Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Thursday - January 09, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-2   WIN (7/2/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/4/1)-(7/2/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/4/1)-(7/2/4/1)-(7/2/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/4/1)-(9/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/2/4/1)-(9/3/7)-(7/6/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-3   WIN (9/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/3/7)-(9/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/3/7)-(9/3/7)-(9/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (9/3/7)-(7/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (9/3/7)-(7/6/2)-(2/4/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TUP-4   WIN (7/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/2)-(7/6/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/6/2)-(7/6/3/2)-(7/6/3/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/6/2)-(2/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/6/2)-(2/4/7)-(1/6/2/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-5   WIN (2/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/7)-(2/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/7)-(2/4/7)-(2/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/7)-(1/6/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/7)-(1/6/2/8)-(1/10/8/2/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TUP-6   WIN (1/6/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/2/8)-(1/6/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/2/8)-(1/6/2/8)-(1/6/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/2/8)-(1/10/8/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/6/2/8)-(1/10/8/2/6)-(7/6/4/5) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-7   WIN (1/10/8/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/10/8/2/6)-(1/10/8/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/10/8/2/6)-(1/10/8/2/6)-(1/10/8/2/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/10/8/2/6)-(7/6/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TUP-8   WIN (7/6/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/4/5)-(7/6/8/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/6/4/5)-(7/6/8/4/5)-(7/6/8/4/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-2   01/09/2025 2970ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THIRSTY Dec16 Dec02 Apr23 Apr03 Mar12 (alcoverde)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  MARSH CREEK Sep21 Jul04 May05     (mcfarla)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 2.00 19% 4.20    
3  MEMOLOTSAMISCHIEF Aug04 Jun15 May02 Jan29 Oct18 (barrio sergio)CRUZ M 122 5.00    
4  LITE RANCHIN KID Dec26 Nov23 Oct20 Aug24 May04 (barraza ra)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  NOW N LATER GATOR Dec04 Nov15 Jun07 May25 May04 (hodgson b)VALENZUELA A 122 6.00    
6  KNIGHTLINE Aug25 Aug17 Jul28 Jul13 Jun29 (gibson f)MONTALVO C 122 4.00    
7  COPPER COASTLINE Oct16 Sep13 Jan07 Dec10   (sepich f)CORBETT W 122 3.00 48% 1.10    
 
TUP-3   01/09/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WODETON (FR) Dec28 Nov12 Sep28 Sep02 Aug17 (fuentes ruben)REYES R 124 4.50    
2  EL JOY Dec27 Dec08 Oct13 Aug10 Jun16 (tamayo isi)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 5.00    
3  BODEMONSTER Oct06 Sep07 Aug24 Aug09 Jul31 (hedge )ASENCIO MARIANO 124 6.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  ELECTROSTATIC Dec23 Dec09 Nov13 Oct24 Oct09 (silva pabl)CRUZ M 124 4.00    
5  HAPI HAPI Dec03 Oct20 Sep13 Sep01 Aug01 (uranga je)VALENZUELA A 124 10.00    
SCR  MR NAVIGATOR Dec23 Dec03 Nov20 Oct27 Sep28 (ga)DA FAUSTO 124 10.00    
7  SLEW'S BAK Dec17 Nov18 Sep24 Aug05 Jul16 (brown jared)MOJICA O 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GRAPE NUTS WARRIOR Dec30 Nov12 Oct20 Sep01 Aug04 (peery debbie)KRIGGER K 124 8.00    
9  CROSS THE CAUSEWAY Dec23 Nov27 Nov19 Sep25 Sep12 (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 124 3.00 37% 1.70    
 
TUP-4   01/09/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.7K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOOD LIQUOR Nov01 Oct05 May14 May06 Apr16 (baze t)MAWING A 122 5.00    
2  HAUGHTY KITTY Dec05 Nov15 Nov03 Oct12 Sep29 (simpson shan)RODRIGUEZ JOSE 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  DADDY CLASSY DILL Oct14 Jul16 Jul02 Jun11 Jun09 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 122 4.00 ★    
4  HEAVENLY VIOLET Jan01 Nov17 Sep07 Aug30 Aug17 (ortega joe)REYES R 122 2.50    
5  SALLY STANFORD Apr29 Apr10 Mar12 Feb28 May14 (hop mike)IRONEYES R 122 15.00    
6  QUEEN MYSTIC Aug17 Aug10 Jul21 Jun08 Jun01 (dennis )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  COCKTAIL PRINCESS Mar20 Mar04 Feb20 Jan05 Nov24 (silva pabl)CRUZ M 122 2.00 79% 0.30    
 
