Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Thursday - May 08, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (4/9/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/9/2/7)-(4/9/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/9/2/7)-(4/9/2/7)-(4/9/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/9/2/7)-(4/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/9/2/7)-(4/6/5)-(3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TDN-2   WIN (4/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/5)-(4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/5)-(3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/6/5)-(3/1)-(2/3/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TDN-3   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/1)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/1)-(2/3/4)-(5/6/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TDN-4   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/4)-(5/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4)-(5/6/1)-(2/3/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-5   WIN (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/1)-(5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/1)-(2/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1)-(2/3/5)-(5/4/3/8/7) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
TDN-6   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/5)-(5/4/3/8/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5)-(5/4/3/8/7)-(8/2/9/5/1) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
TDN-7   WIN (5/4/3/8/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/4/3/8/7)-(5/4/3/8/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/4/3/8/7)-(5/4/3/8/7)-(5/4/3/8/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/4/3/8/7)-(8/2/9/5/1) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
TDN-8   WIN (8/2/9/5/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/2/9/5/1)-(8/2/9/5/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/2/9/5/1)-(8/2/9/5/1)-(8/2/9/5/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   05/08/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREAT REVELATION Apr24 Apr09 Apr01 Mar12 Mar01 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 123 20.00    
  (by VERRAZANO out of SENSATIONAL CHARGE by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
2  BRAVE WORDS Apr02 Jan23 Dec19 Dec07 Sep12 (fletcher jeff)RIVERA R 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of BRAVE MICHELLE by MR. GREELEY)
3  WE NEED A FAVOR Apr19 Apr06 Feb16 Dec29 Dec14 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of VIVIAN'S GRACE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
4  INTERVAL Apr09 Mar14 Jan03 Dec12 Oct08 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 123 4.50 49% 1.00    
  (by FLATTER out of LENGTH by WAR FRONT)
5  Z BOSS Apr24 Apr12 Mar23 Mar09 Aug22 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 119 12.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of COSMIC ENERGY by UNBRIDLED ENERGY)
SCR  TIZART Apr19 Mar16 Feb28 Jan07   (tumblin andrew)PEREZ A 123 20.00    
  (by THE BIG BEAST out of TIZ FOUR by TIZNOW)
7  IT'S LAST CALL Apr02 Mar20 Feb04 Jan06 Dec23 (juarez-mendoz)BARBARAN ERIK 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BRETHREN out of EILA by BENNY THE BULL)
8  BOLT'S TREASURE Apr25 Apr04 Mar16 Feb03 Jan17 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 3.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of TREASURE BOX by LEMON DROP KID)
9  CREEK Apr09 Mar20 Mar04 Feb12 Jan24 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 123 8.00 19% 4.30    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of GULF by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
 
TDN-2   05/08/2025 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAJESTIC FLAG Oct22 Oct11 Sep09 Aug19 Jul25 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 119 12.00    
2  NOTORIOUS SIXOHTWO Apr11 Mar30 Mar20 Mar10 Feb11 (urieta johan)TAVARES JAVIER 121 4.00    
3  IAN GLASS Apr22 Apr13 Mar22 Mar08 Jan19 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.50    
4  INSIDE STUNT Apr22 Apr05 Mar20 Mar10 Feb28 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 123 2.00 51% 1.00    
5  AQUITANIA ARRIVAL Oct23 Oct08 Sep20 Sep10 Aug10 (rivera nest)NUNEZ Y 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  LOGICO Apr22 Apr01 Mar13 Jan27 Dec28 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 121 2.50 25% 3.10    
 
TDN-3   05/08/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALTER THE STARS Apr07 Mar31 Mar22 Mar05 Jan27 (suarez javie)GONZALEZ KEVIN 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DEVRA WARRIOR Apr27 Apr07 Mar30 Mar19 Mar06 (suarez javier)PEREZ A 119 3.50    
3  CASTLE MAGIC Apr11 Feb03 Jan15 Dec03 Nov20 (gorham m)RIVERA R 119 1.20 69% 0.40    
4  QUICK RECOVERY Apr12 Mar22 Feb28 Jan27 Jan09 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 1.80    
SCR  KANTBACKOFF Apr22 Apr12 Mar31 Mar22 Mar10 (bailey ricard)SIMPSON JASON 119 8.00    
 
TDN-4   05/08/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARGER Mar31 Mar06 Jan29 Aug13 Jul15 (calderon ivan)AVILES YAN 119 5.00    
2  KARTANO Apr04 Mar16 Mar02 Feb21 Jan25 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 1.60 62% 0.60    
3  LAW OF THE JUNGLE Apr22 Mar26 Mar11 Mar01 Jan29 (poole m)BRACHO A 119 3.50 16% 5.40    
4  SMALL SAILOR Apr29 Apr10 Mar26 Mar11 Mar03 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  KLAATU Apr01 Mar03 Feb06 Nov27 Oct29 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 119 12.00    
SCR  STAR SHOPPING Apr21 Apr11 Apr03 Mar27 Feb28 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 119 1.80    
 
