Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Friday - November 21, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-2   WIN (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $27.24 $21.24 354%
    EXA (5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00  1-5 $48.92 $36.92 308%
    TRI (5/6/1)-(5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00  1-5-6 $37.64 $34.64 1155%
    DD (3/4)-(5/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-1 $35.07 $29.07 485%
CD-3   DD (5/6/1)-(4/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00  1-4 $32.00 $23.00 256%
    PK3 (3/4)-(5/6/1)-(4/1/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00  3-1-4 $27.88 $18.88 210%
CD-6   TRI (1/9/8/5)-(1/9/10/5/8)-(1/9/10/5/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00  1-10-5 $94.23 $70.23 293%
CD-10   DD (7/6/5)-(6/11/10/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00  6-11 $13.28 $1.28 11%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   11/21/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($80K) Purse ($83K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:231 :461 1:101 1:222   1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ZAMBEZI 3 3 11 11 11½ 13½ 16 (jacobson d)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.00 46% 1.20 0.75 W
1  FIRST PLAYER 1 2 21 21 21½ 23½ 26 (asmussen stev)ORTIZ JR 121 2.50 1.61  
2  AUTHENTIC GALLOP 2 1 32 32 49½ 412½ 319¼ (amoss m)ORTIZ L 118 10.00 9.05  
4  SIR BAHJY 4 4 44½ 44 36½ 311½ 420¼ (garcia ge)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 4.00 26% 2.90 5.28  
SCR  HAILSTORM               (jacobson david)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.00    
SCR  SOLID LEFT               (santamaria car)CEDILLO ABEL 118 12.00    
 
CD-2   11/21/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:29
See original race card.
:224 :462 1:112     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOTAL HEART 1 1 1½ 1½   12 13¾ (lynch brian)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 15.00 5% 19.00 12.62 W
5  ALONGCOMESAWOMAN 4 3 32½ 31½   22 23¾ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 120 1.00 38% 1.60 0.45 P
6  GOLD DEL MAR 5 2 2½ 2½   34½ 39¾ (salas mar)LEPAROUX R 120 4.50 29% 2.40 3.87 S
3  MOMBAYLA 3 6 67 55½   47 413 (crichton roh)TORRES A 120 4.00 7.07  
7  STARLIT SOFI 6 4 44½ 44½   58½ 519½ (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00 9.18  
2  MINNESOTA ROSE 2 5 55½ 69½   618½ 640¾ (miller m)CEDILLO ABEL 120 30.00 39.68  
SCR  BIRTHDAY GIRL               (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 6.00    
SCR  STAR WATCH               (manning j)JURADO EDDIE 120 30.00    
 
CD-3   11/21/2025 5610ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($57K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:58
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:121 1:381   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MORLOCK 4 1 12 13 14 14 14¼ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 121 1.20 55% 0.80 0.70 W
2  BIG ROG 2 2 45 55¼ 24 24 24¼ (king l)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 20.00 34.41  
1  MO TOWN JAZZ 1 3 710 710¾ 711 37 36¼ (hiles a)LANERIE J 121 15.00 10% 8.80 14.69 S
9  LEBOMBO 7 7 67 66¼ 37 49 416½ (williams)RODRIGUEZ A 124 6.00 ★ 6.99  
5  KY DO DECLARE 5 5 34 35 68 512½ 517 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 121 12.00 5% 19.00 6.45  
3  COME TO PAPA 3 6 55½ 45 47½ 614 624¼ (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 124 2.00 2.86  
7  MI COMPADRE 6 4 22 23 58 716 726½ (williamso)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 20.00 58.87  
SCR  CONCRETE CRUISER               (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 8.00    
SCR  OR MAGIQUE               (kerrick l)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 30.00    
 
CD-4   11/21/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($57K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:27
See original race card.
:222 :462 1:123     1:193   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY PIPPA 1 2 13 13   14½ 14¼ (medina rob)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 5.00 9.36  
7  CLOUD NUMBER NINE 7 7 77½ 66   35 24¼ (williamso)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 4.50 ★ 5.83 P
4  SANG 4 4 23 23   24½ 38 (begley greg)DOYLE SOPHIE 124 3.50 31% 2.20 2.10 S
9  SAND QUEEN 9 8 910½ 810½   710½ 412¼ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 13% 7.00 3.65  
6  ADALENE 6 1 45 34½   46 512¼ (wiggins lon)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 4.00 32% 2.10 4.93  
8  BRAVE SAMANTHA 8 5 66 76½   69½ 615 (medina ro)TORRES A 122 12.00 5% 19.00 4.82  
5  BOLD BABY TENDER 5 3 33½ 44½   59 720¾ (barrett ro)ANDERSON MCKENNA 122 15.00 47.49  
2  QUEEN'S LEGACY 2 9 55½ 55½   811 825¼ (van thoma)MACHADO LUAN 124 15.00 19.87  
3  CLASSY EMILY 3 6 89½ 917   919 934¾ (pompell robert)CEDILLO ABEL 122 30.00 40.15  
SCR  PAULINE'S ANGEL               (king bar)RODRIGUEZ A 122 30.00    
SCR  REYA SUNSHINE               (hartman chris)BACON W 124 5.00    
 
