Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Tuesday - October 22, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FL-1   WIN (6/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/7)-(6/7) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/7)-(3/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
FL-2   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/1)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/1)-(6/1/4)-(2/9/6/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
FL-3   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/4)-(2/9/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/4)-(2/9/6/7)-(5/6/8/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
FL-4   WIN (2/9/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/9/6/7)-(2/9/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/9/6/7)-(2/9/6/7)-(2/9/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/9/6/7)-(5/6/8/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/9/6/7)-(5/6/8/2)-(1/8/2/10/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
FL-5   WIN (5/6/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/8/2)-(5/6/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/8/2)-(5/6/8/2)-(5/6/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/8/2)-(1/8/2/10/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FL-6   WIN (1/8/2/10/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/8/2/10/3)-(1/8/2/10/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/8/2/10/3)-(1/8/2/10/3)-(1/8/2/10/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/8/2/10/3)-(12/2/5/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FL-7   WIN (12/2/5/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (12/2/5/10)-(12/2/3/5/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (12/2/5/10)-(12/2/3/5/10)-(12/2/3/5/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (12/2/5/10)-(5/2/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (12/2/5/10)-(5/2/4/7)-(1/9/2/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
FL-8   WIN (5/2/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/4/7)-(5/2/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/4/7)-(5/2/4/7)-(5/2/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/4/7)-(1/9/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-9   WIN (1/9/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/9/2/6)-(1/9/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/9/2/6)-(1/9/2/6)-(1/9/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   10/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPECIAL PAL Oct07 Sep10 Aug14 Jul17 Jun24 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 3.00    
SCR  CHEM MAJOR Oct15 Apr24 Mar13 Mar01 Feb04 (loaiza il)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 121 8.00    
SCR  LINCOLNVILLE BEACH Oct07 Sep04 Aug07 Jul02 Jun03 (englehart )DE EMANUEL 121 6.00    
SCR  SHESAWILDJOKER Sep17 Jul30 Jul04 Jun03 Sep01 (bartlett)DAVIS A 121 10.00    
5  BAYOU MELODY Sep24 Aug28 Aug07 Jun10 Nov20 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 2.50    
6  GOODNIGHTNGODBLESS Sep17 Aug14 Jul20 Jun23 May16 (grusmark karl)CRUZ JOEL 118 3.50 57% 0.70    
7  STARR'S DELIGHT Sep23 Aug14 Aug05 Jul04 Jun04 (torelli stac)HARKIE K 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
FL-2   10/22/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOWN JAK Oct09 Sep23 Sep11 Aug28 Aug20 (murphy tim)DE EMANUEL 124 6.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  MASKED MARAUDER Oct07 Sep23 Sep11 Jun26 Aug22 (saul dana)BAEZ JOSE 124 4.00    
3  JACOBA Sep30 Sep10 Aug27 Aug13 Jul31 (pettine jame)HARKIE K 124 2.50 48% 1.10    
SCR  DANCINWITHJAKE Sep25 Sep17 Aug28 Aug07 Jul23 (progno m)DAVIS A 124 10.00    
SCR  SEATIGER Oct09 Sep30 Sep17 Aug27 Aug20 (loaiza ilmar)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 5.00    
6  O K GAME ON Oct09 Sep30 Sep16 Jul31 Jul17 (gutierrez lui)DAVILA A 124 15.00    
7  HOT ROD LINCOLN Oct01 Sep18 Sep04 Aug06 Jul23 (areche thali)BERRIOS C 124 3.00    
SCR  HARDLY WORKING Oct09 Sep11 Aug20 Jul23 Jul09 (mcclung s)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 124 12.00    
 
FL-3   10/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REDWINEANDWHISKEY Aug26 Aug01 Jun22 Sep25 Aug15 (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 121 5.00 26% 2.90    
2  OUTTA THE CLOUD Oct09 Sep30 Sep16 Sep02 Aug19 (dean victor)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 12.00    
3  LA GROTTE Jul06 May24 Apr18 Mar24 Feb19 (johnston rob)HARKIE K 124 3.50    
4  LADY ARWEN Sep24 Aug12 Jul15 Aug24 Jul27 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 6.00 12% 7.20    
5  FABULOUS FOX Oct09 Sep19 Aug23 Jul28 Jun21 (dixon )MARAGH RAMSAY 121 1.80    
6  MISS FASHIONISTA Oct06 Aug10 Jul11 Jun14 Apr11 (breed ro)DAVIS A 124 2.50 30% 2.30    
 
