Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Monday - April 21, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (7/1/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/4/5)-(7/1/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/4/5)-(7/1/4/5)-(7/1/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/4/5)-(2/6/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/1/4/5)-(2/6/1/5)-(6/2/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TDN-2   WIN (2/6/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/1/5)-(2/6/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/1/5)-(2/6/1/5)-(2/6/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/1/5)-(6/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/1/5)-(6/2/4)-(2/1/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-3   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/4)-(2/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4)-(2/1/6)-(8/1/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-4   WIN (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/6)-(2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/6)-(8/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/6)-(8/1/2)-(4/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TDN-5   WIN (8/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/2)-(8/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/1/2)-(8/1/2)-(8/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/1/2)-(4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (8/1/2)-(4/3)-(1/5/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TDN-6   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/3)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/3)-(1/5/4)-(4/1/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TDN-7   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/4)-(4/1/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-8   WIN (4/1/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/5/7)-(4/1/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/5/7)-(4/1/5/7)-(4/1/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   04/21/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POWERFUL PHIL Mar22 Feb11 Jan25 Dec19 Nov02 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 5.00 26% 2.90    
2  LUNCHATTHELIZARD Mar22 Mar11 Feb11 Jan23 Nov19 (cline robert)TAPARA BRANDON 119 12.00    
3  BISCUITS AND GRITS Mar30 Mar12 Feb26 Feb10 Dec18 (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50    
4  MIDNIGHT MIKEY Jun11 May27 May06 Jan31 Jul31 (rubert)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.00 16% 5.10    
5  EL MARRO Apr02 Mar10 Feb11 Jan25 Dec19 (romero a)VIGIL NOEL 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  VENTURE ON Apr10 Jul29 Jun22 Jun05 May15 (bailey ricard)SIMPSON JASON 119 8.00    
7  CONDEMNATION Apr03 Feb04 Jan23 Jan13 Dec17 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00 26% 2.90    
8  SHOW SLIDING HOME Mar22 Mar10 Feb11 Jan25 Dec19 (johnson gary)TAVARES JAVIER 121 6.00    
 
TDN-2   04/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED STRIDE         (rone mike)AVILES YAN 119 12.00 9% 10.00    
  (by DRILL out of SMART STRIDE by SMART STRIKE)
2  COLORYOUREGGS Jul01 Jun17       (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 119 2.00 60% 0.70    
  (by BIRDRUN out of MEDIA RULES by MASS MEDIA)
3  BIONIC SAINT Apr03 Mar20 Mar06 Feb26 Feb05 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 119 2.50    
  (by BIONDETTI out of DENIRO'S SAINT by SAINTS N' SINNERS)
4  STOPTALKINGSARAH Apr07         (crumley je)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 8.00    
  (by SNAG out of CHAIN YANKER by DELTA MINER)
5  MYSTICAL MOBIL Mar20 Mar06 Jan24 Jan06 Dec18 (atala jose)HOUGHTON D 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MOBIL out of QUEEN OF SPRING by SPRING AT LAST)
6  OVER THE FALLS         (fadlovich megan)STOKES J 119 6.00 10% 9.20    
  (by MOBIL out of ANGEL FALLS by KINGMAMBO)
7  DAH FUH Apr03 Mar20 Sep12 Aug22   (flores israel)DIAZ I 119 15.00    
  (by DRILL out of HOLY HAREM by HOLY BULL)
SCR  VICKY'S GIFT Feb26 Feb10       (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.00    
  (by DRILL out of WICKED VICKY by TALE OF THE CAT)
 
TDN-3   04/21/2025 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NIGHT TIME RULER Apr11 Mar27 Feb27 Dec23 Dec03 (bailey ricardo)STOKES J 119 15.00    
2  PANTHERA'S FATE Mar18 Mar01 Feb08 Jan23 Jan07 (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 121 3.50 24% 3.20    
3  SEE SPOT RUN Apr03 Mar22 Mar01 Feb06 Jan27 (trevino steph)BARBARAN ERIK 121 8.00    
4  CAVENDISH Apr07 Mar24 Mar12 Feb27 Feb04 (urieta johan)TAVARES JAVIER 123 6.00 16% 5.30    
5  REINVEST Apr08 Jan29 Nov19 Nov06 Oct11 (johnson gary)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 2.00    
6  REAL NAUGHTY Mar27 Mar04 Feb11 Dec30 Nov16 (cline robert )BRACHO A 119 1.60 38% 1.70    
 
