Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Finger Lakes
Wednesday - September 25, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FL-1   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(3/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-2   WIN (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/6)-(3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/6)-(2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FL-3   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/5)-(2/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FL-4   WIN (2/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/7)-(2/4/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/4/7)-(2/4/5/7)-(2/4/5/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/4/7)-(2/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-5   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/4)-(1/2/8/9/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
FL-6   WIN (1/2/8/9/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/2/8/9/7)-(1/2/8/9/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/2/8/9/7)-(1/2/8/9/7)-(1/2/8/9/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/2/8/9/7)-(7/1/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FL-7   WIN (7/1/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/5/3)-(7/1/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/5/3)-(7/1/5/3)-(7/1/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/5/3)-(3/2/5/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FL-8   WIN (3/2/5/8/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/2/5/8/1)-(3/2/5/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/2/5/8/1)-(3/2/5/8/1)-(3/2/5/8/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FL-1   09/25/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUCH THAT HURT Aug05 Jul24 Jun04 Nov22 Nov07 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 2.00 22% 3.50    
MOTLEY SUE Sep11 Aug28 Aug06 Jun19 Jun03 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 5.00    
SUPER SLIDE Aug28 Aug13 Jul30 Jul16 Jun18 (bireta donna)ROHENA JR 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
THIN LEGS May28 May07 Apr29 Nov08 Oct02 (acquilano jam)DAVILA A 122 3.50 34% 1.90    
PALS ALLY Sep11 Aug12 Jul30 Jul16 Jul02 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 122 12.00    
PRINCESS SONYA Sep10 Aug13 Jun17 Nov15 Jul31 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 122 2.50    
 
FL-2   09/25/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THEFABULOUS MOOLAH Sep09 Aug12 Jul30 Jul16 Jul02 (morales s)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 3.50    
1A  CENTRAL CAPITAL Sep09 Aug26 Aug12 Jul10 Jun18 (morales samuel)FRET STEVEN 122 3.50    
CLIFDEN PUNCH Sep02 Aug19 Jul30 Jul04 Jun18 (ashley juliu)HARKIE K 124 2.00    
MIND OF GOLD Sep11 Aug26 Aug12 Jul22 Jul09 (oyola david)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 2.50 53% 0.90    
BON FIRE DIVA Sep02 Aug12 Jul24 Jul09 Jun26 (williams oma)MULERO M 122 5.00 14% 6.10    
QUIET HORIZON Sep11 Aug19 Aug05 Jul24 Jul15 (cabrera )DAVIS A 122 10.00    
CALL ME CARMELITA Sep11 Aug26 Aug12 Jul10 Jun10 (mcclung shayl)DAVILA A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
FL-3   09/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($11K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOSS HOLIDAY Sep11 Aug23 Aug02 Jun27 Apr19 (albright am)CALDERON OLIVER 120 4.50    
GIMMEDAMONEY Aug26 Aug12 Jul29 Jul16 Jun24 (lecesse m)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 124 2.50 32% 2.10    
MORNING CUP Aug27 Aug12 Jul16 Jun14 May05 (grabowski john)COA J 124 2.00    
SCR  MR PHIL Aug15 Aug01 Jul24 Jul04 Jun12 (moreno-barban l)BEATO INOEL 124 3.50    
BEACH BOY AL Aug11 May04 Mar29 Mar10 Jan27 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 6.00 13% 6.50    
SCR  BARFLY Sep03 Aug06 Jul10 Jun12 May22 (thompson marcus)FRET STEVEN 120 8.00    
 
FL-4   09/25/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLUTE SONG Sep04 Jul29 Jul15 Jun25 May28 (monserrate mari)ROHENA JR 121 20.00    
LADY LAWRENCE Sep04 Aug20 Jul30 Jul10 Jun05 (reed a)COA J 121 4.00 45% 1.20    
SCR  REZQUIA Aug30 Aug21 Aug02 Jul18 Jun20 (o'callah)DAVIS A 121 2.50    
NANASQUAN Aug29 Aug21 Aug02 Jul18 Jul06 (sells rache)CAMILO D 124 3.50 27% 2.70    
DR G AND ALI Aug27 Aug07 Jul29 Jun24 Jun05 (dixon )MARAGH RAMSAY 121 6.00    
JOVIO Aug27 Aug13 Jul29 Jun19 Jun05 (clarke matth)HARKIE K 124 8.00    
LIGON'S LEGACY Sep11 Aug20 Aug07 Jul10   (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
MAJOR MAYHEM Aug27 Aug14 Jul23 Jul09 Jun25 (sells rachel)PEREZ E 121 5.00    
 
