Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belterra Park
Friday - September 19, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BTP-1   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/2)-(5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
BTP-2   WIN (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/6)-(5/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (5/6)-(3/5/4)-(1/2/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-3   WIN (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/4)-(3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4)-(1/2/3)-(5/1/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-4   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(5/1/4)-(4/1/9/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-5   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
BTP-6   WIN (4/1/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/9/7)-(4/1/9/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/1/9/7)-(4/1/9/7/2)-(4/1/9/7/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/1/9/7)-(1/10/8/4)-(8/3/7/2/5) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
BTP-7   WIN (1/10/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/10/8/4)-(1/10/8/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/10/8/4)-(1/10/8/6/4)-(1/10/8/6/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/10/8/4)-(8/3/7/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
BTP-8   WIN (8/3/7/2/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/3/7/2/5)-(8/3/7/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/3/7/2/5)-(8/3/7/2/5)-(8/3/7/2/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BTP-1   09/19/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NOT YET CHARLIE Sep08 Aug29 Jul16 Jun25 Nov18 (cline c)MURGIA A 125 6.00    
RIESENBERG Sep04 Jul30 Jul02 May22 Apr24 (cannon ste)MOJICA JR 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
EL FRANCO May29 Mar27 Oct30 Sep14 Aug08 (norris mike)HESS SARA 125 3.00    
MR. PETERKIN Aug28 Jul13 Jun19 Feb13 Jan16 (norris mi)CORREA L 125 15.00    
MIDNITESTATEOFMIND Jul17 Jun27 Apr29 Apr02 Dec09 (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 125 2.00 32% 2.10    
COACH CAMPBELL Sep06 Aug27 Aug08 Jul13 Jun14 (rice anthony)CALLEJA ANDRES 125 1.80 43% 1.40    
 
BTP-2   09/19/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOON PARTY Sep04 Aug23 Aug09 Jul26 Jul12 (haehn r)OUZTS W 125 20.00    
BEL ARIA Sep04 Aug20 Jul11 Jul02 Jun13 (townley s)SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 120 1.80    
SCR  WHAT'S SO FUNNY Aug20 Aug24 Jul25 Jun29 Aug29 (bates l)PAULY SUMMER 120 15.00    
SCR  GRACE CANDY Mar30 Feb01 Jan12 Dec14 Nov07 (caramori ed)FIGUEROA SERGIO 125 1.60    
FRANKLY MY DEAR Sep10 Aug30 Aug15 Jul24 Jul05 (ocasio os)CORREA L 125 3.50 34% 2.00    
SYLLABUS Sep04 Aug20 Aug14 Jul30 Jul19 (dominguez )HERNANDEZ A 125 5.00 18% 4.50    
 
BTP-3   09/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIMELESS BOUNTY Sep11 Aug20 Aug09 Jul16 Jun04 (ocasio osvaldo)JURADO EDDIE 123 3.00    
SCR  CHIPOFFTHEOLDBLOCK Sep04 Jul26 Jun13 Mar10 Feb17 (lauer michael)MCKEE J 123 4.00    
DOCTOR NASH Aug20 Dec18 Dec03 Nov13 Oct07 (cannon ste)MOJICA JR 123 5.00 56% 0.80    
INSOLITO Aug15 Jul26 Dec06 Oct13 Sep11 (estvanko rich)BRACHO A 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
NON FUNGIBLE Aug22 Aug01 Jul04 May28 May15 (dalton michelle)MURGIA A 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
BANG A RANG Sep10 Aug28 Aug09 Jun11 May17 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 125 2.00    
CAPO LUIGI Aug28 Aug01 Feb28 Feb01 Jan04 (alvarez yimi)MONCADA IRVING 123 10.00    
 
BTP-4   09/19/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THUBOOT Aug30 Aug20 Aug01 Jun20 Aug05 (estvanko rich)LEBRON VICTOR 121 3.50 34% 1.90    
LORD RIPLEY         (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 121 2.50 31% 2.30    
MADCAP Aug16 Jul19 Jun28 Jun11 May24 (alessi jame)NUNEZ Y 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
NICO'S DERBY RUN Aug30 Jul26 May25 Feb21 Jan25 (pasley iii)MCKEE J 121 3.00    
KING HAZELTON Aug06 Jul17 Jun11 May06 Apr15 (dixon jerr)ANDERSON MCKENNA 125 6.00    
DIXIE DOCTOR         (west m)PARKER L 121 4.50    
SCR  CHARLIE'S BOOK Sep11 Aug28       (wittek kar)VILLARREAL OSCAR 121 20.00    
 
BTP-5   09/19/2025 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STARTDFROMDABOTTOM Aug19 Jul09 Nov25 Oct26 Sep19 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  EXCITEMENT Aug14 Jul16 Jun25 Jun03 May07 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 123 5.00    
BIG TRUCK Jul18 Jun21 Jun02 May16 Dec18 (smith larry)OUZTS W 123 4.00    
EKATI'S WAY Aug14 Jul15 Jun16 May17 Oct26 (cline c)MCKEE J 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
VDAYTOTHETENACIOUS Mar25 Mar03 Feb13 Jan16 Nov23 (romans dale)BRACHO A 123 2.00 76% 0.30    
STAGE NAME Aug14 Jun06 Oct26 Sep10 Aug10 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 123 3.00    
WIN HERBIE WIN Aug22 Jul03 May31 May12 Oct26 (cline c)MURGIA A 121 8.00    
 
