Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Finger Lakes
Tuesday - November 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FL-1   WIN (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/2)-(6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/2)-(6/7/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-2   WIN (6/7/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/2/1)-(6/7/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/2/1)-(6/7/2/1)-(6/7/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/2/1)-(6/8/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/7/2/1)-(6/8/7/3)-(5/9/2/4/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
FL-3   WIN (6/8/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/7/3)-(6/8/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/7/3)-(6/8/7/3)-(6/8/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/7/3)-(5/9/2/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/8/7/3)-(5/9/2/4/7)-(3/7/1/2/4) 100 $1.00 $100 
FL-4   WIN (5/9/2/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/9/2/4/7)-(5/9/2/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/9/2/4/7)-(5/9/2/4/7)-(5/9/2/4/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/9/2/4/7)-(3/7/1/2/4) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
FL-5   WIN (3/7/1/2/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/7/1/2/4)-(3/7/1/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/7/1/2/4)-(3/7/1/2/4)-(3/7/1/2/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/7/1/2/4)-(2/5/9/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FL-6   WIN (2/5/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/9/1)-(2/5/7/9/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/5/9/1)-(2/5/7/9/1)-(2/5/7/9/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/5/9/1)-(2/10/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/5/9/1)-(2/10/6/8)-(1/2/5/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
FL-7   WIN (2/10/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/10/6/8)-(2/10/6/1/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/10/6/8)-(2/10/6/1/8)-(2/10/6/1/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/10/6/8)-(1/2/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-8   WIN (1/2/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/5/7)-(1/2/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/5/7)-(1/2/5/7)-(1/2/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FL-1   11/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WITT DASHING SPEED Oct29 Oct16 Oct01 Sep23 Sep04 (progno s)CRUZ JOEL 124 20.00    
GOLD TEMPLAR Oct21 Sep30 Sep02 Aug20 Jul24 (falk jacqueline)FRET STEVEN 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
PROFITABILITY Oct30 Oct14 Sep30 Aug20 Aug06 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 121 4.00    
SHARP PLAY BOY Sep30 Aug20 Aug05 Jul22 Jul01 (breed ro)DAVIS A 124 5.00 11% 8.20    
BIG BABY HENRY Oct14 Sep30 Sep02 Aug19 Jul29 (marino jo)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 121 8.00    
STARS N STONES Oct30 Oct14 Sep16 Aug20 Jul22 (ferraro anth)COA J 121 0.50 62% 0.60    
 
FL-2   11/19/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT-12:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOVIO Oct23 Sep25 Aug27 Aug13 Jul29 (clarke matthew)BAEZ JOSE 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
LADY LAWRENCE Nov05 Oct08 Sep25 Sep04 Aug20 (reed l)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 10.00 8% 11.10    
SOL EMPERATRIZ Nov05 Oct07 Sep18 Aug21 Aug07 (acquilano jam)DAVILA A 121 2.00    
JOYFUL DEPARTURE Nov05 Oct22 Oct01 Aug19 Jul23 (grusmark k)DE EMANUEL 124 6.00    
CAUSE I'M ELEGANT Nov05 Oct15 Jul01 May14 Apr30 (wadams dewight )ROHENA JR 124 10.00    
HILLBILLY LADY Oct22 Oct02 Aug12 Jul01 Jun11 (thompson marcus)FRET STEVEN 121 2.50 60% 0.70    
GLORY BOUND CLARA Oct22 Sep18 Jul29 Jul16 Jun19 (bartlett)DAVIS A 124 3.50 9% 10.00    
 
