Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Hawthorne
Sunday - October 23, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
HAW-1   10/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOWN CRIER Sep13 Aug27 Aug13 Jun07   (heinen h)COLON H 124 8.00 6% 15.50    
COAL TOWN ROAD Sep03 Aug06 Jul09 Jun19 Jun11 (robertson )LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 1.60 30% 2.30    
GRUMPA Oct02 Jul19 Jul05 Jun18 Jun03 (matthews doug)LOPEZ E 121 20.00    
SCR  THACKER FROMM Sep24 Sep09 Aug26 Aug13 Aug05 (burdess ter)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
SMOKEONTHEHORIZON Sep14 Aug18       (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 15.00    
KING ZION Oct07 Oct02 Jun17 Jun11 May28 (perez manny)RIVERA BRYAN 117 12.00    
WILDCAT HAGRID Oct02 Sep14 Sep03 Aug24 Jul27 (litfin nevada)BAILEY CHEL-C 124 15.00    
TRIPLE CHROME Oct02 Aug12 Jul23 Jul08 Jun11 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 121 1.20 39% 1.60    
 
HAW-2   10/23/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILVERA Oct02 Sep24 Sep07 Aug03 Jul13 (candelas bl)BARANDELA SOFIA 114 20.00    
DAIGLE Oct02 Sep07 Aug24 Aug06 Jul03 (rengstorf)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 3.50 9% 10.30    
ROMANTIC ATTACK Oct02 Jul12 May28 Apr19   (childers vance)BAIRD T 121 15.00    
LIZZ A BEE Oct08 Sep07 Aug28 Aug03 Jul13 (broberg k)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 2.50 26% 2.80    
NORTHERN ALLIANCE Oct02 Sep07 Aug03 Jul02 May28 (rodriguez hugo)FELIX E 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
ZANDREA'S Oct01 Aug27 Jun17 Jun03 May20 (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 121 20.00    
SHE B GLAMOROUS Oct02 Aug31 Aug03 Jun29 May21 (johns justi)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 4.50 12% 7.40    
LINDALOUIMAGE Sep30 Aug20 Jul22 Jun21 May24 (quinon)BAILON JADHIR 121 30.00    
RENTAL POOL Oct02 Sep07 Jun11     (robertson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 121 10.00    
10  LAUNCH AWAY Aug10 Jul09 Jun18 May21 May01 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 20.00    
SCR  LETS TAKE IT IZZY Sep30 Sep04 Jan15     (arnett g)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 20.00    
12  COME ON SWEET PEA Oct01 Sep01 Aug13 Jul16 Jun26 (rosin coty)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 8.00    
SCR  ANTALYA Oct10 Sep22 Aug24 Jun23   (granitz anthon)LEZCANO ABEL 121 3.00 27% 2.70    
 
HAW-3   10/23/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAP N TWINE Oct08 Sep19 Aug31 Aug08 Jul18 (ryan chris )BARANDELA SOFIA 114 15.00    
QUEEN EKATI Sep03 Aug02 Jul22 Jul09 Jun18 (mosier harold)ORTIZ ALVIN 121 12.00    
BELLS OF JOY Oct08 Aug13 Jul16 Jun25 Jun11 (reavis michael)RIVERA BRYAN 114 8.00 21% 3.80    
DOLLY'S LINE Sep23 Aug31 Aug20 Jul22 Jun28 (manley steve)BAIRD T 121 1.00 24% 3.20    
HARD LIKE HOLLY Aug18 Aug10 Jul16 Jun25 Jun17 (hughes w)COLON H 118 10.00 8% 11.70    
HEY MA Oct08 Sep24 Jul16 Jun25 Jun11 (reyes martin)REYES ANGEL 118 15.00    
DELTA LADY (CHI) Sep23 Aug13 Aug02 Jul15 Jul01 (delong be)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 6.00 17% 4.90    
BOOZIN AT BOZOS Oct08 Sep07 Aug25 Jul07 Jun19 (riecken bru)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 5.00    
 
HAW-4   10/23/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WICKED GOOD Aug29 Aug18 Jul20 Apr01   (granitz j)MOJICA O 121 15.00 5% 18.30    
UNION PARK GAL (IRE) Sep29 Aug31 Aug22 Jun25 Jun10 (haran )BAILON JADHIR 121 8.00 18% 4.60    
GREEN BANANAS Sep30 Sep16       (manley steve)BAIRD T 118 12.00    
STACY ATTACK Oct08 Jun25 Jun04 May07 Apr24 (watkins m)FELIX E 121 4.50    
RUNNERS HEAT Sep23 Sep08 Aug21 Aug14 Jul28 (wilson shar)BARANDELA SOFIA 111 5.00    
MEDWAY QUEEN Sep19 Aug31 Aug17 Aug06 Jul12 (silva carl)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 3.00 19% 4.20    
FRIEND Oct08 Sep24 Sep03 Aug20 Aug06 (hernandez javi)COLON H 118 6.00    
READY AT MIDNIGHT Aug17 Jun25 Jun10 May13 Mar25 (young r)EMIGH A 121 4.00 32% 2.10    
 
