Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Churchill Downs
Thursday - May 07, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-1   WIN (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/1)-(6/2/1/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/2/1)-(6/2/1/8)-(6/2/1/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/2/1)-(1/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/2/1)-(1/7/4)-(4/11/1/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CD-2   WIN (1/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/4)-(1/7/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/7/4)-(1/7/4/6)-(1/7/4/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/7/4)-(4/11/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/4)-(4/11/1/7)-(1/6/3/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CD-3   WIN (4/11/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/11/1/7)-(4/11/3/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/11/1/7)-(4/11/3/1/7)-(4/11/3/1/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/11/1/7)-(1/6/3/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/11/1/7)-(1/6/3/9)-(11/5/9/3/10) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CD-4   WIN (1/6/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/3/9)-(1/6/3/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/3/9)-(1/6/3/9)-(1/6/3/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/3/9)-(11/5/9/3/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3/9)-(11/5/9/3/10)-(5/9/11/1/3) 100 $1.00 $100 
CD-5   WIN (11/5/9/3/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/5/9/3/10)-(11/5/9/3/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/5/9/3/10)-(11/5/9/3/10)-(11/5/9/3/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (11/5/9/3/10)-(5/9/11/1/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (11/5/9/3/10)-(5/9/11/1/3)-(12/8/4/10) 100 $1.00 $100 
CD-6   WIN (5/9/11/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/9/11/1/3)-(5/9/11/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/9/11/1/3)-(5/9/11/1/3)-(5/9/11/1/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/9/11/1/3)-(12/8/4/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/9/11/1/3)-(12/8/4/10)-(5/7/9/10/1) 100 $1.00 $100 
CD-7   WIN (12/8/4/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (12/8/4/10)-(12/8/4/10/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (12/8/4/10)-(12/8/4/10/7)-(12/8/4/10/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (12/8/4/10)-(5/7/9/10/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CD-8   WIN (5/7/9/10/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/7/9/10/1)-(5/7/9/10/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/7/9/10/1)-(5/7/9/10/1)-(5/7/9/10/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CD-1   05/07/2026 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($57K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONSEQUENTIAL Mar13 Feb13 Nov30 Nov02 Oct18 (tomlinson mi)GEROUX FLORENT 118 10.00 6% 15.60    
2  GO FOR ROCKET Apr22 Mar29 Nov29 Oct25   (mott riley)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 28% 2.50    
3  BOLD STAND Mar21 Jan10       (harty eoin)ACHARD ALEX 118 8.00    
4  HILL COUNTRY Apr10         (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 12.00    
5  KING OF SALSA Apr10 Feb27 Jan17 Nov29   (hill f)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 15.00    
6  PAMPERED PRINCE Mar16         (stall albert )ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 41% 1.40    
SCR  MULA Apr12 Mar08 Jan24 Jul14 Jun07 (santamaria car)SAEZ GABRIEL 126 2.00    
8  SHOW ME THE MUNNY Feb21 Nov21 Nov01 Sep26   (mcgee paul)MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00 ★    
 
CD-2   05/07/2026 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($64K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY NOBLE KNIGHT Apr02 Mar01 Feb06 Dec12 Nov15 (larose kinnon)ORTIZ L 118 3.00 68% 0.50    
2  SLIM SLOW SLIDER Mar26 Jan31 Jan09 Sep19 Sep02 (gallegos a)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
3  URBAN PLANNER Mar20 Feb20 Dec27 Nov12 Mar22 (harty eoin)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00    
4  C F V BULLET Jan09 Dec21 Nov16 Oct19 Sep25 (gorostiet)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  KING OF HOLLYWOOD Apr11 Mar08 Feb27 Feb14 Sep28 (sweezey ken)MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00    
6  DE' MEDICI Feb26 Nov08 Sep25 Aug07 Nov16 (mccarthy mich)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00 ★    
7  TIME FOR TROUBLE Apr16 Mar07 Feb20 Dec18 Nov15 (foster eric)TORRES A 118 3.50 8% 11.60    
8  SINGLE DOT YAHT Feb25 Nov16 Oct31 Sep19 Jul21 (crichton )TORRES A 118 6.00    
 
