Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mountaineer Park
Tuesday - September 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MNR-1   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/1/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(3/5/6/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-2   WIN (3/5/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/6/8)-(3/5/6/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (3/5/6/8)-(3/5/6/8)-(3/5/6/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (3/5/6/8)-(5/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6/8)-(5/2/7)-(7/6/1/8) 48 $2.00 $96.00 
MNR-3   WIN (5/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/7)-(5/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/2/7)-(7/6/1/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-4   WIN (7/6/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/1/8)-(7/6/1/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/6/1/8)-(7/6/1/8)-(7/6/1/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (7/6/1/8)-(3/5/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
MNR-5   WIN (3/5/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/1/4)-(3/5/1/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (3/5/1/4)-(3/5/1/4)-(3/5/1/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
MNR-6   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5)-(2/4/5/3)-(7/8/4/6) 48 $2.00 $96.00 
MNR-7   WIN (2/4/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/5/3)-(2/4/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/5/3)-(7/8/4/6) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
MNR-8   WIN (7/8/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/4/6)-(7/8/4/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/8/4/6)-(7/8/4/6)-(7/8/4/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MNR-1   09/17/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIANCA Sep09 Aug13 Jul24 Jun26   (connelly tere)CEDILLO MAURO 118 2.50 ★    
  (by YOUNG BRIAN out of NIGHTFURY by KITALPHA)
2  REVENUE TRAIN Sep10 Sep02 Aug14 Jul29 Jul11 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 123 3.50 36% 1.80    
  (by LORD NELSON out of CAPE MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
3  JAMMER INSURANCE Jun18         (reed r)TAPARA LUIS 118 3.00 41% 1.40    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of BOOS by DREAM AHEAD)
4  RAGAZZA MIA Aug01 Feb14 Jan03 Nov08 Oct19 (baird mi)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MOSLER out of THEGALTHATWASABOY by TIZNOW)
5  ESTRELLA KIARA Jul29 Jun14 May25 Apr24 Apr14 (gerich fr)HERNANDEZ H 118 12.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of SARANDA by SMART STRIKE)
6  MADAM LEOTA Sep10 Aug01 Feb03 Dec16 Oct13 (bernardini p)AVILES YAN 118 20.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of LITTLE SWOON by YOU AND I)
7  MAYBE SARDONIC Aug27 Aug12 Jul29 Jun23 Jun03 (cluley denn)BARRIOS RICARDO 118 20.00    
  (by TIZ SARDONIC JOE out of IDONTKNOW MAYBE by DONERAILE COURT)
8  HIGHWAY ROBBERY Aug20 Aug07 Jul31 Jul14 Jun30 (sipp burton )VILCHEZ MAIKOL 118 15.00    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of JAY AT NINE by STORM CAT)
9  MIDNIGHT IN PRAGUE Sep04 Oct26 Oct19 Oct08 Aug02 (morris r)NEGRON LUIS 123 4.00 ★    
  (by LAOBAN out of FROM TIZ MOMENT ON by TIZNOW)
10  SNOWBIRD Sep02 Aug13 Jul23 Jun27 Jun13 (stanoszek sara)DAVILA M 118 20.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of MUSIC AND LYRICS by FED BIZ)
SCR  DOWHATEVERITTAKES May31 May03 Mar04 Jan14 Sep22 (reed r)TAPARA BRANDON 123 1.40    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of CAT ON A TIN ROOF by CATIENUS)
 
MNR-2   09/17/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LADY FREE WILL Sep10 Aug13 Jul29 Jun24 Jun06 (joy j)WHITACRE B 123 2.50    
2  RUNAWAY MOM Sep04 Aug20 Aug06 Jul30 Jun16 (stanoszek sara)DAVILA M 120 30.00    
3  DICHOTOMY Aug15 Jul25 Jun28 Jun15 May25 (jenkins a)PAUCAR E 120 1.60 62% 0.60    
SCR  PEACE FIRE Sep09 Aug25 Jul28 Jul02 Jun24 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 120 15.00    
5  TRAUMARAMA Sep09 Aug25 Aug06 Jul22 Jul10 (bayley )BRAVO MISAEL 115 3.50 7% 13.50    
6  YESTERDAYSPLAN Aug27 Aug20 Jul17 Jul07 Jun03 (logston christ)GILBERT KYLE 120 12.00 6% 16.50    
7  LA BRODY Sep04 Aug21 Aug05 Jul10 Jun26 (barbaran ho)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 15.00    
8  SHERILINDA Sep11 Jun26 Jun16 May28 Feb26 (silva juan)WEATHERLY BAILEY 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  HONEY BOURBON Sep04 Aug25 Aug06 Jul10 Jun26 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 120 8.00    
 
