Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sunland Park
Friday - January 17, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SUN-1   WIN (6/4/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/9/7)-(6/4/9/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/9/7)-(6/4/9/7)-(6/4/9/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (6/4/9/7)-(2/1/4/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
SUN-2   WIN (2/1/4/9/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/1/4/9/5)-(2/1/4/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/1/4/9/5)-(2/1/4/9/5)-(2/1/4/9/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (2/1/4/9/5)-(3/5/6/7/4) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4/9/5)-(3/5/6/7/4)-(7/6/3/9) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
SUN-3   WIN (3/5/6/7/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/5/6/7/4)-(3/5/6/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/5/6/7/4)-(3/5/6/7/4)-(3/5/6/7/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6/7/4)-(7/6/3/9)-(2/10/6/1/9) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
SUN-4   WIN (7/6/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/3/9)-(7/6/3/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/3/9)-(7/6/3/9)-(7/6/3/9) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (7/6/3/9)-(2/10/6/1/9)-(5/3/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
SUN-5   WIN (2/10/6/1/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/10/6/1/9)-(2/10/6/1/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/10/6/1/9)-(2/10/6/1/9)-(2/10/6/1/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
SUN-6   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
SUN-7   WIN (6/3/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/2/1)-(6/3/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/2/1)-(6/3/2/1)-(6/3/2/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2/1)-(9/1/2/4)-(2/3/4/6/5) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
SUN-8   WIN (9/1/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/1/2/4)-(9/1/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/1/2/4)-(9/1/2/4)-(9/1/2/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (9/1/2/4)-(2/3/4/6/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
SUN-9   WIN (2/3/4/6/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/3/4/6/5)-(2/3/4/6/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/3/4/6/5)-(2/3/4/6/5)-(2/3/4/6/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SUN-1   01/17/2025 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NINE LIVES ELMER Jan03 Dec16 Nov18 Nov05 Oct02 (buec)GOMEZ PORTILLO 124 5.00    
SCR  E C RAIN Dec02 Oct25       (cadena jr)PEREZ A 116 15.00    
3  OAKLEY COURT Jan09 Oct23 Oct13 Sep28 Aug17 (amparan)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 116 12.00    
4  GEEBEESBIGBOY Dec18 Dec02 Nov12 Sep08 Jun15 (soto salv)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 4.50 25% 3.00    
5  JAZZY RED Jan03 Dec09 Nov26 Mar08 Feb29 (gutierrez taurino)JAIME R 119 20.00    
6  HARDBALL Nov05 Oct18 Jun29     (sanchez loren)MARQUEZ LARRY 124 6.00 27% 2.80    
7  RECKLESS HOT ROD Oct25 Oct05 Sep26 Sep11 Feb23 (lambert t)NEGRON LUIS 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GRAND MARKING Dec02 Nov12 Oct25 Sep26   (hernandez ju)CARDENAS JACOB 121 3.00    
9  ALWAYS FIRING Dec16 Nov26 May04 Apr14   (bolen bradl)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 4.00 22% 3.50    
 
SUN-2   01/17/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BURNZ DA BOSS Jan03 Oct05 Sep25 Sep12 Aug25 (gonzalez an)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 4.00 15% 5.70    
2  DISCREET TIGER May19 Apr13 Dec19 Oct27 Oct04 (chacon se)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 124 3.50 38% 1.60    
3  THIRSTY ECHO Dec09 Nov19 Oct25 Oct16 Oct09 (martinez fran)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 12.00    
4  AWESOME BID Nov19 Oct05 Sep12 Aug25 Jun16 (armstrong)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 4.50 13% 6.50    
5  INDIAN NIGHTS Dec03 Oct18 Sep26 Sep07 Aug17 (barrios bernade)ROSENDO J 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  MT. TAYLOR Oct09 Sep25 Sep12 Apr28 Mar22 (arms)GOMEZ PORTILLO 124 5.00    
7  WILD FIREMAKER Nov17 Nov02 Oct25 Oct18 Sep06 (tsosie terrill)JAIME R 124 20.00    
8  REINING PESOS Feb29 Jan12 Dec05 Oct20 Sep01 (fournier irving)CARRENO J 124 12.00    
9  FACETIOUS Dec09 Sep08 Aug04 May12 Apr28 (gonzalez carlos)NEGRON LUIS 124 8.00 8% 12.30    
10  JERSEY JOE Jan03 Dec09 Nov19 Nov11 Oct05 (orona martin)MEDINA ANTHONY 124 15.00    
SCR  GORDY'S RULES Dec16 Oct25 Oct05 Sep25 Sep07 (barrios bernadette)TORRES J 124 15.00    
SCR  ARIMONY Nov11 Oct25 Oct05 Sep06 Aug25 (quiroz )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 12.00    
 
