Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Thursday - August 29, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (3/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/1)-(3/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/1)-(3/7/1)-(3/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/7/1)-(4/5/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/1)-(4/5/2/6)-(9/4/5/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-2   WIN (4/5/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/2/6)-(4/5/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/2/6)-(4/5/2/6)-(4/5/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/2/6)-(9/4/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2/6)-(9/4/5/7)-(2/4/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-3   WIN (9/4/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/4/5/7)-(9/4/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/4/5/7)-(9/4/5/7)-(9/4/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/4/5/7)-(2/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/4/5/7)-(2/4/1)-(2/9/5/1/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
HAW-4   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/1)-(2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/1)-(2/9/5/1/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1)-(2/9/5/1/8)-(5/4/1) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
HAW-5   WIN (2/9/5/1/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/9/5/1/8)-(2/9/5/1/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/9/5/1/8)-(2/9/5/1/8)-(2/9/5/1/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/9/5/1/8)-(5/4/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/9/5/1/8)-(5/4/1)-(1/5/3) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
HAW-6   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/7/1)-(5/4/7/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/4/1)-(1/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1)-(1/5/3)-(1/3/2/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-7   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/3)-(1/3/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3)-(1/3/2/5)-(8/5/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-8   WIN (1/3/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/2/5)-(1/3/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/2/5)-(1/3/2/5)-(1/3/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/2/5)-(8/5/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
HAW-9   WIN (8/5/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/5/9)-(8/5/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/5/9)-(8/5/9)-(8/5/9) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   08/29/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  J J'S SOLUTION Aug11 Jun18 May25 Apr06 Nov07 (rednour jr)MOJICA O 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  GIANNO Aug15 Aug08 Jul18 Jul07 May25 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 118 4.50    
3  ROYAL MENDE Jul31 May31 May04 Apr17 Mar23 (davis christopher)FELIX E 122 1.80 28% 2.50    
4  FRISSON Aug04 Jun20 May16 Mar27 Feb28 (winebaugh cher)COLON H 122 3.50    
SCR  A P BLAZING GREEN Aug04 Jul28 Jul18 Jun15 May25 (dizeo dino)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 12.00    
SCR  DASTARDLY DEEDS Aug08 Jul07 Jun29 Jun09 Apr21 (flores pedr)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 30.00    
7  PONCHO ATTACK Aug04 Jul21 Jul14 Jun15 May04 (childers v)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 4.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  NAGY AND DA BEARS Aug04 Jul21 Jul14 May25 Apr07 (dizeo dino)REYES FRANK 124 8.00    
9  BRUCE ATTACK Aug03 Jun18 Jun04 May07 Apr23 (childers va)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 30.00    
 
HAW-2   08/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STOLICH Aug08 Jul14 Jul07 Jun16 Jun01 (childers vanc)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 6.00    
2  SENDEMDOWNTHEROAD Aug11 Jul21 Jul14 Jun30 May25 (rodriguez eduardo)MOJICA O 120 5.00 12% 7.00    
SCR  UNCLE DICK Jul20 Jul23 Jul05 Jun18 May31 (gonzalez agustin )LOPEZ A 122 20.00    
4  WE MISS ARLINGTON Aug11 Jul21 Jun30 Apr21 Mar23 (divito jam)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 111 1.00 33% 2.00    
5  CHAMPAGNE MIKE Aug11 Jun29 Jun02 Apr21   (simonovic)ULLOA JOAN 118 3.50 30% 2.30    
6  SECRET HONOR Aug20 Aug11 Jul21 Jul06 Jun08 (bahena fernando)REYES FRANK 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  THE GEEK Aug08 Jul07 Dec10 Oct28   (ramirez carlos)REYES ANGEL 122 15.00    
 
