Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Wednesday - November 20, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/5)-(5/2/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5)-(5/2/4/8)-(6/4/8/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-2   WIN (5/2/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/4/8)-(5/2/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/4/8)-(5/2/4/8)-(5/2/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/4/8)-(6/4/8/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4/8)-(6/4/8/7)-(3/7/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-3   WIN (6/4/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/8/7)-(6/4/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/8/7)-(6/4/8/7)-(6/4/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/8/7)-(3/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/8/7)-(3/7/8)-(3/2/1/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-4   WIN (3/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/8)-(3/7/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/8)-(3/7/8)-(3/7/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/7/8)-(3/2/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/8)-(3/2/1/6)-(4/6/7/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-5   WIN (3/2/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/1/6)-(3/2/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/1/6)-(3/2/1/6)-(3/2/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/1/6)-(4/6/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1/6)-(4/6/7/5)-(1/4/10/9/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-6   WIN (4/6/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/7/5)-(4/6/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/7/5)-(4/6/7/5)-(4/6/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/7/5)-(1/4/10/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/6/7/5)-(1/4/10/9/5)-(3/7/6/10) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-7   WIN (1/4/10/9/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/4/10/9/5)-(1/4/10/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/4/10/9/5)-(1/4/10/9/5)-(1/4/10/9/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/4/10/9/5)-(3/7/6/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/4/10/9/5)-(3/7/6/10)-(5/3/4/12/6) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-8   WIN (3/7/6/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/6/10)-(3/7/5/6/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/7/6/10)-(3/7/5/6/10)-(3/7/5/6/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/7/6/10)-(5/3/4/12/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TAM-9   WIN (5/3/4/12/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/3/4/12/6)-(5/3/4/12/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/3/4/12/6)-(5/3/4/12/6)-(5/3/4/12/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   11/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 3UP M/F PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AMATA Oct12         (damen)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 4.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of YOU'RE BEAUTIFUL by STORM CAT)
2  GODDESS MINERVA Nov03 Oct13 Aug18 Jul28   (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 122 3.00 13% 6.90    
  (by NYQUIST out of DEB'S CANDY GIRL by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
3  AUTUMN'S TURN Nov04 Oct02 Sep15 Jul21 Jul12 (contessa gary)IORIO MELISSA 122 2.50    
  (by TONALIST out of HANA J by PEAKS AND VALLEYS)
4  SOUNDTRACK Sep26 Sep13 Jul28     (arnett j)GALLARDO A 122 2.00 62% 0.60    
  (by UNION RAGS out of PARTY GOER by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
5  LADY MARLEEN Oct11 Aug25 Aug09 Jul06 Oct26 (mcburney patri)MARIN SAMUEL 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of MARY N' EILEEN by INDY KING)
6  HEAVENLY DANCER (BRZ) Sep23         (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 122 10.00    
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of SAINTED DANCER by SAINT ANDDAN)
 
TAM-2   11/20/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BREATH DEEPLY Oct18 Sep13 Aug16 Jul19 Jun29 (dobles eli)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 114 2.00    
2  SUIT ME UP CHARLIE Aug03 Jul21 Jun14 May25 Mar29 (arnett j)GALLARDO A 122 4.50 27% 2.60    
3  GO CHARLIE GO Aug31 Aug02       (damen)DIAZ RAFAEL 124 20.00    
4  JEDI'S WAY Sep28 Sep13       (arriagada juan)HIRALDO JOHN 124 3.50 11% 7.80    
5  COMPA Nov09 Sep06       (d'angelo jose )MARIN SAMUEL 122 3.00 28% 2.60    
6  KING DARIO Oct20 Oct05       (sacco gregor)BATISTA A 120 15.00    
7  MITHRIDATES Oct30 Sep28 Sep21 Sep02 Jul13 (delgado jose )SANTOS ADEMAR 122 10.00    
8  BIVOL Nov09 Sep27 Aug31 Aug09 Jul12 (kutt donna)URDANETA J 122 15.00 5% 18.20    
 
