Handicappers' Racing Form

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Penn National
Wednesday - September 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
PEN-1   09/21/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 YIELDING Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUSIKIN Sep01 Aug19 Jun02 May06 Apr06 (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 120 15.00    
LA VIEXA Jun17 Mar13 Feb13 Jan23   (barboza vic)HERNANDEZ A 118 6.00 9% 10.60    
MISS MORENO Sep03 Aug15 Aug08 Jun24 Jun04 (allen ferris)ALVELO C 120 8.00 12% 7.10    
FILLMORE EAST Aug31 Aug19 Jul01 Jun10 May26 (d'angelo jose)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124 2.00 15% 5.90    
MOON CHANT Aug31 Aug19 Aug03 Jul06 Jun24 (kulp l)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00    
LADY BREXIT Aug11 Jul27 Jun11 May16 Apr12 (pattershal)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 8.00    
STRONG GEM Aug31 Aug19 Aug01 Jul08 Jun19 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 37% 1.70    
 
PEN-2   09/21/2022 5490ft TURF RC0 YIELDING Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MELODIA Aug05 Jul15 Jul01 May27 May07 (zalalas mic)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00    
MYSTERY ITEM Aug18 Jun15 Jun02 Apr21   (kravets bru)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00    
SCR  SKY OF DREAMS Aug05 Jul01 Jun11 May27 May12 (kreiser c)AGUILAR M 120 3.00 38% 1.60    
LOOP THE LOOP Aug31 Aug19 Aug05 Jul15 Jul01 (shea lydee)CORA D 120 20.00    
CALL ON CLARA Sep02 Aug19 Aug03 Jul13 Jun15 (reck christoph)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 4.00 6% 16.30    
PAGEANT PRINCESS Aug26 Jul09 May31 Apr11 Mar01 (crook-demasi )WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 2.00 12% 7.50    
OH SO JAZZY Sep14 Aug26 Aug05 Jul15 Jul01 (nunley randy)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 30.00    
WHITE LILACS Aug23 Jul05 Jun15 Apr29 Mar19 (pino v)HERNANDEZ ANDY 113 1.80 21% 3.70    
 
PEN-3   09/21/2022 3300ft TURF RC0 YIELDING Starter Allowance ($6.25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NITRO TIME Aug31 Aug10 Jul21 Jun21 Apr08 (santillana frank)CORA D 124 3.00    
HELLO'NDUBAI Aug25 Aug10       (smith r)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 15.00    
COURT AND SPARK Aug24 Aug04 Jul20 Jul06 Jun17 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 4.00 7% 13.30    
SPEEDY MOONLITE Aug31 Aug18 Jul21 Jun29 Jun03 (albright amy)TUNON JORDANO 120 8.00    
I GOT A ROCK Aug10 Jul14 Jun21 Mar13 Jan12 (graci kimbe)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 65% 0.50    
BLAME IT ON HONEY Aug24 Jul29 Jul06 Jun21 Feb11 (joy j)AGUILAR M 120 6.00    
INDEFATIGABLE Sep05 Aug24 Aug08 Jul27 Jul01 (allen ferris)ALVELO C 124 6.00    
HYMN'S SYLVIA Aug25 Aug04 Jul14 Jun29   (shea lydee)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 12.00    
 
PEN-4   09/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAD MARY Sep07 Aug19 Jul21 Jun29 Jun02 (o'callahan carl)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 6.00    
BRITESIDEOFTHEROAD Sep02 Jul21 Jun30 Jun11 Apr07 (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 124 3.00 13% 6.60    
COUNTESS SHANAKILL Aug12 Jul13 Jun16 May25 Mar16 (albright r)AGUILAR M 120 6.00    
SCR  ORIGINALY FROM DOT Sep07 Aug11 Jul21 Jul07 Jun11 (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 120 5.00    
LUSCIOUS LOLA Sep02 Aug05 Jul07 Jun11 May13 (graci kimbe)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.00    
VEIL Aug19 Jul22 Jun18 May22 Apr07 (delgado jorg)ROWLAND MADELINE 115 2.00 60% 0.70    
 