HAW-3   08/29/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ALL IN SYNC Jul29 Jun29 May25 Jun23 May02 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 3.50    
SCR  GRAND HIDEAWAY Jul28 Jul13 Oct03 Aug30 Aug02 (reid r)HERNANDEZ K 122 6.00    
3  CYCLONE ATTACK Jul28 May25 Nov14 Sep12 Jul30 (childers va)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 8.00    
4  NOVGOROD THE GREAT Aug08 Jul18 Jun09 May19 Aug17 (block chris)FELIX E 122 1.80 16% 5.40    
5  MISTER KELLY Sep23 Aug10 Jul05 Jun15 Jun01 (winebaugh cher)COLON H 122 12.00 11% 8.20    
6  MCVICKER Jul07 Jun16 May18 Apr06 Mar23 (vanden b)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 10.00    
7  STAR KANOO Jul28 Jun22 May18 Mar27 Mar06 (campbell j)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  INTO THE SUNRISE Aug20 Aug01 Jun25 Apr27 Mar20 (cross r)MOJICA O 122 4.50    
9  ONASA Jul17 Jun22 Jul20 Jun24 Mar26 (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 122 3.00 53% 0.90    
 
HAW-4   08/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MKAR THE FAST Jul20 Jun29 Jun15 Jun01 May18 (lynch e)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  ALYANAABI Aug08 Jul28 Jul09 Jun23 Jun08 (dizeo dino)COLON H 122 1.80 51% 1.00    
3  Z U SOON Aug22 Aug04 Aug06 Jul26 Jun18 (winebaugh chery)REYES ANGEL 122 8.00    
4  IMPERIAL MOMENT Jul21 Jun30 Apr30 Apr16 Sep02 (childers va)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 4.00 17% 4.80    
5  FIRST MASAMUNE Jul18 Jul06 Jun23 Jun15 May25 (ramirez ca)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 3.00    
6  UNCAPTURED PULSE Aug08 Jul28 Jul14 Jun29 Jun22 (perez man)ULLOA JOAN 122 5.00    
SCR  WILDWOOD'S WARRIOR Aug15 Aug01 Jul06 Jun23 Jun02 (dizeo dino)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 12.00    
 
HAW-5   08/29/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLAZE BEAUTY Aug13 Jul20 Jul06 Jun08 May12 (essenp)BAILON JADHIR 122 10.00 12% 7.40    
2  SUPRISE ME AGAIN Aug11 Jul14 Jun23 May19   (block chris)COLON H 118 3.50 29% 2.50    
3  BEE A WINNER Jul02 Jun15 May25 Jun04 May16 (rednour j)DIEGO JAVIER 122 30.00    
4  MULSANNE (IRE) Aug11 Jul21 Jun30 Jun09 Apr20 (horvath fr)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 20.00    
5  GETOUTOFMYKITCHEN Aug18 Aug01 Jul18 Jul11 Jun30 (perez manny)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 4.00 14% 6.20    
6  JOYZELLA Aug04 Jul25 Jun30 Jun23 Jun01 (spagnola i)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 117 8.00    
7  ANNA AFTER MIDNITE Aug11 Jul18 Jun29 Jun08 May12 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 118 15.00    
8  CATHOLIC SUE Aug11 Jul07 Jun16 Jun07 May04 (simonovich daniel)FELIX E 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  DIAMONDS JOY Aug11 Jul18 Jul06 Jun09 May12 (block chris)MOJICA O 122 1.80 20% 3.90    
 
HAW-6   08/29/2024 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOOGIE BODE Jul20 May26 May05 Apr05 Mar01 (watkins jam)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  GOLD SMOKE Aug06 Jul23 Jul09 Jun22 May25 (essenp)BAILON JADHIR 124 5.00    
3  VALIANT WEST Aug11 Jul14 Jul06 Jun21 May12 (clay pat)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 6.00    
4  ATKINS Aug22 Jun26 Jun07 May01 Apr07 (reavis mich)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 8.00 7% 12.50    
5  CATEGORY TEN Aug11 Jul18 Jun29 Jun02 May18 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 122 1.80 62% 0.60    
6  MCQUEEN Aug04 Jun29 Dec31 Nov04   (perez manny)FELIX E 118 3.50    
7  HOPPIN JOHN Aug11 Jul14 Jun16 May19 Apr27 (campbell joel)MOJICA O 122 4.50 ★    
 
