Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Tuesday - November 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FL-1   WIN (2/4/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/7/3)-(2/4/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/7/3)-(2/4/7/3)-(2/4/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/7/3)-(1/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-2   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/5)-(1/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5)-(1/4/5)-(9/1/7/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FL-3   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(9/1/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5)-(9/1/7/2)-(1/6/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FL-4   WIN (9/1/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/1/7/2)-(9/1/7/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/1/7/2)-(9/1/7/4/2)-(9/1/7/4/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/1/7/2)-(1/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/1/7/2)-(1/6/5)-(6/1/4/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
FL-5   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/5)-(6/1/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-6   WIN (6/1/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/4/2)-(6/1/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/4/2)-(6/1/4/2)-(6/1/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/4/2)-(6/7/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-7   WIN (6/7/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/5/2)-(6/7/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/5/2)-(6/7/5/2)-(6/7/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/5/2)-(4/6/2/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/7/5/2)-(4/6/2/9)-(9/8/7/1/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
FL-8   WIN (4/6/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/2/9)-(4/6/2/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/2/9)-(4/6/2/9)-(4/6/2/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/2/9)-(9/8/7/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FL-9   WIN (9/8/7/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/8/7/1/3)-(9/8/7/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/8/7/1/3)-(9/8/7/1/3)-(9/8/7/1/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   11/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMILE TAKES CHARGE Oct07 Sep10 Aug20 Jul22 Jun24 (barrow pau)DE EMANUEL 119 6.00    
2  HAPPY INSTEAD Oct28 Oct15 Oct02 Sep02 Aug12 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 121 3.50 54% 0.80    
3  FIVE ACES Oct15 Sep30 Sep17 Aug28 Aug20 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  HAY HAY HARRY Oct30 Oct01 Sep17 Aug28 Aug20 (murphy timoth)DAVILA A 121 4.00 9% 9.90    
5  HAIR ON FIRE Oct29 Sep16 Aug06 Jun24 May20 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 5.00    
6  G MUNNING Oct28 Oct02 Sep18 Aug28 Aug20 (murphy t)DAVIS A 122 3.00    
7  NEWPORT BRIDGE Oct28 Oct08 Sep18 Jun12 May20 (oyola dav)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 6.00 6% 14.50    
 
FL-2   11/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLAYIN IT BIG Oct29 Oct16 Sep03 Aug20 Jul24 (ferraro michae)COA J 121 3.00 42% 1.40    
SCR  ROAD TO POWER Oct29 Oct16 Sep18 Sep02 Aug19 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 121 3.00    
SCR  PASTA N POLPETTE Oct29 Oct16 Oct02 Aug26   (gutierrez lu)BERRIOS C 121 20.00    
3  FIVE DESTINATIONS Oct14 Sep23 Aug19 Aug05 Jul22 (acquilano )DE EMANUEL 124 2.50 24% 3.10    
4  SEVENTH RACE SHAKE Oct14 Sep19 Jul26 Dec29   (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 2.00    
5  ONE WITHEVERYTHING Oct29 Oct16 Oct02 Sep18 Aug26 (murphy timothy)BROWN DALTON 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  DERBY CHILD Oct22 Oct02 Sep02 Jul31 Jul02 (goodwin g)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 121 5.00    
7  THE SAXON STORY Oct30 Oct16 Feb23     (sells rache)CAMILO D 121 20.00    
 
FL-3   11/12/2024 5490ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($26.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIFETIME GUARANTEE Oct21 Oct02 Sep16 Aug19 Aug05 (ferraro michae)COA J 124 2.00 48% 1.10    
2  STREET COP OFFICER Oct23 Sep18 Aug13 Jul29 Jul16 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 122 5.00    
3  ENTICING PROSPECT Oct16 Sep30 Sep02 Aug20 Aug06 (ferraro m)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 4.00    
4  UNCLECHARLIESGIFT Oct12 Sep01 Aug07 Jul12 Oct16 (zito nicholas )LUZZI J 122 1.60 16% 5.40    
5  SEAMS LIKE DESTINY Oct23 Oct02 Aug26 Aug05 Jul08 (smith troy)HARKIE K 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  MY COOL HAND LUKE Oct23 Oct07 Aug28 Aug06 Jul08 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 10.00    
 
