Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delta Downs
Wednesday - November 20, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DED-1   WIN (8/5/7/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/5/7/2/6)-(8/5/7/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/5/7/2/6)-(8/5/7/2/6)-(8/5/7/2/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/5/7/2/6)-(5/7/10/6/1) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (8/5/7/2/6)-(5/7/10/6/1)-(6/5/1/3/8) 125 $1.00 $125 
DED-2   WIN (5/7/10/6/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/7/10/6/1)-(5/7/10/6/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/7/10/6/1)-(5/7/10/6/1)-(5/7/10/6/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/7/10/6/1)-(6/5/1/3/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (5/7/10/6/1)-(6/5/1/3/8)-(9/1/3/8/7) 125 $1.00 $125 
DED-3   WIN (6/5/1/3/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/5/1/3/8)-(6/5/1/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/5/1/3/8)-(6/5/1/3/8)-(6/5/1/3/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/5/1/3/8)-(9/1/3/8/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (6/5/1/3/8)-(9/1/3/8/7)-(10/3/9/1) 100 $1.00 $100 
DED-4   WIN (9/1/3/8/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/1/3/8/7)-(9/1/3/8/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/1/3/8/7)-(9/1/3/8/7)-(9/1/3/8/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/1/3/8/7)-(10/3/9/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/1/3/8/7)-(10/3/9/1)-(2/6/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-5   WIN (10/3/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/3/9/1)-(10/3/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/3/9/1)-(10/3/9/1)-(10/3/9/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/3/9/1)-(2/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (10/3/9/1)-(2/6/3)-(4/2/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
DED-6   WIN (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/3)-(2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/3)-(4/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/3)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
DED-7   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/5)-(4/2/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
DED-8   WIN (4/2/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/5/3)-(4/2/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/5/3)-(4/2/5/3)-(4/2/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DED-1   11/20/2024 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY BEAD LADY Oct25 Sep09 Aug24 Jan06 Nov16 (delahoussaye gle)ROSIER R 121 6.00    
COUSHATTA CUTIE Oct12 Sep24 Sep10 Aug16 Jul27 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CHARLUCHE Nov02 Oct17 Aug24 Sep15 Sep04 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 122 4.50    
NICE LIKE MICHELLE Oct17 Sep18 Aug23 Jul19 Jul06 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 119 5.00    
FIELD OF LIGHTS Oct12 Aug24 Jul18 Jun27 May24 (broussard vince)HERNANDEZ V 121 6.00 21% 3.70    
AURORA AUSTRALIS Oct17 Sep26 Aug21 Jul09 Jun11 (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
LEPRECHAUN CHARM Nov02 Aug12 Jul31 Jun03 May11 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 12.00 9% 10.70    
MID WEST FUN Nov02 Aug06 Jun24 Jun11 May29 (nelson r)LOZADA CARLOS 119 3.50 41% 1.50    
DYLAN'S DREAM Nov06 Oct11 Sep14 Aug23 Jun29 (zeno benjamin)ARANA KELVIN 117 8.00    
10  ALTAR GIRL Nov07 Sep25 Sep05 Aug15 Jul14 (litfin )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 15.00    
SCR  CRAFTROOM Nov07 Oct17 Sep09 Aug10 Jul26 (landry allen)MAGNON H 121 2.50    
SCR  GALAXY AFFAIR Nov09 Oct12 Aug03 Feb22 Feb02 (west henry)HERNANDEZ V 121 20.00    
 
DED-2   11/20/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S EXTRA Nov02 Sep02 Jul31 Jun09 May31 (bryant george)POMPELL L 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
CHARGED UP ROSE Oct18 Aug24 Jun27 Jun06 May04 (dussette alvi)LOZADA CARLOS 119 20.00    
SCR  SAINT ISABEL Oct11 Sep18 Aug10 Jul24 Jun18 (antwine )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 6.00    
LONG LEGGED LADY Oct12 Aug22 Aug02 Jul06 May30 (pomier chas)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 10.00    
ASTROLOGY GIRL Oct18 Jun13 May17 Apr11 Feb29 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 119 2.50 59% 0.70    
REAL DEAL RYAN Nov09 Oct18 Aug27 Aug16 Jul19 (cormier)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
GIRL LIKES BLING Nov07 Aug16 Jul25 Jun22 Jun06 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 119 3.50 10% 8.80    
RAGAZZA Nov09 Sep02 Jul18 Jun29 Jun14 (escobar alison)PEREZ CARLOS 117 15.00    
STAND BY TIME Oct19 Oct05 Sep22 Sep13 Aug27 (hibdon n)BENAVIDES D 119 4.50    
10  CALERA LOVE Oct26 Aug24 Jul27 Apr26 Mar14 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 8.00 8% 11.60    
 
