Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Laurel Park
Saturday - December 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LRL-1   WIN (5/2/8/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/2/8/4/7)-(5/2/8/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/2/8/4/7)-(5/2/8/4/7)-(5/2/8/4/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/2/8/4/7)-(6/7/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/2/8/4/7)-(6/7/1/5)-(7/1/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-2   WIN (6/7/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/1/5)-(6/7/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/1/5)-(6/7/1/5)-(6/7/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/1/5)-(7/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/7/1/5)-(7/1/3)-(1/4/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-3   WIN (7/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/3)-(7/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/3)-(7/1/3)-(7/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/1/3)-(1/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/1/3)-(1/4/6)-(8/2/3/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-4   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/6)-(1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/6)-(8/2/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/6)-(8/2/3/4)-(9/3/7/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-5   WIN (8/2/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/3/4)-(8/2/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/3/4)-(8/2/3/4)-(8/2/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/3/4)-(9/3/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/2/3/4)-(9/3/7/5)-(3/6/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-6   WIN (9/3/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/3/7/5)-(9/3/7/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/3/7/5)-(9/3/7/2/5)-(9/3/7/2/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/3/7/5)-(3/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/3/7/5)-(3/6/4)-(7/4/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-7   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/4)-(3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/4)-(7/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4)-(7/4/1)-(2/3/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
LRL-8   WIN (7/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/1)-(7/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/1)-(7/4/1)-(7/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/4/1)-(2/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
LRL-9   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRL-1   12/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($33K) 2 ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PARLAY FOR DESTINY Dec01 Nov09 Aug18 Jul28   (serey m)GONZALEZ LUIS 122 20.00    
2  FIRE OF ANATOLIA Dec01         (magee kieron)CEDENO CAROL 122 3.50 25% 3.00    
3  BYE BYE WICKED EYE Dec01 Nov03       (mckenzie dani)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 8.00    
4  ARTILLERY GUNNAR         (smith hamilton)TORREALBA JG 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  DEFINED BOUNDARIES Oct31 Oct02 Sep04     (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 1.80 46% 1.20    
6  BOLD DIVERSION Nov09 Oct18 Sep28     (keefe timothy )BOYCE FOREST 122 4.50    
7  NANCIE'S BOY         (cooney susa)ROBLES O 117 30.00 5% 19.00    
8  SUPERNESS Nov29         (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 6.00 7% 13.10    
9  HOT STOTT Sep07         (bailon he)CRUZ ANGEL 122 10.00    
10  JOHNJACKJIMJAYE Dec01         (salzman jo)SANCHEZ J 122 20.00    
 
LRL-2   12/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($41K) 2 ALL PT-12:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHIPOTLE (GB) Nov08 Sep28 Aug31 Aug10   (gorham michael )MENA E 119 4.00 10% 8.70    
2  SCHRADER Nov28 Oct20 Sep11 Aug22 Aug02 (mcmahon i)CRUZ ANGEL 119 20.00    
3  JERRY'S OUT Oct17 Aug17 Jul06     (rodriguez )SANCHEZ J 119 4.50    
4  PROBALE TEN Nov20 Nov06 Sep08 Aug22 Jul25 (chapman k)LEON A 122 30.00    
5  LET'S HAVE A PARTY Oct16 Sep14 Aug31 Aug10 Jul18 (bailon he)ACOSTA D 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  KERNESS K Oct12 Sep11 Aug14 Jul03 Jun07 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 1.80 32% 2.10    
7  FEAR NOTHING Nov15 Oct25 Sep22 Aug24 Aug04 (smith hamilton)TORREALBA JG 119 3.50 23% 3.40    
8  LITTLE BIT RISKY Dec01 Oct20 Oct04 Sep14 Aug24 (salzman john )TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 6.00    
 
