Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - January 03, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (5/2/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/1/7)-(5/2/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/1/7)-(5/2/1/7)-(5/2/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/1/7)-(7/3/8/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1/7)-(7/3/8/4)-(3/6/7/2/5) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
PEN-2   WIN (7/3/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/8/4)-(7/3/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/8/4)-(7/3/8/4)-(7/3/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/8/4)-(3/6/7/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/3/8/4)-(3/6/7/2/5)-(4/5/8/1/3) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
PEN-3   WIN (3/6/7/2/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/6/7/2/5)-(3/6/7/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/6/7/2/5)-(3/6/7/2/5)-(3/6/7/2/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/6/7/2/5)-(4/5/8/1/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (3/6/7/2/5)-(4/5/8/1/3)-(3/6/7/2) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
PEN-4   WIN (4/5/8/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/5/8/1/3)-(4/5/8/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/5/8/1/3)-(4/5/8/1/3)-(4/5/8/1/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/5/8/1/3)-(3/6/7/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/5/8/1/3)-(3/6/7/2)-(6/5/3/9/2) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
PEN-5   WIN (3/6/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/7/2)-(3/6/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/7/2)-(3/6/7/2)-(3/6/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/7/2)-(6/5/3/9/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/6/7/2)-(6/5/3/9/2)-(6/9/2/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
PEN-6   WIN (6/5/3/9/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/5/3/9/2)-(6/5/3/9/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/5/3/9/2)-(6/5/3/9/2)-(6/5/3/9/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/5/3/9/2)-(6/9/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/5/3/9/2)-(6/9/2/3)-(6/7/4/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
PEN-7   WIN (6/9/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/9/2/3)-(6/9/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/9/2/3)-(6/9/2/3)-(6/9/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/9/2/3)-(6/7/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PEN-8   WIN (6/7/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/4/3)-(6/7/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/4/3)-(6/7/4/3)-(6/7/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   01/03/2025 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAKE ME LUCKY Jul12 May16 Feb22 Jan24 Dec27 (stites will)INIRIO J 123 8.00 9% 10.00    
2  TONY'S MO Oct31 Aug28 Aug17 Jul10   (sinnefia pa)RAMOS O 123 3.00 26% 2.90    
3  WHITE SERIES Dec14 Nov01 Sep20 Aug25 Jul19 (sanchez-)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 2.50    
4  WE'RE EVEN Nov20 Oct25 Aug16 Jul19 May30 (stites p)CORA D 123 6.00    
5  BOYS OF SUMMER Nov12         (lynch catha)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 3.50 28% 2.60    
6  BEJUCO Nov15 Oct24 Oct04 Aug16 Jul25 (carpio erin)BEATO INOEL 123 6.00    
7  MAGIC PATH Nov29 Sep04 Mar15 Feb07   (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 123 8.00 9% 10.60    
 
