAMUEL 122 1.80 20% 4.00    
2  ABSOLUTIST Nov23 Aug10 Jun30     (cook devin)COA J 124 8.00    
3  MINISTER QUINN Nov23 Oct29 Oct16 Oct01 Sep04 (mcgoey monica)FUENTES MARIO 122 20.00 ★    
4  WOOTDAREITIS Nov12 Aug02 Jul20 Jul02 May06 (werneth ro)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 120 15.00    
5  AIDINGANDABETTING Nov23         (arriagada jua)SOSA LAUREANO 112 3.00 36% 1.80    
6  C'MON BLUE Oct08 Aug26 Aug13 Jul17   (carvajal luis)DELGADO DAVID 122 20.00    
7  MY BIG DRAMA Nov23 Oct23 Sep25 Aug19   (dobber arnoud )REYES LEONEL 122 4.00 ★    
8  BAKER BLOCK Nov20 Oct29 Oct16 Sep24 Sep04 (mcgoey monic)MENESES MARCOS 120 4.50 17% 4.70    
 
TAM-2   12/10/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT-12:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAYOU MELODY Oct28 Oct05 Sep17 Sep05 Aug13 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 6.00 14% 6.10    
2  FOOLISH HEART Oct15 Sep05 Aug26 Aug01 Jul15 (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 120 1.40 39% 1.60    
3  PRETTY PRINCESS Nov26 Aug19 Jul22 Jun18 May27 (philipp kar)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 10.00    
4  MA MEATLOAF Nov26 Oct19 Oct05 Sep12 Aug29 (ferraro anth)CAMACHO SAMY 120 5.00    
5  TAKESTWOTOWIGGLE Nov27 Sep17 Aug27 Jun30 Jun19 (richards rena)SOSA LAUREANO 110 6.00 5% 17.20    
6  LEA ME ALONE Jul16 Jun22 May26 Apr20 Apr03 (tsirigotis jam)ALLEN D 120 15.00 ★    
7  GOLD MAKER Nov26 Nov11 Sep09 Jun24 Jun03 (arnett g)LOZADA CARLOS 120 6.00 12% 7.10    
8  SWEET PENELOPE Jun30 May20 Apr24 Apr10 Jan28 (alvarado dia)BATISTA A 120 10.00    
 
TAM-3   12/10/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ACE UP HER SLEEVE Sep24 Aug12 Aug03     (klesaris stev)MORALES PABLO 121 5.00    
2  FROSTY SECRET May07 Apr14       (manning j)BRACHO A 121 20.00    
3  SILVER SPRINTER Nov25 Oct22 Sep17 Aug15 Jul29 (mazza w)CAMACHO SAMY 121 6.00 ★    
4  THE SWEATY FOX Nov05 Oct16 Sep10     (stoddard br)SPANABEL SKYLER 121 4.50 5% 18.30    
5  GIRL PRO Nov25 Apr15       (bordis robert)REEVES F 121 30.00    
6  BALI KUTA Oct28 Sep10 Jul29     (raven kerri)CASTANON L 121 3.00 47% 1.10    
7  EAU CLAIRE Oct22 Aug31 Jul31 Jun04 Apr28 (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 124 4.00 ★    
8  URBAN HEIRESS         (delac)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 6.00 24% 3.10    
9  I'LL GO ALL IN Sep28 Jul17 Jun26 Jun04 Apr28 (romero raf)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 121 15.00    
10  REDZILLA Apr06 Mar05 Feb23 Jan22 Jan05 (paragallo jenn)MARIN SAMUEL 121 30.00    
 
TAM-4   12/10/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZ LOTTIE Jun30 Jun21 Jun01 Apr16 Mar23 (bowersock mar)SOSA LAUREANO 110 20.00    
2  MARKET OF STOCKS Nov23 Oct22 Sep30 Sep17 Sep02 (tsirigotis jam)CASTANON L 118 20.00 7% 13.50    
3  KENYA SUN Nov23 Oct15 Sep17 Aug27 Jul24 (barboza victor)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.00 15% 5.60    
4  SASSY LIKE JULIA Nov23 Oct23 Jul10 Jul02 May30 (mcgoey monic)MENESES MARCOS 118 10.00    
5  CSILLA Dec02 Oct15 Sep15 Aug11 Jul09 (rarick lynn)DELGADO DAVID 120 8.00    
SCR  MAKIN IT LOOK EASY Nov27 Aug07 Jul16 Jul02 Jun11 (sweezey kent)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 10.00    
7  PLATINUMCENTS Nov23 Jul01 May06 Apr24 Apr16 (wasil)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 30.00    
8  FANCYSOUL Mar26 Mar06 Feb11 Jan23 Jan05 (davis richard)HERNANDEZ K 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  KNIGHT SLEEPER Jul03 Mar23 Mar02     (richards ren)BATISTA A 118 3.50 28% 2.60    
10  BELLSWILLBERINGING Nov05 Oct22 Oct05 Sep09 Aug19 (lopez mario)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 6.00    
11  WOODS HOLE Nov25 Oct15 Sep04 Jul29   (sacco d)FERRER C 120 4.50 20% 3.90    
 