CD-3   05/07/2026 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DISMISS Apr15 Jan16 Dec21 Nov12 Oct20 (matejka pav)GUTIERREZ MARIO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of SHILAH BABY by GRAYDAR)
2  FINAL COUNTDOWN Jan02 Dec06 Nov10 Oct12 Sep21 (pompell robert)CEDILLO ABEL 124 30.00    
  (by GIO PONTI out of CINNIE by MARTE)
3  INK LIES Apr15 May09 Aug29     (ward a)ORTIZ L 124 3.00 ★    
  (by ASTERN out of SUPERQUINN by STREET HERO)
4  GYPSY ART Apr15 Nov14 Oct05 Sep06   (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 118 2.00 47% 1.10    
  (by MUNNINGS out of THE GIRL HERSELF by AMERICAN PHAROAH)
5  ZAP D'ETAT Apr15 Mar18 Feb13 Jan02 Dec06 (house gary)ACHARD ALEX 124 12.00    
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of SHOVALLA by GHOSTZAPPER)
SCR  ICE WOLF Mar01 Jan30 Jan02 Nov01 Sep26 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 5.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of BOBBY'S BABE by SMART STRIKE)
7  MR. VAGGIO Apr12 Mar21 Mar06 Sep21 Aug10 (hancock)DE CRUZ 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of SUNSET PROMISE by BROKEN VOW (IRE))
8  CARAGOGO Feb22         (arnold george)MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of CHANNEL LADY by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
9  HIMOTHY Apr15 Mar15 Dec13 Nov07   (moquett e)BEJARANO R 118 15.00    
  (by YAUPON out of DANCE FOR DADDY by SCAT DADDY)
10  TRANQUILLO Mar21 Feb14       (beckman whi)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00    
  (by INDEPENDENCE HALL out of ALI BLUE by BLUEGRASS CAT)
11  SOULMAN Apr11 Feb16 Jan19 Dec27 Nov28 (hartman chris)MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00 28% 2.60    
  (by TAPWRIT out of LADY SOUL by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  HALLEY'S COMET Mar06         (drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00    
  (by CODE OF HONOR out of UNCOMMON FACTOR by THE FACTOR)
SCR  MISCHIEVOUS RICHIE         (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 4.50    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of JEAN ELIZABETH by ADIOS CHARLIE)
SCR  TATTOO         (thompson ron)CALLEJA ANDRES 118 30.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of BANSHEE WARRIOR by WAR FRONT)
 
CD-4   05/07/2026 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($76K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AWESOME RUTA Apr16 Mar06 Dec12 Nov08 Oct02 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 120 1.40 36% 1.80    
2  EVENING NEWS Apr16 Mar11 Dec26 Dec03 Nov12 (andrade hu)VILLARREAL OSCAR 118 20.00    
3  COUPERIN Mar28 Mar07 Feb05 Dec26 Dec05 (cook b)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 18% 4.40    
SCR  EYE DEE KAY Apr11 Feb06 Jan19 Dec07 Nov02 (larose kinnon)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50    
5  CALYCANTHUS Apr04 Mar12 Feb21 Dec26 Oct12 (cunningham j)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 15.00    
6  TRUSTY RUSTY Apr16 Feb27 Jan30 Dec05 Oct31 (hess b)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 20% 4.10    
7  NON FUNGIBLE Apr11 Mar18 Mar04 Feb05 Jan17 (dalton michell)PAULY SUMMER 113 30.00    
SCR  ITSINMYBLOOD Apr11 Mar28 Mar13 Feb08 Jan03 (morse rand)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00    
9  PAPPY'S REVENGE Mar20 Feb28 Feb08 Oct16 Sep13 (garcia ge)CARRASCO R 118 8.00 5% 17.50    
 
CD-5   05/07/2026 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($57K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LLAMP Apr16 Oct26 Oct05 Aug23   (kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 118 3.50    
SCR  COOKIE'S RUN Apr11 Mar01       (mcpeek ke)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 5.00    
3  PEDITAL Apr15 Aug23       (hamm timothy)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  CUSP OF MISCHIEF Apr18 Mar08       (vance d)LANERIE J 118 12.00    
5  NOROOMFORMISCHIEF Apr17 Oct22 Sep17 Aug17   (ennis john)SHEEHY DANNY 118 10.00 19% 4.30    
6  PEGGIE CASTLE Apr08         (vosler s)BOCACHICA O 118 30.00    
7  VINO ALLA MORA Sep19 Aug24       (butcher james)GARCIA MARTIN 124 30.00    
8  SPEIGHTSY RIVAL Apr19         (kerrick lacy)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00    
9  LINDY CAN Oct13 Sep02 Jul04 Jun11 May17 (hancock da)HERNANDEZ N 124 12.00 6% 15.40    
10  ROTISSERIE Apr09 Mar12 Feb11 Jan03 Nov28 (lauer mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
11  HOT GAMER Mar06         (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 124 2.50 45% 1.20    
 