LRL-3   12/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($47K) 35 ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VIRGINIA CITY Oct17 Sep22       (alvarado diane)PEREZ XAVIER 125 4.00 32% 2.10    
  (by KHOZAN out of DEFOE STREET by STREET SENSE)
SCR  PUNXSUTAWNEY PHIL         (trombetta mich)TORREALBA JG 125 5.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of CHUBBY STAR by MALIBU MOON)
3  DATS MY PHARAOH May09 Apr12 Mar24 Jan28 Dec30 (mancill)BRICENO GREGOR 125 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of CRAFTY'S DREAM by BODEMEISTER)
4  JASIEL Dec02 Nov01 Oct10 Sep22 Aug25 (voss katharin)TOLEDO JEVIAN 125 20.00    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of CONGAREE PRINCESS by CONGAREE)
SCR  ST PETE'S PASSION Nov12 Oct17 Sep25 Aug10 Jun29 (martin w)GOMEZ KEVIN 125 3.50    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of PASSION POINT by POINT GIVEN)
6  PILOTE COMETE Dec02 Oct12 Sep22 Jul13 May22 (perkins ben)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 2.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of ABUNDANCE OF CLASS by MINESHAFT)
7  SOUNDBITE Nov16 Oct10 Aug05 Jun28 Jun01 (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 122 2.50 34% 2.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of ABTASAAMAH by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
LRL-4   12/14/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARROW SPEED Nov13 Oct16 Oct08 Aug31 Aug03 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 125 1.20 69% 0.50    
2  TRAFFIC MASTER Nov12 Oct16 Sep23 Sep02 Jul23 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 123 3.50    
3  GHOSTLYPRINCE Oct05 Sep19 Aug02 Jul06 Jun29 (rodriguez rudy)TORREALBA JG 119 2.50    
4  RUN FOR YOUR LIFE Nov16 Oct19 Aug18 May04 Mar31 (alvarado diane)PEREZ XAVIER 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  MOTSKARI Dec08 Nov26 Nov12 Oct05 Sep21 (gonzalez claudio)CRUZ ANGEL 118 8.00    
6  WINE COLLECTOR Nov17 Nov02 Oct13 Aug04 Jul13 (sanchez-salom)ALVELO C 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRL-5   12/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($29K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOYA DEL SUR Nov08 Oct20 Oct03 Sep05 Aug10 (magee kieron)CEDENO CAROL 123 8.00    
2  WOOHOO JACKIE BLUE Nov19 Oct31 Oct08 Sep21 Aug16 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 3.50 20% 4.10    
3  NO BODY LIKES ME Nov21 Oct10 Aug22 Aug01   (haynes m)ACOSTA D 122 12.00 12% 7.50    
4  SOCIAL LADY Nov27 Nov01 Oct20 Sep05 Jul11 (kravets bruce)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  SADIE THE GOAT Dec07 Nov29 Oct09 Sep15 Aug31 (serey m)GONZALEZ LUIS 118 2.00    
6  JESS'S GYPSY GIRL Nov17 Jun12 May04 Feb04 Jan13 (alvarado diane)PEREZ XAVIER 123 4.00    
SCR  MAINSTREAM SELLOUT Nov29 Nov01 Oct26 Sep05 Aug13 (saville nia)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 30.00    
8  SHE'SAROLLINGSTONE Dec02 Oct17 Sep15 Aug10 Jun09 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 123 3.00 42% 1.40    
 