TUP-5   01/09/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SECRET POTION Dec18 Sep21 Aug25 Aug03 Jul06 (hone bart)VALENZUELA A 122 5.00    
2  JIN TONG Dec30 Dec11 Dec02 Sep07 Aug17 (toye joe)MONTALVO C 122 2.00 30% 2.40    
SCR  HARDMONEYMUCHACHOS Nov25 Sep05 Aug08 Jun15 May24 (silva pabl)CRUZ M 122 6.00    
4  BEARINGS Dec17 Nov20 Sep27 Aug07 Mar02 (evans justin)MOJICA O 122 4.00 28% 2.60    
5  SENSICAL Dec18 Dec02 Sep07 Aug01 Jul06 (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50    
6  TEXTHELEGEND Dec05 Nov19 Aug23 Jul22 Jun17 (mcfarla)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 5.00    
7  KYSTONE Dec31 Dec11 Oct13 Sep22 Sep07 (hedge )ASENCIO MARIANO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-6   01/09/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BABE'S GOT APPEAL Apr23 Apr08 Apr01 Mar12 Feb25 (crotts ja)VALENZUELA A 124 3.00 57% 0.80    
2  MEAN SHARON Dec27 Nov02 Oct12 Oct04 Sep01 (garcia ser)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 5.00 9% 9.80    
3  ADIOS MUCHACHAS Dec02 Oct24 Oct05 Jun30 Jun08 (silva pabl)CRUZ M 124 6.00    
4  MARY MARGARET Jan01 Dec02 Nov11 Oct27 Sep29 (silva pabl)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00    
5  CHOCOLATE FRECKLES Dec02 Aug25 Jul07 Jun09 May25 (woolley)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.00    
6  IMA TROUBLE MAKER Aug30 Aug23 Aug17 Jul27 Jul21 (warren ka)IRONEYES R 124 8.00 11% 8.30    
SCR  MIST OONA B Sep15 Aug23 Aug10 Jul19 Sep16 (toye joe)REYES R 124 8.00    
8  SECRET MISTRESS Jul29 Jul09 Jun25 May28 Mar24 (sanderson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-7   01/09/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.3K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MT. ZEROR Dec27 Dec17 Oct10 Sep23 Aug06 (kereluk e)VALENZUELA A 124 5.00 46% 1.20    
2  STREETLIGHT PEOPLE Dec28 Dec19 Nov29 Oct07 Sep24 (silva jos)ULLOA JOAN 124 8.00 7% 13.60    
3  BENNIGAN Dec16 Nov29 Nov14 Sep19 Sep07 (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 124 6.00    
4  LET ME LOVE YOU Dec19 Nov09 Oct25 Sep21 Aug24 (rosales)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.00    
5  WAR ON THE WEST Jan01 Dec19 Dec03 Nov14 Oct05 (b)ROJAS EDUARD 124 6.00    
6  EXTREMELY WICKED Dec27 Oct28 Oct13 Sep24 Sep03 (matt wend)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  CAP GREELEY Dec27 Dec03 Nov14 Oct16 Oct02 (barraza ra)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 20.00    
8  THIS IS A JOKE Dec27 Dec03 Nov14 Sep14 Jun30 (ortiz manue)KHELAWAN KERRON 124 8.00 12% 7.50    
9  WOLFRAM Nov17 Oct27 Oct05 Sep07 Sep01 (leon alex)IRONEYES R 124 20.00    
10  QUEBECK (ARG) Dec27 Dec03 Nov19 Oct01 Sep16 (silva pabl)CRUZ M 124 3.00 14% 6.20    
 
TUP-8   01/09/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($14K) 3 ALL PT- 6:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BITTERLY Dec21 Dec07       (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 121 6.00    
2  FREEDOM EMPIRE Dec04         (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 121 4.00    
3  TAPITSWAY Sep07         (van d)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 20.00    
4  HOLLYWOOD IMPACT Dec18 Apr11       (silva pabl)CRUZ M 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  THE NOTHING MAKER         (belvoi)ASENCIO MARIANO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  G DAWG Aug23 Jul27       (gibson how)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 3.00 6% 17.10    
7  KARAOKE HERO Nov25 Nov13 Oct12 Sep14   (gleason m)MONTALVO C 121 5.00 72% 0.40    
8  BOB'S KID Dec07 Nov22 Oct25     (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 121 6.00 ★    
9  THREE PLUS ONE         (essex cha)IRONEYES R 121 15.00    
10  GOODBYE NOW Nov25 Nov13 Sep05 Aug22   (fuentes ruben)REYES R 121 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.