Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Keeneland
Wednesday - April 22, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
KEE-1   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(5/10/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1)-(5/10/3/1)-(3/6/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
KEE-2   WIN (5/10/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/10/3/1)-(5/10/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/10/3/1)-(5/10/3/1)-(5/10/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/10/3/1)-(3/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/10/3/1)-(3/6/7)-(10/5/2/1/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
KEE-3   WIN (3/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/7)-(3/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/7)-(3/6/7)-(3/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/7)-(10/5/2/1/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/6/7)-(10/5/2/1/3)-(1/3/10/2/8) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
KEE-4   WIN (10/5/2/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/5/2/1/3)-(10/5/2/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/5/2/1/3)-(10/5/2/1/3)-(10/5/2/1/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/5/2/1/3)-(1/3/10/2/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (10/5/2/1/3)-(1/3/10/2/8)-(8/4/1/9/3) 125 $1.00 $125 
KEE-5   WIN (1/3/10/2/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/3/10/2/8)-(1/3/10/2/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/3/10/2/8)-(1/3/10/2/8)-(1/3/10/2/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/3/10/2/8)-(8/4/1/9/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (1/3/10/2/8)-(8/4/1/9/3)-(6/3/2) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
KEE-6   WIN (8/4/1/9/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/4/1/9/3)-(8/4/1/9/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
KEE-7   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/2)-(6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/2)-(10/12/2/7/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
KEE-8   WIN (10/12/2/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/12/2/7/8)-(10/12/2/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/12/2/7/8)-(10/12/2/7/8)-(10/12/2/7/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
KEE-1   04/22/2026 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($12.5K) Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIVERTON (GB) Mar19 Feb26 Jan01 Dec06 Nov20 (wittek karyn)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  GET HER NUMBER Mar01 Dec10 Nov15 Sep06 Aug16 (diodoro robert)ORTIZ L 120 0.60 35% 1.90    
3  BIG GAIN Mar07 Feb05 Dec26 Aug20 Aug13 (casse w)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50    
4  EXTRAVAGANT PRINCE Mar28 Mar06 Jan22 Jan01 Dec05 (mccall wil)VILLARREAL OSCAR 118 30.00    
5  AIR OF DEFIANCE Mar14 Feb05 Nov08 Oct11 Sep11 (cunningham j)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 4.00 27% 2.70    
6  AHUMADO Mar11 Feb20 Feb07 Jan08 Dec19 (meredith cha)BARBOSA CARLOS 118 30.00    
 
KEE-2   04/22/2026 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 1:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MESSASSY         (torres marce)CALLEJA ANDRES 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CORE BELIEFS out of COOL SKY by SKY MESA)
SCR  JETTIE'S BEACH         (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00    
  (by CHARLATAN out of NIKKI BEACH by DISTORTED HUMOR)
3  SHARPIE GIRL         (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of FIRST EMBRACE by FIRST DEFENCE)
4  MESDEMON         (torres marcel)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 119 20.00    
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of TIZ DA BIZ by TIZWAY)
5  SANCHOO         (ward a)ORTIZ JR 119 1.60 30% 2.30    
  (by NYQUIST out of BROADWAY PLAY by QUALITY ROAD)
6  BAYTOWN SASSY         (mcentee paul)SHEEHY DANNY 119 10.00    
  (by MCKINZIE out of GIRARDI by TIZNOW)
SCR  RUIVA         (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 4.50    
  (by MUNNINGS out of MINHA PAIXAO by CURLIN)
8  LUMBERJILL         (ennis john)ACHARD ALEX 119 10.00    
  (by YORKTON out of SPRUCE by POINT OF ENTRY)
SCR  BY GRACE         (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00    
  (by STORM BOOT out of GRACIOUS REASON by SECRETARIAT)
10  EXPRESS SUCCESS         (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 119 4.00 28% 2.60    
  (by IN EXCESS (IRE) out of SPEEDINTHRUTHECITY by CITY ZIP)
 
