Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Saturday - October 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   10/22/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUXTERHOOTER Aug14 Jul27 Jul17 Jul04 Jun15 (broberg k)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 4.00 21% 3.80    
2  PRIVATE LAKE Sep30 Aug01 Jul15 Jun13 May30 (arnett g)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 2.00 29% 2.50    
3  STAGE DOOR Oct02 Sep25 Aug29 Aug22 Jul30 (arnett jon )QUINONEZ ALONSO 124 4.50    
4  MY BOBBY MCGEE Oct01 Sep12 Aug20 Aug08 Jul10 (broberg karl)BAIRD T 121 3.00    
5  GOLDENPENCE Aug12 Jul19 Jul08 Jun18 Jun04 (cook brian)BARANDELA SOFIA 114 15.00 16% 5.40    
6  FEELING DANGEROUS Oct14 Sep30 Aug05 Jul17 Jun04 (rodriguez ed)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 8.00 ★    
7  DOM CAETANO (ARG) Oct07 Jul16 Jun18 May28 May07 (matthews doug)LOPEZ E 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
HAW-2   10/22/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($17.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUKE ATTACK Sep24 Aug30 Aug16 Jul15 Jun28 (childers vance)ORTIZ ALVIN 124 30.00    
2  STORM BORN Sep25 Aug16 Jul08     (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 120 6.00 ★    
SCR  OFFICER NICK Sep25 Jul16 Jun24 Jun05 May03 (rodriguez eduardo)FELIX E 120 8.00    
4  HARMON KILLER BREW Sep17 Aug25 Jul27 Mar03 Feb11 (rengstorf to)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
5  HURTS SO BAD Oct02 Sep15 Aug25 Aug10 Jul07 (meraz antonio)RIVERA BRYAN 113 5.00 9% 10.60    
6  STORM'S REFLECTION Oct07 Sep14 Aug25 Aug10   (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 124 6.00    
7  JACKPOT BOY Mar17 Feb26       (perez man)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 30.00    
8  MEET GEORGE JETSON Sep29 Aug12 Jun25 Jun12 May22 (tracy tann)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 20.00    
9  OPTION Oct07 Sep17 Aug21 Aug03 Jul14 (berndt joel)COLON H 124 8.00    
10  MICHAEL GEORGE Oct09         (hernandez)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 30.00    
11  KEEN RESPONSE Sep04 Aug21 Jun18     (johns jus)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 120 15.00    
12  MONSTERONTHEMIDWAY         (block chris)MOJICA O 120 4.50 15% 5.70    
13  JEALOUS EYES Oct03         (winebaugh chery)REYES ANGEL 124 3.50 49% 1.00    
SCR  SCOTCH NO ROCKS Oct12 Aug30 Aug05 Jul10 Jun11 (roberson de)BARANDELA SOFIA 113 10.00    
 
HAW-3   10/22/2022 4290ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GO MADI GO Sep13 Aug23 Aug09 Jul12 Jun25 (plasters lo)SANTIAGO VICTOR 116 20.00    
2  PURR SEA Oct08 Sep24 Aug30 Aug03 Jun28 (boyce mic)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 2.50 9% 10.20    
3  DANCIN AT MIDNIGHT Sep17 Sep03 Aug06 Jul12 Jun28 (manley steve)BAIRD T 122 4.50 13% 6.80    
4  OEUVRE Oct02 Sep13 Jul27 Jun24 Jun11 (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 1.60 58% 0.70    
5  WHITE LIES Oct08 Aug04 Jul10 Jun11 May27 (miller patt)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 6.00 ★    
6  IGGY BIGS Sep06 Aug09 Jun25 May28 May07 (hernandez armando)MOJICA O 118 20.00    
SCR  STOPSHOPPINGAMY Jul22 Jun28 Jun11 May28 May07 (hernandez ar)TAVARES JAVIER 118 10.00 ★    
 
HAW-4   10/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 2 ALL PT- 5:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED BIRD Sep06 Aug09       (retana ga)ULLOA JOAN 122 8.00    
2  CELEBRATING HAL Sep22 Sep06       (martin da)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 4.50 19% 4.20    
3  COFFEE CALIENTE Sep17 Aug21 Jul16     (rosin w)MOJICA O 122 2.50 29% 2.40    
4  NORMANDY ANGEL Oct01 Jun11       (reyes martin)REYES ANGEL 122 20.00    
5  SNOWMOBILE         (perez man)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 15.00 ★    
6  MOON CONNECTION         (litfin nevada)BAILEY CHEL-C 122 8.00    
7  TAHOE RUN         (robertson )LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.00 26% 2.90    
8  INDIO GUAPO Oct01 Jun11       (reyes martin)TAVARES JAVIER 122 12.00    
9  LINE TO GAIN Sep17         (litfin nevad)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
HAW-5   10/22/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MORE ROMANCE Sep29 Sep16 Aug03 Jul14 May13 (scherer gary)MOJICA O 121 4.00 12% 7.00    
2  ALQWANI Oct08 Sep04 Aug04 Jul10 Mar07 (padilla t)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 3.00 ★    
3  LOCK IT DOWN Sep14 Aug04 Jun03     (berndt joel)SANTIAGO VICTOR 117 4.50 9% 9.60    
4  MOON PIES IMAGE Sep16 Sep02 Aug12 Jul30 Jul12 (essenp)BAILON JADHIR 117 15.00    
5  FOXGLOVE Aug28 Jul31 Jun30 Jun09 Apr15 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 6.00 17% 4.90    
6  VERKLIMT Sep29 Jun17 May19 Apr27 Mar27 (divito jam)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 2.50 30% 2.30    
7  DRAGONFLY KISSES Sep16 Sep03 Aug19 Aug06 Jul22 (pompell robe)TAVARES JAVIER 117 12.00    
 