PEN-2   01/03/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRACTICAL RACHEL Dec13 Nov12 Nov05 Oct22 Sep24 (loaiza ilma)INIRIO J 123 6.00    
2  JUST THE THING Dec20 Nov08 Oct18 Oct03 Sep08 (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 123 5.00    
3  RAININGATTHEBEACH Nov10 Oct18 Sep20 Aug07 Jun09 (brion )LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 6.00 15% 5.70    
4  UPTOWN CHARLY GIRL Dec12 Oct25 Sep26 Aug29 Aug14 (stowers michelle)AGUILAR M 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  URBAN DANCER Dec12 Nov30 Nov14 Oct25 Sep28 (machado antonio)BEATO INOEL 123 3.50    
6  LAUGHING OUT LOUD Dec06 Nov22 Oct10 Sep26 Aug22 (sullivan elli)ROJAS MARTINA 123 4.00    
7  SMILES FOR DAVID Nov29 Nov22 Nov01 Oct17 Sep05 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 123 3.00 57% 0.70    
8  SWEET MAEVE Dec06 Nov06 Oct24 Sep24 Oct28 (o'callahan )RAMOS O 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-3   01/03/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWIFT TAP Dec18 Dec04 Nov20 Nov11 Oct09 (diaz jorge)AGUILAR JEAN 120 4.00    
2  BERMONDSEY Dec04 Nov14 Oct23 Sep11 Aug16 (nunley randy)TORRES JOMAR 121 6.00 10% 9.20    
3  ZOOMER Nov28 Oct04 Sep07 Aug23 Jul26 (aguirre anthony)GOMEZ KEVIN 119 3.50 25% 3.10    
4  TUBTIMSIAM Dec04 Nov15 Oct20 Aug17 Jul26 (kreise)LOPEZ EDUARDO 121 8.00    
5  ENTRUST Dec20 Nov13 Aug10 Aug03 Jul12 (rathman elisha)CONNER TYLER 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  DON'T POKE THE CAT Dec18 Nov20 Nov05 Oct23 Sep24 (loaiza ilmar)BEATO INOEL 121 10.00 23% 3.30    
7  SOUPER ROYAL MOON Nov21 Sep27 Aug28 Jul12 Jun19 (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 121 10.00 12% 7.00    
8  CAPTAIN CARDO Dec22 Oct30 Sep30 Sep20 Sep07 (corral)ARAUJO VICENTE 121 12.00    
9  HELMS DEEP (GB) Nov28 Nov02 Oct04 Sep14 Sep02 (sanchez-salomon)MENA E 121 6.00    
10  ALIFEROUS Dec08 Nov02 Oct19 Sep27 Aug16 (keil caitli)HAMILTON WESTON 121 8.00    
 
PEN-4   01/03/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($22K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET HEIDELBERG Sep01 Aug08 Jul20 Jun29 Jun21 (corral)ARAUJO VICENTE 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  TERPEYE Dec20 Nov29 Feb21 Jan26 Dec29 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 121 6.00    
3  COLLIN'S GREY LADY Dec20 Nov13 Oct31 Oct09 Sep10 (beattie c)RODRIGUEZ R 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  SHE'S A LINO Dec11 Nov15 Oct24 Sep21 Sep03 (mcclellan c)FLORES E 125 3.00 59% 0.70    
5  RAISE YOUR GAME Dec11 Nov13 Oct07 Sep23 Sep10 (kravets b)HERNANDEZ A 123 6.00 10% 8.50    
6  FAINOR'S FILETS Dec20 Dec07 Nov29 Jun09 May09 (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 121 10.00    
7  BLAME CATALAYA Dec20 Nov13 Oct23 Sep14 Aug30 (beattie cody)CONNER TYLER 125 4.00    
8  TILTED TIARA Dec13 Nov20 Oct31 Aug28 Aug08 (kreiser timoth)TORRES JOMAR 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
9  STEPHANIE MY LOVE Dec20 Nov08 Oct17 Sep27 Aug22 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 123 15.00    
 
PEN-5   01/03/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WATASHA Dec06 Nov15 Oct13 Sep20 Nov12 (brion )LOPEZ EDUARDO 121 8.00    
2  CALI HEAT Dec11 Nov15 Oct24 Feb01 Dec15 (salvaggio mark)TORRES JOMAR 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  BAZINGA D Dec11 Nov27 Nov07 Jul12 Jun20 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 123 4.00 60% 0.70    
4  TOWN'S WARRIOR Dec13 Nov28 Nov08 Oct18 Sep07 (sullivan elliot)GOMEZ KEVIN 119 4.50    
5  SILVERBULLETTWENTY Dec20 Nov29 Nov10 Oct26 Oct12 (davis s)ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 10.00    
6  PROM KNIGHT Dec11 Nov15 Oct09 Sep20 Aug23 (mcclellan c)FLORES E 125 3.00 9% 10.70    
7  VAGABOND SHOES Dec20 Mar29 Feb17 Nov24 Nov02 (magee kie)RODRIGUEZ R 119 8.00 8% 11.60    
SCR  HOYLAKE Dec13 Nov20 Nov05 Oct22 Sep23 (hetrick krista)GILBERT KYLE 125 8.00    
9  NOBLE FISH Nov17 Sep29 Sep07 Aug16 Jul27 (alvarado diane)PEREZ XAVIER 121 8.00    
 