CD-5   11/21/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($127K) 2 ALL PT- 2:57
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:112 1:243   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  INFILTRATE 7 7 31 22 2½ 2nk 11¾ (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 59% 0.70 0.56 W
3  EASY WIND (CHI) 3 1 1½ 12 1½ 1nk 21¾ (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.50 10% 9.40 6.00 P
2  SWAMP KING 2 3 78 69 46 36½ 310½ (hiles a)LANERIE J 122 15.00 32.13  
4  PATROL SQUAD SIX 4 4 66 711 78¼ 49 413¾ (romans dale)ORTIZ L 122 3.00 9% 10.30 6.76  
1  SO SPECIAL 1 2 55½ 57 36 59½ 518 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122 8.00 5% 19.00 12.00  
5  TIME FOR MONEY 5 5 43 44½ 68 611 621¾ (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 6.00 16.16  
6  EAST VILLAGE 6 6 2½ 32 57½ 716 748½ (mcpeek kennet)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00 6.30  
 
CD-6   11/21/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($67K) 2 ALL PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:223 :464 1:13     1:193   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HERBS BOLT 1 7 64 51½   1nk 13½ (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 29% 2.50 2.36 W
10  COAL FIRED 8 6 42½ 2½   3.2 23½ (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00 ★ 2.58 P
5  ROYAL SAPPHIRE 4 3 2½ 1½   2nk 33½ (moger ed )BERMUDEZ E 119 15.00 6% 14.40 30.07 S
6  ORVILLE'S MAP 5 2 53 63   44¼ 48½ (stewart da)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 11.95  
4  SEPTEMBER SILVER 3 4 3½ 31   55¼ 512½ (stewart d)LEPAROUX R 119 6.00 4.42  
7  SHOW ME THE MUNNY 6 1 74¼ 75½   67¼ 615¾ (mcgee paul)ELLIOTT JANE 119 4.00 6.06  
11  MIDWAY MUNNY 9 8 88¾ 910   911¼ 718¼ (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 119 12.00 10.42  
8  HONOR BOUND 7 9 910¾ 88   79¼ 820 (navarret)RODRIGUEZ A 119 20.00 6% 14.40 18.85  
3  TALMADGE 2 5 1½ 41   89¼ 923 (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 10.00 14.82  
SCR  PUT ME IN COACH               (gorostiet)BEALMEAR C 119 20.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  REBEL WITH A CAUSE               (robson lauren)ORTIZ L 119 10.00    
 
CD-7   11/21/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($50K) Purse ($76K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:223 :461 1:112     1:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  FEASIBLE 2 2 1nk 11   13 15½ (shirer a)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 6.77  
8  SUGAR HI 8 4 42 42   23 25½ (damato ph)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 10.00 6.70  
5  OAK ALLEY 5 8 911 99¼   56½ 35¾ (moger ed )BERMUDEZ E 118 20.00 5% 19.00 71.24 S
4  BRUNCH WITH AMY 4 6 64½ 53½   46 46¾ (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 6% 15.80 2.82  
1  AUNT MO 1 3 2nk 21   35½ 57¾ (eurton pet)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.00 32% 2.10 2.11  
6  LATE TO THE GAME 6 9 88 86¼   69 613 (medina ro)TORRES A 120 20.00 65.40  
3  ATLANTIC PASSAGE 3 1 3½ 32   710 718 (brisset rodolp)ORTIZ L 118 5.00 34% 2.00 10.48  
10  REIGN CHAMPAGNE 9 5 52½ 63¾   912½ 821¼ (pitts helen)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 20.00 15.19  
7  VINO FRIZZANTE 7 7 75 75¼   811 922½ (hiles a)LANERIE J 120 6.00 5% 18.40 4.17  
SCR  MOON OVER CHOCTAW               (damato phi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00    
 
