Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mountaineer Park
Wednesday - October 09, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MNR-1   WIN (2/8/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/6/7)-(2/8/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (2/8/6/7)-(6/4/2/1) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
MNR-2   WIN (6/4/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/2/1)-(6/4/2/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (6/4/2/1)-(6/4/2/1)-(6/4/2/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (6/4/2/1)-(5/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/2/1)-(5/1/4)-(8/1/7/3) 48 $2.00 $96.00 
MNR-3   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/1/4)-(8/1/7/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-4   WIN (8/1/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/7/3)-(8/1/7/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (8/1/7/3)-(8/1/7/3)-(8/1/7/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (8/1/7/3)-(2/1/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
MNR-5   WIN (2/1/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/3/7)-(2/1/3/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (2/1/3/7)-(2/1/3/7)-(2/1/3/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
MNR-6   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1)-(7/4)-(7/1/4) 18 $2.00 $36.00 
MNR-7   WIN (7/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/4)-(7/8/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (7/4)-(7/1/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
MNR-8   WIN (7/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/4)-(7/1/2/6/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/1/4)-(7/1/2/6/4)-(7/1/2/6/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MNR-1   10/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN ACCOUNT Sep17 Sep02 Jul08 Jun11 May21 (barker)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 3.00    
J P'S GLADYS Aug26 Aug14 Jul22 May08 Apr03 (norris ste)WEATHERLY BAILEY 120 2.00 40% 1.50    
MISS FORT Sep23 Sep09 Aug20 Aug06 Jul16 (cluley denn)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 6.00    
MISS ANTIETAM Sep23 May31 May18 Apr27 Apr06 (brown w)WHITACRE B 120 2.50    
TAP N GLO Sep23 Sep02 Aug06 Jul28 Jul02 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 120 10.00    
MAYSVILLE MISS Sep22 Sep15 Sep03 Aug19 Jul28 (gilbert julia)GILBERT KYLE 120 12.00 9% 10.30    
KINGSTON TIME Sep23 Aug26 Aug12 Jul28 Jul10 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 120 30.00 6% 15.00    
BIG BANG BLUE Sep11 Aug21 Aug07 Jul17 Jul01 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 120 12.00 15% 5.50    
 
MNR-2   10/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MATERS N TATERS Sep09 Aug11 Jul23 Jun25 Jun11 (godsey marshall)YARANGA Y 120 8.00 9% 9.60    
ROYAL THUNDER Sep26 Sep03 Aug11 Jul12 Jun20 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 5.00 14% 6.10    
COASTAL CHAOS Aug20 Jul31 Jun25 May28 Apr30 (barker jame)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 8.00    
INDEFATIGABLE Sep30 Sep16 Sep03 Aug12 Jul10 (norris ste)WEATHERLY BAILEY 120 8.00 15% 5.80    
FOREMAN Oct02 Sep25 Sep18 Sep10 Aug19 (silva pabl)NEGRON LUIS 123 3.50    
CAJUN HOPE Sep29 Sep14 Sep05 Aug24 Jul27 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 120 2.50 22% 3.50    
LAZARUS PROJECT Sep24 Aug27 Aug05 Jul01 Jun13 (shanyfelt doug)GONZALEZ A 120 3.00    
 
MNR-3   10/09/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEAM HOT LINE Sep22 Aug14 Jul28 Jun23 May28 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 120 1.60 28% 2.60    
CIDSTAYINURLAINE Sep26 Sep17 Sep04 Jun04 May27 (silva pabl)NEGRON LUIS 120 6.00    
TALES OF MAKENNA Sep14 Sep05 Aug11 Jul25 Jun29 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 3.00    
SUGAR BRITCHES Sep22 Jul28 Jun26 Jun16 May19 (witherow william )YARANGA Y 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
ALICIA'S WAY Sep22 Sep09 Aug14 Jul09 Jun16 (silva pablo)WHITACRE B 120 1.80 46% 1.20    
GALILEO'S AFFAIR Aug12 Jul28 Nov14 Oct18 Oct02 (ortiz-)RODRIGUEZ A 110 20.00    
 
MNR-4   10/09/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FUTURE FLAY Sep25 Sep07 Aug22 Aug09 Jul26 (aguirre r)TAPARA LUIS 123 3.00 29% 2.50    
FOLK HERO Sep29 Sep14 Sep01 Aug18 Aug04 (gomez ale)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 123 6.00    
GOLD PASS Sep24 Sep02 Aug14 Jul17 Jun19 (howard m)DAVILA M 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
LIGHT HEARTED Sep26 Sep10 Jul21 Jul04 Jun10 (ccamaque marc)BARBARAN ERIK 123 20.00    
SCR  ANCIENT BROWN Sep24 Aug19 Aug06 Jul22 May05 (mcgaffic gregory)BAEZ M 123 30.00    
WHISKEY TALKING Sep22 Sep09 Jul21 Jul03 Jun26 (meeks )RODRIGUEZ A 113 20.00    
TUNSTALL Sep15 Sep03 Aug19 Nov14 Nov09 (bernardini )BARRIOS RICARDO 123 4.00 9% 10.10    
IMMACULATE HEART Sep11 Jul30 Jul08 Jun13 Oct18 (shanyfelt doug)GONZALEZ A 123 1.00 41% 1.40    
 
