Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Laurel Park
Saturday - October 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRL-1   10/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MORETHANICANHANDLE Aug21 Jul17 Jun26 May29   (breen kel)CARRASCO R 123 15.00    
2  UNDER FIRE Jun17 May28 Apr08 Mar06 Jan30 (eppler m)RODRIGUEZ A 115 30.00    
3  THE MAN TO SEE Jul15 Jun04       (gaudet lacey)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 6.00    
4  ON THE ENGINE Sep25 Aug12 Jul22 Jul01 Jun11 (dilodovico da)KARAMANOS A 122 4.00    
SCR  SOROLLA Sep25 Aug30 Aug05 Jul16   (milosevic mila)BOYCE FOREST 122 10.00    
6  STIMULUS MAKER Sep25 Aug24 Jul28 Jul02 Jun05 (mcmahon i)CRUZ ANGEL 126 4.50 9% 10.40    
7  KID BOURBON Sep25 Aug23 Jul20 Jun28 Jun07 (klesaris rob)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 8.00 12% 7.20    
SCR  LUKIE DOOKIE Aug17 Jul31 Jun16 May26   (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 3.50 30% 2.40    
9  FREDISATEN Sep07 Aug23 Jul13     (nuesch patrick)ACOSTA D 126 6.00 22% 3.40    
SCR  A LOT LIKE XMAS Sep25 Aug31 Aug10 Jul13 Jun25 (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 123 12.00    
11  MIDNIGHT TEQUILA Sep30 Aug31 Aug15 Jul12 Jun25 (mcmahon tho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 10.00    
SCR  BOARD CERTIFIED Sep19 Aug21 Jun25 May30 May03 (duarte jr)NO RIDER 123 4.50 5% 19.00    
13  CURLIN LANE Oct05 Sep21 Jun24 May14   (padilla-p)VARGAS A 122 20.00    
SCR  AZURE SKY Sep22 Sep07 Aug08 Jul26 Jun11 (mcgoey monica)ALVELO C 123 20.00    
SCR  SEBARAY Oct07 Aug20 Jul29 Jun12 Apr26 (handal raym)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 5.00    
SCR  JACKSON MAN Sep29 Sep09 Aug11 May18 Apr16 (harrison glen)SIMPSON JASON 126 20.00    
 
LRL-2   10/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPRITZER Sep30 Sep06 Aug30 Aug17 Aug02 (kee willie)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  ICY MINISTER Sep07 Jul22 Jul04 Jun11 May13 (smith hamilt)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 5.00    
3  DIVINE LAW Sep10 Aug14 Jul15     (trombett)RODRIGUEZ A 116 8.00    
4  MYSTIFIED Sep21 Aug29 Aug12 Jul17 Jun24 (follett norman)BOYCE FOREST 123 3.50 30% 2.30    
5  EL SEGUNDO Sep25 Aug21 Aug07 Apr20 Mar24 (toner jam)CARRASCO R 126 5.00 ★    
6  MUGSY MALONE Sep18 Aug21 Aug05 Jul16 Jun24 (d'angelo jose)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 3.50 35% 1.90    
7  ITS OVER Oct08 Sep18 Sep01 Aug15 Jul04 (gonzalez claudio)ACOSTA D 123 2.50 12% 7.60    
 
LRL-3   10/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 35 ALL PT- 1:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREYSHOTT Oct01 Jul21       (yovanovich)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RECLUSE Sep21 Aug22 Aug02     (preciado guada)BOYCE FOREST 119 8.00    
SCR  JUNGLHERLY LOVE Sep13 Aug29       (milian carlos )ROSADO JOHAN 123 15.00    
4  HE ROLLS Sep17 Aug27 Aug14 Jul16 Jul03 (dove ke)ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 10.00    
5  NORTHERN TICK TOCK Sep23 Sep11 Aug20     (figgins oll)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 12.00    
SCR  DRAKON Aug24 Jul24 Jun11     (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 3.50 ★    
SCR  ALOGON Feb20 Jan02       (allard edwar)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 20.00    
SCR  BLAME B B Sep07 Aug23 Aug01 Jul03 May20 (aguirre antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 4.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  LUNAR DASH Aug17 Jul30 Jul15 Jun25 Jun04 (capuano dale)RUIZ JORGE 123 3.00 58% 0.70    
10  CRIMSON ROCKET Sep23 Sep10 Aug19 Jun24 Jun03 (magee kieron)KARAMANOS A 119 5.00 9% 10.30    
 