CD-6   05/07/2026 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PINELAND Apr09 Mar16 Jan24 Dec27 Oct25 (schultz l)LEPAROUX R 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  DEMOLITION DUKE Apr04 Mar15 Feb14 Jan21 Dec20 (walsh brendan )ORTIZ L 122 12.00    
3  ESMARK Apr09 Aug02 Jun20 May26 Apr13 (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  OTAGO Feb27 Jan17 Dec21 Oct11 Sep10 (danner kels)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 15.00    
5  PITKIN Feb28 Jan17 Nov28 Apr08 Feb15 (wilkes r)ZAYAS J 122 2.00 52% 0.90    
SCR  HIGGINS BOAT Mar20 Feb21 Dec27 Jul05 Apr29 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.00    
7  IZZY D'ORO Mar20 Jun14 Apr26 Sep07 Aug11 (mcpeek kennet)ORTIZ JR 122 8.00    
8  ALDER Apr26 Feb18 Dec19 Nov06 Oct04 (jacobson david)BEJARANO R 122 20.00    
9  CLEVER MISCHIEF Apr12 Jan24 Dec27 Mar01 Dec07 (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.50 17% 4.80    
10  BIG TO DO Apr16 Mar20 Jan09 Dec21 Nov13 (wism)ANTONGEORGI JR 122 20.00    
11  HEART HEADED Apr04 Jan17 Dec21 Nov27 Nov14 (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 122 10.00 7% 14.40    
SCR  IN A JAM Apr16 Mar20 Feb19 Jan07 Dec06 (cook b)BEJARANO R 122 15.00    
SCR  SAINT IN THE CITY Mar25 Jul14 Jun21 May07 Mar27 (van tho)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 20.00    
 
CD-7   05/07/2026 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POPPY WOPPY Apr15 Nov21       (sims matthew )MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00    
  (by MITOLE out of SEASIDE RETREAT by BLAME)
SCR  WADO WAVE Mar29 Mar07 Feb05     (dimmett james)HESS SARA 118 30.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of KNK'S DOLCE VITA by HARD SPUN)
3  GAGA'S GIRL Apr15 Jul14       (hamm timothy)GRAHAM J 118 15.00    
  (by KNICKS GO out of FROZAY ALL DAY by FROSTED (GB))
4  DON'T EVEN Oct11         (ward a)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 8% 12.00    
  (by GOLDEN LEGEND (FR) out of GOFORITMRSMILLER by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
5  MUSKOKA KATT Apr02 Mar08       (blair jordan)TORRES A 118 10.00    
  (by VEKOMA out of MONTAIGNE by CAIRO PRINCE)
6  BY LA RINA Oct26 Sep17       (tomlinson m)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 15.00    
  (by ECHO TOWN out of GATEAU ST HONORE by DON GATO)
7  MAXI MAXI Apr17 Mar12       (werre danny)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 ★    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of ROYAL CARD by CHAPEL ROYAL)
8  MIGHTY NORA Apr17 Mar14 Feb19 Nov08 Oct10 (stewart dallas)ORTIZ L 118 3.50 15% 5.70    
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of BLAZEN BETSY by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
9  ONCE UPON A TIME Apr11 Mar27 Mar11 Feb25 Jan14 (dalton michell)PAULY SUMMER 119 30.00    
  (by TEENOSO out of MO CHEEKS by UNCLE MO)
10  LITTLE BIT ANGEL         (drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of DRAGON ARMY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
11  MORE THAN HOPE         (more)ANTONGEORGI JR 118 12.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of REMINISCING by PRIDE OF BURKAAN)
12  SUTURA Apr17 Mar14 Feb14     (sisterson )GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 56% 0.80    
  (by VEKOMA out of BEYOND OUR REACH by DANEHILL DANCER)
 
CD-8   05/07/2026 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($125K) Purse ($127K) 3 F PT- 8:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMBRACE TIME Jul05         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  RHYTHM LADY Apr09 Mar21 Feb25 Jan22   (maker michael)MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00    
3  COOPERATION (FR) Aug30 Jul19       (delacour arnau)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00    
4  COOL AMERICAN Mar27 Feb26       (lovell michell)SHEEHY DANNY 118 20.00    
5  GOOD FAMILY Mar21 Feb14       (cox h)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00 28% 2.60    
6  NELSON'S PENNY Mar13 Nov21 Oct11 Aug13   (larose kinnon)ORTIZ L 118 12.00    
7  RAIDING PARTY (IRE) Oct03         (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 24% 3.20    
8  MORE CARATS Apr04 Oct09 Aug28 Aug05   (wilkes r)ZAYAS J 118 30.00    
9  CALL ON ME Apr04 Mar07       (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.50 22% 3.60    
10  TURNER'S CHARM Oct03 Aug31       (walsh p)CURTIS BEN 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SOLOIST Apr09 Oct03 Aug31 Aug03   (mcpeek kenneth)ORTIZ L 118 6.00    
SCR  GO TO GIRL Apr09 Nov29 Oct26 Oct03 Aug08 (mcpeek ke)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 15.00    
SCR  CALLMEYOURMAJESTY Apr09 Feb14 Jan17     (catalano w)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.