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The Longshot Specialist!

Horseshoe Indianapolis
Wednesday - September 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

IND-1   WIN (5/8/2/4/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/8/2/4/10)-(5/8/2/4/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/8/2/4/10)-(5/8/2/4/10)-(5/8/2/4/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/8/2/4/10)-(1/2/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/8/2/4/10)-(1/2/3)-(3/7/4) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
IND-2   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(3/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(3/7/4)-(1/4/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
IND-3   WIN (3/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/4)-(3/7/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/7/4)-(3/7/4/6)-(3/7/4/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/7/4)-(1/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/7/4)-(1/4/3)-(9/13/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
IND-4   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/3)-(9/13/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3)-(9/13/3)-(1/8/3/5) 36 $1.00 $18.00 
IND-5   WIN (9/13/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/13/3)-(9/13/3/4/14) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/13/3)-(9/13/3/4/14)-(9/13/3/4/14) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (9/13/3)-(1/8/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/13/3)-(1/8/3/5)-(5/9/3/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
IND-6   WIN (1/8/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/3/5)-(1/8/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/3/5)-(1/8/3/5)-(1/8/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/8/3/5)-(5/9/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/8/3/5)-(5/9/3/6)-(7/2/3/4/1) 80 $1.00 $40.00 
IND-7   WIN (5/9/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/9/3/6)-(5/9/3/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/9/3/6)-(5/9/3/1/6)-(5/9/3/1/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/9/3/6)-(7/2/3/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/9/3/6)-(7/2/3/4/1)-(5/1/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
IND-8   WIN (7/2/3/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/2/3/4/1)-(7/2/3/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/2/3/4/1)-(7/2/3/4/1)-(7/2/3/4/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/2/3/4/1)-(5/1/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
IND-9   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/6/2)-(5/1/6/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
IND-1   09/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HANDSOME HANNAH Jun04         (wisner j)PEREZ E 120 30.00    
  (by ELITE SQUADRON out of HELLO HANNAH by TRIPPI)
ROCKETING Jul30         (richard)DE CRUZ 120 10.00 9% 10.50    
  (by UNBRIDLED EXPRESS out of ROCKIN CITYWEEKEND by CITY WEEKEND)
YOSHIDA'S IMPACT Aug15 Jul30 Jul11 Jun13 May23 (donjuan s)CORREA L 124 30.00    
  (by DOWSING out of SONATA SQUALL by DISCREET CAT)
SPECIAL GIFT CARD         (richardville )LEAHEY HANNAH 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CSABA out of TOP CARD by GO FOR GIN)
CREEK VALLEY Aug05 Jun20 Jun08 May21 Apr30 (elliott mic)ROMERO M 113 1.60 42% 1.40    
  (by SKYLORD out of ANNA CREEK by LONHRO (AUS))
REITERATION Aug20 Aug05 Jul02 Jun11 Nov13 (phillips terry)PARKER L 124 5.00    
  (by PRAYER FOR RELIEF out of ADMITIT by E DUBAI)
MISTER EZRA Aug22 Jun20 Sep27 Sep13   (elliott mich)CALLEJA ANDRES 113 15.00    
  (by TURBO COMPRESSOR out of FLEET ENCOUNTER by INTIDAB)
HUMOR'S IMAGE Aug22 Jul06 Jun08 May21 Apr30 (duran anto)VILLARREAL OSCAR 113 3.00 21% 3.90    
  (by READY'S IMAGE out of INFINITY OF HUMOR by GOT THE LAST LAUGH)
SCR  STARSPANGLEDIMAGE Aug22 Oct04 Aug29 Aug03 Nov21 (brown and)BERMUDEZ E 124 8.00    
  (by READY'S IMAGE out of STARSPANGLEDDANCER by FLARE DANCER)
10  ANDELE ANDELE Aug15 Aug05 Jul10 Jun13 May28 (rechy chaz)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SKYLORD out of FOREVER RED by RED RANSOM)
 
