Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Thursday - March 27, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/4)-(1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4)-(1/5)-(4/6/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-2   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/5)-(4/6/5/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/5)-(4/6/5/3)-(6/2/4/1) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
MVR-3   WIN (4/6/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/5/3)-(4/6/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/5/3)-(4/6/5/3)-(4/6/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/5/3)-(6/2/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/6/5/3)-(6/2/4/1)-(7/8/5/6) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-4   WIN (6/2/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/4/1)-(6/2/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/4/1)-(6/2/4/1)-(6/2/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/4/1)-(7/8/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4/1)-(7/8/5/6)-(1/6/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-5   WIN (7/8/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/5/6)-(7/8/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/5/6)-(7/8/5/6)-(7/8/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/8/5/6)-(1/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/8/5/6)-(1/6/5)-(5/3/7/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-6   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/5)-(5/3/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5)-(5/3/7/6)-(2/9/8/7/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-7   WIN (5/3/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/7/6)-(5/3/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/7/6)-(5/3/7/6)-(5/3/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/7/6)-(2/9/8/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
MVR-8   WIN (2/9/8/7/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/9/8/7/5)-(2/9/8/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/9/8/7/5)-(2/9/8/7/5)-(2/9/8/7/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   03/27/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MIT MONKEY Mar14 Jan19 Dec21 Nov17 Jul30 (reed r)HALDAR J 121 1.60    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of NEVERTHESAME by SCAT DADDY)
2  DU MONDE Mar05 Dec07 Nov02 Sep22 Aug25 (hill j)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 4.00 13% 6.40    
  (by STREET BOSS out of AFFAGATO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
3  STEAL THE RHODE Feb23 Feb09 Jan25 Jan04 Oct03 (pappada julie)CEDILLO MAURO 126 10.00    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of EIGHTH COMMANDMENT by BROKEN VOW)
4  CAESAREA Mar01         (reed r)TAPARA BRANDON 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TEXAS RYANO out of TWINKLE TOES by MANILA)
5  JEDI'S WAY Mar04 Feb04 Jan16 Dec23 Nov29 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 2.50 63% 0.60    
  (by I'M STEPPIN' IT UP out of RACHAELS WAY by PETIONVILLE)
6  HOW'YA GETTING ON Feb27 Feb08 Jan29 Dec21   (campos paulo)MEZA JJ 118 8.00    
  (by CARACARO out of RACYN WITH GRACYN by VICTORY GALLOP)
 
MVR-2   03/27/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEAUTIFUL CHARADE Feb26 Feb10 Dec09 Nov21 Nov05 (hamm timothy)BRACHO A 124 2.50 38% 1.60    
SCR  EXALTADA Oct26 Oct09       (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 116 5.00    
SCR  DREAMING OF WAR Mar20 Feb26 Jan24 Oct09 Sep09 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 116 3.50    
4  FOXY'S COUNTRY HIT Feb10 Jan25 Dec27 Dec10 Nov13 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 116 3.00    
5  FLASHY N Mar20 Mar05 Dec26 Dec11 Nov11 (rivera r)STOKES J 116 8.00 15% 5.70    
6  STICK AROUND Feb26 Dec27 Nov21 Sep23 Aug10 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00    
 
MVR-3   03/27/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUTA JAIL ON BAIL Feb28 Feb06 Jan25 Jan06 Dec19 (erdel john)PEREZ A 124 6.00    
2  ROYAL DECADENCE Feb03 Sep14 Sep05 Aug22 Jul24 (short travis )CEDILLO MAURO 124 20.00    
3  DOMI Mar11 Jan23 Jan07 Dec27 Dec10 (s)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  LT'S JACKNTHEBOX Mar20 Mar11 Feb03 Jan25 Jan06 (gonzalez d)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 3.00 53% 0.90    
5  HURRICANE DUDE Feb15 Feb01 Jan17 Dec22 Dec06 (hamm timothy)STOKES J 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  JAY Mar13 Mar01 Jan24 Jul27 Jun21 (farrior anth)BATISTA A 124 3.50 18% 4.40    
7  PHOTO HOP Feb28 Jan23 Jan02 Dec13 Nov21 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.80    
8  C C'S CLEAR CREEK Mar10 Feb28 Dec04 Nov19 Nov11 (schuster r)WEATHERLY BAILEY 124 12.00    
 
MVR-4   03/27/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DESTINO Mar13 Feb08 Jan23 Jan07 Nov26 (morales m)PEREZ A 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  BUCKET LIST Mar13 Feb08 Jan13 Dec11 Nov26 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 124 2.50 25% 3.00    
3  BUEHLER'S DAY OFF Mar13 Jan28 Jan07 Dec12 Nov07 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 3.50    
4  DIXIE'S TWO STENTS Mar13 Mar04 Feb12 Jan14 Nov26 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  NAPA DUDE Mar01 Jan29 Jan09 Aug20 Jul22 (casalinova ti)SIMPSON JASON 124 15.00    
6  HUB Mar13 Feb08 Jan15 Nov27 Oct22 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 1.80 48% 1.10    
7  DEUS EX MACHINA Mar13 Feb08 Nov04 Oct14 Oct01 (spiess shane )BRACHO A 124 6.00    
 
