Handicappers' Racing Form

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Penn National
Wednesday - October 05, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
PEN-1   10/05/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEAUTIFUL TIZ Sep14 Aug20 Aug06 Jul13 Jul01 (machado ant)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 8.00 28% 2.50    
ARCTICA Sep16 Aug26 Aug10 Jul20 Jun22 (flores wand)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.00    
LAUGH IT OFF Sep14 Aug10 Jul15 Jun23 Jun15 (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 124 1.60    
MONIQUES DAREDEVIL Sep14 Aug20 Aug06 Jul16 Jan29 (machado ant)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50 41% 1.40    
WICKED T Sep16 Sep08 Jul06 Jun22 Jun03 (bobadilla f)CORA D 120 5.00    
RIDGELYSREDHOT Sep16 Aug11 Jul06 Jun03 May20 (salinas jose)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 10.00    
 
PEN-2   10/05/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GALILEO'S AFFAIR Sep19 Aug26 Aug12 Jul13 Jun29 (santaella-calder)TORRES JOMAR 122 5.00 10% 9.40    
MIKEY'S JEWEL Sep16 Aug31 Aug03 Jul06 Jun29 (salinas jose)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 8.00    
SLEEPY N JOYFUL Sep16 Aug05 Jul01 Jun09 May07 (salinas jose)AGUILAR M 122 12.00 6% 14.50    
LONDONDERRY Aug30 Jul27 Jul13 Jun13 May16 (linder jr)OCASIO M 122 6.00    
CAR LADY Sep16 Aug20 Aug06 Jul01 Jun02 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 124 2.00 25% 3.10    
WILL TAKE ROSES Sep15 Aug31 Aug03 Jul14 Jun29 (kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 37% 1.70    
TALENTED TAPPER Sep23 Sep08 Aug31 Aug10 Jul08 (harigeorgiou ko)TUNON JORDANO 120 10.00    
 
PEN-3   10/05/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TORAZO Sep15 Sep01 Aug04 Jul07 Jun09 (o'callahan )VARGAS L 124 15.00 7% 13.60    
MINE TO HOLD Sep09 Aug25 Jul22 Jun17 May21 (synnefias panagi)CONNER TYLER 124 5.00 21% 3.70    
AMERICAN FLEET Sep26 Sep05 Aug29 Aug11 Jul11 (santaella-calder)TORRES JOMAR 124 15.00    
FOR THE MOMENT Sep09 Aug25 Aug11 Jul22 Jun22 (smith r)LEAHEY HANNAH 117 10.00    
DEVOTED KITTEN Sep01 Aug21 Jul09 Jun11 Apr23 (maymo j)AGUILAR M 124 2.00 26% 2.90    
VISHNU Sep22 Aug31 Aug12 Jul22 Jul07 (ferreira fernando)CHIAPPE R 124 3.00    
SCR  MEROCKETMAN Aug25 Aug11 Jul14 Jun22 May25 (shuchman allan)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 6.00 24% 3.20    
ESPRESSO CALIENTE Aug11 Jul22 Jul07 Jun17 Apr06 (kravets bruce )VILLEGAS JERRY 124 8.00    
 
PEN-4   10/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HERE'S WALDO Sep07 Jul27 Jun14 May19 Apr29 (sinnefia paulina)CONNER TYLER 120 4.00    
BOYS OF QUEENS Sep09 Jul27 Jun30 Jun10 May11 (moreno-barban )VILLEGAS JERRY 120 8.00    
SUNSHINE MAX Sep09 Aug24 Aug04 Jul27 Jun30 (kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 59% 0.70    
TRADERS LUCK Sep09 Jul27 Jun30 Jun10   (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 1.80 15% 5.90    
ECLIPTICALS ELLIOT Jul27 Jun30 Jun22 Jun03 May25 (stites w)AGUILAR M 120 4.00    
 
PEN-5   10/05/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HANFORD Sep08 Jul25 Jul15 Jun16 May26 (bennett juanita)CONNER TYLER 124 10.00 10% 8.80    
LA PAZ Sep08 Aug18       (smith r)LEAHEY HANNAH 116 8.00 27% 2.70    
BAILEY COFFEE Aug31         (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 123 2.00 38% 1.60    
SCR  SKIMBLE SHANKS Sep08 Aug17 Jul28 Jul15 Jul01 (beattie d)WHITNEY G 123 12.00    
JUSTICEOFTHEPEACE Apr29 Mar15       (lynch cathal)SUAREZ ANGEL 123 6.00    
JONNY QUIST Sep21 Sep10 Aug31 Aug20 Jul20 (bedard alan)WOLFSONT ANDREW 123 4.00    
SCR  KAZ MUNNINGS Jun01         (synnefias d)VARGAS L 123 3.00    
 
PEN-6   10/05/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 2 F PT- 8:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAZARD         (schoenthal )RODRIGUEZ R 120 5.00 5% 18.80    
SCR  ECENIA Sep21         (salvaggio mark )LEAHEY HANNAH 113 12.00    
HOP TO A DECISION Sep15         (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 1.80 41% 1.50    
ROSE OF SHANAKILL Sep21 Aug22 Aug11 Jul27   (albright r)AGUILAR M 120 15.00    
PENNIES PRINCESS Sep21         (sarson b)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 10.00    
HOWMUCHAREYOUWORTH Sep13         (wyner harold)OCASIO M 120 3.00 33% 2.00    
OUTSPEND Aug11 Jul27       (agnew naois)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.00    
 
PEN-7   10/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPUNKY ZOEY Aug18 Aug05 Jul20 Jun24 Jun01 (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.50 41% 1.40    
SCR  JACK'S LILLY Aug17 Aug03       (farrior anthony)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 4.00 7% 12.80    
SCOREBOARD LILY Sep16 Aug18 Jul20     (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 123 1.60 26% 2.90    
SCR  I'M GETTIN LUCKY         (stites w)AGUILAR M 123 8.00    
MYRA FLEENER Sep14 Sep03 Aug18 Aug05 Jul20 (maymo j)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 6.00    
SCR  MIMI'S GOLD         (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 123 8.00    
 
PEN-8   10/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUSCIOUS LOLA Sep21 Sep02 Aug05 Jul07 Jun11 (graci kimbe)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.00 23% 3.40    
FAIRY DUST Sep09 Aug19 Jul21 Jul07 Jun16 (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  VEIL Sep21 Aug19 Jul22 Jun18 May22 (delgado )ROJAS EDUARDO 122 2.50 40% 1.50    
COUNTESS SHANAKILL Sep21 Aug12 Jul13 Jun16 May25 (albright r)AGUILAR M 122 15.00    
MAGICALLYDELICIOUS Sep07 Jun16 May25 Apr29 Mar23 (kravets bruce )VILLEGAS JERRY 122 4.00    
SCR  MAD MARY Sep21 Sep07 Aug19 Jul21 Jun29 (o'callahan carl)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 12.00    
SCR  RAECHEL'S RISK Aug31 Aug05 Jul13 Jun16   (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 122 6.00 10% 9.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.