LRL-6   12/14/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($26K) 35 ALL PT- 2:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LONG ASTRIDE Nov29 Nov10 Oct04 Sep08 Aug10 (serey mario)HAMILTON WESTON 121 30.00    
2  BRIGHTY Oct31 Oct10 Aug17 Jul12   (milosev)BRICENO GREGOR 125 5.00 ★    
3  BLIND EYE Oct13 Sep21 Jul28 Jul06 Dec07 (alvarado diane)TORREALBA JG 126 4.50 33% 2.00    
4  SHAKIN THE BELLE Nov21 Nov01 Oct03 Sep09 Aug31 (rodriguez )SANCHEZ J 126 4.00    
5  LUCKY PRINCE Oct31 Oct10 Sep15 Aug18 Jul27 (stites )ORTIZ ORLANDO 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  PRETTY JIMMY Nov01 Oct11 Sep06 Aug17 Jul26 (cooney s)PEREZ XAVIER 125 20.00    
7  WHITE SERIES Nov01 Sep20 Aug25 Jul19 Jul04 (sanchez-)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 121 20.00 5% 18.80    
8  SUPERLASTINGSECRET Nov09 Sep22       (dilodovico )ROBLES O 120 20.00    
9  D HOPPER Apr28 Mar20 Apr21 Mar03   (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 126 2.50 37% 1.70    
SCR  THIRTY WEST Nov01 Aug28 Jun29 Jun06 May09 (bennett j)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 125 12.00    
11  HALLELUJAH HARRIS Nov10 Oct13 Sep15 Aug23 Jul18 (perri g)GONZALEZ LUIS 125 8.00    
 
LRL-7   12/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($48K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FEELIN SO LUCKY Nov16 Oct17 Oct04 Aug10 Jul19 (perri gina)TORREALBA JG 122 3.50    
2  HONOR THE TRUTH Oct12 Sep02 Jul24 Jun16 May12 (gorham michael )MENA E 123 10.00    
3  SHINE ON MOON Nov02 Oct11 Sep13 Aug11 Jul07 (lynch catha)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 2.00 34% 1.90    
4  CLUCK CLUCK Feb09 Jan06 Dec17 Nov12 Oct21 (cox m)CRUZ ANGEL 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  AT FIRST SIGHT Dec07 Aug11 Jul21 Jul05 Jun15 (mcmahon)BRICENO GREGOR 122 8.00    
6  ANGEL ART Nov02 Oct10 Aug24 Jul20 Jun16 (shuman mark)RUSSELL SHELDON 126 2.50 23% 3.40    
7  BONDIVA Nov28 Nov02 Oct11 Sep14 Aug04 (keefe timothy )BOYCE FOREST 123 4.50    
 
LRL-8   12/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($55K) Purse ($56K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIVE DREAMS Dec06 Nov01 Oct19 Sep20 Sep01 (magana j)TORREALBA JG 123 10.00 5% 17.30    
2  CHATTALOT Nov27 Oct13 Aug04 Jun16 May16 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 2.50    
SCR  SWILL Nov02 Oct10 Sep07 Aug16 Jul19 (mcmahon)BRICENO GREGOR 126 10.00    
4  FACTUALLY CORRECT Oct27 Sep19 Aug08 Jul26 Jun29 (rodriguez )SANCHEZ J 123 2.00 22% 3.50    
5  KARAN'S NOTION Jul26 Jun28 May25 Apr06 Mar15 (heil nan)RODRIGUEZ L 116 20.00    
6  MIDLANER Nov04 Oct22 Oct02 Sep02 Jul22 (moore michae)HADDOCK DEXTER 126 4.00    
7  NO EASY DAYS Nov16 Oct10 Sep07 Aug16 Aug03 (mckenzie dani)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 3.50 39% 1.60    
 
LRL-9   12/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIVINE CHILD Nov10 Oct25 Oct12 Sep21 Aug23 (mancilla carlo)TORREALBA JG 125 5.00    
2  BLUE KINGDOM Dec01 Oct31 Oct13 Sep28 Aug10 (feliciano b)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 125 1.40 36% 1.80    
3  MASAKADO Nov10 Oct20 Jul24 Jun24 Jun02 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 125 10.00 32% 2.10    
4  ALWAYS A WARRIOR Nov03 May06 Mar10 Jan28 Dec15 (david carlos )TOLEDO JEVIAN 125 4.50    
5  SNEAKING SUSPICION Nov09 Oct18 Sep29 Aug17 Jul20 (aguirre ant)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  BETTA GO GO GO Nov15 Nov01 Oct11 Sep26 Sep17 (gonzalez clau)FUENTES ERICK 119 1.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.