BTP-6   09/19/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZEN IT Aug21 Jul04 Jan23 Oct03   (axmaker w)MOJICA JR 123 6.00 27% 2.70    
SUPER SNOOP Aug28 Jul09 Jun18 Jun01 Feb21 (pitts helen)LEBRON VICTOR 121 6.00    
UNUSUAL ACTIVITY Aug22 Aug08 Jul10 Jun28 Jun05 (townley s)SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 118 30.00    
COMO May31 Nov29 Nov03 Aug11 Jul20 (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 119 3.50 43% 1.30    
SCR  GOLDEN SURVIVOR Jul24 Jul10 Jun18 May28 Apr04 (alessi james)CANUTO THIAGO 123 20.00    
LYTE CRUDE Aug22 Jul23 Jul10 Jan26 Jan12 (short w)JURADO EDDIE 123 12.00    
ORA CERTA Aug28 Aug07 Jul10 Aug20 Jun18 (caramori ed)FIGUEROA SERGIO 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
GHOST PRINCE Sep11 Aug16 Jul30 Jul04 Jun20 (quartarolo ant)PAULY SUMMER 118 10.00    
LANEHAYA Jan25 Dec04 Sep18 Aug30 Jul17 (cline rob)CORREA L 123 15.00 7% 12.80    
SCR  STARSHIP D'ORO Sep11 Aug23 Aug10 Jul23 Jun20 (estvanko rich)BRACHO A 121 8.00    
11  FORE FLAG Sep11 Aug08 Jul25 Jun28 Jan29 (moger jr)NUNEZ Y 123 8.00    
12  TURF CAT Sep05 Aug22 Aug10 Jun03 May27 (matejka pavel)MURGIA A 119 4.50    
SCR  DEVILISH DESIRE Sep10 Aug30 Jul26 Jun18 May22 (spanabel ke)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 15.00    
14  CHANCES TAKEN Sep13 Aug12 May25 Feb15 Jan24 (mcguire kara )GOMEZ AGUSTIN 123 15.00    
 
BTP-7   09/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Loyalty Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HER OWN SHADOW Aug16         (smith larry)BRACHO A 118 4.00 31% 2.20    
  (by TWINSPIRED out of SUNNY EMPIRE by EMPIRE MAKER)
EMBERLIGHT         (bush george)LAGUNES GABRIEL 116 20.00    
  (by CORFU out of GOFAR KRISTA by MUCH THE BEST)
ULTIMATE DESTINATN Jul18 May24       (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 118 8.00    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of CRUISE LINER by SALT LAKE)
KERKYRA Aug16 Aug01 Jul18 Jul03 Jun21 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 116 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CORFU out of SHELTOWEE'S GAL by PAYNTER)
SOUND CITY Aug25 Aug06 Jul03 Jun17   (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 6.00    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of MUSIC AND LYRICS by FED BIZ)
DUNN'S RIVER Aug14 Jul17 Jun17     (bailey ricardo)FELICIANO R 118 5.00    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of I'M READY by MORE THAN READY)
SOUP TODAY Aug13 Aug01       (stephen a)BEALMEAR C 116 15.00    
  (by EVENT DRIVEN out of PAOLA by MISREMEMBERED)
JAC'S DOE MAKER Aug06         (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 118 10.00 15% 5.60    
  (by JAC'S FACT out of EMPIRE OF DOE by EMPIRE MAKER)
TWO TWENTY TWO Aug13         (cline robert )ZONETT KEYNER 118 5.00    
  (by DANCE BRIGHTLY out of CHILL OUT BABY by CLEVER TRICK)
10  DYNAMIC VISION Aug14 Jul18 Jun25     (cline c)MCKEE J 118 3.00 29% 2.40    
  (by DYNAFORMER out of INSIGHT TO HOPE by COPELAN)
 
BTP-8   09/19/2025 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Miss Southern Ohio Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREEN LADY (IRE) Sep02 Aug23 Aug08 Aug29 Aug03 (drury jr)MCKEE J 118 4.50    
  (by TOUGH IT UP out of CAPE VERDE by CAPE BLANCO)
TIERNEY Aug27 Aug11 Jun21 Jun03 May21 (urieta johann)BRACHO A 116 15.00 6% 14.80    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of MINI MOM by PARENTS' REWARD)
MIZ KEETA Aug07 Jul16 Jun21 May13 Dec19 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 5.00 22% 3.50    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of WAKEETA by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
PRAISE N GLORY Aug27 Aug07 Jul15 Jun27 May21 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 116 8.00    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of CATCH THE WAVES by PACIFIC WAVES)
OUR LAST SONG Jul16 Nov27 Nov14 Oct28 Sep20 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of OH SO EASY by TAKE THAT STEP)
LEDGENDARY KITTEN Sep08 Aug21 Oct01 Sep17 Dec30 (lopez jacinto)JURADO EDDIE 116 30.00    
  (by WILLIAM'S KITTEN out of LEDGE'S MONARCHOS by MONARCHOS)
COUNTESS COLETTE Aug05 Dec19 Nov21 Oct23 Sep23 (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 116 10.00 15% 5.80    
  (by MEDAL COUNT out of MOBIL BONNET by MOBIL)
PARLAY Aug29 Jul18 Jun27 Jun06 May12 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 120 2.50 24% 3.20    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of MISS EMMA MARIA by TIZNOW)
FACTISIMFLASHY Aug29 Aug09 Jul03 Jun06 May17 (antonuik j)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50    
  (by CORFU out of LIGHTNING LUCY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.