KEE-3   04/22/2026 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($63K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FRANGO ELECTRICO Mar26 Mar07 Dec17 Dec04 Nov09 (bahena ismael)PAULY SUMMER 115 8.00    
2  DARING HOPE Mar26 Mar11 Nov01 Oct10 Sep17 (salas marcel)CALLEJA ANDRES 118 15.00    
3  DON'T SAY IT Mar11 Feb12 Dec11 Nov16 Oct19 (cox h)MACHADO LUAN 120 2.50 26% 2.90    
SCR  JUST AN OPINION Apr08 Mar07 Feb11 Jan02 Dec18 (cano williams)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
5  COMMANDED Feb14 Dec04 Nov05 Oct12 Sep13 (mckeever andrew)CURTIS BEN 118 3.50    
6  RIGHT NOW Mar07 Oct14 Sep23 Sep03 Aug18 (girten tim)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 4.50 26% 2.90    
7  SOCIALBUTTERFLYTAM Mar24 Feb24 Dec17 Nov20 Oct01 (cowans willia)MACHADO DYLAN 120 6.00 19% 4.20    
8  PROTOMAGIC Mar26 Mar04 Feb18 Jan01 Nov13 (barrett rod)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 5.00    
 
KEE-4   04/22/2026 7920ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($120K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY BOY TONY Sep04 Jul26 Jul03 May18 Apr24 (kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 118 12.00 13% 6.50    
2  ENGLISH LAW Mar28 Feb26 Sep03 Aug09 Jul16 (walden will)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 10.00 16% 5.10    
3  WARLANDER Mar28 Feb12 Jan15 Nov23 Oct11 (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 118 15.00 8% 11.40    
4  CALL ME JOHNNY Aug01 Jun20       (hancock d)CORREA L 118 30.00    
5  OPERATION OVERLORD Mar07 Jan09 Nov13 Oct05 Aug28 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 17% 4.80    
6  HALL MONITOR Mar07 Jan31 Jan02 Nov16 Oct04 (kelly blake)CHUAN MARTIN 118 5.00    
7  ZAPRUDER Feb12 Dec04 Nov01 Oct11 Sep12 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 30.00    
8  LAZLO Mar28 Dec04 Nov08 Oct05 Sep20 (maker michael )ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00    
9  DEVIL ANSE Mar28 Mar07 Feb12 Jan14 Dec18 (walsh d)SHEEHY DANNY 118 20.00    
10  RELATIVE VALUE (GB) Nov28 Jan03       (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.00 21% 3.90    
SCR  TELESCOPIC Jan03 Nov21 Oct25 Oct06 Sep01 (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00    
SCR  KICKING CLEAR Mar04 Nov20 Oct08 Aug31 Jun08 (walsh brendan )MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00    
SCR  THE DOVER SPECTER Apr03 Feb26 Apr24 Mar29 Mar05 (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00    
SCR  MAXIMUM PROMISE Mar19 Dec04 Nov02 Sep25 Aug30 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00    
 
KEE-5   04/22/2026 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($53K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EDITOR Mar16 Feb16       (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 52% 0.90    
2  PROPS Apr10 Feb17 Jan29 Jan03 Nov15 (asmussen ste)GEROUX FLORENT 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  NANOSECOND Mar19 Jan10       (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50 13% 6.70    
4  POWER AURA Mar29 Feb28       (mcpeek kennet)CANNON DECLAN 118 10.00    
5  JOIN Feb14 Dec26       (drury j)ORTIZ L 118 15.00    
6  BIG BOY THUNDER Mar13 Feb07 Dec20 Dec05 Nov05 (greenhill jeff)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00    
7  RARE ECLIPSE Mar28 Feb13 Aug30 Aug03   (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50    
8  J DAVID Oct29 Sep30 Nov22 Oct05   (hill)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 125 30.00 5% 19.00    
9  TURN AND RUN Sep09         (hancock john )MACHADO DYLAN 118 30.00    
10  JACK CHARLES         (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 125 6.00 10% 9.10    
11  TENACITY Feb19 Jan02       (mackey wayne)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00    
 
KEE-6   04/22/2026 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($140K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVELY EMMA Feb06 Jan10 Oct15 Aug22 Jul06 (eurton peter)ORTIZ L 118 6.00 11% 8.00    
2  ME GOVERNOR Mar14 Nov30 Nov01 Oct11 Aug01 (david carlo)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 15.00    
3  COCO ABARRIO Mar14 Feb06 Jan10 Aug09 Jul06 (perez carlos)CASTELLANO J 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  BIG TROUBLE Feb17 Jan10 Nov29 Oct19 Sep24 (foley greg)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 15% 5.70    
5  MS. TART Mar14 Feb06 Dec21 Oct23 Sep19 (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00    
6  BOURBON MEMORY Mar14 Jun08 May02 Mar29 Mar01 (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00    
7  PAYNT YA LATER May23 May01 Apr13 Mar19 Aug11 (moger jr)ROSARIO JOEL 118 15.00    
8  PANDORA'S GIFT (IRE) Sep19 Jul19 Jun05 Apr13 Oct13 (clement miguel)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 1.60 48% 1.10    
9  SHE'S A TEMPEST Mar07 Feb06 Jun05 Apr25 Feb22 (kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  BABY NO WORRIES Mar20 Feb06 Mar01 Jan25 Dec14 (girten tim)MACHADO LUAN 118 30.00    
SCR  JUSTINQUESO Mar14 Nov01 Oct05 Sep06 Aug04 (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 118 10.00    
 