FL-5   09/25/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($11K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IN TRAFFIC Sep10 Aug26 Aug07 Jul16 Jun25 (rivera davi)FLORES JEREMIAS 120 8.00    
FAST FRAN Aug14 Nov08 Oct18 Sep18 Aug21 (sha)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 1.80 42% 1.40    
FLATTERY'S MUSIC Aug21 Aug07 Jul02 Jun17 May20 (sabine michae)DAVILA A 122 2.00    
GRAND LADY INDY Sep10 Aug21 Aug07 Jul30 Jul17 (loaiza ilmar)HARKIE K 119 5.00 11% 8.20    
MAKEAJOYFULNOISE Aug21 Aug05 Jul09 Jun18 Nov20 (murphy tim)DE EMANUEL 120 2.50 22% 3.50    
 
FL-6   09/25/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 2 ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWO THIRTY A. M.         (ferraro anth)COA J 121 5.00 37% 1.70    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of LOST RAVEN by UNCLE MO)
BRINK Sep09 Aug21 Aug14 Jul25 Jun21 (davis )MARAGH RAMSAY 121 3.00 19% 4.20    
  (by THE FACTOR out of EQUANT by ORB)
IT'S NOT OVER YET Aug28 Aug14       (ree)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 3.50    
  (by LAOBAN out of TEN DEMERITS by INTO MISCHIEF)
PROBABLY FLATTERY         (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 121 6.00    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of FLATTERYWILLGETYOU by FLATTER)
JUST A GUY         (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 6.00    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of PIECES OF SPEIGHT by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  YOHEDA MONEY MAKER Sep23         (gutierrez a)CRUZ JOEL 121 20.00    
  (by YOSHIDA out of STORMY SALUTE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
H B PLAISANCE Sep09         (torelli stac)HARKIE K 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BIG BROWN out of JANUARY by RED RANSOM)
SCALES OF GOLD         (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of HOLY GOLD by TOUCH GOLD)
MAGGIE'S BOY         (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BIG BROWN out of MAGGIE'S RUBY ROSE by GRAY RAIDER)
10  WINGO STARR         (bartlett)DAVIS A 121 8.00    
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of ALWAYS AND FOREVER by BROKEN VOW)
 
FL-7   09/25/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUNSHINE HARRY Aug14 Jul26 Jun27 Jun13 May23 (graci a)CRUZ JOEL 124 5.00    
1A  KHAKI JACK Aug23 Aug02 Jun27 May24 Sep15 (graci a)AGUILAR M 124 5.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  BOWING SNOWMAN Sep11 Aug21 Aug14 Jul31 Jul16 (muller j)ROHENA JR 122 15.00    
GONNA BE DANCING Aug05 Jul02 Jun10 May21 May06 (breed ronald)HARKIE K 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
DON'T LOSEMYMONEY Aug15 Jul11 Jun26 May30 May02 (moreno-barban l)BEATO INOEL 122 10.00    
NORGAY Sep11 Aug20 Jul23 Jul09 Jun24 (gutierrez lu)BERRIOS C 122 6.00 6% 15.10    
HE'S GOT THE JACK Aug20 Jul31 Jul09 Jun17 Oct16 (englehart chris)ROHENA M 122 3.50    
KOOL KATHMANDU Sep02 Aug12 Jul29 Jul16 May20 (ferraro michae)COA J 122 2.50 47% 1.10    
SCR  DEE'S WISEGUY Aug05 Jul02 Jun11 May28 May13 (johnston ro)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 20.00    
N Y RIESLING Sep04 Aug06 Jun24 May22 May13 (dixon li)DAVIS A 124 8.00    
 
FL-8   09/25/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE SPEAKS WELL Sep17 Sep02 Aug19 Jul31 Jul23 (maver eduardo)PENA LUIS 124 12.00    
1A  PARTY NEWS Sep17 Aug14 Jul31 May22 May04 (maver eduardo)ROHENA M 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
ROAD SODA Sep01 Jun07 May12 Apr27 Mar24 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 4.00 22% 3.60    
THE MIGHTY DON Sep04 Aug13 Jul31 May20 May07 (monserrate mari)ROHENA JR 124 5.00 23% 3.30    
CROAGH PATRICK Sep04 Aug26 Aug06 Jul08 Jun24 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 8.00    
STORMANDY Jul09 Nov20 Nov06 Oct10 Sep12 (saul dana)BAEZ JOSE 124 3.00 15% 5.90    
DANCINWITHJAKE Sep17 Aug28 Aug07 Jul23 Jul09 (progno michael )FRET STEVEN 124 20.00    
ONOFRIO Aug26 Aug13 Jul10 Jun24 May29 (murphy t)DAVIS A 124 12.00    
BRENNAN'S WAR Aug28 Jul07 Jun22 Jan06 Aug31 (sells rachel)ALVARADO R 124 15.00 13% 6.50    
DRINKING SOLO Sep04 Aug07 Jul17 Jun26 Jun10 (davis d)COA J 121 5.00    
SCR  BET THE PALACE Sep17 Sep03 Aug12 Jul31 Jul10 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 6.00    
SCR  BOLD FORCE Jun03 Feb21 Feb01 Dec30 Nov21 (grusmark karl)CRUZ JOEL 121 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.