Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Tuesday - April 01, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/1)-(4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1)-(4/1)-(7/3/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-2   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/1)-(7/3/2/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/1)-(7/3/2/1)-(4/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-3   WIN (7/3/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/2/1)-(7/3/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/2/1)-(7/3/2/1)-(7/3/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/2/1)-(4/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/3/2/1)-(4/5/2)-(1/4/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-4   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/2)-(1/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2)-(1/4/6)-(4/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-5   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/6)-(1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/6)-(4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/4/6)-(4/2)-(3/6/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-6   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/2)-(3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-7   WIN (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/2)-(3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
MVR-8   WIN (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/2)-(3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   04/01/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THISISRIDICULOUS Mar12 Feb11 Feb04 Jan16 Dec23 (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ A 126 5.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  TEARAWAY TOM Mar19 Feb19       (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 1.60    
3  BREEZE THE BAYOU Mar12 Feb11 Feb03 Dec11 Nov29 (skerrett jeffr)DIAZ I 126 2.00 40% 1.50    
4  TWICE SHY Mar12 Feb11 Jan16 Dec08 Nov25 (spiess sha)SMITH DIOGDINABI 126 4.00 19% 4.20    
5  DIXIE MAN Mar12 Feb11 Jan16 Dec02 Nov19 (schuster r)WEATHERLY BAILEY 126 10.00    
6  GREAT REVELATION Mar12 Mar01 Feb12 Feb03 Jan16 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 126 12.00    
 
MVR-2   04/01/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANDYMONIUM Mar11 Feb26 Nov18 Sep26 Sep05 (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ E 124 4.50 5% 19.00    
2  GRACIE DANCE Mar11 Jan24 Dec23 Nov27 Nov05 (skerre)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00    
SCR  MAY MAYS CASTLE Mar22 Mar11 Oct15 May05 Apr21 (urieta johann)CEDILLO MAURO 124 20.00    
4  GOLDENEYE MAGIC Mar05 Feb12 Jan08 Dec05   (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 0.60 62% 0.60    
5  SHARP AZ CAN BE Mar17 Feb26 Feb10 Dec28 Nov18 (urieta j)FERNANDEZ R 124 3.00    
 
MVR-3   04/01/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHEZA SAID GOODBYE Mar17 Feb13 Mar19     (spiess sha)SMITH DIOGDINABI 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  OCHO'S SECRET Dec06 Nov13 Oct30 Oct16 Aug19 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 124 3.00 6% 16.70    
3  LOVEUMOM Mar20 Mar03 Dec02 Oct30 Oct07 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 116 4.50 12% 7.40    
4  NOTHING BUT TIME Mar17 Mar04 Feb13 Jan15 Dec18 (smith larry)BRACHO A 124 6.00    
5  WIZ THE BOMB Mar21 Feb13 Dec11 Oct25   (leitch daniel)CEDILLO MAURO 116 5.00    
6  RED DELICIOUS Feb28 Jan07 Sep22 Jul29 Jul15 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 124 15.00    
7  MISS ATHLETIC Mar25 Feb06 Dec28 Dec06 Nov15 (higham)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 1.80 57% 0.80    
 
MVR-4   04/01/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($25.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGIC PALACE Feb04 Dec23 Aug15 Jul16 Jun22 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 12.00    
2  YOGA QUEEN May16 Apr27 Feb28 Feb07 Jan13 (clark robert)HALDAR J 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
3  HONEY BELLA Mar05 Feb10 Feb03 Jan15 Dec27 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 126 1.80    
4  LOADED ONCE MORE Mar17 Feb26 Feb10 Jan25 Dec27 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.60 44% 1.30    
5  LARIMAR Mar17 Feb26 Nov06 Oct07 Sep29 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 24% 3.10    
 
MVR-5   04/01/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RICHIESGOTGAME Feb26 Feb13 Jan15 Dec05 Nov22 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 124 1.20 58% 0.70    
2  CANDY INVASION Mar12 Feb12 Jan08 Dec17 Nov13 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 3.50    
3  KLAATU Mar03 Feb06 Nov27 Oct29 Oct11 (sondej amy)WEATHERLY BAILEY 124 15.00    
4  MILANO Mar13 Jan25 Jan07 Dec04 Jun03 (clouston edw)TAPARA BRANDON 124 3.00 12% 7.50    
SCR  MONSTER HUNTER Mar22 Mar06 Feb03 Jan25 Jan13 (gonzalez d)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 10.00    
6  KRUG Feb04 Jan27 Dec02 Nov11 Oct27 (lopez e)TAPARA LUIS 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  DELTA RIDGE Mar22 Mar01 Jan29 Dec09 Nov18 (pappada julie)CEDILLO MAURO 124 12.00    
 
MVR-6   04/01/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAGE RUNNER Mar20 Mar11 Feb03 Jan25 Jan06 (vecchio caryn)HERMAN NOEL 121 10.00    
2  CAPTURE MI Mar17 Feb26 Feb08 Jan28 Dec28 (vlaun manue)NUNEZ Y 124 5.00 32% 2.20    
3  TIME THE AVENGER Mar25 Mar13 Aug31 Apr29 Feb29 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 124 3.00    
4  DON'T STOP Feb26 Feb06 Jan02 Dec11 Nov06 (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.00 35% 1.90    
SCR  RUN FOR REAGAN Feb08 Jan13 Dec28 Dec10 Nov27 (maddox racha)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 2.50    
SCR  A BIT OF CAPTAIN Mar05 Jan24 Jul24 Jun29 May10 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 124 8.00    
SCR  MEXITEXAFORNIA Mar17 Jan07 Nov25 Nov07 Oct22 (crumley je)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 12.00    
 
MVR-7   04/01/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG ROWDY DAN Mar13 Mar05 Jan16 Dec11 Nov20 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.50    
2  MAKING ME CRAZY Jan16 Dec28 Dec11 Nov26 Oct19 (mahan jo)FERNANDEZ R 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  BLUE MAX Mar13 Feb12 Jan29 Dec23 Dec04 (buttigieg kevi)DIAZ I 124 2.00 54% 0.90    
4  LOGICO Mar13 Jan27 Dec28 Dec11 May21 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 1.80    
SCR  COLLECTORATE Mar10 Jan09 Jun23 Jun02 Nov07 (bracho jr)PAUCAR E 124 10.00    
6  POKER PARTNER Mar20 Feb08 Jan23 Dec28 Nov25 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 124 8.00 17% 5.00    
 
MVR-8   04/01/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWING STATE Jan11 Dec30 Dec14 Nov14 Oct12 (g)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 124 3.00    
2  FALK Mar05 Dec12 Oct15 Oct08 Aug07 (winters michelle)STOKES J 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  KINDERHOOK Mar19 Feb27 Dec17 Nov06 Oct11 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 30% 2.30    
4  FROSTY PAWS Mar12 Dec30 Dec02 Nov14 Oct19 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00    
5  SAMMY AND SHORTY Mar11 Feb10 Jan24 Jan09 Dec16 (winters mich)HALDAR J 124 3.50    
6  MEDIA DARLING Mar19 Jan27 Jan16 Dec17 Apr29 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 5.00 18% 4.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.