KEE-7   04/22/2026 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($140K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHOTGUN WEDDING Nov08 Oct11 Sep21 Sep07 Aug09 (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 123 10.00    
2  ROSWELL Mar07 Nov28 Sep21 Aug24 Jul19 (mott william )VELAZQUEZ R 123 8.00 17% 4.80    
3  LYNN'S MILKY WAY Mar07 Jan22 Dec20 Nov14 Oct11 (ramirez luis )ORTIZ JR 123 1.80 23% 3.40    
SCR  MARMALADE SKYE Mar20 Feb22 Feb06 Nov27 Oct11 (jacobson david)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.50    
5  BEYOND BELIEF Mar07 Jan24 Dec28 Nov22 Jun29 (breen j)SAEZ LUIS 123 3.50    
6  EVANESCENCE Mar27 Feb05 Jun08 May02 Apr07 (kenneally eddi)ORTIZ L 120 2.50 27% 2.70    
 
KEE-8   04/22/2026 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ASTAR Jul23 Jun28 May26     (maker j)CURTIS BEN 126 15.00    
  (by SEMORAN out of MOONCHASER by STAR DE NASKRA)
2  NYQUISTADOR Mar04 Feb18 Dec26 Oct24 Dec08 (medina robert)SAEZ LUIS 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of BASHFUL by ORB)
3  VERMELHO Sep28         (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 126 10.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of RUBY LIPS by RUBIANO)
4  GO FOR ROCKET Mar29 Nov29 Oct25     (mott riley)TORRES A 118 15.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of FLORA DORA by FIRST DUDE)
5  MASTER SOMMELIER Mar25 Oct25 Oct06     (mckeever andr)MORALES EDGAR 126 12.00    
  (by TAPIT out of THE BLONDE PEQUE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
6  MORTAL LOCK Mar13 Jan30 Jan09 Dec19 Nov13 (weaver george)VELAZQUEZ R 126 6.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of MISS SOONER GIRL by QUALITY ROAD)
7  LAHAINALUNA Mar18 Jan11       (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of KITTEN'S FINEST by KITTEN'S JOY)
8  PROTECT AND DEFEND Mar01 Jan17 Dec20     (mcgaughey )HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of HOLD HARMLESS by BLAME)
9  INTUITIVE WISDOM Oct12 Sep13       (vaccarezza )GUTIERREZ MARIO 126 20.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of UNBRIDLED MO by UNCLE MO)
10  GOLD SOVEREIGN Jan09 Oct08 Sep07 Jul04   (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 4.00 34% 1.90    
  (by STEPHEN GOT EVEN out of GOLDEN INDEED by ALLEN'S PROSPECT)
11  DINGLEWOOD Mar21 Jan10       (motion graha)MACHADO LUAN 118 10.00    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of SMART EMMA by SMART STRIKE)
12  BULL SHOALS Feb22         (antonucci je)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 5.00 34% 1.90    
  (by COX'S RIDGE out of RAPID WATER by LIAM'S MAP)
SCR  LIMITED EDITION Mar13 Jan17 Dec19 Jul04 May15 (antonacci phi)ORTIZ JR 126 3.50    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of NONSENSICAL by STREET SENSE)
SCR  SWERVE Mar21 Feb17 Jan19 Dec20 Aug09 (desormeaux keit)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
  (by LIL E. TEE out of HAWAIIAN QUERY by HAWAII)
SCR  MR BOBO Feb18 Dec18 Nov01 Aug30 Aug11 (o'dwyer jeremi)MACHADO LUAN 126 12.00    
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of LADY JUNE BUG by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
SCR  CULTURE WAR Mar18 Jan02 Feb15 Jan18 Nov30 (medina robert)VELAZQUEZ R 126 20.00    
  (by WAR OF WILL out of MORE FUN AGAIN by ARCH)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.