TDN-4   04/21/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STUNT MAN Mar11 Feb26 Feb04 Jan16 Dec18 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50 24% 3.10    
2  GONE IN A FLASH Apr07 Mar03 Feb10 Jan23 Dec05 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 4.50 29% 2.40    
3  RAISE THE PURSES Mar19 Mar11 Feb26 Feb04 Jan08 (morale)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.00    
SCR  MUTINY Apr10 Mar22 Aug12 Jul31 Jul09 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 10.00    
5  OLLIE'S FOLLY Mar19 Dec17 Nov14 Oct08 Sep04 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 3.00    
6  SPIRIT OF AKRON Apr10 Apr03 Mar19 Mar06 Feb12 (bai)GIRON ALEJANDRO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-5   04/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRST CITIZEN Mar30 Mar13 Mar03 Feb11 Jan27 (c)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 119 6.00 15% 5.80    
2  EXONERATED PREZ Mar27 Mar01 Jan16 Dec05 Nov05 (genovese richard)AVILES YAN 119 15.00 5% 17.30    
3  FAT DADDY Nov06 Oct20 Oct01 Sep19 Sep10 (urieta johanna)RIVERA R 119 1.80    
4  BAD LITTLE BEAST Mar30 Mar03 Feb11 Jan28 Dec26 (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 15.00    
5  DEEP FAITH Mar22 Mar12 Mar03 Dec26 Dec08 (morales saul)TAVARES JAVIER 123 6.00    
SCR  CHARGER Mar31 Mar06 Jan29 Aug13 Jul15 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 123 4.50    
SCR  NOBLE BEHAVIOR Mar13 Jan24 Dec26 Dec10 Oct29 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 119 20.00    
8  STAR SHOPPING Apr11 Apr03 Mar27 Feb28 Jan30 (rivera r)FELICIANO R 119 2.50 42% 1.40    
 
TDN-6   04/21/2025 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RICHIESGOTGAME Apr01 Feb26 Feb13 Jan15 Dec05 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 119 3.50    
SCR  WASHINGTON'S UNION Mar24 Mar12 Feb27 Feb11 Jan29 (radosevich)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 2.50    
3  STRIKE APPEAL Mar26 Feb06 Jan24 Dec17 Nov13 (winters michell)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00 7% 12.70    
4  SWEEPING GIANT Mar09 Jan10 Dec20 Oct03 Sep11 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 119 1.60 38% 1.70    
SCR  SIGHT UNSEEN Feb27 Feb03 Jan13 Dec26 Nov19 (ray kevin)SIMPSON JASON 119 10.00    
SCR  GROUP EIGHTEEN Apr03 Mar22 Mar13 Mar01 Feb01 (urieta johanna)RIVERA R 119 5.00    
 
TDN-7   04/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUEENOFTHEBUCKEYE Dec03 Nov18 Sep19 Jun22 May23 (rubert)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.00 37% 1.70    
2  SUSHI Q Apr05 Mar18 Mar05 Jan29 Jan13 (morales saul )BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00    
3  JE SUIS RAPIDE Mar31 Jan30 Jan16 Jan02 Dec04 (meyers sha)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 3.00    
4  CAUSE OF LOVE Apr09 Mar27 Mar10 Feb08 Jan09 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  PRETTY PATTY Mar18 Mar05 Feb08 Jan29 Jan13 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 4.50 37% 1.70    
SCR  MISSION GIRL Dec04 Nov18 Oct09 Sep11 Aug21 (rivera r)BOWEN ROCCO 119 10.00    
SCR  IN MY MEMORIES Apr09 Mar09 Mar01 Feb07 Jan17 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 115 2.00    
 
TDN-8   04/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CATTY REMARK Mar20 Feb26 Feb10 Sep24   (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 25% 3.00    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of HARD LESSON by DYNAFORMER)
SCR  PIRINOLA Mar20 Feb26       (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of WHAT A TWIT by UNBRIDLED MAN)
SCR  BOLD NICKY Dec17 Dec05 Nov20 Nov06 Oct17 (maddox racha)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 20.00    
  (by BOLD RED out of WEST POINT STAR by STAR DABBLER)
4  HEARTFELT CHERRIES Mar20         (urieta johanna)HOUGHTON D 123 3.00 27% 2.60    
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of CLEVELAND by EMPIRE MAKER)
5  MON MINOU         (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 119 10.00 23% 3.30    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of HOT FRENCH FRIES by UNUSUAL HEAT)
6  COWGIRLTAKEMEAWAY Nov07         (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 119 12.00    
  (by FORT LARNED out of BLESSINGSOFLIBERTY by CONSTITUTION)
7  ONE LADY Sep24         (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ONE SIDED out of CHROME CRUISER by TALE OF THE CAT)
8  QUEEN KITTY Mar26         (flores isr)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 4.50    
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of SHOW CAT by OXBOW)
9  PEEKABOO MOM Sep12 Aug22 Aug06     (vazquez ivan)STOKES J 119 5.00    
  (by JAC'S FACT out of PICTURE OF MOM by CAT POWER)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.