Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mountaineer Park
Tuesday - August 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MNR-1   WIN (2/7/1/3/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/7/1/3/4)-(2/7/1/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    DD (2/7/1/3/4)-(3/6/4/7) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
MNR-2   WIN (3/6/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/4/7)-(3/6/4/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (3/6/4/7)-(3/6/4/7)-(3/6/4/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (3/6/4/7)-(6/7/4/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4/7)-(6/7/4/3/8)-(4/7/5) 60 $2.00 $120 
MNR-3   WIN (6/7/4/3/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/7/4/3/8)-(6/7/4/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    DD (6/7/4/3/8)-(4/7/5) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
MNR-4   WIN (4/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/5)-(4/7/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/5)-(4/7/5)-(4/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/7/5)-(2/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
MNR-5   WIN (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/6)-(2/1/6/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (2/1/6)-(2/1/6/3)-(2/1/6/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
MNR-6   WIN (5/2/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/4/7)-(5/2/4/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (5/2/4/7)-(5/2/4/7)-(5/2/4/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4/7)-(6/3/1)-(5/6/4) 36 $2.00 $72.00 
MNR-7   WIN (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/3/1)-(5/6/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
MNR-8   WIN (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/4)-(5/6/4/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (5/6/4)-(5/6/4/2)-(5/6/4/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MNR-1   08/27/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WEST COAST SONG Aug20 Jul27 Jun24 May26 Mar06 (ccamaque marc)BARBARAN ERIK 116 6.00 18% 4.50    
  (by JACK MILTON out of MALIBU SONG by POWER BROKER)
TARTAN GREEN (IRE) Aug14 Aug02 Feb15     (hendriks ri)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 1.40 29% 2.40    
  (by GLENEAGLES out of ON LOCATION by OLYMPIO)
AIN'T NO LADY Jul26 Jun19 May29 May13   (englehart jeffre)AVILES YAN 116 4.00 9% 10.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of BUTTERFLY SOUL by HENNY HUGHES)
ADELLEGATOR Aug07 May31 Mar23 Dec02 Oct27 (hernandez rey)NEGRON LUIS 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of SILVER FERN by BERNARDINI)
SCR  LUNA MIA Jul23 Jul08 Jun25 Oct09 Sep04 (montano wilf)VILCHEZ MAIKOL 118 30.00    
  (by GLOBAL RESPONSE out of ULTRA EMPIRE by EMPIRE MAKER)
MAYBE SARDONIC Aug12 Jul29 Jun23 Jun03 May19 (cluley denn)BARRIOS RICARDO 116 15.00    
  (by TIZ SARDONIC JOE out of IDONTKNOW MAYBE by DONERAILE COURT)
OLD FASHIONED GIRL Aug02 Jul11 Jun19 May31 Jan24 (mcentee paul)HO WESLEY 116 8.00 20% 4.10    
  (by KLIMT out of CREATIVE DESIGN by STRAVINSKY)
MEOWSTIC Jul23 Jul08 Jun23 Jun03   (clouston edward)VEGA L 123 30.00    
  (by YOU ARE FLATTER out of MYMARTINA by NOWNOWNOW)
SEXARITO Jun08         (reed r)TAPARA BRANDON 116 6.00    
  (by FROSTED out of RICH LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
10  IMAGINE RITA Aug07 May10 Oct18 Sep21 Aug11 (boyce bri)HERNANDEZ H 123 15.00    
  (by IMAGINING out of LOVELY SENORITA by NOT FOR LOVE)
SCR  RAGAZZA MIA Aug01 Feb14 Jan03 Nov08 Oct19 (baird mi)WEATHERLY BAILEY 111 20.00    
  (by MOSLER out of THEGALTHATWASABOY by TIZNOW)
SCR  SUNSET VIBES Aug21 Aug12 Jul16 Jul10 Jun25 (valdez moises)CEDILLO MAURO 116 20.00    
  (by YOSHIDA out of DE MARQUEE by TIZ WONDERFUL)
SCR  KATE'S CONCERTO Aug16 Aug02 Jul20 Jul06 Jun19 (lucas wayne)WHITACRE B 123 8.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of ALLUDE by ORIENTATE (GB))
SCR  JAMMER INSURANCE Jun18         (reed r)GONZALEZ KEVIN 116 4.50    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of BOOS by DREAM AHEAD)
 