MNR-3   09/17/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($18.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  THE HONORABLE EYE Sep04 Jul29 Jul03 Jun23 Jun09 (bernardini p)AVILES YAN 120 6.00    
2  SHE'S A SAINT Aug19 Jul17 May23 Apr14 Feb22 (reed r)TAPARA BRANDON 118 3.50 24% 3.20    
3  NEW AGE BAD GIRL Sep04 Aug11 Jul15 Jul09 May16 (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 120 2.50    
SCR  CONNECT IT Aug12 Jul31 Jul21 Jul09 Jun16 (logston c)HERNANDEZ H 120 20.00    
5  GET BY Sep02 Aug04 Jul24 Jul16 Jun19 (inirio carl)SEVERINO VICTOR 120 6.00 39% 1.60    
6  WEST COAST SONG Aug27 Aug20 Jul27 Jun24 May26 (ccamaque ma)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 121 3.00    
7  LA VILLAGE LUMIERE Sep04 Aug27 Jul11 Jun19 Jun04 (meyers sha)WEATHERLY BAILEY 120 5.00 11% 8.50    
 
MNR-4   09/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHORIST Sep04 Aug13 Aug05 Jul17 Jul10 (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 8.00 13% 6.80    
2  BEE WINGS Sep09 Aug25 Aug14 Aug06 Jul22 (montano wilfrido)BAEZ M 123 30.00    
3  I MATTER Sep04 Aug06 Jul16 Jun09 May19 (howard wi)HERNANDEZ H 123 20.00    
4  DIXIE'S DANCE Aug20 Aug11 Jul21 Jul09 Jun23 (witherow wil)VILCHEZ MAIKOL 123 20.00    
5  SO RED THE ROSE Aug13 Jun21 Apr06 Mar07 Feb16 (obed-letts ketur)WHITACRE B 123 8.00    
6  OLIVIA'S JOY Aug20 Jul10 Jun19 Dec03 Nov07 (gilbert julia)GILBERT KYLE 123 3.00 23% 3.40    
7  RADIANT GEM Sep04 Aug20 Aug13 Aug01 Jul18 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 123 0.80 40% 1.50    
8  JEFF'S ANGEL Sep04 Aug26 Feb18 Aug22 Aug09 (figueroa roland)LEON A 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
MNR-5   09/17/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELIEVING (IRE) Aug28 Jul17 Jun29 Jun05 Dec22 (stansbury julie)NEGRON LUIS 120 4.50 6% 15.40    
2  LUNAR PRAYER Sep10 Jul31 Dec05 Nov12 Oct30 (rodak geraldine)YARANGA Y 120 30.00    
3  CASTLE LIGHTS Aug28 Aug04 Jun24 Jun03 May10 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 115 3.50 43% 1.30    
4  ROMANTIC JEWEL Aug12 Jul21 Jul07 Jun25 Jun10 (crago terry)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  GOLDEN ACCOUNT Sep02 Jul08 Jun11 May21 Apr30 (barker r)AVILES YAN 123 2.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  WARRIOR EMPRESS Sep03 Jul21 Jul02 May14 Dec06 (clouston e)WEATHERLY BAILEY 120 8.00    
7  CALYPSO GHOST Aug02 Jun21 May31 May11 Apr13 (harting r)WHITACRE B 120 3.00    
8  SHELLY THE ROCKET Aug28 Aug12 Jul08 May21 Apr30 (logston chris)CEDILLO MAURO 120 12.00    
 