PEN-5   09/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAY OF LIGHT Aug31         (bracho sherene)BRACHO A 122 10.00    
NOTEWORTHY Aug31 Aug04 Jul08 Jun17 May13 (moreno-barban l)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 1.60 30% 2.40    
SIR STEELE Aug18 Jul27       (martin jr)AGUILAR M 124 1.80 33% 2.10    
NOTORIOUS REY Aug04 Jul27 Jul08 Jun16 Jun02 (o'hearn hea)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.50 13% 7.00    
SWEET PARI Sep05 Aug22 Aug01 Jul12 Jun07 (farro patricia)RIVERA D 122 8.00    
 
PEN-6   09/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SCYNTZ Sep02 Aug17 Jul27     (martinez josep)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 15.00    
LOYAL TO THE GAME Aug31 Aug10 Jul23 Jun23 Jun09 (graci a)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00    
SCR  SCARY LARRY Sep02 Aug24 Jul21 Jun11 May13 (kreiser c)AGUILAR M 122 3.50 18% 4.50    
DATA DEAL Sep08 Aug17 Jul26 Jun20 Jun07 (pino v)HERNANDEZ ANDY 117 4.00 19% 4.20    
DOUBLE TIME BAY Aug18 Jul13 Jun17 May12 Apr27 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 5.00 16% 5.20    
IRON CLASH Sep02 Aug17 Jul15 Jun17 May20 (cifarelli f)VARGAS L 122 30.00    
TURNS Aug26 Aug03 Jul13     (kulp l)WHITNEY G 120 6.00    
WINNERS WIN Aug24 Aug17 Aug03 Jul15 Jul01 (bobadilla f)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 30.00    
COMMUNICATION FAIL Sep02 Aug17 Jan07     (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 30.00    
10  HOWARD'S ROCK Aug27 Aug19 Jul22 Jun24 May13 (gonzalez cla)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 113 3.00 25% 2.90    
 
PEN-7   09/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POSITIVE FORCE Sep01 Aug10 Jul21 Jun29 Jun15 (rozell ron)LLOYD W 120 3.50    
MEMPHIS MAFIA Aug31 Jul11 Jun25 Jun06 May25 (pino v)HERNANDEZ ANDY 115 6.00 33% 2.00    
SCR  ON ISLAND TIME Sep01 Jul28 Jul07 Jun15 May25 (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 4.00 11% 8.30    
GOLDEN LAW Aug10 Jul01 Jun17 May25 Apr27 (dimitriou harry)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 4.50    
MELODIOUS SINGER Jul21 Jun23 May25 Apr28 Mar07 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00    
LITTLE MS SCARLET Aug08 Jul10 Jul02 May30 Apr30 (gonzalez a)CHIAPPE R 120 4.50 23% 3.30    
SCR  WILL OR WON'T Aug18         (stites w)CONNER TYLER 120 12.00    
 
PEN-8   09/21/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 2 F PT- 9:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FREYDIS Aug22 Jul27 Jul13     (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 118 3.50 10% 9.10    
ECENIA         (salvaggio mark )LEAHEY HANNAH 111 8.00    
PENNIES PRINCESS         (sarson b)DIAZ VLADIMIR 118 10.00    
SCR  SIDESWIPED Sep01         (stites w)CONNER TYLER 118 6.00    
QUICK LORI B         (houghton th)HERNANDEZ A 118 5.00    
IOANNA Sep01 Aug11       (sinnefia pa)VARGAS L 118 3.00 49% 1.00    
DRIFTING SEA         (houghton thomas)CORA D 118 4.00 11% 7.70    
ROSE OF SHANAKILL Aug22 Aug11 Jul27     (albright r)AGUILAR M 118 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.