HAW-7   08/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PARKLAND Aug15 Jan12 Dec21 Nov13 Oct19 (gonzalez ag)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 8.00 48% 1.10    
2  STORM'S REFLECTION Aug11 Jul11 Jun29 Jun16 Jun01 (perez manny)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 12.00    
3  LAVENDER EARL Aug18 Aug09 Jul23 Jun22 May18 (ramirez ca)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  REMEMBER THE MAINE Aug15 Aug01 Jul07 Jun22 Jun09 (castro is)ULLOA JOAN 122 20.00    
5  MCMONEY Aug05 May18 Apr27 Mar22 Feb18 (winebaugh cher)COLON H 122 6.00 29% 2.50    
SCR  SAILING SOLO Jun15 Dec22 Nov23 Aug16 Jun15 (roussel j)FELIX E 122 1.80    
SCR  BATTLE SCARS May25 Mar23 Feb25 Jan04 Dec07 (block chris)MOJICA O 122 2.50    
SCR  MONSTERONTHEMIDWAY Aug04 Jul06 Jun15 Oct11 Aug30 (block chris)REYES FRANK 122 4.50    
 
HAW-8   08/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TONYS MORNING LINE Aug17 Jul21 Jun15 Jun01 May18 (manley steve)EMIGH A 122 4.50 38% 1.60    
2  HURTS SO BAD Aug04 Jul21 Jun22 Jun02 May11 (meraz anto)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 117 4.00 10% 9.50    
3  RACARINO Aug15 Jul20 Oct24 Sep22 Jul26 (gonzalez agust)COLON H 122 2.50 21% 3.70    
4  PADDY'S HOUSE Aug15 Aug04 Jul03 Jun12 May30 (reid david)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 3.50    
5  CAN MAN DO Aug08 Jul21 Jun30 Jun16 Jun05 (moreno irvin)REYES FRANK 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  RUSSIAN TO WIN Jun22 Jun07 May19 Apr06 Jun18 (tracy tanner)MOJICA O 122 6.00    
7  BAREFOOTBOOTLEGGER Aug04 Jul14 Jun22 Jun02 May19 (haran john)FELIX E 122 8.00    
 
HAW-9   08/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  UNCLE CHUCKLE Aug04 Jul14 Jun16     (reyes martin)REYES ANGEL 120 30.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of R MAC DEVIL by DEVIL HIS DUE)
2  YOUNG MISCHIEF Aug17 Aug03 Jul20 Jun22 Jun02 (essenp)BAILON JADHIR 124 15.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of YOUNG ROYALTY by ROYAL ACADEMY)
SCR  STREET FEST Aug08 Jun30       (mitchell anthony)MOJICA O 124 3.50    
  (by STREET SENSE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  LICENSE TO STEAL Aug08 Jul18 Jun29 Jun02   (block chris)REYES FRANK 120 4.50    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of APRIL FIFTEENTH by FORT PRADO)
5  AZOI Aug10 Jul05 Jun12 Mar02 Jan31 (morey willi)BLANCHE RISHAWN 113 5.00 11% 7.70    
  (by COLLECTED out of LOCKET by ROSBERG)
6  ANGER RISING Feb02 Dec23       (block chris)FELIX E 124 10.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of HOUSE OF DIXIE by WAR FRONT)
SCR  LONE RETURN Aug04 Jun30 Jun15 May25 May04 (dizeo dino)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 12.00    
  (by RISK AND RETURN out of SLIGO ROSE by SHORE BREEZE)
8  MANDALORIAN Jun06 May11       (vanden britt)EMIGH A 120 2.50 66% 0.50    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of DYNAMIC DOLL by GHOSTZAPPER)
9  MIDTERM Aug04 Jul14 Jun02 May11 Apr14 (miller patt)SANTIAGO VICTOR 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of BETRUETOYOURSCHOOL by SILVER TREE)
10  FLYING CRICKET Aug18 Oct21 Sep23 Sep16 Sep03 (dizeo dino)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 30.00    
  (by WEST RANGER out of FLYER'S FANTASY by EARLY FLYER)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.