Handicappers' Racing Form

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Penn National
Wednesday - September 07, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
PEN-1   09/07/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MY MASTERPIECE Aug27 Jul27 Jul14 Jun27 May30 (flores-coba fe)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 6.00    
PRINCESS RUNAWAY Jul20 Jun16       (crook-demas)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 21% 3.80    
CALL ME JELLY ROLL Aug01         (dunham bern)RODRIGUEZ R 120 12.00 8% 11.80    
SCR  SHOSHANAH Jul28 Jul18 Jun28 Jun02 May16 (horlacher kyle)CONNER TYLER 118 8.00    
SCR  SHE BROKE MY HEART Aug04 Jul15 Jun26     (catalano l)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 3.50 13% 6.60    
SASSY BABE Aug14 Jul28 Jul02 Jan12   (pickett cryst)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 4.00 28% 2.60    
FREEDOM CHEER Aug17 Aug01 Jun17 May21 Apr06 (shaw j)ADORNO ABNER 122 6.00    
TODO SOLA Aug19 Jul20 May15 Apr08 Feb19 (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 120 10.00    
 
PEN-2   09/07/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NOBLE CALLISTO Aug24 Jul29       (lawrence l)CONNER TYLER 122 3.50    
SCR  WINNERS WIN Aug24 Aug17 Aug03 Jul15 Jul01 (bobadilla f)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 50.00    
SCR  CHIEF REIDER Jul29 Jul09       (crook-demas)HERNANDEZ A 122 1.60 41% 1.50    
BUFF AND SHINE Aug24 Jul21 Jun17 May27 May12 (salvaggio m)VARGAS L 120 15.00    
YANKEE EMPIRE Aug12 Jul21 Jun23 Jun03 May13 (carpio erin)WHITNEY G 122 10.00 13% 6.60    
KHAKI JACK Aug26 Jul29 Jul07 Jun23 Jun03 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.00 16% 5.20    
SCR  UNCLE REMI Aug24 Aug10 Jul14 Jun29 Jun10 (smith lawrenc)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 120 6.00    
 
PEN-3   09/07/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BERMONDSEY Jul07 Jun25 May27 Apr29 Apr20 (nunley randy)WHITNEY G 120 8.00    
SCR  CRISPER Aug04 Jul13 Jun07 Jan18   (woolley tim)CHIAPPE R 118 1.80 55% 0.80    
PALACE SUPERNOVA Jul29 Jul18 Jun29 Jun03 Apr29 (shuman mark)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00    
BAVARIA Aug10 Jul29 Jul13 Jun22 Jun10 (rozell ron)LLOYD W 120 6.00 7% 13.80    
SCR  SAKETUMI Aug04 Jul13 Jun28 May31   (dowling wil)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 12% 7.10    
HERE'S WALDO Jul27 Jun14 May19 Apr29 Feb18 (sinnefia pa)VARGAS L 120 10.00    
SCR  SACHMO Aug25 Aug05 Jul08 Jun29 May27 (salvaggio michae)CONNER TYLER 124 4.50    
STRAIGHT UP GUY Aug24 Aug09 Jul20 Jul08 Jun23 (brown a)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 10.00    
 
PEN-4   09/07/2022 5490ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  VINE JET Aug03 Jun27 Jun15 Apr16 Mar29 (dunn john)ADORNO ABNER 118 1.80    
LORD WINSALOT Aug03 Jul04 May27 Apr25   (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 2.00    
A T M AWESOME Aug05 Jun15 May19 Apr28 Mar30 (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
TRENDING UP Aug19 Jul21 Jun30 May21 Apr28 (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 67% 0.50    
EAGLES CRY Aug22 Jul21 Jul06 Jun09   (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00    
RON DON SCORESE Aug17 Jul21 May27 May07 Apr01 (graci kimberl)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 6.00    
 
PEN-5   09/07/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRANTLEYS BIG GUN Aug18 Aug04 Jul15 Jun16 Jun02 (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 122 10.00    
RUN AWAY EMPIRE Aug25 Aug04 Jul01 Jun01 May14 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 122 0.80 35% 1.80    
JUST CHECKING IN Aug18 Jul08 May29     (cifarelli frank)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 30.00    
TOUCH OF PRINCE Aug18 Jul28 Jul15 Jun16 Jun02 (kreiser tim)VARGAS L 124 4.00 13% 6.50    
FIFTH ELEMENT Aug25 Jul20 Jul08 Jun07 May13 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 124 2.00 28% 2.60    
MISTER ARANGUIZ Aug18 Aug04 Jul15 Jun24 Jun16 (bobadilla f)CORA D 124 30.00    
 
PEN-6   09/07/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHATTER ME Aug05 Jul07 Apr29 Apr08   (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.00    
ORIGINALY FROM DOT Aug11 Jul21 Jul07 Jun11 May13 (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 122 3.50 10% 9.20    
SCR  MARIE FROM PARIE Aug11 Jun23 May27 Apr28 Apr08 (bobadilla f)CORA D 122 6.00    
MAGICALLYDELICIOUS Jun16 May25 Apr29 Mar23 Mar08 (kravets bru)VARGAS L 122 8.00    
MAD MARY Aug19 Jul21 Jun29 Jun02 May23 (o'callahan carl)WHITNEY G 122 3.00 10% 9.30    
SCR  SILENT FLUIDITY Jul21 Jun18 Apr28 Apr08 Mar26 (graci kimberly)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 4.50 48% 1.10    
 
PEN-7   09/07/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
C C'S WARRIOR Aug17 Jul20 Jun22 Jun01 May11 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 122 2.00 11% 8.20    
DIGGERS DIAMOND Sep01 Aug19 Jul29 Jul07 Jun10 (geist w)BAKER J 122 10.00    
THE BEST CANDY Aug17 Jul15 Jun23 May21 May06 (bobadilla f)CORA D 122 4.00    
CALCULATED THINKIN Aug18 Jul06 Jun15 May19 Apr28 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 3.00 63% 0.60    
CARGO SHIP Aug17 Jul06 Jun09 May19 Mar25 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 1.80    
 
PEN-8   09/07/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ESPRESSO CALIENTE Aug11 Jul22 Jul07 Jun17 Apr06 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 15.00    
FLAT OUT FLASHY Aug12 Jul28 Jul14 Jun22 May26 (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 122 2.50 54% 0.80    
O K GAME ON Jul10 Jun03 May21 Apr01 Feb11 (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 120 1.80 18% 4.50    
SCR  ELUSIVE JESTER Aug12 Jul22 Jun29 Jun10 May11 (miller a)CORA D 120 12.00    
SCR  ILOVECHARLYBROWN Jul25 Jun07 May16 Apr20 Mar30 (soto- martine)OCASIO JONATHAN 120 5.00    
MOON MEISTER Aug12 Jul07 May19 Apr28 Mar15 (ferreira fe)VARGAS L 120 20.00    
CRYPT Aug12 Jul28 Jun23 May12 Apr27 (beattie m)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 4.50    
SOLAR ZEN Jul27 Jul13 Jul04 Jun13   (moreno-barban )VILLEGAS JERRY 120 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.