MNR-2   08/27/2024 4620ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUNDER BOSS Jul19 Jun21 May24 Apr26 May12 (brown ronne)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 4.50    
SAWEETIE GIRL Aug12 Jul21 Jun18 Jun03 May19 (gotera carl)AVILES YAN 120 6.00    
IN TO THE NIGHT Aug12 Jul31 Jul21 May27 Mar20 (shuler r)VEGA L 123 3.50 34% 2.00    
CASTLE REVIEW Aug06 Jul22 Jun23 May26 Apr12 (shuler r)NEGRON LUIS 120 3.00 13% 6.70    
SCR  MANHATTAN LADY Jul28 Jul17 Jul10 Jun24 Jun03 (brown john)WEATHERLY BAILEY 115 20.00    
CARISMATICA Aug06 Oct30 Oct04 Sep27 Sep04 (cordero-)GONZALEZ HENDERSON 120 5.00 20% 3.90    
YESTERDAYSPLAN Aug20 Jul17 Jul07 Jun03 May05 (logston christop)WHITACRE B 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
UP IN ARMS Aug09 Jul12 Jun29 Jun05 May18 (anderson susa)BRACHO A 120 6.00    
SCR  DIXIE'S DANCE Aug20 Aug11 Jul21 Jul09 Jun23 (witherow wil)VILCHEZ MAIKOL 115 30.00    
 
MNR-3   08/27/2024 4620ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILD WINE Aug13 Aug04 Jul07 Jun04 Aug29 (pizzurro jessica)AVILES YAN 123 10.00    
SCR  ACTION POINT Aug12 Jul17 Jun26 Sep25 Aug22 (inman l)DAVILA M 120 8.00    
SEXY CHOCOLATTE Aug18 Jul26 Jul09 Jun16 Jun09 (dixon geoff)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 15.00 9% 9.70    
HARI Jul17 Jun22 Jun08 May11 Apr06 (sanchez amador )NEGRON LUIS 120 3.00 20% 4.00    
FAST FORWARD Jul22 Jun26 Jun11 Mar22 Feb17 (bright derri)TAPARA BRANDON 120 8.00    
FREE SMOKE Aug13 Jul17 Apr19 Sep16 Aug20 (cordero-lo)CASTELLANO JESUS 120 4.00 23% 3.30    
CROWNED JEWEL Aug05 Jul24 Jul03 Jun17 May27 (connelly tere)CEDILLO MAURO 116 3.50 21% 3.70    
LUVTHEONEURWITH Aug07 Jul24 Jul14 Jun26 Jun04 (gilbert timothy)VEGA L 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
LITTLE FRAPPUCINO Jul17 Jun05 May06 Apr26 Mar30 (crago terr)WEATHERLY BAILEY 115 10.00    
10  LEGEND Aug11 Jul17 Jul02 Jun11 Jun03 (cordero-l)HERNANDEZ H 120 10.00    
 
MNR-4   08/27/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEAGANS ATM Aug06 Jul23 Jul14 Jul03 Jun19 (denny t)BRAVO MISAEL 120 30.00    
CHIEF HOWCOME Aug19 Jul24 Jun24 May29 May05 (blankenship don)TAPARA LUIS 120 6.00    
SCR  CONSIDER ME Aug19 Aug06 Mar26 Mar11 Feb26 (tumblin andrew)PAUCAR E 120 2.50    
ROCK WITH YOU Jul23 Jun11 May20 Feb22 Feb07 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 120 1.60 59% 0.70    
THE GREAT GAZOO Jul25 Jul13 Jun27 May25 May04 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
BALI'S SHADE Aug10 Jul13 Jun28 Jun15 May31 (murtaugh andrew )WHITACRE B 120 8.00    
ROLL ME OVER Aug07 Jul10 Jun17 May26 Apr30 (cuttino marion )NEGRON LUIS 123 3.50 14% 6.20    
 