FL-4   11/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCESS DEB         (zito nicholas )LUZZI J 121 10.00 9% 10.30    
  (by TAPWRIT out of SMOKEN DEB by CAIRO PRINCE)
2  DANNEEL Jun30 Jun16 May19 Apr28 Apr14 (loaiza il)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of MISS VIGILANCE by WAR PASS)
3  P. A. ADVANTAGE Oct15 Sep30       (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 6.00    
  (by BELLAMY ROAD out of WEEFC by TAPIT)
4  WORLD BANK Oct29 Oct15 Jul23 Jul04 Jun11 (sells rachel)PEREZ E 121 4.00 ★    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of DONYA by ANABAA)
5  MIA NIPOTINA Oct15 Sep16 Sep02 Aug19 Aug01 (sells rachel)CRUZ JOEL 121 3.50    
  (by FRANK CONVERSATION out of YOUNG ANNA LEE by POSSE)
6  DREAMING OF CARLI Oct29 Oct20 Sep26 Aug11 Jul11 (ferraro michae)COA J 124 8.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of UNCLE SOUTHERN by UNCLE CAMIE)
7  SALLY'S GOLD         (zit)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 10.00 9% 10.30    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of DISTORTED POINT by DISTORTED HUMOR)
8  CREWS IN TO WIN Oct28 Sep30 Sep10 Aug27 Aug05 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 121 20.00    
  (by BIG BROWN out of SWEET FROST by FROST GIANT)
9  HYPNOTIC FLAIR Oct29 Oct15       (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 2.50 56% 0.80    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of BELLA'S FLAIR by BELLAMY ROAD)
 
FL-5   11/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STARSHIP TANGO Jun18 May27 Apr20     (ferraro anth)COA J 124 2.00 44% 1.30    
2  SHARPOON Oct29 Oct16 Oct02 Sep04 Aug20 (henry n)ALVARADO R 124 8.00    
3  GO GET THE BAG Oct14 Sep30 Sep17 Aug21 Jul10 (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 5.00    
SCR  EIGHT SUNSET DRIVE Aug21 Jul31 Jul17 Jun11 May14 (cook robert )BERRIOS C 124 20.00    
5  CLASSICAL Oct24 Oct15 Feb20 Jan31 Dec17 (khan aad)DAVIS A 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  MAJESTIC JOHNSON Oct24 Sep26 Sep02 Aug12 Oct05 (grabowski jo)HARKIE K 124 4.00 21% 3.80    
7  SPOOFY Oct29 Oct15 Oct02 Sep04 Aug12 (ferraro m)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 124 3.00    
 
FL-6   11/12/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAW POWER Oct30 Oct14 Sep30 Aug30 Aug21 (sells rachel)CRUZ JOEL 124 4.00 27% 2.70    
2  MIND OF GOLD Oct30 Oct08 Sep25 Sep11 Aug26 (oyola david)DAVILA A 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  QUIET HORIZON Oct30 Oct21 Oct08 Sep25 Sep11 (cabrera jose)BERRIOS C 122 20.00    
4  JUST A NYQUIST Aug19 Jul02 Feb19 Feb02 Jan01 (gutierrez luis )FRET STEVEN 122 3.50 15% 5.80    
SCR  MOTLEY SUE Oct23 Oct09 Sep25 Sep11 Aug28 (englehart )DE EMANUEL 122 6.00    
6  CHARGE NURSE Oct07 Sep17 Jul25 Jul11 Jun15 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 1.80 37% 1.70    
7  FLURRY OF ROSES Oct30 Sep10 Aug27 Aug14 Jul29 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 8.00    
8  SUPER SLIDE Oct30 Oct15 Sep25 Aug28 Aug13 (bireta donna)ROHENA JR 122 10.00    
9  ALL BIZZ Nov04 Oct08 Sep11 Aug13 Jul02 (dixon li)DAVIS A 122 20.00    
 