SUN-3   01/17/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MI PRINCESA Dec09 Oct11 Sep26 Sep15 Sep01 (aldavaz)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 12.00    
2  RUN LIKE KATE Dec17 Nov12 Nov04 Oct18 Sep18 (martinez )BOBROFF JACQUELYN 124 15.00    
3  ROSE GIRL Dec17 Nov19 Oct20 Oct04 Sep13 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 3.50 35% 1.80    
4  ATHENA'S STORM Dec17 May18 May05 Apr27 Feb22 (gonzalez ca)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  HEAR ME ROAR Oct26 Oct11 Aug04 Jul14 Jun16 (rust terri)NEGRON LUIS 124 4.00 29% 2.50    
6  SHELLY D'ORO Mar28 Feb22 Jan26 Dec19 Dec11 (amparan alber)JUAREZ J 124 4.50 14% 6.30    
7  WHY FOR Dec17 Oct11 Sep18 Aug24 Apr28 (cross gary)HEBERT J 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  STORMY DAME Dec18 Dec09 Dec03 Nov12 Oct11 (soto r)ROSENDO J 124 4.50    
9  ALLERGIC TO LOGIC Dec16 Dec10 Oct20 Oct06 Sep13 (gonzalez jos)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 15.00    
10  HAUTE LADY Aug25 May18 Feb01 Oct28 Sep23 (sedillo carl)MEDINA ANTHONY 124 12.00    
SCR  BOISTEROUSLY IRISH Nov19 Nov04 Oct04 Sep26 Sep11 (tsosie terrill)ROSENDO J 124 15.00    
SCR  LIL MISS CASSIE Dec09 Jul28 May18 Apr21 Apr13 (quir)GOMEZ PORTILLO 124 3.00    
 
SUN-4   01/17/2025 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLY BULLET Sep01 Jul26 May11 Mar29 Feb18 (hernand)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 5.00    
SCR  UNDERNUMBERED Jan09 Nov25 Sep11 Jul20 Feb08 (hern)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 20.00    
3  MARKED CASH Dec18 Nov25 Nov12 Dec04   (gonzales james )ROSENDO J 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  STACKERS Jan10 Dec18 Dec03 Nov12 Oct20 (barrios bernadette)TORRES J 124 15.00    
5  NESARA Dec18 Sep01 Jul26 Jun14   (cross gary)HEBERT J 121 15.00    
6  C JACK Nov25 Nov05       (marr joel)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 2.00 19% 4.20    
7  GEORGE WHO Dec18 Nov25 Nov05 Sep01 Jul14 (marr jo)FUENTES T 124 3.50 55% 0.80    
8  BEAU VERO Oct09 Sep15 Aug03 Jul19 Mar21 (amparan alberto)NEGRON LUIS 124 4.50    
9  OL' MCCLINTOCK Dec18 Sep01 Jul26 Mar29 Mar07 (gonzalez jose)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
SUN-5   01/17/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAMMY MACHO Dec18 Dec04 Sep12 Jul28 May11 (hernand)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  SCORPION SHOT Dec14 Jul21 May17 Apr05   (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 124 2.50 43% 1.30    
3  JETFIRE Dec16 Oct19 Jan13 Nov17   (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 4.00    
4  PEVS FLAT OUT FAST Nov05 Oct18 Oct02 Sep05 Dec08 (barrios bernadette)JAIME R 124 15.00    
5  CINCO TACO Dec02 Nov11       (valdez-cabr)CASTRO M 121 12.00    
6  THREECARDMONTE Nov05 Oct18 Oct02 Sep13 Aug18 (huds)GOMEZ PORTILLO 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  MIDEVIL MAYHEM Dec16 Oct25 Aug03 Jul13   (rust terri)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 5.00    
8  RIG IT RIGHT Jan09 Dec03 Oct16 Sep22 Sep05 (gonzalez carlos)NEGRON LUIS 124 15.00    
9  RAIL RUNNER Jan09 Dec18 Dec03 Sep22 Sep05 (olguin ever)TORRES J 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  MR MAKUNOUCHI Dec03 Nov18 Oct14 Oct07 Sep23 (wheeler travis)CARRENO J 124 8.00 27% 2.80    
 
SUN-6   01/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Ft. Bliss Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMPETITIVE IDEA Jan03 Dec18 Dec09 Nov26 Nov05 (cappellucci )GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of THAT'S THE IDEA by DIABOLICAL)
2  ALOTALUCK Dec18 Nov26 Oct06 Sep19 Apr07 (garrett j)HEBERT J 121 3.50    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of COLINDA DAWN by LUCKS MINE)
3  DEAN'S LIST Jan03 Dec18 Dec09 Nov26 Nov05 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 124 4.00 31% 2.20    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of MILDLY OFFENSIVE by SHARP HUMOR)
4  JAXON TRAVELER Nov26 Sep29 Aug17 Jul05 May18 (asmussen ste)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 1.40    
  (by MUNNINGS out of LISTEN BOY by AFTER MARKET)
5  REDLINE Dec05 Nov14 Sep20 Aug24 Jul28 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 124 2.50 38% 1.60    
  (by TEXAS RED out of GUADALUPE HIGH by CUVEE)
 