MNR-5   08/27/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAPACHILL Aug01 Jul26 Jul12 May31 Feb21 (shanley timothy)YARANGA Y 116 3.50 22% 3.60    
DR SCHUSTER Aug14 Aug05 Jul22 Jul09 Jun22 (cordero-lo)CASTELLANO JESUS 116 2.50 27% 2.70    
MINNY SPEIGHTSTER Aug14 Jul25 Jul17 Jun29 Jun07 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 114 6.00    
HAPPY TAILS TO YOU Aug06 Jul22 Jul10 Jun19   (norris ste)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 6.00    
DE'S CASTLE Jul20 Jun07 May03 Apr13 Mar21 (joy j)WHITACRE B 120 4.00    
PUNCTUALITY Aug18 Aug07 Jul23 Jul15 Jun19 (cordero-l)HERNANDEZ H 120 8.00 12% 7.30    
IMMORAL May25 May10 Apr16 Mar18 Mar02 (jansen kenny)VEGA L 120 5.00    
 
MNR-6   08/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MANFREDI Jul30 Jul07 Jun10 May04 Mar07 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 1.60    
LETMEKNOWBEFOREUGO Jul22 Jul02 Jun04     (reed r)TAPARA BRANDON 116 8.00 31% 2.20    
RAMSEY Aug15 Aug05 Jul04 Jun13 May25 (joy j)WHITACRE B 120 5.00    
JUSTCUZIFEELLIKEIT Nov12 Oct23 Oct09 Sep18 Aug02 (cook devin)CEDILLO MAURO 120 10.00 7% 13.20    
CITADINO Aug21 Aug14 Jul21 Jul04 Jun13 (silva pabl)NEGRON LUIS 116 3.00 33% 2.10    
MY BOY CLYDE Jul09 Jun24 Jun07 May24 Apr13 (baird mi)WEATHERLY BAILEY 115 4.00    
THIRD MOON Jul28 Jul09 Jun11 Oct08 Sep13 (poole a)AVILES YAN 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
MNR-7   08/27/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEWYEARSBLOCKPARTY May28 May13 Nov22 May18 Apr29 (poole a)AVILES YAN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SENSEI LAWRENCE Aug12 Jun18 May28 May13 Apr21 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 120 4.00    
KILTOOM Aug11 Jul17 Jun16 May27 May13 (cain crystal)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 3.00 9% 9.80    
PAPA DON Aug11 Jun04 May04 Mar23 Aug12 (shuler r)VEGA L 120 30.00    
HOPPING HENRY Aug03 Jul04 Jun20 May04 Apr06 (brown ronne)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 5.00    
OUT OF CENTS Aug12 Jul01 Jun18 May28 May13 (treharne dave)BRACHO A 120 1.60 61% 0.60    
SCR  OPRY Jun18 May13 Apr08 Feb05 Jan08 (pease harry)LEON A 120 8.00    
 
MNR-8   08/27/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAP EM UP Aug09 Jul22 Jul07 Jun11 May27 (dixon geoffr)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 8.00    
DEL MAR FLASH Jul23 Jul07 Jun25 Jun10 May26 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 123 4.00    
ACT LIKE A LADY Feb19 Jan30 Jan04 Dec10 Nov13 (skelton chad )BARBARAN ERIK 123 20.00    
M J GOLD Nov01 Oct18 Oct02 Sep12 Aug08 (sauer barba)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
COCO MACHEN Nov26 Nov01 Sep13 Aug01 Jul19 (baird mi)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 2.00 56% 0.80    
WEDONTBELIEVEHER Aug12 May28 May07 Dec13 Oct18 (englehart j)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 3.00 21% 3.80    
ULTRA DIVA Aug20 Jul29 Jul07 May21 May07 (ewell devan )TAPARA BRANDON 123 5.00    
LOST ANCHOR Aug21 Jul21 Jun18 Apr30 Mar28 (ewell sr)LEON A 123 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.