FL-4   10/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GLORY BOUND CLARA Sep18 Jul29 Jul16 Jun19 May22 (bartlett)DAVIS A 124 6.00    
2  HILLBILLY LADY Oct02 Aug12 Jul01 Jun11 May29 (lecesse mi)DE EMANUEL 121 3.50 54% 0.90    
3  JOYFUL DEPARTURE Oct01 Aug19 Jul23 Jul09 Jun25 (grusmark karl)CRUZ JOEL 124 6.00    
4  SHEZENTICING Oct07 Sep09 Aug20 Aug06 Jul23 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 121 4.00    
SCR  JOURNEY OF FIVE Oct07 Sep18 Sep04 Aug21 Aug07 (huerta)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 15.00    
6  WELCOMETOMYWORLD Oct08 Nov01 Oct18 Sep19 Sep04 (ashley juliu)HARKIE K 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  DREAMERY Oct07 Sep18 Aug26 Aug14 Jul31 (sells rache)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  CITI KITTY Oct07 Sep04 Nov01 Sep11 Aug15 (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 15.00    
9  BUMP IN THE NIGHT Oct07 Sep10 Aug26 Aug07 Apr27 (rice linda)COA J 121 2.00 20% 4.10    
 
FL-5   10/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLEY MATRIMONY Oct08 Sep24 Sep10 Aug14 Jul31 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 120 8.00    
2  HE'SGOTTASHORTFUSE Sep03 Aug26 Aug05 Jul01 Jun12 (grusmark)DAVIS A 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  GIMMEDAMONEY Oct08 Sep25 Aug26 Aug12 Jul29 (lec)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 4.00    
4  RINGGOOD Sep30 Sep23 Sep10 Aug21 Jul24 (bond brent)ROHENA JR 118 20.00    
5  CIVIL SERVICE Sep17 Sep03 Aug19 Jul22 Jul10 (ferraro m)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 2.50 43% 1.30    
6  WARRIORS REVENGE Oct07 Sep23 Aug27 Aug12 Jun12 (loaiza ilmar)PEREZ E 122 6.00 17% 4.70    
7  NOBLE JOURNEY Oct04 Sep03 Jun26 May29 May22 (englehart )DE EMANUEL 122 3.50    
8  FIRE DOWN BELOW Oct01 Sep11 Aug21 Jul24 Jul04 (albright am)CALDERON OLIVER 124 6.00 9% 10.10    
 
FL-6   10/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 2 F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FREEDOM DREAMS Oct07         (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 4.00 38% 1.70    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of LIBERTY GIRL by ALLEN'S PROSPECT)
2  KITTY OF WAR Oct03 Sep14       (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 8.00 6% 15.20    
  (by FOG OF WAR out of KITTY FOYLE by TAPIT)
3  NO FACTOR         (ferraro michael)FRET STEVEN 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of MOVING AWAY by DISTORTED HUMOR)
4  ASHTEAD LADY Oct07 Sep09 Aug14     (barrow p)DAVIS A 122 12.00    
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of MS. REHBURG by LUCKY PULPIT)
5  FRISBEE BEE         (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 20.00    
  (by FREUD out of BEA BEA by CITY ZIP)
6  QUEEN ATLAS         (englehart chris)ROHENA M 122 12.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of QUEENARDINI by BERNARDINI)
7  PRINCESS FIONA Sep24 Aug14       (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 5.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of I STILL MISS YOU by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
8  LIPAN LAW Sep24 Sep09       (ferraro anth)COA J 122 3.50 34% 1.90    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of HELOTES by PAYNTER)
9  LILITHS MOON Oct07         (norsen a)HARKIE K 122 20.00    
  (by FOG OF WAR out of MON IN THE MOON by MARIA'S MON)
10  DANZING EMBERS         (ferraro m)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of FERRITTO by SUAVE)
11  ONLY LA DUSS Oct07 Sep09       (dixon lind)DE EMANUEL 122 5.00    
  (by FOG OF WAR out of FAVORABLY by FLYING PASTER)
12  HARD TO LOVE Sep24 Sep09 Aug26 Jul30   (d'alessandro r)ALVARADO R 122 20.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of LOVELY ISLE by DOUBLE HONOR)
 