MNR-5   10/09/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($6.5K) Purse ($23.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RESCUE FIVE Sep24 Sep17 Aug28 Aug18 Jul30 (kocijan marc)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 2.50 20% 3.90    
NOID Sep27 Aug24 Jul30 Apr22 Apr01 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 120 4.00 22% 3.50    
ALLEN CAN DO IT Sep21 Aug10 Jul25 Jun29 May30 (hanagan lela)LEWIS M 115 3.50 14% 6.30    
TIMBERRY TIDDLER Sep30 Aug21 Jul24 Jul03 Jun03 (baird micha)BARBARAN ERIK 120 5.00    
SEXY CHOCOLATTE Sep22 Sep16 Sep08 Aug27 Aug18 (dixon geo)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 8.00    
BLACK CANDY Sep24 Aug28 Aug18 Jul30 Jul16 (blackhurst)WEATHERLY BAILEY 120 5.00    
SWORD OF DAMOCLES Aug20 Jul30 Jul14 Jun24 Jun16 (baird michael)PAUCAR E 120 8.00 5% 17.30    
 
MNR-6   10/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UOME Sep15 Sep06 May28 May10   (matejka pavel)YARANGA Y 118 6.00 6% 17.10    
LA VILLAGE LUMIERE Sep17 Sep04 Aug27 Jul11 Jun19 (meyers sha)WEATHERLY BAILEY 120 8.00    
SCR  SESSA SISU Sep23 Aug20 Sep14 Aug18   (reed r)WHITACRE B 121 3.00    
FLAT OUT DIAMONDS Sep10 Aug20 Jul31 Jul14 Jun16 (cluley denn)BARRIOS RICARDO 118 3.50 46% 1.20    
HONORABLE WOMAN Sep24 Aug29 Aug07 Jul16 Jun22 (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 2.00 15% 5.70    
PRIVATE CREDIT Sep23 Aug30 Aug07 Jul11 Jun18 (hendriks ric)TAPARA BRANDON 120 4.50    
 
MNR-7   10/09/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($6.5K) Purse ($23.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  REMY'S HOTSHOT Sep25 Sep12 Aug20 Jul27 Jul16 (grams c)WHITACRE B 118 4.50    
SCR  SCARLET REBEL Sep21 Jun28 May07 Apr25 Mar27 (jones )BATISTA ALBERTO 120 15.00    
XHILARATINGPURPOSE Sep18 Sep04 Aug19 Aug06 Jul24 (fiesman rob)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 6.00    
VINTAGE SPARKLE Oct01 Sep15 Aug26 Aug05 Jul23 (silva pabl)TAPARA LUIS 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
VACATION SECRET Aug20 Jul29 Jul02 Jun16 May07 (kocijan marc)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 30.00    
S S ALTERNATE Jul29 Jul15 Jul07 Jun16 May20 (dixon geo)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 30.00    
MOONLIT KISS Sep25 Sep12 Aug17 Jul25 Jun20 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 118 1.00 71% 0.40    
THELASTSAY Sep25 Aug11 Jul23 Jun28 May30 (shuler r)VEGA L 121 3.00    
 
MNR-8   10/09/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMERICAN GREAT Mar31 Feb11       (reffne)RODRIGUEZ A 123 8.00 6% 14.60    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of RED CARPET MISS by MALIBU MOON)
FLIGHT WAY Dec02 Aug26 Jul29     (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 118 2.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of PURRFECT SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
BIMINI SANDS Sep18         (reffner b)YARANGA Y 123 30.00    
  (by SAN PABLO out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
WEEKEND FLAME Sep24 Aug14 Jul30 Jun23   (crago terr)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of WEEKEND WISH by BLUEGRASS CAT)
AMERICAN CONSULATE Sep21 Sep11 Aug26 Aug04 Jul16 (freeman ken)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 8.00    
  (by RAISON D'ETAT out of PAULOWNIA by QUIET AMERICAN)
ATLAS FALLS Aug22 Jun14 Apr10 Dec19 Nov16 (reed r)WHITACRE B 118 4.50    
  (by BERNARDINI out of OLDFASHIONED STYLE by OLD FASHIONED)
TRACK LIGHT Aug14 Jun07 Apr24 Mar08 Nov23 (reed r)TAPARA BRANDON 118 1.60 70% 0.40    
  (by UNKNOWN out of LIGHT THE SKY by TAPIT)
HE'S A WILD CHILD Sep18 Sep11 Aug14 Jul22 Jun02 (lopez-olmeda ra)VEGA L 118 30.00    
  (by THE BIG BEAST out of COMMAND PERFECTION by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
S S FUNNY FOREVER Sep24         (gilbert julia)GILBERT KYLE 118 30.00    
  (by D' FUNNYBONE out of HONKY TONK ANGEL by BLUEGRASS CAT)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.