TAM-3   11/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAJUN'S MAGIC Nov10 Oct20 Oct12 Sep20 Aug30 (rodriguez a)OCASIO JONATHAN 122 8.00    
2  RAGTIME BLUES Nov02 Sep20 Aug30 Jul19 May30 (rodriguez ang)ARROYO MIGUEL 122 6.00    
3  SOVEREIGN OF SPEED Nov02 Oct20 Sep08 Aug30 Jan17 (lopez mari)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 115 15.00    
4  WHISTLEWHILEYOUMOW Sep15 Aug16 Jul26 Jul06 May19 (mcburney patr)IORIO MELISSA 122 3.00 6% 16.20    
5  FEAST Nov02 Oct20 Sep29 Sep20 Aug16 (lopez ro)CAMACHO SAMY 122 2.50    
6  HE'S A GOOD DANCER Oct22 Oct09 Sep20 Sep04 Aug13 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 122 4.00 71% 0.40    
7  RUNNING RIGHT BY U Oct27 Oct17 Oct05 Sep14 Sep08 (simone michael)ROCCO S 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  LITIGANT Nov02 Jun27 Apr05 Mar20 Mar06 (ochoa gerard)MARIN SAMUEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-4   11/20/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHIVAREE (GB) Aug29 Aug03 Jul05 Jun02 May24 (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 120 3.50    
2  COURT CONTENDER Sep20 Sep04 Aug28 Aug08 Jul18 (simone michael)MARIN SAMUEL 120 2.50    
3  JOHN'S PROMISE Oct30 Oct11 Sep25 Sep02 Aug23 (simone michael )CENTENO E 120 5.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  WHISKEY WEDNESDAY Oct24 Oct10 Sep27 Sep06 Aug24 (arnett j)GALLARDO A 120 15.00    
5  WOKE UP IN LOVE Oct10 Sep26 Sep16 May20 Nov01 (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.50    
SCR  COURT AND SPARK Oct22 Oct08 Sep02 Aug06 Jul15 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 120 5.00    
7  CHROMED IMPULSE Oct03 Aug29 Aug09 Jun15 May18 (cahill f)BUSH V 120 12.00 15% 5.70    
8  BAR DOWN EXPRESS Oct17 Oct04 Sep21 Sep04 Aug02 (posadas pedro)FERRER C 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-5   11/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SINGSATIONAL Oct23 Jun01 May01 Apr14 Jan21 (orantes r)HESS SARA 111 10.00 12% 7.60    
2  MO'S VINO MESA Oct22 Sep14 Aug17 Jul27 Jun30 (wilson tony)COTTO L 118 4.50 17% 4.90    
3  BOLD BABY Sep19 Aug31 Nov18 Oct26 Oct07 (arriagada jua)GONZALEZ ALEX 118 2.00 41% 1.50    
4  VIOLETS SMILE Nov10 Oct18 Sep27 Aug25 Jul05 (ryan s)MARIN SAMUEL 120 2.50    
5  CONVALIDATION Oct15 Dec28 Dec14 Aug28 Jul30 (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 118 6.00    
6  AIN'T NONCENTS Sep05 Aug24 Aug13 Jul25 May31 (gardea abr)URDANETA J 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  HUMOR SENSE Nov03 Oct13 Sep05 Aug13 Jul19 (ochoa gerard)MENESES MARCOS 120 10.00    
 
TAM-6   11/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($53K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SONG RUNNER Jul14 May09 Mar27 Mar02 Jan26 (dobber arnou)MENESES MARCOS 120 20.00    
2  EVERDOIT Oct24 Sep11 Aug17 Jul27 Apr27 (rice kevin)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 8.00    
SCR  MACHISMO Aug18 Jul03 Jun02 May12 Dec27 (cahill f)CENTENO E 120 5.00    
4  TAKESCHARGESMILING Oct17 Sep26 Sep05 Aug03 Jun19 (rigattieri jo)MORALES PABLO 118 2.50 34% 1.90    
5  CALL ME ICE MAN Sep19 Jul25 Jun09 May12 Mar29 (campbell micha)ROCCO S 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  OSPREY Oct12 Sep02 Jul26 Jul02 Jun16 (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 120 5.00 22% 3.50    
7  LIFE IS PRECIOUS Nov01 Sep29 Aug04 Jul13 Jun23 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.00 14% 6.00    
8  AMERICAN WARRIOR Oct17 Oct05 Sep26 Aug04 Jun22 (arnett j)GALLARDO A 120 6.00    
 