PEN-6   01/03/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YES IT'S ROO Dec12 Nov20 Aug15 Jul24 Jul04 (rideout ronald)AGUILAR M 121 30.00    
2  GENGHIS Nov21 Nov06 Oct17 Sep15 Aug16 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  MAGIC SPIN Dec15 Oct06 Aug30 Jun30 Jun12 (geralis emanuel)GOMEZ KEVIN 121 4.50 16% 5.30    
4  BYK Nov27 Nov02 Sep27 Aug30 Dec29 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 121 4.00    
5  CAMULUS Dec13 Oct30 Sep21 Aug10 Jul17 (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 121 3.50 25% 3.00    
6  HOUGHTON SHUFFLE Jun26 May31 May08 Mar08 Feb07 (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 5.00 28% 2.60    
7  SHOWSTOPPER COPPER Nov27 Oct30 Sep07 Aug23 Aug03 (lingenfel)RODRIGUEZ R 121 6.00    
8  UNCLE CAESAR Dec13 Nov14 Oct08 Sep16 Aug26 (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 125 10.00    
9  MAGICNTHEMOONLIGHT Oct01 Sep02 Jun25 Jun07 May17 (lake a)OCASIO M 121 6.00 7% 13.30    
 
PEN-7   01/03/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($23K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EDGE OF TOWN Nov15 Oct31 Sep20 Jul27 Jun26 (lynch cathal)ROSADO JOHAN 123 4.00    
2  TELEPHONE LINE Nov29 Nov01 May07 Mar18 Jan24 (crook-demas)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  QUIT QUAY Nov28 May25 May04 Dec01 Oct19 (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SHINING SPIRIT Dec06 Nov17 Oct02 Jul13 Jun14 (gorham michael )MENA E 123 10.00    
5  INDEPENDENCE WAY Dec13 Nov03 Sep13 Jul26 Jul13 (synnefias d)CORUJO LEONARDO 125 5.00    
6  WARRIOR'S DEFENSE Nov29 Nov07 Jul25 Jul10 Jun18 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 123 4.50 59% 0.70    
7  CHARISSE Nov02 Jun27 Jan18 Nov19 Oct15 (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 15.00    
8  FIRST FORAY Sep11 Aug27 Jul31 Jul04 Jun12 (kulp l)BEATO INOEL 123 6.00    
9  TOOTALOO KANGAROO Nov21 Oct31 Oct17 Sep24 Aug26 (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 3.00 10% 8.70    
 
PEN-8   01/03/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE'S GOT GAME Dec20 Nov29 Nov06 Sep25 Sep02 (cifarelli fran)AGUILAR JEAN 120 15.00    
2  MY BOSS LADY Nov29 Nov06 Oct11 Sep27 Sep07 (salvaggio mark)TORRES JOMAR 125 4.00    
SCR  BABY FADE Dec20 Nov29 Jun26 Jun04 May20 (o'callahan carl)FLORES E 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  JUST STAY HOME Dec13 Nov19 Nov11 Aug07 Jul24 (loaiza ilmar)BEATO INOEL 125 8.00 6% 17.10    
5  AMIRATI Dec13 Nov29 Nov13 Oct17 Sep14 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 125 2.50    
6  ME DARLIN KATHLEEN Dec20 Dec11 Nov01 Sep14 Aug28 (kravets m)GOMEZ KEVIN 125 1.80 55% 0.80    
7  SHINELIKEADIAMOND Dec20 Nov29 Nov08 Oct23 May09 (shannon jenni)TUNON JORDANO 125 8.00 16% 5.20    
8  SEVEN YEARS LATER Dec20 Nov29 Jul09 May13 Mar05 (nicholson )MITCHELL RICHARD 125 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.