CD-8   11/21/2025 5610ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:24 :484 1:143 1:391   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CLAIRITA 3 2 41¼ 2½ 1½ 15 112 (bauer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 4.00 1.37  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of HERE MUSIC by DEHERE)
3  MISS PHARAOH 2 1 52¾ 51½ 2½ 25 212 (sims philip)GUTIERREZ MARIO 121 3.00 23% 3.40 5.80 P
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of MISS CHALLENGE by MORE THAN READY)
8  DON'T LOOK NOW 5 7 74¼ 73¼ 3½ 38½ 315¾ (arnold george )MACHADO LUAN 121 6.00 19% 4.20 15.65 S
  (by OPEN FORUM out of AVERT YOUR EYE'S by NORTH POLE)
1  THIRD KISS 1 3 21 41 42½ 411 418¼ (mott riley)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 15.00 8.22  
  (by MASTERY out of KINSLEY KISSES by CONGRATS)
5  CLICK HERE 4 4 62¾ 61¾ 52¾ 511 519 (blair jor)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 15.00 5% 19.00 20.01  
  (by FLATTER out of BRIDAL ARCH by ARCHARCHARCH)
12  LADY IVA 6 6 11 1½ 63¼ 619 643¾ (calhoun willia)ORTIZ L 121 2.50 33% 2.00 2.96  
  (by UNCLE MO out of IVA by SCAT DADDY)
13  AUNTIE 7 5 31 31 78¼ 732 777¾ (mccarthy michael )SAEZ LUIS 121 3.00 4.70  
  (by UNCLE MO out of RUBILINDA by FRANKEL (GB))
SCR  CHERE AMIA               (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 121 12.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of D' ELEGANCE by EL CORREDOR)
SCR  COASTAL CABIN               (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 121 8.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of SHORE BIRD by DEPUTED TESTAMONY)
SCR  EENYMEANYMIGHTYMO               (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 121 12.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of RUSTY HALO by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
SCR  REAL ASSAY               (devaux ch)TORRES A 121 12.00    
  (by RELOAD out of CARAT WEIGHT by TRAJECTORY)
SCR  THAMES               (mott riley)TORRES A 121 3.50    
  (by GIFT BOX out of HENLEY by CORINTHIAN (IRE))
SCR  TWOLATEBABYDOLL (FR)               (stall albe)HERNANDEZ J 121 6.00    
  (by RECOLETOS out of SIGN OF LIFE by LEMON DROP KID)
SCR  WORRY BE GONE               (cox h)ORTIZ JR 121 5.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of SPACE TALK by HIGH CHAPARRAL)
 
CD-9   11/21/2025 5610ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:122 1:382   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CAPITAL IDEA 4 1 32½ 43½ 43½ 22 1¼ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 3.00 23% 3.40 1.70 W
2  PRINCE OF POWER 1 6 11½ 12 12½ 12 2¼ (esqu)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 121 15.00 3.37  
7  CATCHING FREEDOM 5 2 42½ 32½ 22½ 32 36¼ (cox h)ORTIZ JR 121 2.50 33% 2.00 2.13 S
3  BEST ACTOR 2 4 64 54 65½ 44 46¾ (m)DE CRUZ 121 15.00 10.21  
8  MACKMAN 6 5 53½ 64½ 54 57½ 512½ (shirer a)SAEZ LUIS 123 12.00 6.54  
5  JAYHAWK 3 3 21½ 22 32½ 610 639¼ (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 15.00 22% 3.50 12.65  
SCR  GUN PARTY               (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 121 8.00    
SCR  NOT THIS BOY               (cowans wil)HERNANDEZ J 121 1.60    
 
CD-10   11/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 F PT- 5:24
See original race card.
:23 :47 :594     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  FIZZY LASS 8 3 32 31   2½ 1¾ (stewart dalla)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 23% 3.30 2.79 W
  (by BEAU LIAM out of TERM PAPER by PRIVATE TERMS)
9  FLEETING MOON 6 9 84 53½   51½ 2¾ (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 5% 19.00 2.50 P
  (by BEAU LIAM out of FLEETING GLIMPSE by MALIBU MOON)
3  LEGAL LIGHTNING 2 4 11 11   1½ 31½ (schultz lindsa)CEDILLO ABEL 119 6.00 12.56  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of PROCURADORA by BODEMEISTER)
6  HALFWAY TO OMAHA 4 7 42 42½   41 42¾ (newton tr)LEPAROUX R 119 4.00 30% 2.30 4.47  
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of HALFWAY by TAPIT)
12  R KENDL 9 2 52½ 86¾   84¾ 53½ (wainwright john)MCKEE J 119 6.00 ★ 11.16  
  (by BASIN out of COZY GAIN by COZZENE)
2  MISS BLANCO 1 8 73½ 74¼   62½ 63¾ (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00 4.63  
  (by TAPIT out of MOREA by INDIAN CHARLIE)
10  NOULIKEABOOK 7 1 21 21   31 75¼ (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 8.00 22% 3.50 10.89  
  (by VOLATILE out of LEMON DANCER by LEMON DROP KID)
8  POPPY WOPPY 5 5 63 63¾   74½ 89½ (sims philip)GUTIERREZ MARIO 119 20.00 18.39  
  (by MITOLE out of SEASIDE RETREAT by BLAME)
4  MY SWEET AGENDA 3 6 916½ 916¾   917¼ 919¾ (barrett ro)ANDERSON MCKENNA 119 30.00 81.72  
  (by KNOWN AGENDA out of SWEAT AND SADDLE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  CARA FELCE               (casse nor)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of PAMPERED PRETTY by TAPIT)
SCR  LADY GOT GAME               (lobo h)ORTIZ L 119 10.00    
  (by GAME WINNER out of FASHIONED LADY by OLD FASHIONED)
SCR  SMART LITTLE LASS               (norris steph)GONZALEZ KEVIN 119 30.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of RISKY RISKY RISKY by CURLIN)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.