IND-2   09/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($46.24K) 2 ALL PT- 2:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MACHO MAN Aug07         (waltz brian)PRESCOTT R 118 3.00 40% 1.50    
SHAN Aug17 Jul29       (asmussen ste)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 2.00 19% 4.40    
MIGHTY MO Aug15 Aug02 Jul17     (evans mich)VILLARREAL OSCAR 111 20.00 17% 4.90    
ACE IT Aug30 Aug10 Jun08 May19 May05 (chapman james )ROMAN A 118 1.20    
PERMIT TO CARRY Aug26 Jun24 Jun04 May14   (gonza)ULLOA PATRICIO 118 10.00    
EL CORDOBES (IRE) Aug15 Jul18 Jul04     (chavez manue)CALLEJA ANDRES 111 20.00    
 
IND-3   09/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IT'S ON Aug10 Jul23 Jul09 Jun29 Oct14 (martin dawn)PRESCOTT R 120 30.00    
PINK ROBE Jul30 Jun17 Mar22 Feb14 Jan17 (short r)DE CRUZ 124 20.00    
RETAIL THERAPY Aug26 Jul28 Jul04 May31 May17 (ortiz john)ANDERSON MCKENNA 120 0.60 60% 0.70    
VOSTRA Aug31 Aug10 Jul11 Jul05 Jun13 (jones jef)BERMUDEZ E 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
JELLO BEAN Aug15 Jun17 May27 Oct17 Sep28 (mullins scot)BURGOS ALBERTO 117 30.00    
JENNIE LOW Aug15 Jul29 Jul15 Jun27 May07 (egbert james)ROMAN A 124 5.00    
GREATEST MOMENT Feb14         (contreras )VILLARREAL OSCAR 113 3.50 18% 4.50    
 
IND-4   09/11/2024 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($49.68K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAROTARI May18 Apr27 Mar01 Feb10 Jan05 (lynch brian )MONCADA IRVING 115 1.40 54% 0.80    
SCR  FIVE O' SOMEWHERE Sep07 Aug20 Jul18 Jul11 May29 (spraggins)BERMUDEZ E 118 10.00    
RED HOT ROD Jul27 Apr24 Apr05 Jul15 Apr21 (hernandez re)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
COUNTERSTRIKE Aug11 Jul20 Jun22 May25 Apr27 (ennis john)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 3.00 15% 5.90    
INSOLITO Aug20 Jun16 Apr21 Mar14 Feb10 (estvanko )CORREA L 122 10.00    
VOODOO ZIP Aug17 Jun05 May10 Apr14 Mar22 (esquivel jesus)PRESCOTT R 122 12.00    
B D VALESKI Aug11 Jun22 May25 Apr05 Feb25 (foley greg)CANNON DECLAN 122 5.00    
SCR  DERBY DATE Aug26 Jun10 May09 Mar24 Feb19 (contreras )VILLARREAL OSCAR 115 6.00    
 
IND-5   09/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 2 ALL PT- 4:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CASH FUNDS         (davis josep)ROMERO M 113 20.00    
  (by GOLD FOR CASH out of CHABLACK by BLACK MOONSHINE)
GIMMEL         (mullins scot)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 20.00    
  (by HONOR A. P. out of EMMA DARLING by HENNESSY)
EMBRUJO DE AMOR         (duran antonio)PARKER L 120 4.50 8% 11.10    
  (by MINESHAFT out of FLOR DE AMELIA by CAPE TOWN)
DAUWE         (langemeier j)ROMERO GREGORY 120 5.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of SAINT SAVIOR by YANKEE VICTOR)
GOLDWYN         (heath destin)MONCADA IRVING 113 10.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of GETTEM UP GIRL by BELONG TO ME)
BOUT TREE FIDDY         (haran john)ROMAN A 120 15.00    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of ATHENA BALLERINA by LION HEART)
ILLEGAL CONTACT         (klopp randy)LEAHEY HANNAH 120 10.00    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of FIVE YARD PENALTY by CONSOLIDATOR)
CHANEKE         (silva)ULLOA PATRICIO 120 15.00    
  (by DAAHER out of HOLY MOLY SUSAN by HOLY BULL)
TAP TAP TAP IT IN Aug22         (eggleston)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 3.50 35% 1.80    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of DREAMS ON TAP by TAPIT)
SCR  BOURBON CURIOSITY Jul29 Jul02       (silva mig)BERMUDEZ E 120 6.00    
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of TASHIARA by EXCHANGE RATE)
SCR  HANKSATANK         (west w)ACHARD ALEX 120 12.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of TUPELO TIDE by STREET HERO)
12  REV'S MUSTER         (phillip)DE CRUZ 120 15.00    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of SWEET REVEILLE by SUAVE)
13  STRANGER'S CHURCH Jul14         (roussel l)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 3.00 35% 1.90    
  (by UNIFIED out of GLORIOUS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  EASE MY MIND         (klopp randy)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 6.00    
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of EASY VICTORY by LOST VICTORY)
 
