Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Thistledown
Thursday - August 07, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TDN-1   WIN (9/10/8/3/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/10/8/3/1)-(9/10/8/3/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/10/8/3/1)-(9/10/8/3/1)-(9/10/8/3/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/10/8/3/1)-(6/7/8/3/1) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (9/10/8/3/1)-(6/7/8/3/1)-(7/4/2/3) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TDN-2   WIN (6/7/8/3/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/7/8/3/1)-(6/7/8/3/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/7/8/3/1)-(6/7/8/3/1)-(6/7/8/3/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/7/8/3/1)-(7/4/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/7/8/3/1)-(7/4/2/3)-(1/4/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TDN-3   WIN (7/4/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/2/3)-(7/4/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/2/3)-(7/4/2/3)-(7/4/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/2/3)-(1/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/2/3)-(1/4/2)-(7/3/8/4/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TDN-4   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/2)-(7/3/8/4/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2)-(7/3/8/4/5)-(6/1/4) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
TDN-5   WIN (7/3/8/4/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/3/8/4/5)-(7/3/8/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/3/8/4/5)-(7/3/8/4/5)-(7/3/8/4/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/3/8/4/5)-(6/1/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/3/8/4/5)-(6/1/4)-(3/4/2) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
TDN-6   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/4)-(3/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/1/4)-(3/4/2)-(9/6/3/8/5) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
TDN-7   WIN (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/2)-(3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/2)-(9/6/3/8/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
TDN-8   WIN (9/6/3/8/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/6/3/8/5)-(9/6/3/8/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/6/3/8/5)-(9/6/3/8/5)-(9/6/3/8/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TDN-1   08/07/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VERNON'S BEST Jul07 Jun17 Jun04 Apr22 Apr10 (urieta jo)MARTINEZ L 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
SILENT DRILL Jun25 Jun04 May14 Apr29 Mar26 (sweeting cra)TERRAZA GERMAN 115 5.00    
SO CO MANHATTAN Jul07 Jun17 Feb26 Jan27 Dec26 (poole m)BRACHO A 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
HIDDEN HEART Jul17 Jul07 Jun12 May26 Apr29 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 121 15.00    
SEEKING FREEDOM Jul17 May19 Apr30 Apr10 Mar27 (faulkner c)PEREZ A 119 20.00    
AQUAVIT Jul17 Jul01 Jun03 May14 Apr29 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 117 12.00    
GHOST OF LONDYN Jun25 Oct09 Sep19 Sep04 Jul31 (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.50    
MISTER ZAZU Jul07 Jun17 May26 Apr29 Mar26 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
AKIMBO Jun25 May20 Apr30 Oct09 Sep04 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 119 3.00 64% 0.60    
10  MERGER Jul07 Jun25 Jun04 May20 Apr30 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 4.00 9% 10.30    
 
TDN-2   08/07/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. THUNDERSTRUCK Jun17 May22 May05 Mar28 Feb24 (rone mike)RIVERA R 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
VERBIER (IRE) Jul03 Jun04 May27 May06 Apr08 (zielinsk)FERNANDEZ R 123 12.00    
AUGER Jul10 Jun25 May20 May06 Apr11 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 123 4.50 5% 19.00    
ROYALLY FLUSHED Jun19 Jun11 May23 May09 Apr24 (sondej am)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 123 15.00    
PUFF'SMAGICDRAGON Jun17 May22 Apr24 Apr07 Mar30 (juarez-mendoz)BARBARAN ERIK 123 6.00    
JOHN'S ROCK Jul02 Jun11 May26 Apr30 Mar25 (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 3.00 55% 0.80    
P H FACTOR Jul10 Jun18 Jun02 May22 May05 (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 5.00 9% 9.60    
ICE BLAST Jul08 Jun21 Jun04 Mar12 Mar01 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 4.00 9% 10.00    
AULD LANGE SYNE Jul09 Jun18 Jun09 May27 Nov26 (sondej amy)VIGIL NOEL 123 15.00    
SCR  OCEAN OF STORMS Jul16 Jun30 Jun12 May26 May19 (morales m)AVILES YAN 123 12.00    
 
TDN-3   08/07/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RAHY'S CHAMPION         (radosevich justi)AVILES YAN 119 15.00    
  (by SWEEP THE WIRE out of SACHI by TAYLOR'S SPECIAL)
GRITS N GRAVY Jun21         (crumley jevon)ROSENDO J 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MANCINI (GB) out of GRITTY by SOUTHERN IMAGE)
WILLIE T Jul14         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of PRESELI'S PULPIT by PULPIT)
FINALLY FRIDAY May17 Apr30 Apr02     (crumley jevon)BRACHO A 119 4.00 11% 7.90    
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of BROOKLYN BITES by GRAYDAR)
BALKI BARTOKOMOUS Jul14 Jun24 May17     (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119 6.00    
  (by MITOLE out of TOUCH OF EMMA by MIDAS TOUCH (GB))
AFFAIR TO REMEMBER Jul14 Jun24 Jun10 May17 Jun12 (genovese richard)VIGIL NOEL 123 3.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of PERIPHERIQUE by CROSS TRAFFIC)
RUNAWAY POWER Jul14 Jun24 May17 Apr30 Mar30 (cl)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 1.60 66% 0.50    
  (by HIGHER POWER out of RUNAWAY'S VISION by POLLARD'S VISION)
VANADIUM Jun24         (tumblin andrew)PEREZ A 123 20.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of AREQUIPA by HOLY BULL)
 