DED-3   11/20/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANALITICO         (dison phill)SANTIAGO EDWARD 119 8.00 10% 9.50    
BABY ZONG Aug10 Jul26 Jun22 Jun06   (dison phillip )MUNOZ SERGIO 117 15.00    
MY DAD'S GUITAR Oct16 Aug17 Jul04 Jun07 May16 (mojica )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 4.50 5% 19.00    
WAY TOO TOUGH Oct16 Aug17 Jul04     (breaux samuel)THORNTON G 122 15.00    
SCR  COUNTRY DEALS         (klanfer alan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 6.00 28% 2.50    
BITSY'S STAR Aug22 Aug03 Jun07 May18 Apr25 (prejean ray)MELANCON JANSEN 122 2.50 37% 1.70    
SCR  MAGIC BIND Sep03 Aug23 Aug03 Jul19 Jun28 (broussard vince)HERNANDEZ V 124 12.00    
DIXIE'S ASTRO Dec15 Dec02       (dunn ra)RENGIFO JOHAN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
IRON FORTUNE Sep23 Aug23 Jul19 Jun07 Feb08 (zenon charles)ROSIER R 124 4.00    
10  COLE'S SENSATION Jun28 May29 May18 Dec15 Nov15 (delahoussaye )VARGAS P 124 20.00    
SCR  KAH NIGH Oct19 Sep23 Sep09 Aug16 Aug03 (dussette al)SANTIAGO EDWARD 117 15.00    
SCR  ASTROLOGY WONOWON Oct19 Sep17 Sep02 Aug16 Aug03 (patt roland)MELANCON JANSEN 124 20.00    
 
DED-4   11/20/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OVER PAID Oct12 Aug27 Aug05 May20 Apr10 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 122 2.50 30% 2.30    
REGINALD AURELIUS Oct19 Aug23 Aug01 Jul19 Jun08 (averett ronni)VARGAS P 124 5.00    
LOUDTHUNDRHEVYRAIN Oct23 Aug26 Jun17 May06 Mar15 (ramirez julio)HERNANDEZ V 122 6.00 5% 18.10    
A'DEBRIS Oct25 Sep18 Aug23 Feb10 Jan27 (zenon shelt)MELANCON JANSEN 124 12.00    
SKIPPA Oct23 Aug23 Jul30 Jul11 Jun21 (fuselier jonah)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 4.50    
SUNSET WAR Oct23 Apr19 Apr06 Feb22 Feb02 (west henry)SANTIAGO EDWARD 119 15.00    
GILDERSLEEVE Oct23 Aug23 Aug03 Jan27 Jan12 (ward ronnie)PEREZ CARLOS 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
HARPES HILL Aug03 Jun29 May18 May02 Apr20 (patt roland )BARRERA J 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
RELIC HUNTER Dec07 Jun30 May12 Apr15 Feb18 (landry allen)MAGNON H 124 3.50 38% 1.60    
 