IND-6   09/11/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INDIAN CREED Aug15 Jun08 May08 Apr17 Jul05 (maker m)DE CRUZ 118 3.00 53% 0.90    
SECRETO DE AMORE Aug15 Aug08 Jul18 Jul03 Jun08 (duran anto)VILLARREAL OSCAR 115 6.00    
MR CORN Aug22 Jul30       (dobbsjr r)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 10.00 8% 11.30    
CLASSIC EXPRESS Aug15 Jul18 Jul06 Jun10 May27 (garcia ge)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 8.00    
ANCHOR MANNE Aug15 Jul11 May22 Jul08 Jun21 (toye lin)MOJICA O 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
CHISEL Aug22 Aug08 Jul18 Jul03 Jun18 (klopp randy)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 4.00    
REVS MEDAL Aug22 Jul10 Jul03 May28 May07 (phillips terry)PARKER L 122 15.00    
SHIESTY TO CHASE Aug15 Jul11 Jun08 May27 Nov15 (langemeier j)MORALES JOSHUA 118 2.50 12% 7.10    
 
IND-7   09/11/2024 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Hoosier Heartland Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ITZFOREVER Aug21 Jul10 Jun13 Oct28 Oct11 (granitz a)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 5.00    
  (by FOREVER D'ORO out of ITZACOLDCASE by GOLD CASE)
BRITTANYSGLDNFAITH Aug01 Jun24 Jun05 May06 Oct25 (dobbsjr e)MOJICA O 120 4.00    
  (by GREELEY'S CONQUEST out of GOLDEN STRIKER by LANGFUHR)
FOREVER PINK Aug21 Jun27 Jun05 May07 Apr16 (delacruz )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 4.50 12% 7.50    
  (by FOREVER D'ORO out of PINKING OF YOU by PINK VIPER)
UNBRIDLED TALENT Sep03 Aug26 Aug05 Jul05 Jun14 (elliott)DE CRUZ 120 20.00    
  (by UNBRIDLED EXPRESS out of SPECIAL TALENT by TALENT SEARCH)
DIAMOND SOLITAIRE Jun26 Jun05 May06 Feb15 Nov17 (west w)ACHARD ALEX 120 2.50 49% 1.00    
  (by MAJESTIC HARBOR out of DIAMOND SEEKER by SIGHTSEEING)
WILDCATJUSTICE Aug20 Jul17 Jul05 Jun19 Oct28 (matthews )BERMUDEZ E 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HARRY'S HOLIDAY out of SUPER STACY by SUPER SAVER)
NO TRUST Aug13 Jul29 Jul18 Jun17 May28 (lauer mi)RODRIGUEZ A 120 30.00    
  (by NOTIONAL out of MOR TRUST by TRUST N LUCK)
NO MORE FAKE NEWS Aug17 Jul31 Jun27 Apr25 Apr08 (haran john)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 15.00    
  (by NOTIONAL out of UTESA by EDDINGTON)
EVIL INTENTIONS Aug15 Jul15 Jun24 Jun05 May07 (dobbsjr e)PRESCOTT R 124 8.00 14% 6.20    
  (by NECK 'N NECK out of CORSICA by TROMOS (GB))
10  TIZ BAYOU Jul15 Jun12 May07 Apr17 Jun22 (eggleston ti)FUENTES A 124 12.00    
  (by TIZ SARDONIC JOE out of JENNYS ROYALPURPLE by BLUEGRASS CAT)
 