FL-7   10/22/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SIGHT UNSEEN Nov21 Nov08 Oct09 Sep25 Sep04 (buckley j)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 8.00    
2  FORWARD MOTION Oct08 Sep16 Aug12 Jul08 Jun05 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 122 3.00 5% 18.00    
3  TOMMY THE TORCH Oct01 Sep16 Jul31 Jun27 May30 (murphy t)DAVIS A 122 5.00 ★    
SCR  HOLY COWBOY Sep24 Sep16 Aug27 Jul23 Jul08 (breed debra)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 20.00    
5  DEVIOUS MO Sep24 Aug21 Aug07 Jun18 May27 (shaffer ri)DE EMANUEL 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  SON OF DARKNESS Oct01 Sep16 Aug28 Aug14 Jul31 (pettine jame)HARKIE K 124 5.00    
7  HE IS BONAFIDE Sep23 Aug23 Jun30 Jun16 Jun02 (garza hector)ALVARADO R 124 15.00    
8  UNCLE MILTIE Oct08 Sep11 Aug14 Jul31 Jul17 (ferraro michael)DIAZ J 122 8.00    
9  TRAPPE THE DREAM Oct08 Sep11 Aug28 Aug20 Jul16 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 10.00    
10  INVALUABLE WILL Oct08 Sep24 Sep16 Sep04 Aug27 (breed a)CRUZ JOEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
11  SMOKIN' ALONE Oct01 Sep24 Sep10 Aug20 Aug06 (sabine michael )ROHENA JR 122 20.00    
12  HONOR AMONG MEN Sep04 Aug27 Aug05 Jul08 Jun05 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 4.00 68% 0.50    
 
FL-8   10/22/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUR FIRST LADY Sep10 Aug19 Jul29 Jul15 Jun19 (acq)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 6.00    
SCR  HAPPY TIME Sep24 Sep06 Jul23 Jul09 Jun17 (acquilano )DE EMANUEL 124 6.00    
2  GOING HOME NOW Oct02 Sep09 Aug20 Aug06 Jul23 (turetsky e)ROHENA JR 124 4.00 32% 2.20    
3  FLOWERDEW Jun08 May15 Apr19 Mar22 Feb16 (giddings mel)BRIDGMOHAN X 124 5.00    
4  SKY'S WINNING BID Sep17 Aug14 Jul15 Jun25 May29 (ferraro anth)COA J 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  CITY BLOCKS Oct09 Sep24 Sep09 Aug26 Jul30 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 121 2.50 44% 1.30    
6  MAIZE LOVED LAFFY Sep17 Aug14 Jul29 Jul15 Jul01 (marino jo)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 124 3.00    
7  PRACTICAL RACHEL Sep24 Aug13 Jul24 Jun06 May16 (loaiza ilmar)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
FL-9   10/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REGENERATOR Oct07 Sep18 Sep03 Aug05 Jun25 (englehart chris)ROHENA M 121 2.50 32% 2.10    
2  SHE LOVES TO MOVE Sep30 Sep11 Aug19 Jul29 Jul10 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 119 3.50 16% 5.10    
3  TUMBLES Oct09 Sep30 Aug14 Jul30 Jul04 (ashley juliu)HARKIE K 122 4.00    
4  WINE TRAIL Oct07 Sep23 Sep09 Aug19 Jul24 (gibbs jermain)DAVILA A 122 20.00    
SCR  AUTOMATED TELLER Jul09 Jul01 Jun04 May21 Apr30 (bon)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 20.00    
6  SWEET TOOTH SUE Sep30 Sep11 Aug28 Aug19 Jul31 (marino jo)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SHASI Sep30 Sep10 Aug13 Jul16 Jun24 (mastin k)DAVIS A 122 15.00    
8  KITTY TIN TIN Oct09 Sep11 Jul23 Oct31 Oct17 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 6.00    
9  SWEET SUGAR BABY Sep10 Aug28 Aug19 Jul17 Jun03 (breed a)CRUZ JOEL 122 6.00 17% 4.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.