FL-3   11/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MA MI JO DREAMS Nov05 Aug05 Jul17 Jun19 Jun05 (buckley jonathan )PEREZ E 122 12.00    
SHELLY Oct16 Sep23 Aug27 Aug05 Jul02 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 10.00    
RED BUTTERFLY Nov05 Oct09 Sep16 Dec08 Oct06 (ferraro michael)FRET STEVEN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SUN AND WIND Nov03 Oct03 Sep04 Jul28 Jun27 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 6.00    
JACKSON AVENUE Nov05 Oct16 Sep02 Aug18 Aug05 (breed ro)DAVIS A 122 6.00    
TURRIGA Oct24 Sep20 Aug23 Jul13 May25 (bond kevin)COA J 122 2.50 31% 2.30    
LIKA ROLLING STONE Oct29 Sep23 Sep09 Aug26 Aug12 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 119 5.00 18% 4.50    
UNICORN CAKE Oct16 Sep23 Aug26 Jul19 Jun15 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 119 3.00 22% 3.50    
 
FL-4   11/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REGENERATOR Nov04 Oct22 Oct07 Sep18 Sep03 (englehart chris)ROHENA M 121 6.00    
RUBYS MISSION Oct30 Oct09 Sep16 Aug27 Jul30 (shaffer r)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 3.00 8% 11.10    
SCR  GOLDEN DAGGER Oct18 Jul28 Jun03 Apr20 Jul19 (gutierrez lu)BERRIOS C 122 12.00    
SHEZENTICING Oct22 Oct07 Sep09 Aug20 Aug06 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 121 6.00 6% 15.70    
BAVARIAN CREME Nov04 Oct14 Sep23 Apr21 Mar05 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 8.00 46% 1.20    
TUMBLES Oct22 Oct09 Sep30 Aug14 Jul30 (ashley jul)DE EMANUEL 122 12.00    
SWEET TOOTH SUE Nov04 Oct22 Sep30 Sep11 Aug28 (marino e)ROHENA JR 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
SWEET SENSATION Oct14 Sep10 Aug28 Jul24 Jun17 (beech e)BROWN DALTON 122 20.00    
KITTY TIN TIN Nov04 Oct22 Oct09 Sep11 Jul23 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 5.00 10% 9.40    
10  GRAB THE GLORY Nov05 Oct15 Aug10 Jul11 Apr11 (ferraro michae)COA J 121 4.00    
 
FL-5   11/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOHN'S PROTEGE Oct21 Oct07 Dec08 Nov16 Oct03 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 5.00 15% 5.80    
TUCKABUCKAWAY Nov05 Oct21 Oct07 Sep23 Aug28 (thomps)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
EMERALD FOREST Nov04 Oct18 Sep21 Aug29 Jul19 (reed a)BROWN DALTON 124 2.50 38% 1.60    
BENCH WALK Nov05 Aug14 Jul16 Jul01 Jun18 (huertas )DAVIS A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
ANGELIC MISSION Nov05 Sep30 Sep11 Aug14 Jul31 (ferraro michael)FRET STEVEN 124 5.00    
SCR  UNCLE MILTIE Oct22 Oct08 Sep11 Aug14 Jul31 (ferraro michael)DIAZ J 124 20.00    
GIMMEDAMONEY Nov05 Oct22 Oct08 Sep25 Aug26 (lecesse michae)COA J 124 3.50 22% 3.50    
MASSEY HALL Nov05 Oct07 Sep23 Sep11 Aug28 (babcock ed)DE EMANUEL 124 15.00    
DOUBLE VISION Nov05 Oct21 Oct07 Sep23 Sep11 (progno s)CRUZ JOEL 124 20.00    
10  ALONGCAMETHEPRINCE Nov04 Oct21 Oct07 Sep11 Aug20 (clarke matthew)BAEZ JOSE 124 20.00    
 