TAM-7   11/20/2024 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOUNTEOUS (IRE) Oct25 Sep25 Aug17 Aug07 Jun27 (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 118 2.50 37% 1.70    
2  POSEIDONS MYTH Nov03 Sep14 May26 Apr27 Apr13 (ubide max)VILLA-GOMEZ H 121 30.00    
3  MINING CAMP Oct24 Oct10 Sep19 Jul25 Jun30 (campbell joel)MORALES PABLO 121 10.00    
4  LE MISTRAL Nov03 Sep27 Sep06 Jul20 May26 (bennett gera)MENESES MARCOS 118 3.00 28% 2.50    
5  THIRD CITY Oct23 Oct09 Sep24 Sep03 Jul31 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  DIVINING STONE Nov03 Oct12 Jun08 May23 Apr27 (lopez ro)MARIN SAMUEL 121 6.00    
7  PEYTON'S DAY Oct12 Aug29 Aug15 Jul26 Jul11 (rodriguez a)OCASIO JONATHAN 118 20.00    
8  DIAMOND MESSA Oct09 Sep14 Aug29 Aug17 Jul27 (smith robert )SANTOS ADEMAR 118 15.00    
9  MIDNIGHT ONYX Sep27 Aug03 Jul07 Jun01 May02 (yates mi)GALLARDO A 121 4.50 6% 15.90    
10  GUN RIGHT Oct12 Sep20 Sep07 Aug17 Jul27 (o'connell kat)IORIO MELISSA 121 6.00 6% 15.50    
 
TAM-8   11/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADIDA Oct11 Sep27 Sep12 Aug14 Aug07 (lopez rober)HESS SARA 111 30.00    
2  VELOCISSIMA Sep06 Aug23 Jul26 Jun27 Jun07 (romero rafael)BRACHO A 120 20.00    
3  PRACTICALITY Feb24 Jan19 Jan10 Dec20 Nov24 (arriagada jua)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 1.80 66% 0.50    
SCR  BURN THE BREEZE Sep29 Sep06 Aug30 Aug04 Jun29 (romero rafael)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.50    
5  CAJUN EXPECTATION Aug29 Aug02 Jul19 Jul11 Jun09 (ramos o)BATISTA A 120 4.00 ★    
6  BACHELORETTE Oct25 Oct11 Sep26 Sep05 Aug15 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  VAL'S GAL Nov01 Oct04 Sep27 Aug30 Aug02 (mcgoey mon)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 110 4.50 13% 6.60    
8  ABOVE THE SKY Sep27 Aug23 Aug14 Jul18 Jun22 (nunez mauricio)BAYS BROOKE 111 20.00    
9  POLA OF TROUBLE Sep29 Aug30 Jul26 Jul07 Jun09 (ochoa )ROJAS EDUARDO 118 12.00    
10  LOVIELEE Aug30 Aug22 Jul27 May03 Mar16 (gardea abraham)TORRES R 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
11  SUSIE'S SAVER Sep23 Sep04 Aug26 Aug13 Jul24 (paragallo )MONTANEZ ROSARIO 120 30.00    
 
TAM-9   11/20/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($22K) 2 F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STYLE IN TIME         (arriagada juan)HIRALDO JOHN 119 6.00    
2  IGNITING THE FLAME Jul12         (cascallare)GONZALEZ E 109 30.00    
3  MISSPENT Oct13         (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 4.50 28% 2.60    
4  ANNA JEAN         (gardea abraham)TORRES R 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  GIMME SOME LUCK         (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.50 35% 1.90    
6  QURBAAN D ORO Sep26 Sep12 Aug24     (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  TAKEOFF TIME Sep28 Sep13 Sep01 Aug04   (arnett g)MORALES PABLO 119 20.00    
8  WINE SCHOLAR         (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 119 8.00    
9  SHE STOPPED SHORT Oct30 Sep08 Aug22 Aug01   (campbell joel)ROCCO S 119 5.00    
10  JAZZ N BLUES Aug30 Jul26       (fisher davi)OCASIO JONATHAN 119 30.00    
11  LUCKY FLAY Sep28 Jul20       (smith g)CENTENO E 119 4.00    
12  CARROLL'S HONOR         (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.