DED-5   11/20/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IL CAPITANO (GB) Nov01 Oct16 Sep26 Sep05 Aug15 (litfin )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
JOHNNYSJOURNEY Nov02 Sep11 Aug20 Aug05 Jul09 (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 5.00    
VIOLENT GIGI Oct23 Aug27 Aug04 Jul14 Jun23 (martinez ralph )POMPELL L 124 4.50 32% 2.10    
STATE OF THE UNION Nov02 Oct11 Aug24 Aug09 Jul19 (flugence henry)DEONAUTH P 120 15.00    
BIRTHDAY PARTY Oct18 Sep10 Aug16 Jul20 May22 (west henry)VARGAS P 120 15.00    
GOTTATAKEHIMTO Oct18 Aug24 Aug14 Jul15 Jun27 (patt roland)SANTIAGO EDWARD 112 15.00    
SCR  SPEAKTOMEOFLOVE Nov02 Oct11 Jul18 Jun27 May15 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 121 3.00    
SCR  RIFEY Oct18 Sep10 Aug05 Jul10 Jun24 (dixon tim)RENGIFO JOHAN 120 6.00    
TWO WORLDS Nov01 Oct19 Sep14 Jun20 Jun05 (dixon tim)BIRZER E 120 10.00 9% 10.40    
10  BIG ROJO Nov01 Oct11 Sep26 Aug19 Jun02 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 6.00 35% 1.90    
SCR  ANDIAMO GIACOMO Nov07 Aug16 Jun17 Jun03 May22 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 117 10.00    
SCR  FAST VERDICT Nov07 Oct19 Sep23 Sep11 Aug19 (nelson e)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 3.50    
 
DED-6   11/20/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 2 ALL PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISCHIEVOUS SMILE Oct10 Jul25       (robbins jr)ROSIER R 120 10.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of SUTTON'S SMILE by PADDY O'PRADO)
KEVIN'S STRIKE Sep27 Aug12       (amoss thomas)BARRERA J 120 1.40 30% 2.40    
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of LISA T. by AWESOME AGAIN)
PERRY COUNTY Nov01 Sep28 Aug25 Aug11   (litfin veronic)THORNTON G 120 6.00 11% 8.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of TYRANNICAL by STREET BOSS)
SILENT RAGE Oct25         (briley lonnie)FUSILIER C 120 8.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of LA BOMBA by MENIFEE)
PRACTICALLY GIVEN         (amoss thomas)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 2.50    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of BANDORA by DIXIELAND BAND)
SPAMALOT Nov01         (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 4.50 29% 2.50    
  (by AUDIBLE out of BROADWAY LULLABY by SONGANDAPRAYER)
 
DED-7   11/20/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUSTY'S SUNRISE Oct30 Sep09 Aug16 Jul27 Jul03 (breaux samuel)THORNTON G 118 5.00    
KENTUCKY CAJUN Oct19 Aug20 May29 Mar14 Nov17 (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 4.50 19% 4.20    
THAT'S MY MAMA Oct19 Jun21 May31 May09 Feb24 (noel da)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 2.50    
EMILY'S BULLET Nov08 Oct19 Jul20 Jun01 May03 (pomier chase)BARRERA J 118 1.60 42% 1.40    
MY LUCKY BREAK Aug16 Jul27 Jun28 Jun07 May18 (west henry)VARGAS P 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
ONE LINE RULER Aug16 Jul26 Jun27 Jun13 Apr25 (henry eric)MELANCON JANSEN 118 8.00    
 
DED-8   11/20/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ALLIGATOR CRAWL Sep14 Aug26 Jun28 Jun01 Feb04 (gomez c)FUSILIER C 120 20.00    
PERFECT EDGE Nov06 Sep12 Aug25 Jul13 Jun29 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 3.50 28% 2.60    
BLESSED VISION Oct25 Sep24 Aug12 Jul16 Jul04 (dixon tim)BIRZER E 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
STARSCAPE Oct18 Sep22 Aug18 Oct07   (amoss thomas)BARRERA J 120 1.00 48% 1.10    
PROVEN ADVOCATE Aug22 Jul25 Jul06 Jun06 May18 (gelner scot)MELANCON JANSEN 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
SURPRISE ROAD TRIP Sep26 Sep09 Aug12 Jul26 Jun10 (guillory he)SANTIAGO EDWARD 118 20.00    
ONE SHARP TIZ Sep17 May10 Apr24 Mar15 Jul23 (wong jonathan)THORNTON G 118 6.00    
HEZA ROYAL CAT Oct26 Jul04 Jun08 May01 Dec30 (ward ronnie)ROSIER R 120 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.