SUN-7   01/17/2025 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST Bold Ego Purse ($65K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STACI'S RED DRESS Dec18 Mar22 Jan19 Dec20 Nov06 (green greg)PEREZ A 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of RED SPRITE by THUNDER GULCH)
2  DASHINGLY Dec17 Nov26 Oct20 Aug30 Aug03 (fincher w)ROSENDO J 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of TIGER SILK by ALL AMERICAN)
3  CHESTERETTE Dec18 Nov26 Apr25 Jan19 Dec04 (hone bart)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 4.00 23% 3.30    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of JENNY'S SO GREAT by GREATNESS)
4  BRASHANKNOWIT Dec18 Nov17 Oct19 Sep06 Aug09 (long vaughn)JUAREZ J 124 12.00    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of BOLD BIRDIE by BIRDSTONE)
5  CLOSING ACT Nov26 Sep29 Jul13 May17 Apr18 (asmussen ste)CONTRERAS LUIS 121 2.50    
  (by MUNNINGS out of EVENING SHOW by DEVONGATE)
6  CORRINA CORRINA Jan03 Dec16 Nov25 Sep22 Sep08 (cross gary)HEBERT J 124 1.50 53% 0.90    
  (by MR. TRIESTE out of SCARED MONEY by CARSON CITY)
7  CHARLEE MAE Dec18 Nov26 Nov04 Sep08 May19 (gonzalez jos)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 10.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of CORINTHIAN LUCK by CORINTHIAN (IRE))
 
SUN-8   01/17/2025 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Borderplex Purse ($65K) 3 F PT- 5:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STUBBY Dec17 Nov26 Nov04 Oct02 Sep01 (cappellucci )GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 5.00 17% 5.00    
  (by WAR OF WILL out of TREASURED UP by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
2  HURRICANE SAYLOR Dec10         (lambert t)NEGRON LUIS 121 10.00 15% 5.80    
  (by MASTERY out of GULF by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
3  INNOCENCE Nov26 Oct02 Sep07     (asmussen stev)JUAREZ J 121 4.50    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
4  TAPIT FIRST Oct04 Apr24       (asmussen ste)CONTRERAS LUIS 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAPIT out of LOUISVILLE FIRST by GIROLAMO)
5  STREET COLORS Jan03 Nov26 Nov04 Oct12   (martinez edwi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 12.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of OCEAN COLORS by ORIENTATE (GB))
SCR  IN SPITE OF IT Dec17 Nov26 Jul14 Jun14   (marr jo)FUENTES T 121 6.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of DEAREST ONE by MACHO UNO)
SCR  ROSATO Nov30 Nov06 Oct27 Sep13 Jun16 (marr joel)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 4.00    
  (by GIFT BOX out of PINOT by INTO MISCHIEF)
8  ROGUE JUSTICE Dec17 Nov26       (finc)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 12.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of SUBTLETY by CHIMES BAND)
9  PINK PACIFIC Nov26 Nov19       (cross gary)HEBERT J 121 6.00 35% 1.90    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of PACIFIC PINK by PRIVATE VOW)
10  SAPELLO LA FINA Dec23 Dec05 Nov18 Aug03 Jul14 (hernandez m)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 12.00    
  (by GIRVIN out of JULES N ROME by DUNKIRK)
 
SUN-9   01/17/2025 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Riley Allison Derby Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WICKED TROUBLE Nov19 Nov04       (green gre)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 122 6.00    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of FUNNY FILM by CONGRATS)
2  SMASH IT Nov26 Nov01 Oct05 Sep07 Aug17 (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 122 2.50 36% 1.80    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of HENNESEY SMASH by ROLL HENNESSY ROLL)
3  TAKE CHARGE TOM Dec27 Dec04       (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 122 3.50 23% 3.30    
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of GORGEOUS GINNY by TAKE CHARGE INDY)
4  WOOD CEILING Nov26 Oct10       (diodoro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 12.00 17% 5.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of RESPONSIBLEFORLOVE by DUKE OF MARMALADE)
5  SMARTIER Dec04 Oct31 Sep28     (fincher todd )ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of JOANNIE by SMART STRIKE)
6  BLAZING TO GOLD Nov26 Nov04       (valdez-cabr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of GOLD NECKLACE by GALILEO)
7  CANDY CABALLO Dec27 Dec10 Sep15 Aug11 Jul13 (rarick wade)MONTALVO C 122 4.50    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of VIVA MALALA by MALIBU MOON)
8  EXTRADITION Dec13 Nov02 Sep27 Aug03 Jul05 (asmussen ste)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 10.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of IF NOT FOR HER by NOT FOR LOVE)
9  LAND SPEED Nov26 Oct30 Oct10 Sep14 Aug28 (craw)GOMEZ PORTILLO 122 12.00    
  (by MITOLE out of BONNEVILLE FLATS by FLAT OUT)
10  REMEMBER BIG JIM Dec04 Nov19 Oct20     (cappellucci )GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 12.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of MAYLA by SHARP HUMOR)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.