Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Thistledown
Monday - July 07, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TDN-1   WIN (7/2/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/3/6)-(7/2/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/3/6)-(7/2/3/6)-(7/2/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/3/6)-(3/1/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/2/3/6)-(3/1/7/4)-(6/5/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TDN-2   WIN (3/1/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/7/4)-(3/1/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/7/4)-(3/1/7/4)-(3/1/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/7/4)-(6/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/7/4)-(6/5/7)-(6/3/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-3   WIN (6/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/7)-(6/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/7)-(6/5/7)-(6/5/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/7)-(6/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/7)-(6/3/1)-(5/2/1/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-4   WIN (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/1)-(6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/1)-(5/2/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1)-(5/2/1/4)-(5/6/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-5   WIN (5/2/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/1/4)-(5/2/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/1/4)-(5/2/1/4)-(5/2/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/1/4)-(5/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1/4)-(5/6/1)-(3/7/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-6   WIN (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/1)-(5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/1)-(3/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1)-(3/7/5)-(7/3/5/8/10) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
TDN-7   WIN (3/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/5)-(3/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/5)-(3/7/5)-(3/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/7/5)-(7/3/5/8/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
TDN-8   WIN (7/3/5/8/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/3/5/8/10)-(7/3/5/8/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/3/5/8/10)-(7/3/5/8/10)-(7/3/5/8/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TDN-1   07/07/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MERGER Jun25 Jun04 May20 Apr30 Dec19 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 4.50    
SO CO MANHATTAN Jun17 Feb26 Jan27 Dec26 Nov21 (tooley jennif)BRACHO A 119 2.50 20% 4.10    
GRETCHENS MANE MAN Feb08 Jan15 Dec19 Sep20 Aug26 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 115 12.00 18% 4.60    
HIDDEN HEART Jun12 May26 Apr29 Apr10 Mar26 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 123 3.00    
SCR  COLORFUL LAD Jun17 May29 Sep30 Sep09 Aug28 (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 119 8.00    
VERNON'S BEST Jun17 Jun04 Apr22 Apr10 Mar12 (urieta jo)MARTINEZ L 119 10.00 6% 17.00    
MISTER ZAZU Jun17 May26 Apr29 Mar26 Mar12 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 117 3.50 32% 2.10    
WHO CAN'T WAIT May19 Mar27 Mar13 Feb26 Feb11 (vazquez )FERNANDEZ R 119 15.00    
 
TDN-2   07/07/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OCHO'S SECRET Jun17 May19 Apr28 Apr01 Dec06 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 121 2.50 22% 3.50    
MANGORITA Jun03 May17 Apr28 Mar24 Jan27 (vlaun )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00    
TEAM MOM NOT BRUH Jun23 May25 Nov27 Nov10 Sep18 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 119 1.80 45% 1.20    
JACK'S YACHT QUEEN Jun17 May17 Apr28 Apr09 Jan27 (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
GARDEN SECRETS Jun17 May17 Mar10 Feb12 Jan06 (faulkner )RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 15.00    
LADY GIULIANA Jun17 Jun03 May17 Jan09 Dec27 (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.50    
SCR  ELKO Jun17 May17 Apr28 Apr09 Mar24 (vecchio ca)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 5.00 10% 9.20    
 
TDN-3   07/07/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PRINCESS OPAL Jun12 May27 Mar18 Mar03 Feb05 (casalinova ti)CEDILLO MAURO 123 6.00    
SCR  ORGULLOSA PACIFICA Jun08 Apr28 Mar30 Mar12 Jan29 (doering mark)AVILES YAN 119 4.50    
MISS LITTLE BIT Jun12 May27 May05 Apr23 Apr12 (bailey ric)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 5.00    
FREEDOM PRINCESS May05 Mar31 Mar17 Feb27 Feb13 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50    
LIME TREE Jun12 Apr28 Apr11 Mar25 Mar03 (vazquez i)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 123 12.00 18% 4.50    
JENN SWEET JENN Jun12 May27 May13 Apr23 Mar23 (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 119 2.00 48% 1.10    
GUNNADIVA Jun04 Apr28 Mar25 Feb27 Feb13 (vlaun )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-4   07/07/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KERRI'S MIRACLE Jun16 May27 May08 Mar27 Mar10 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 119 6.00 11% 8.20    
DRIVEN FOR SUCCESS Jun11 May19 Apr29 Sep09 Jul25 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 123 2.00    
OUT MY DEAR Jun11 Nov18 Sep09 Aug29 Jul15 (radosevich jus)DIAZ I 119 5.00 17% 5.00    
CALI CRUISER Jun04 May13 Apr09 Mar18 Feb27 (calderon ivan)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.50    
SPICE ICE May19 Apr29 Apr09 Mar24 Mar05 (calderon iva)MEJIAS RICARDO 121 8.00    
MOBIL LADY May08 Apr05 Mar17 Jan07 Dec28 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 121 2.50 40% 1.50    
 