TAM-5   12/10/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LILY'S LEAD Oct28 May26 May06 Apr15 Jan01 (barbazoniii l)MORALES PABLO 118 5.00 ★    
2  ANY PORT Nov04 Sep24 Aug12 Jul28 Apr15 (lerman)ROJAS EDUARDO 118 6.00 ★    
3  PRUDENT SONG Sep17 Aug21 Aug06 Jul16 Jun25 (carvajal l)MITCHELL RICHARD 121 4.50 55% 0.80    
4  LIL ANNIE ROSE Nov18 Oct21 Sep18 Jul09   (wirth kenn)ROWLAND MADELINE 116 15.00    
5  INVESTMENT INCOME Nov08 Oct11 Sep03 Jul28 Jun04 (kintz matthe)CAMACHO SAMY 121 3.00 16% 5.40    
6  MYSTIC DREAMS Dec02 Sep17 Sep10 Aug06 Jul22 (mazza w)SUAREZ ANGEL 121 4.00 8% 11.20    
7  BAZZARINA Nov26 Aug29 Aug12 Jul29 Jan23 (mazza joseph )JIMENEZ MANNY 121 12.00    
8  WHEREDIDYOUGO Nov26 Oct07 Sep24 Sep15 Aug29 (werneth robert)GREEN AUBRIE 118 10.00    
9  THEUNCAPTUREDLADY Sep05 Aug17 Jul15 Jun25 Jun03 (o'connell k)SPANABEL SKYLER 121 15.00    
10  CUPIDS DREAM Apr13 Mar11 Feb16 Jan22   (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 118 20.00    
 
TAM-6   12/10/2022 4620ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IDEAL BREEZE Nov01 Oct05 Jul14 Jun27 Jun09 (guciardo k)ROWLAND MADELINE 124 12.00    
2  AMERICAN OF COURSE Oct15 Jul31 Jun12 May07 Apr08 (o'connell kath)CASTANON L 121 8.00 ★    
3  DON'T GET KHOZY Oct16 Sep10 Aug14 Jun24 May21 (dobles elizabe)REYES LEONEL 121 4.00 9% 10.20    
4  RESTOFTHESTORY Oct16 Sep10 Aug14 Jul15 May28 (plesa jr)CENTENO E 121 2.00 ★    
5  R ADIOS JERSEY May21 Apr23       (bennett )GALLARDO A 121 1.40 61% 0.70    
6  SASSY BEAST Apr16 Feb26 Jan20     (rodriguez ange)CAMACHO SAMY 121 10.00 ★    
 
TAM-7   12/10/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IRISH VALOR Oct28 Oct08 Oct02 Jul01 Jun11 (arnett g)LOZADA CARLOS 121 6.00 ★    
2  CAXAMBAS CANDY Nov20 Aug27 Jul29 Jul17 Jun11 (sweezey kent)SUAREZ ANGEL 121 12.00    
3  ROAN MOUNTAIN Sep29 Jul10 May27 May08 Apr08 (barboza victor)REYES LEONEL 121 8.00 16% 5.30    
4  CONFESSOR Sep03 Aug15 Jul29 May28 Apr08 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 121 2.00 30% 2.40    
SCR  OMATI Nov05 Sep15       (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 121 4.50    
6  TRULULU Oct05 Sep03       (machado anto)ARROYO S 118 12.00 6% 14.50    
7  MY MAN VITO Nov02 Oct19 Sep22 Jun17 May28 (rigattieri john)CENTENO E 120 4.50 16% 5.10    
8  RHUMJAR Oct22 Sep22 Aug12 Jul17 Jul01 (cruz jesus)CASTANON L 118 5.00    
 