MNR-6   09/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNYIELDING Sep04 Jul07 Jun25 May28 May05 (clouston edward)TAPARA LUIS 123 4.00    
2  DARK OAK Jul09 Jun23 May14 Apr22 Sep26 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 123 2.50 21% 3.80    
3  ALABAMA SLAMMER Aug26 Jul03 Jun12 May25 Apr20 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 123 3.50    
4  BROTHER SKYE Sep01 Aug25 Jul14 Jun30 Jun04 (langley wi)WEATHERLY BAILEY 123 4.00 30% 2.30    
5  EL CARDINAL Aug26 Aug11 Jul23 Jun30 Jun11 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 123 6.00 14% 5.90    
SCR  PYEONG CHANG Aug16 Jul05 Jun13 May24 May02 (smith osborne)CHILO MAXIMO 123 15.00    
7  BEYOND GONE Jul30 Jun24 Jun04 Dec10 Nov14 (zook w)WHITACRE B 123 6.00    
 
MNR-7   09/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FIELDSTONE Aug12 Jul01 Jun08 May17 Apr27 (hetrick n)AVILES YAN 120 5.00    
2  SPEIGHTY WAR Aug26 Aug12 Jul21 Jun25 Jun10 (crago terry)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 3.00 44% 1.30    
3  CABOOSE Aug11 Jul17 Jul03 Jun16 May08 (cluley denn)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  MALIBU ROCK STAR Aug26 Jul01 Jun23 Jun09 May19 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 120 4.00 21% 3.80    
5  DAVID'S GEM Aug12 Jul15 Jun24 May08 Apr08 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 120 4.50 8% 11.60    
6  STUBBORNKINDAFELLA Jun02 Apr30 Mar27 Mar06 Feb10 (sanders melinda)LEON A 120 6.00    
7  ACTION POINT Sep02 Aug12 Jul17 Jun26 Sep25 (inman l)DAVILA M 120 12.00    
SCR  CASH CUSTOMER Aug26 Aug11 Jul24 Jul14 Jul01 (bird danny)WEATHERLY BAILEY 120 8.00    
9  PAPA DON Aug27 Aug11 Jun04 May04 Mar23 (shuler r)VEGA L 120 30.00    
10  RESCUE FIVE Aug28 Aug18 Jul30 Jul23 Jul09 (kocijan)BRAVO MISAEL 120 20.00    
SCR  MAGNA RULER Sep04 Aug20 Jul01 Jun18 Jun02 (lopez jos)HERNANDEZ H 120 20.00    
SCR  COMPANY CLOWN Aug25 Jul18 Jun27 May17 Apr26 (smith osborne)PELTROCHE F 120 8.00    
SCR  CATFISH Sep01 Aug12 Jul29 Jun24 May27 (shuler r)WHITACRE B 120 20.00    
 
MNR-8   09/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($7.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VERACIOUS VERA Aug25 Aug13 Jul31 Jul15 Jun25 (snatchko a)VEGA L 118 30.00    
SCR  RAG TOWN Aug25 Aug13 Jul31 Jul23 May12 (brown )RODRIGUEZ A 113 30.00    
3  QUEENS RIOT Aug25 Aug13 Jul31 Jul03 Dec08 (stanoszek sara)DAVILA M 123 15.00    
4  WOMP Aug25 Aug13 Jul31 Jul15 Jul08 (sipp k)YARANGA Y 123 8.00 10% 9.40    
5  KATZ ME OF COURSE Sep02 Aug18 Jul11 Jun02   (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 123 3.50    
6  TEST YOUR FAITH Sep02 Aug12 Jul23 Jul16 Jul03 (wade justi)WEATHERLY BAILEY 123 8.00 8% 12.30    
7  GALADINI Sep09 Aug19 Jul16 Jun19 May31 (godsey marshal)AVILES YAN 118 1.20 40% 1.50    
8  CASSOULET Sep02 Aug13 Jul29 Jul08 Jun25 (ccamaque ma)BARRIOS RICARDO 118 4.00 22% 3.50    
9  MISS PLA Jul27 Jul05 Jun13 May11 Nov12 (fiesman r)HERNANDEZ H 118 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.