LRL-4   10/15/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOTTOWAY Sep23 Apr29       (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 123 6.00 24% 3.10    
2  ZAEVION Sep14 Jul09 Jun04 May19 Apr24 (padilla-p)VARGAS A 123 5.00 12% 7.30    
3  FAST BREAKIN CASH Sep10 Aug06 Jul13 Jun01 Mar19 (ness jamie)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 2.00 ★    
4  ASKIN FOR A BASKIN Oct07 Sep18 Sep02 Aug13 Aug06 (sanchez-salo)BATISTA A 119 4.00    
5  GIRLS LOVE ME         (parram derr)CORUJO LEONARDO 119 6.00 28% 2.60    
6  UNCLE JEROME Sep30 Aug27 Aug06 Jul07 Jun24 (gonzalez )CARRASCO R 126 8.00    
SCR  GHOST GAME Sep18 Aug20 Aug06 Jul10 Jun19 (meister wil)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 126 3.50 11% 8.50    
 
LRL-5   10/15/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TOM TERRIFIC Oct02 Sep07 Aug18 Jul23 Jul09 (albert l)PEREZ XAVIER 123 15.00    
2  MOJAC KAT Sep23 Sep03 Aug15 Aug01 Jul02 (delgado jorge)RUIZ JORGE 126 2.00 22% 3.60    
3  BOONDOGGLE Oct02 Sep16 Sep03 Aug12 Jul18 (maldonad)RODRIGUEZ A 119 8.00    
4  WALL Sep23 Sep09 Aug26 Aug10 Jul23 (nazario ped)CHATRIE E 116 8.00 10% 8.90    
5  EXCALIBUR Sep25 Sep10 Aug13 Jul29 Jul03 (dove ke)ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 20.00 7% 13.50    
6  DRIVE BY LAYOVER Oct01 Aug28 Aug13 Jul23 Jun19 (capuano dale)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 4.50 21% 3.70    
7  ANTIPOISON Oct08 Sep23 Aug12 Jul23 Jul08 (sanchez-salomon)GARCIA LUIS 123 8.00    
8  SO LONG CHUCK Sep16 Sep02 Jul22     (d'angelo jose)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 4.50 19% 4.20    
9  HIGH PRINT Sep25 Sep17 Aug20 Jul23 Jul04 (dove jr)HESS SARA 113 15.00    
SCR  HAIR OF THE DOG Sep25 Aug28 Aug13 Jul23 Jul10 (aguirre an)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 119 15.00    
 
LRL-6   10/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BRYCE CANYON Sep05 Jul17 Jun16 Apr30 Mar27 (toner jam)CARRASCO R 123 6.00    
2  SUPER E Sep17 Aug30 Aug13 Jul19 Jul01 (smith hamilt)BARBOSA JEIRON 114 6.00    
3  ROYAL SPY Sep25 Sep11 Aug26 Jul30 Jul15 (albert )ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 20.00    
SCR  RECONVENE Sep18 Sep03 Aug19 Jun26 May29 (breen j)KARAMANOS A 119 3.00 6% 14.50    
5  GALLANT GOLD Sep02 Aug20 Aug06 Jul09 Jun11 (salzman joh)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 10.00    
SCR  JASONTAKESLONG Aug27 Jun24 May27 May06 Apr09 (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 10.00    
SCR  JOE PHILLIPS Oct05 Aug31 Aug17 Jun25 Jun02 (raven kerri)ACOSTA D 123 4.50 20% 4.00    
SCR  SPEAK UNITY Oct01 Sep21 Sep09 Aug06 Jul23 (ness jamie)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 2.50 49% 1.00    
9  BURGEE Sep14 Aug12 Jul08 Jun25 May15 (trombetta mich)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 5.00    
SCR  JUST DEAL WITH IT Sep11 Aug23 Aug11 Jul15   (parra hernan)HADDOCK DEXTER 119 15.00    
SCR  STREET LAMP Sep25 Sep15 Aug12 Aug03 Jul22 (sillaman ri)GLASER LAURALEA 116 8.00    
SCR  SPOTTED CAT Oct07 Sep14 Aug24 Jul12   (castro jeremias)RUIZ JORGE 120 15.00    
SCR  DOWN COLD Aug02 Jun08 May17 Apr27 Mar23 (mcmahon i)CRUZ ANGEL 120 4.00 ★    
SCR  SIR TERRE Sep30 Sep17 Sep05 Aug17 Jul29 (parra her)CARRASCO R 119 4.50 ★    
 