TDN-5   07/07/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YEARS AGO May26 Nov27 Sep06 Aug17 Jul27 (trevino stephe)DIAZ I 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
STACY ATTACK Jan15 Dec10 Nov19 Nov02 Oct21 (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 3.00 25% 2.90    
LIAM'S LASS Jun09 Nov18 Sep05 Aug15 Jul09 (crumley jevon)FELICIANO R 123 6.00    
MISS SHADY May21 Apr11 Apr02 Mar12 Feb12 (trevino steph)BRACHO A 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BLUSHING BETTY Jun16 May20 Mar13 Feb03 Jan15 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 2.50 47% 1.10    
PRINCESSOFTHENORTH Jun16 Jun03 Apr11 Apr03 Mar22 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 4.50    
SHARP AZ CAN BE Jun11 May20 Apr28 Apr01 Mar17 (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 123 4.00    
 
TDN-6   07/07/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STEVIE T Jun18 May22 Nov02 Oct22 Oct10 (faulkner rodney)FELICIANO R 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  UNCLE'S THE BANKER May30 May13 Apr23 Mar30 Mar20 (sweeting cra)TERRAZA GERMAN 121 6.00    
READ THE ROOM Jun24 Feb08 Mar27 Mar11 Feb26 (mahan p)DIAZ I 119 4.00    
BRIO Jun10 Jun02 May19 Apr22 Mar27 (urieta jo)MARTINEZ L 119 2.00    
MIDNIGHT COUNCIL Jun07 May13 Apr05 Mar05 Feb03 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 121 1.80 72% 0.40    
SAGE RUNNER Jun10 May17 Apr24 Apr01 Mar20 (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-7   07/07/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGIC MOTOWN Oct26 Oct04 Aug30 Aug14   (radosevich justi)AVILES YAN 115 4.00    
MOR STORMY Jun24 May17 Apr30 Mar30 Mar13 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 119 8.00    
THIS TIME Jun06 May03 Apr08 Sep11 Jul27 (maker micha)PETERSON FERRIN 119 2.50 42% 1.40    
SCR  A VAN ON THE RUN Jun10 Apr30 Mar30 Mar13 Feb27 (huffman can)NUNEZ Y 123 15.00    
RIVER BYE Jun21 May14 Oct07 Aug28 Aug07 (puhl kim)TOLEDO S 123 6.00 12% 7.70    
SCR  GRAY TORMENTOR Jun16 May29 May06 Apr03 Mar03 (vazquez iv)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 10.00    
SGT YORK Jun16 May29 May12 Oct02 Aug24 (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119 3.50 24% 3.20    
IVORY SKY May12 Apr08 Mar19 Feb08 Jan07 (fadlovich megan)BOWEN ROCCO 119 5.00    
 
TDN-8   07/07/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLLECT GOLD May29 May12 Apr23 Mar24 Dec27 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 123 12.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of MEADOWLEE by MEADOWLAKE)
SCR  SECRET VALENTINE Jul05 May22 May08 Nov26 Nov13 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00    
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of BETROTHED by INTO MISCHIEF)
MAMMA IN THE CLOUD         (fadlovich m)NUNEZ Y 119 3.50 25% 3.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of MAMMA WHITE SOCKS by COURAGEOUS CAT)
JEMEL Jun21 Jun09 Sep09     (rettele r)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 8.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of CLASSY CITIZEN by PROUD CITIZEN)
EXPONENTIALLY Nov06         (maker micha)PETERSON FERRIN 123 4.50 6% 15.50    
  (by THE FACTOR out of ADJULATE by FLATTER)
SCR  TAMPA TEACHER Jul19 Jun29       (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 119 8.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of SCHOOL BOARD PREZ by COURAGEOUS CAT)
REASONS WE DRINK Jun21         (radosevich justi)AVILES YAN 119 4.00 38% 1.70    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of RED SOLE DIVA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
CALLHERLARRY         (tumblin )FERNANDEZ R 123 15.00 5% 17.30    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of MANDABULL by NEWFOUNDLAND)
KINGDOM TRAILS Oct09         (wolochuk d)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 10.00    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of TROUT RIVER RED by INDIAN CHARLIE)
10  DEVOUTLY         (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 12.00 5% 17.30    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of LOVEYOU EVERYBODY by FIVE STAR DAY)
11  KELLEY JEAN May29 Apr23 Apr07 Mar24 Feb27 (morales saul )CEDILLO MAURO 119 20.00    
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of PALACE MALICE GIRL by PALACE MALICE)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.