MVR-5   03/27/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BAD LITTLE BEAST Mar03 Feb11 Jan28 Dec26 Dec12 (winters mich)HALDAR J 124 8.00    
2  MASON A. P. Mar12 Nov27 Oct29 Aug02 Jul25 (hill j)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.50    
3  MAMBA FOREVER Mar01 Feb06 Jan07 Dec16 Nov27 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 4.50    
4  BOSS BEAR Mar01 Feb06 Jan16 Dec03 Nov14 (skerrett j)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 20.00    
5  EXONERATED PREZ Mar01 Jan16 Dec05 Nov05 Oct21 (tumblin andrew)VIGIL NOEL 124 15.00 7% 13.20    
6  THE RED MAN Mar10 Feb27 Feb06 Jan27 Dec16 (szczepanski emily)PEREZ A 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  SLIPPERY WHEN WET Feb27 Feb04 Jan27 Dec16 Nov20 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.00 44% 1.30    
8  NIGHT TIME RULER Feb27 Dec23 Dec03 Nov14 Nov06 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 6.00 19% 4.30    
9  HAD RIGHT Mar01 Feb06 Jan16 Dec26 Dec05 (huffman can)NUNEZ Y 124 12.00    
 
MVR-6   03/27/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GO GIRL Mar01 Feb08 Jan13 Dec28 Dec03 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 53% 0.90    
2  KERRI'S MIRACLE Mar10 Feb08 Jan23 Jan13 Dec28 (vazquez ivan)STOKES J 124 8.00    
3  GOODNESS SAKES Mar10 Feb08 Dec19 Dec04 Nov14 (rivera r)RIVERA R 124 10.00    
4  THE MIRACLE KIUT Mar10 Feb08 Jan07 Dec11 Nov18 (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 1.60    
5  CAUSE OF LOVE Mar10 Feb08 Jan09 Dec16 Dec03 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  CROSSED UP Mar10 Feb08 Jan23 Jan13 Dec11 (vecchio ca)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 4.00 12% 7.60    
SCR  MIZZEN THE POINT Mar18 Feb27 Jan28 Jan08 Dec02 (overholt)FERNANDEZ R 124 10.00    
 
MVR-7   03/27/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($30.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIBERTY BELLE Feb26 Feb04 Dec10 Nov25 Oct10 (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 3.50    
2  R THREE ANGELS Feb26 Feb04 Dec23 Oct26 Sep23 (dacosta jason)HOUGHTON D 123 10.00    
3  GRAY ROYALITY Feb26 Feb04 Dec03 Nov05 Apr23 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 4.50 15% 5.90    
4  TIZ INDEPENDENCE Mar13 Feb26 Jan28 Jan15 Dec23 (skerrett)MARTINEZ A 123 20.00    
5  RED HOT LASS Feb26 Dec10 Nov25 Oct01 Jul11 (skerrett jeff)BRACHO A 123 1.20 54% 0.90    
6  SHEISTHEHERO Mar05 Feb10 Jan25 Dec28 Dec10 (lo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  MISS FUSSY PANTS Mar13 Jan24 Jan03 Dec27 Nov21 (rivera r)RIVERA R 123 6.00 11% 7.90    
 
MVR-8   03/27/2025 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHY KENNY WHY Feb26 Feb08 Jan27 Jan07 Nov12 (casalinova ti)SIMPSON JASON 124 20.00    
2  DUSTY BILLY Mar13 Feb26 Jan15 Dec28 Dec16 (bird danny)WEATHERLY BAILEY 116 1.20 49% 1.00    
3  FORT GRANDE Mar13 Feb26 Feb11 Jan27 Jan09 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 124 3.50    
4  WHO CAN'T WAIT Mar13 Feb26 Feb11 Jan28 Jan09 (va)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00    
5  DRILL'S BOY Mar13 Jan09 Dec19 Nov13 Oct28 (romero a)CEDILLO MAURO 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  SEEKING FREEDOM Mar13 Feb26 Feb11 Jan27 Jan09 (faulkner ro)NUNEZ Y 124 15.00    
7  MOONSHINE JOE Mar13 Feb26 Feb11 Jan28 Jan09 (r)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  BOBBY ROB Mar13 Feb26 Feb11 Jan15 Nov27 (szczepanski emil)RIVERA R 116 12.00 6% 17.10    
9  DUO Mar03 Feb08 Jan15 Dec28 Nov27 (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 116 6.00 25% 3.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.