TDN-4   08/07/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KETTLE KISS Jul16 Jun16 Jan23 Jan07 Dec19 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.50 50% 1.00    
THE KID'S PRAYER Jul16 Jun26 Jun07 May21 May05 (rettele r)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
COMMISSIONER D Jul08 Jun16 May26 Apr28 Sep18 (fadlovich m)NUNEZ Y 123 4.50    
MOBIL MEMORY Jul16 Jun07 May21 May05 Mar30 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 2.50 11% 8.00    
BETTER HALF Jul16 Mar10 Jan23 Nov19 Nov04 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 5.00    
AMY'S STAR Jul16 Jun21 May27 Apr28 Mar31 (ruberto louis)CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.00    
 
TDN-5   08/07/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUT MY DEAR Jul07 Jun11 Nov18 Sep09 Aug29 (radosevich)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 4.00    
DANZA MAGIC Jun23 Jun02 May12 Mar24 Mar10 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 123 6.00    
PANAMANIAC Jul01 Jun18 May12 Apr28 Sep18 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 5.00 17% 4.80    
SHAKEURSKINNYLEGS Jun07 May21 Apr28 Apr09 Mar24 (skerrett jef)TERRAZA GERMAN 123 4.50 5% 18.50    
CHLOES ANGEL Jul01 Jun16 Mar10 Feb28 Feb10 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
CATABOUT Jun16 Jun07 May19 Apr29 Nov12 (rettele r)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 123 15.00    
BOX STEP Jun27 May18 Apr24 Apr10 Jan04 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 3.00 47% 1.10    
CARMEN OHIO Jul09 Jun07 May21 Dec18 Nov18 (radosevich justi)AVILES YAN 123 6.00 7% 13.30    
MISS SPRINGSTEEN Jul01 Jun11 May21 Apr29 Sep30 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 123 12.00    
 
TDN-6   08/07/2025 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance Purse ($27.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KICHI KITSU Jun21 May07 Apr23 Mar30 Dec28 (skerrett jeffre)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.50 11% 8.50    
PRAISE N GLORY Jul15 Jun27 May21 May12 Apr24 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 115 10.00    
DRILLS WILD BRAT Jun25 Jun07 May12 Nov04 Oct23 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 121 5.00    
MIZ KEETA Jul16 Jun21 May13 Dec19 Nov14 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 8.00 6% 15.10    
LOFTY COWTOWN Jun21 Mar30 Mar10 Jan25 Oct11 (fadlovich m)NUNEZ Y 119 2.50    
AUTHORITARIAN GIRL Jun21 Jun07 May07 Oct29 Sep30 (ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 121 1.60 51% 0.90    
 
TDN-7   08/07/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIVER HUSTLER Jun09 May09 Apr28 Mar06 Feb05 (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 119 5.00    
GEMSHINE Jun24 Jun09 May06 Nov20 Nov05 (lopez jacint)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
MOST ADORABLE Jun30 Jun09 May19 Apr28 Apr09 (yoder d)PAUCAR E 119 2.00 65% 0.50    
WILD MARIAH Jun30 Jun09 Jan23 Jan06 Dec09 (johnson ga)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 4.50 9% 9.80    
COWGIRLS HUMOR Jun30 Jun07 May14 May06 Apr24 (schuster robin)VIGIL NOEL 119 20.00    
SCR  ZASHIXIARAYAN Aug14 Apr22 Mar25 Mar11 Feb19 (ott l)PEREZ A 119 12.00    
BOLD RUBY Jun24 May29 May12 Dec05 Nov06 (tumblin andre)CEDILLO MAURO 119 1.80    
 
TDN-8   08/07/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OILER Jun30 May20 Apr03 Mar18 Feb27 (faulkner c)PEREZ A 119 15.00    
BOURBON WISDOM Jun30 Jun09 May27 May06 Apr10 (skerrett je)NUNEZ Y 119 8.00    
RAMSEY Jun18 Jun04 May22 May06 Mar30 (castillo j)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 4.00 17% 5.10    
SAILOR'S CHANCE Jun30 May20 May06 Mar04 Feb11 (hurley l)FELICIANO R 119 15.00    
BIG POPPER Jul08 Jun21 Jun02 May17 May03 (romero jo)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
MASTER OF THE NITE Jun30 Jun09 May27 Apr22 Mar26 (juarez-m)FERNANDEZ R 119 3.50 26% 2.80    
SCR  NEW BERN Aug04 Jul04 Jun25 May28 Oct14 (trevin)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 10.00    
SUDDEN SHIFT Jun09 Oct26 Sep02 Jul22 Jun24 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 5.00 8% 11.20    
SMASH Jul08 Jun17 May27 Apr11 Mar26 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 119 4.50 28% 2.50    
10  LEAVENWORTH Jul10 Jun18 Jan06 Dec19 Nov04 (er)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.