TAM-8   12/10/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHISKEY PLANK Nov04 Oct08 Sep08 Aug17 Jul16 (cruz jesus)BATISTA A 121 2.50 23% 3.30    
2  DAMIR Sep14 Sep03 Aug20 Jul20   (cascallares )MENESES MARCOS 121 15.00    
3  JOJO'S DREAM May07 Jan12       (cintron juan )FLORES ADRIAN 121 20.00 12% 7.50    
4  MR. SARCASTIC Nov12 Oct22 Sep25 Aug27 Jun12 (richards renald)CENTENO E 121 5.00    
5  ON THE COUCH Sep30 Sep18 Aug20 Jul23 Jun04 (ryan s)CAMACHO SAMY 121 3.00 33% 2.00    
6  JAG Sep14 Sep05 Aug03 Jul14 Jul01 (lopez mario)SPANABEL SKYLER 121 20.00 5% 17.50    
7  CHAOS KID Sep28 Sep13 Aug22 Aug03 Jul20 (guciardo kat)BURGOS ALBERTO 121 30.00    
SCR  COMMODORE BARRY Oct20 Sep27 Sep15 Sep06 Aug17 (cooper thomas)MORALES PABLO 121 8.00    
9  SAVAGE (BRZ) Nov26 Oct05 Sep26 Aug31 Aug10 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 121 12.00    
10  ARTEMUS BRIDGE Nov14 Oct09 Sep30 Sep03 Aug06 (klesaris ste)ARROYO S 121 4.00 ★    
 
TAM-9   12/10/2022 4620ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3UP C/G PT- 4:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OCTANE (BRZ) Nov12 Oct16 Oct16 Sep17 Sep01 (david ca)GALLARDO A 122 6.00 ★    
2  JUSTICE WARRIOR Nov26 Oct30 Sep15 Sep03 Aug17 (rarick lynn)SPIETH S 121 30.00 ★    
3  SHIVAREE (GB) Oct01 Aug13 Jun12 May28 Apr02 (nicks e)CAMACHO SAMY 121 12.00    
4  GATSBY Oct01 Sep04 Aug13 Jul24 Jul02 (david carlos )MORALES PABLO 124 4.50 16% 5.20    
SCR  CATTIN Oct01 Aug28 Jul09 Apr30 Mar27 (nicks e)CENTENO E 119 8.00    
6  WILLY BOI Nov05 Jul30 Jul02 May28 Apr08 (delgado jorge)SUTHERLAND C 121 1.00 39% 1.60    
7  MORGAN POINT Oct01 Sep02 Aug13 Jul09 May26 (vinson john )BATISTA A 119 20.00    
8  NOBLE DRAMA Nov12 Oct01 Aug28 Jul31   (fawkes david)REYES LEONEL 124 5.00 21% 3.80    
 
TAM-10   12/10/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOTATAABEQ Nov25 Oct10 Sep07 Jul26 Jul20 (escobar alis)SUAREZ ANTHONY 121 4.50 6% 17.20    
2  BIG RED ROCKS Oct21 Sep17 Sep02 Jul30 Jul09 (wilson tony)CENTENO E 121 6.00    
3  CENTERFOLDPROSPECT Nov26 Oct21 Sep05 Jul09 May15 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 10.00    
4  BORGOBYTHESEA Nov25 Oct08 Sep01 Aug06 Jul17 (carrascojr )QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  STUNNING BABY Aug30 Aug17 Aug03 Jul18 Jun21 (tsirigotis j)BURGOS ALBERTO 121 30.00    
6  BIRD'S EYE VIEW Sep30 Sep18 Aug20 Jul23 Jun19 (dini mike)MORALES PABLO 121 3.00 43% 1.30    
7  UNLEVERAGED Aug20 Jul23 Jun19 Jun02 Apr22 (sweezey kent)SUAREZ ANGEL 121 6.00 19% 4.40    
8  SOUTH SEA Oct25 Sep28 Aug06 Jul22 Jun05 (rodrigue)GALLARDO A 121 8.00 7% 14.30    
9  MARV'S MAGIC Oct04 Sep23 Sep15 Aug17 Apr22 (granitz anthon)CAMACHO SAMY 121 4.50    
10  FLY FLY AWAY Nov25 Sep29 May07 Apr23 Mar30 (cahill ste)ROWLAND MADELINE 116 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.