LRL-7   10/15/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 35 ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRATEGIC (AUS) Aug13 Jul04 Jun04     (dilodovico d)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 2.00 ★    
2  ESPRESSO LUNGO Oct02 Aug14 Jul15 Jun25 May28 (salazar marco)ACOSTA D 123 6.00 ★    
3  GOOD KNIGHT NILE         (milosevic m)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 15.00    
4  NOTIMELIKEPRESENT Sep11         (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 123 6.00    
5  WONDER WATER Sep29 Aug30 Aug19 Aug06 Jul16 (sillaman richard)CRUZ ANGEL 123 2.50 8% 11.30    
6  IMAGINE IT ALL Sep09 Aug27 Aug07 Jul15 Jun04 (capuano dale)RUIZ JORGE 123 3.50 66% 0.50    
7  QUINCANNON Aug06 Jul15 Jun24 Jun10 May19 (cooney susa)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 12.00 ★    
 
LRL-8   10/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ROBEY'S BOY Aug20 Jul02 Mar05 Jan21   (hill david)BOYCE FOREST 123 20.00    
2  ETCHED IN STONE Aug24 Jul11 Jun17 Feb04   (feliciano m)RUIZ JORGE 123 6.00 ★    
3  QUICK TEMPO Oct06 Sep10 Aug08 Jul01 Jun04 (magee kieron)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 4.50 56% 0.80    
SCR  ALGEBRAIC Sep18 Aug28 Aug13 Jul16 Jun24 (howard david )ALVELO C 119 15.00    
SCR  BACKWOODS BOOGIE Aug31 Aug10 Jul11 Jun25 May19 (eppler m)RODRIGUEZ A 112 6.00 13% 6.90    
6  IMPERIAL KING Sep28 Sep06 Aug03 Jul21 Jun24 (lawrence )CARRASCO R 123 8.00    
SCR  SILARDI Aug20 Apr01 Mar06 Jan30 Jan02 (runco c)GOMEZ KEVIN 123 3.50    
8  BILLINGSGATE Oct02 Sep11 Aug20 Aug02 Jul15 (magana jose )BARBOSA JEIRON 114 20.00    
SCR  KINGPIN Aug17 Jun29 May22     (stidham mic)RUSSELL SHELDON 126 4.00 5% 17.30    
10  CHARGE TO VICTORY Sep18 Aug26 Jul06 Jun05 May20 (mancilla carlos )RUIZ JORGE 126 4.50    
SCR  FILIGREE Sep23 Aug29 Aug17 Jun24   (nixon justin)KARAMANOS A 123 12.00    
SCR  SOUTH SEA Sep28 Aug06 Jul22 Jun05 May17 (rodriguez darien)ACOSTA D 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRL-9   10/15/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($29K) 2 ALL PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOPE HE'S FAST Sep04         (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 122 2.00 25% 3.00    
2  RASCALLY REBEL Sep30 Aug29 Jul28 Jul01   (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 118 6.00    
3  SOUTHERN LAD Oct02 Sep11 Jun16     (leaf robert)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 15.00    
SCR  SLINGSHOT BOY Oct13 Sep08       (allard t)CRUZ ANGEL 122 10.00 ★    
5  WORLD FACTOR         (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 3.00 40% 1.50    
6  OVER THE BORDER Sep30 Aug29       (allen ferri)ALVELO C 122 5.00 ★    
7  PLAYER BOY         (mcmahon hugh)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 4.50 14% 6.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.