HAW-6   10/22/2022 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AZRAEL Jul01 Jun24 May24 May10 Apr26 (bahena fernand)LEZCANO ABEL 121 8.00 8% 10.80    
2  STAR OF KODIAK Oct02 Jul21 Jun21 May31   (quinonez ma)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 1.80 38% 1.60    
3  TUFF ATTACK Oct07 Jun03 May27 May01 Apr16 (childers )ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 6.00 9% 9.90    
4  STALLONE Oct02 Sep16 Aug30 Aug16 Jul16 (retana gabe)FELIX E 121 5.00    
5  JOLTING JOE Aug02 Jun24 Jun10 May21 May01 (cook brian)BARANDELA SOFIA 114 15.00    
6  SIERRA HOTEL Oct08 Sep23 Sep17 Sep07 Aug27 (rodriguez eduardo)MOJICA O 121 4.50 14% 5.90    
7  MAJESTIC ATTACK Oct02 Aug27 Jun04 May21 Apr23 (childers vance)BAIRD T 118 20.00    
8  MIDNIGHT BLUE NOTE Oct02 Aug13 Jun26 Jun04 May15 (rodriguez)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 10.00 ★    
9  LAKE MILLS Oct02 Aug19 Aug05 Jul22 Jun24 (kirby frank )TAVARES JAVIER 121 15.00    
 
HAW-7   10/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KHOZIE'S GHOST Aug20 Jun24 May24 May03   (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 1.80 53% 0.90    
2  CHAMPAGNE BLING Aug15 Aug05 Jul16 Jul02 May28 (arnett g)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 12.00    
3  FOGGY KITTEN Oct09 Sep20 Sep02 Aug19 Aug05 (watkins m)FELIX E 121 5.00 ★    
4  VOODAYO Sep09 Aug21 Aug14 Jul24 Jul03 (arnett jon)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 8.00    
5  GO STORMIN GIRL Sep24 Jul19 Jul08 Jun24 Jun10 (cook brian)BAIRD T 121 4.50 ★    
6  JOLIE RULER Oct09 Sep13 Aug30 Aug09 Jul12 (quinon)BAILON JADHIR 121 10.00    
7  SWEET CONFUSION Oct07 Sep23 Aug19 Jul24 Jul03 (randazzo fra)TAVARES JAVIER 124 15.00    
8  BIRDIE BE GONE Sep03 Jul28 Jun19 Jun05   (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 6.00 12% 7.60    
9  OWEN'S PLEASURE Sep25 Sep10 Aug27 Jul10 Jun08 (martinez ralph )ORTIZ ALVIN 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
HAW-8   10/22/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEMINOLE BEACH Oct07 Sep20 Sep06 Aug16 Jul29 (randazzo frank)COLON H 121 4.00 12% 7.60    
2  PINEDALE Oct07 Aug05 Jul30 Jun17 May27 (rodriguez jo)TAVARES JAVIER 117 5.00    
3  CAMARGO (IRE) Sep24 Sep03 Aug12 Jul09 Jun24 (manley steve)BAIRD T 117 10.00 10% 9.30    
4  SNOOZER Sep24 Sep10 Aug27 Aug06 Jul29 (essenp)BAILON JADHIR 117 12.00    
5  MILLARD'S SMILE Sep24 Sep06 Aug16 Jun24 Apr07 (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 117 3.50 34% 2.00    
6  AMANI'S EAGLE Sep24 Jul22 Jun24 Jun10 Mar31 (rodriguez)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 4.50 22% 3.40    
7  MACHINEGUNPREACHER Oct07 Aug27 Jul22 Jul02 May16 (arnett jon )QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 2.50 ★    
 
HAW-9   10/22/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COPPER CROSSING Oct07 Sep16 Sep02 Aug20 Aug06 (pompell ro)MOLINA F 121 20.00    
2  KNIEVEL Oct07 Sep15 Aug24 Jul31 Jul10 (litfin nevada)MOJICA O 121 3.00 11% 8.50    
3  BETTER THINK TWICE Oct07 Aug24 Aug02 Jun25 Jun10 (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 3.50 43% 1.30    
4  RECKLESSNESS Sep29 Sep14 Aug15 Jul14 Jun21 (mason ingrid)BAILEY CHEL-C 121 12.00    
5  BEHAVIN MYSELF Oct01 Sep15 Aug31 Aug13 Jul30 (rengstorf t)BARANDELA SOFIA 117 4.50 ★    
6  EGOMANIAC Oct07 Sep14 Aug15 Jul20 Jun28 (mason ingrid)LEZCANO ABEL 121 6.00    
7  FEEDING FRENZY Oct07 Sep15 Aug27 Aug18 Jul14 (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 4.00 25% 2.90    
8  COOL CAT CHARLIE Oct02 Sep19 Aug22 Aug08 Jul10 (arnett jon )QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 10.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.