HAW-5   10/23/2022 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MO CLARE'S Sep07 Aug09 Jul11 May28   (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 2.50 20% 4.10    
VEZPA (BRZ) Sep22 May19 Apr24     (lobo paulo )SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 6.00 7% 12.80    
HOT DAME Sep30 Aug06 Jul08 Jun24 May28 (hernandez)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 15.00    
WAVE OF GOODNESS Sep24 Jun03 May20 Apr23 Apr10 (hernandez armando)MOJICA O 121 12.00    
MORRIE'S JOY Aug04 Jul17 Jun17 May28 May06 (miller r)BAIRD T 121 10.00    
TIMELESS ROSE Oct13 Sep22 Aug24 Aug03 Jul09 (granitz anthon)LEZCANO ABEL 121 5.00 10% 8.90    
RUSSIAN MAFIA Sep24 Sep01 Jul17 Jun18 Mar26 (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 121 10.00    
SEAWARD Oct14 Sep24 Sep13 Aug19 Jul23 (hernandez javi)COLON H 121 8.00    
KATIE M'LADY Oct08         (boyce michele)FELIX E 121 3.00 43% 1.30    
 
HAW-6   10/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAUREENLOVESFRANK Sep24 Sep05 Jul10 May30 Apr30 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 1.60 23% 3.30    
HONEY MUG Sep24 Aug19 May15 Apr30 Apr09 (hernandez armando)MOJICA O 121 4.50 16% 5.10    
AVASARALA Sep24 Jun24 Jun10 May27 May08 (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 5.00    
SCR  I DON'T WANT TO GO Sep25 Jun25 Jun11     (meraz antonio)RIVERA BRYAN 114 12.00    
I THINK I KNOW YOU Oct01 Aug26 Aug13 Jul22 Jun24 (tracy tanner)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 15.00    
LONG TALL WOMAN Oct09 Sep25 Aug08 Jun24 Jun04 (hernandez)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 2.50 37% 1.70    
MORNING LINE NEWS Sep16 Sep02 Aug23 Aug09 Jul30 (hernandez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 118 30.00    
 
HAW-7   10/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KIERKEGAARD Oct01 Sep17 Sep07 Aug20 Aug03 (broberg k)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 6.00 10% 8.70    
SWISHAWISH Oct02 Sep14 Aug16 Jan16   (coontz art)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 8.00    
GAME BOY BENNY Oct01 Aug28 Jul06 Apr27 Mar10 (winebaugh cheryl)BAIRD T 121 6.00 12% 7.30    
CLASSIC BET Sep23 Sep12 Aug19 Jul31   (arnett g)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 10.00    
SCR  CINDY'S G MAN Oct02 Jun04 May01 Apr02 Jan22 (watkins m)FELIX E 118 15.00    
COURTHOUSE COVE Oct01 Aug20 Jul29 Jul08 Jun03 (plasters lo)SANTIAGO VICTOR 118 4.00    
BEEALEA Oct01 Aug25       (boyce mic)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 4.50    
COMISKEY PARK Oct01 Aug25 Jul30 Jul16 Jun18 (hernandez armando)MOJICA O 121 2.50 52% 0.90    
 
HAW-8   10/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POSITIONDUMONI Oct01 Sep08       (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 30.00    
BERAVINA Sep17 Jul30 Jul02 May15 Apr08 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 121 2.50 21% 3.90    
WILDWOOD GHALY         (becker scott)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 6.00    
SCR  LUCY JANE Oct01 Feb11 Jan14     (vanden britt)FELIX E 121 5.00    
CRYSTAL SNOW Oct07         (cristel j)LOPEZ E 121 30.00    
BELPERRON Aug07 Jul16       (manley st)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 15.00    
BAILOUT KELA Oct01 Sep10 Aug27 Jul28 Jun22 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 4.00 30% 2.30    
YANKEE AGATE         (miller davi)BARANDELA SOFIA 117 10.00 7% 12.60    
WILDWOOD BYE Oct01         (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 4.50 12% 7.70    
SCR  KISS N BIZ Oct01 Sep05       (spagnola ida)LEZCANO ABEL 121 12.00 9% 10.40    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.