IND-8   09/11/2024 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Empire Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MANSFIELD TIGER Aug15 Jan10 Dec12 Nov13 Oct26 (eggleston)BERMUDEZ E 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PATAKY KID out of MEROM by HOLD THAT TIGER)
HOOSIER DADDY NOW Aug21 Jul31 Jul06 Jun06 May22 (langemeie)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 8.00 16% 5.40    
  (by CHARMING KITTEN out of SCATTER POINT by SCAT DADDY)
UNBRIDLED SLOPE Sep03 Jul31 Jun18 Jun05 May22 (douglass dev)CALLEJA ANDRES 118 6.00 12% 7.70    
  (by SLOPE out of UNBRIDLED'S LADY by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
DOUBLEDOGJUSTICE May13 Oct28 Oct11 Aug19 Aug02 (paquett)DE CRUZ 120 5.00 9% 9.80    
  (by LANTANA MOB out of DOWNTOWN JUSTICE by ARTICLE OF FAITH)
SCR  CRINGE Sep05 Aug14 Jun12 May22 Apr08 (mullins scot)BURGOS ALBERTO 118 20.00    
  (by TAPRIZE out of JOYELLA by SHARP HUMOR)
HOBNOBIN GENERAL Aug06 Jul13 May13 May04 Nov13 (weaver michael)PRESCOTT R 124 8.00    
  (by GENERAL A ROD out of HOB NOBIN by FIRST SAMURAI)
MR CHAOS Jul30 Jun26 Jun05 May09 Apr08 (dobbsjr e)MOJICA O 120 3.50 42% 1.40    
  (by TURBO COMPRESSOR out of CORSICA by TROMOS (GB))
HIGHEST MEMORIES Aug14 Jul16 Jun20 Jun10 May22 (eggleston ti)FUENTES A 124 10.00    
  (by SANTIVA out of BEST MEMORIES by INDY KING)
C. J'S STORM Aug06 Jul18 Jun26 Jun05 May04 (haran john)ROMAN A 120 4.50    
  (by STORM'S EYE out of PERFECT LIST by PEAKS AND VALLEYS)
10  BLUEGRASS PRAYER Aug08 Jul10 May23 Apr23 Nov01 (eggleston)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 15.00    
  (by PRAYER FOR RELIEF out of JENNYS ROYALPURPLE by BLUEGRASS CAT)
 
IND-9   09/11/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JACK'S SUMMER Aug21 May28 May07 Feb10 Jan13 (sturgeon )BEALMEAR C 115 4.50 27% 2.70    
PURELY MINE Aug21 Jun04 May14 Oct02 Sep07 (dobbsjr r)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BAND OF ROSES Jun10 May12 Dec06 Nov15 Aug31 (gonzalez a)VILLARREAL OSCAR 115 20.00    
C F V TU BRUTUS Aug20 Aug08 Jul11 Jun12 May21 (gonzalez agu)CALLEJA ANDRES 115 20.00    
LILMORECRAKEN Jul31 Jul06 Jun04 May16 Apr16 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 1.00 47% 1.10    
GALOSHES Aug21 Jul06 Jun10 May01 Apr16 (lauer mic)BERMUDEZ E 118 3.50    
LILAH B Aug14 Jul09 Jun11 May06 Oct18 (mcgovern shannon)PRESCOTT R 120 20.00    
EMERSON'S DREAM Aug21 Jul29 Jun27 May21 Feb14 (greenhi)DE CRUZ 122 12.00    
SCR  JUST HANGIN ON Aug21 Jul31 Jun25 Jun12 Oct26 (lauer mi)RODRIGUEZ A 118 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.