FL-7   11/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WITH KNOW NAME Oct29 Sep30 Sep11 Sep03 Aug06 (loaiza ilmar)PEREZ E 124 3.00    
2  GO GRAD Oct28 Oct15 Sep18 Jul24 Jul01 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  TIZ BIG MONEY Oct29 Oct14 Sep26 Sep03 Aug20 (grabowsk)DAVIS A 121 12.00    
4  DON ANTONIO Oct15 Sep30 Sep03 Aug13 Jul01 (monserrate )CAMILO D 124 5.00    
5  BRENNAN'S WAR Oct24 Oct14 Sep25 Aug28 Jul07 (sells rachel)ALVARADO R 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  INDY COWBOY Sep24 Sep10 Aug27 Aug09 Jul26 (grabowski john)COA J 121 1.60 68% 0.50    
7  B C GLORY DAYS Oct15 Sep30 Sep17 Sep03 Aug21 (gutierrez luis )ROHENA JR 124 4.50 7% 12.80    
 
FL-8   11/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEAUTY'S BANGLE Oct09 Sep17 Aug19 Jul23   (baratta patri)DAVILA A 124 10.00    
2  JOIA RARA Oct08 Sep18 Aug02 Jul20 Jun25 (caramori)DAVIS A 117 8.00 8% 11.90    
3  ARTEMIS GIRL Oct18 Sep22 Jul21 May25 Apr27 (mastin kathle)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 8.00    
4  SPEIGHTS DANCE Oct15 Oct02 Aug19 Jul30 Jul01 (buckley jonathan )PEREZ E 121 3.00 45% 1.20    
5  PRACTICAL RACHEL Nov05 Oct22 Sep24 Aug13 Jul24 (loaiza il)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 124 20.00    
6  BOLD LOOK Oct28 Oct02 Sep04 Aug15 Jul25 (ferraro anth)COA J 121 3.50 13% 6.90    
7  SHEZA BERNARDINI Oct15 Oct02 Sep09 Aug26 Jul15 (johnston rob)HARKIE K 121 4.00    
SCR  EMILY REWARD Oct12 Sep14 Aug25 Jul30 May18 (davis edmu)DE EMANUEL 121 6.00    
9  NURSE BUNNY Oct15 Sep24 Sep10 Aug27 Jul23 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
FL-9   11/12/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRINKING SOLO Oct30 Oct15 Sep25 Sep04 Aug07 (davis edmund)HARKIE K 121 8.00    
1A  KINGDOM ON PAWS Oct30 Oct11 Sep18 Aug13 Jul28 (davis )MARAGH RAMSAY 122 8.00 5% 18.80    
2  PAPI ON ICE Oct29 Sep30 Sep17 Sep04 Jul25 (henry or)DAVIS A 122 10.00    
3  TAKE THE EDGE Oct29 Oct15 Sep30 Sep17 Sep03 (babcock edward)FRET STEVEN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  SEATIGER Nov05 Oct09 Sep30 Sep17 Aug27 (loaiza ilmar)ROHENA M 122 15.00    
5  EIGHT WEEKS LONG Oct29 Oct21 Oct01 Sep18 Aug05 (gutterson katl)BROWN DALTON 122 20.00    
6  ANOINTED SPIRIT Sep03 Aug20 Aug05 Jul23 Jun25 (fun)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 8.00    
7  UTAMARO Oct23 Sep18 Aug28 Aug12 Jun26 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 122 5.00 8% 11.10    
8  STANLEY ROUGH Oct28 Oct02 Sep22 Jul24 Jun27 (ferraro anth)COA J 121 3.00 23% 3.30    
9  HINENI Oct28 Oct14 Sep30 Sep16 Aug26 (lecesse micha)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 4.00 41% 1.40    
10  OVER THE CAP Oct29 Oct15 Sep30 Sep17 Jun25 (ferraro m)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.