TDN-5   05/08/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIGH FIRE Apr05 Mar10 Jan23 Jan13 Nov04 (johnson gary)KEISER CHELSEY 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  MOBIL LADY Apr05 Mar17 Jan07 Dec28 Dec04 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 119 3.50    
3  GOODNESS SAKES Apr23 Mar27 Mar10 Feb08 Dec19 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 119 12.00    
4  KERRI'S MIRACLE Mar27 Mar10 Feb08 Jan23 Jan13 (vazquez ivan)STOKES J 119 5.00    
5  THE MIRACLE KIUT Apr05 Mar27 Mar10 Feb08 Jan07 (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 1.80 30% 2.40    
6  CROSSED UP Apr23 Apr05 Mar27 Mar10 Feb08 (vecchio )FERNANDEZ R 119 2.00 26% 2.90    
 
TDN-6   05/08/2025 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REINVEST Apr21 Apr08 Jan29 Nov19 Nov06 (johnson gary)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 5.00    
2  SWEEPING GIANT Apr21 Mar09 Jan10 Dec20 Oct03 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 123 2.00 48% 1.10    
3  CAVENDISH Apr21 Apr07 Mar24 Mar12 Feb27 (urieta johan)TAVARES JAVIER 123 4.00 24% 3.10    
4  KADESH Apr11 Mar26 Mar06 Aug27 Aug05 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 4.50    
5  STRIKE APPEAL Apr21 Mar26 Feb06 Jan24 Dec17 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  DR JACK FLYER Apr11 Mar26 Mar04 Feb04 Jan24 (reed lar)FERNANDEZ R 123 2.50    
 
TDN-7   05/08/2025 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Non-Graded Stake Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AZ WE SPEAK Mar01 Jan29 Dec23 Nov19 Nov04 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 121 5.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of SPEAK NO EVIL by HEAR NO EVIL)
2  BANANA PUDDING Mar31 Feb27 Jan29 Jan07 Dec27 (pappada julie)BRACHO A 121 4.00    
  (by ENTICED out of PYRITE STORM by FORMAL DINNER)
3  I RECALL Apr12 Sep26 Sep09 Aug10 Jul19 (bourke joh)ALENCAR WALBER 117 8.00 8% 11.30    
  (by MISREMEMBERED out of REAL DISTINCTIVE by WITH DISTINCTION)
4  LO BUG Mar20 Mar05 Feb06 Dec26 Dec11 (zielinski ri)AYALA J 117 3.50 9% 9.70    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of TURDUCKEN by MARIA'S MON)
5  SILENT RULE Apr07 Mar17 Feb08 Dec17 Nov25 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 121 2.50 51% 0.90    
  (by STREET BOSS out of MODERN LADY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
6  LUCKY PENNY ROSE Mar10 Jan29 Dec19 Nov14 Nov02 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 121 12.00    
  (by KENTUCKY DANE out of COPPER ROSE by UNBRIDLED)
7  WORK'N ON A BUZZ Apr02 Nov27 Oct21 Sep23 Aug30 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of BUZZ HOME by BELLAMY ROAD)
8  SHE'S CRAFTY Apr07 Mar17 Sep23 Aug27 Aug10 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 117 12.00 5% 18.80    
  (by FLAT OUT out of CRAFTY TIGRESS by HOLD THAT TIGER)
9  R THREE ANGELS Apr07 Mar27 Feb26 Feb04 Dec23 (dacosta )FERNANDEZ R 117 20.00    
  (by KISS THE GHOST out of HOT TUB HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
 
TDN-8   05/08/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIZZY'S DREAM Apr12         (me)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DREAMLINER out of A ROSE FOR LIZZY by BODEMEISTER)
SCR  SHEMITEBEAPORCHE Mar20 Mar06 Feb05 Jan24 Dec18 (bird d)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 3.00 13% 6.90    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of TIDALOVE by TIDAL VOLUME)
3  GABADOST Dec09 Nov07 Oct08 Sep24   (fadlovich m)NUNEZ Y 119 2.50    
  (by FORT LARNED out of THIRST FOR TRUTH by STAY THIRSTY)
4  BOLD NICKY Dec17 Dec05 Nov20 Nov06 Oct17 (maddox racha)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 30.00    
  (by BOLD RED out of WEST POINT STAR by STAR DABBLER)
5  BIONDETTISNITEMARE         (faulkner c)PEREZ A 119 12.00 8% 10.80    
  (by BIONDETTI out of CALLMEBELLA by PALACE MALICE)
6  MYSTICAL MOBIL Apr21 Mar20 Mar06 Jan24 Jan06 (atala jose)HOUGHTON D 123 20.00    
  (by MOBIL out of QUEEN OF SPRING by SPRING AT LAST)
7  QUEEN KITTY Apr21 Mar26       (flores israel)BARBARAN ERIK 119 15.00    
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of SHOW CAT by OXBOW)
8  MON MINOU Apr21         (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 119 3.50 41% 1.40    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of HOT FRENCH FRIES by UNUSUAL HEAT)
9  OVER THE FALLS Apr21         (fadlovich megan)STOKES J 119 5.00 10% 9.20    
  (by MOBIL out of ANGEL FALLS by KINGMAMBO)
10  ONE LADY Apr21 Sep24       (lopez jacint)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 10.00    
  (by ONE SIDED out of CHROME CRUISER by TALE OF THE CAT)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.