FL-6   11/19/2024 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 2 F PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELMONTIS Nov06 May04       (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of GRACEFUL LIGHT by SILVER TRAIN)
LIPAN LAW Nov06 Oct22 Sep24 Sep09   (ferraro anth)COA J 121 2.50 54% 0.80    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of HELOTES by PAYNTER)
MARILYN'S NY PRIDE Nov06         (bartlett)DAVIS A 121 20.00    
  (by TONALIST out of AUNTIE'S THE ONE by EXCHANGE RATE)
STAGED CONFLICT Oct28 Oct07       (dixon lind)DE EMANUEL 121 20.00    
  (by FOG OF WAR out of STAGE LUCK by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
FREEDOM DREAMS Oct22 Oct07       (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 4.00 21% 3.70    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of LIBERTY GIRL by ALLEN'S PROSPECT)
SCR  I'M PRETTY GOOD Nov06 Oct28       (reed l)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 3.50    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of PRETTY IN PLATINUM by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
COUNTRY MANOR Oct28 Oct07 Sep24 Sep09   (lecesse michael)PEREZ E 121 5.00    
  (by COUNTRY HOUSE out of OUTTACYPRESSHILLS by BIG BROWN)
REDESDALE ROSE Nov06         (sells rache)CAMILO D 121 20.00    
  (by REDESDALE out of SHALL TRY by ORIENTATE (GB))
LILITHS MOON Nov06 Oct22 Oct07     (norsen ann)FRET STEVEN 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FOG OF WAR out of MON IN THE MOON by MARIA'S MON)
10  DIVORCED OF COURSE Nov06 Oct07 Sep13 Aug14 Jul31 (ferraro m)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 121 8.00    
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of MADAME BOURBON by GOLDENCENTS)
 
FL-7   11/19/2024 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRYPTO CAUSEWAY Nov11 Oct23 Oct01 Sep17 Aug28 (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 6.00    
COUNT FROST Oct22 Oct04 Sep14 Sep05 Aug08 (caramo)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 3.00 43% 1.30    
RETAIL MAN Oct30 Oct01 Sep18 Aug28 Aug13 (johnston)DAVIS A 119 6.00    
RAW COURAGE Oct29 Oct14 Sep30 Sep18 Sep03 (khan s)FRET STEVEN 122 15.00    
SIGHT UNSEEN Nov05 Oct23 Nov21 Nov08 Oct09 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 6.00    
BAD LARRY Oct25 Sep29 Aug29 Jul31 Jul20 (potts wayne)LUZZI J 122 3.50 10% 9.30    
IN A MINUTE Oct29 Oct14 Sep30 Sep16 Aug26 (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 119 8.00    
BERT BERT BERT Oct30 Oct09 Sep17 Aug27 Aug13 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ASAP RESTORATION Nov11 Oct30 Oct21 Oct08 Sep30 (ronen assaf)BERRIOS C 122 20.00    
10  MO TRUMP Oct30 Oct09 Sep17 Aug27 Aug13 (ferraro anth)COA J 122 4.00 25% 2.90    
 
FL-8   11/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST STAY HOME Nov11 Aug07 Jul24 Jun26 Jun03 (loaiza il)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 124 4.00 35% 1.90    
SCR  SCOTT ALAIA Nov11 Jul22 May04 Apr23 Mar20 (loaiza il)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 124 4.00    
CLIFDEN PUNCH Nov06 Oct21 Oct08 Sep25 Sep02 (ashley jul)DE EMANUEL 124 3.00    
2B  TASTY WAVE Nov04 Oct21 Oct08 Sep24 Sep02 (ashley julius)BROWN DALTON 124 3.00 29% 2.50    
SCR  KATERI EMPIRE Nov04 Oct23 Jul24 Jul10 Jun26 (cabrera joseph )ROHENA JR 124 12.00    
LUNA LOCA Nov04 Oct23 Oct08 Sep30 Sep11 (saul dana)BAEZ JOSE 124 6.00    
REMOANE Nov11 Oct21 Oct08 Sep24 Sep02 (lopez ar)DAVIS A 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PALS ALLY Oct30 Sep25 Sep11 Aug12 Jul30 (gutierrez lu)BERRIOS C 124 20.00    
INVESTMENT GRADE Oct30 Oct08 Sep23 Sep02 Aug21 (lord j)FRET STEVEN 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
SWEET INVASION Nov04 Sep23 Sep09 Jul30 Jul09 (acquilano jame)COA J 124 3.50    
KAZ' ROSE Oct09 Sep11 Aug28 Aug07 Jul10 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.