Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Monmouth Park
Friday - August 23, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MTH-1   WIN (2/1/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/7/5)-(2/1/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/7/5)-(2/1/7/5)-(2/1/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-2   WIN (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/1)-(4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-3   WIN (3/8/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/8/10)-(3/8/9/10) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/8/10)-(3/8/9/10)-(3/8/9/10) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MTH-4   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/6/8/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5)-(2/6/8/5)-(2/6/8/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
MTH-5   WIN (3/8/2/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/8/2/4/1)-(3/8/2/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/8/2/4/1)-(3/8/2/4/1)-(3/8/2/4/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MTH-6   WIN (8/7/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/6/2)-(8/7/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/6/2)-(8/7/6/2)-(8/7/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-7   WIN (7/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/6)-(7/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/6)-(7/5/6)-(7/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-8   WIN (7/8/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/4/5)-(7/8/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/4/5)-(7/8/4/5)-(7/8/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MTH-1   08/23/2024 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERROTTO Jul21 Jun02 May19 Oct06 Aug20 (sacco gregory )RENDON JAIRO 119 2.50 23% 3.40    
2  LEO FONG Jul13 Dec10 May21 Apr21   (falcone rober)OLVER MADISON 123 3.00 52% 0.90    
3  BRAD'S BET Jul06 Jun23 Jun02 Sep03 Jul23 (cash ru)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 8.00    
4  THIS TIME BLUE Jul24 Jun26 May29 Apr21 Mar21 (krebs steven)CAMACHO SAMY 119 15.00    
5  CHOCHOCHO Aug10 Jul21 Jul05 Jun23 May19 (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MITHRIDATES Jul13 Jun23 Jun02 May27 May17 (chichakly amir)MARIN SAMUEL 119 6.00    
7  OMINOUS DUDE Jul13 Jun09 May04     (levine bruce)JUAREZ NIK 119 4.00 5% 19.00    
8  EL TEKILERO Aug10 Jun08 May27 Apr07 Mar10 (hernandez)MALDONADO GABRIEL 114 12.00    
SCR  AVES MAKIN' WAVES Aug10 Jul21 Jul13 Jul05 Jun23 (serey j)IORIO MELISSA 112 6.00    
10  VENEZUELAN FEELING Jun08 May04 Apr27 Apr19 Mar17 (yanez reynaldo)AGUILAR JEAN 110 12.00    
 
MTH-2   08/23/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STEADY PROGRESS Feb29 Jan28 Jan14 Jan01 Dec03 (chatterpaul n)CASTILLO AMIN 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  PRINS FIRE Aug10 Jul19 Jun22 Jun01 May18 (serey mario )GONZALEZ CESAR 109 10.00    
3  IMAGINIZED Jul27 Jul14 Jul04 Jun16 Jun08 (gonzalez claud)MARIN SAMUEL 120 3.00 27% 2.70    
4  GROUP TICKET Aug17 Jul14 Jul05 Jun09 May27 (gomez pompeyo)JARA FERNANDO 120 3.50 34% 2.00    
5  BALANTYNE Jul05 Jun16 Jun01 May12 Mar23 (ramirez silvin)RENDON JAIRO 124 2.50    
SCR  SHOULDHAVEBEENGONE Aug10 Jul09 Jun12 Jun03 May20 (soto- m)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 5.00    
SCR  STRONG LIGHT Jun29 May18 Apr20 Apr07 Mar30 (samsundar ros)OLVER MADISON 121 4.50    
 
MTH-3   08/23/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PICCOLO DIAVOLO Aug03 Jun22 Apr21 Mar10 Feb16 (weaver georg)CASTILLO ISAAC 117 10.00    
2  SPECTACULAR LUCK Jul26 Jun22 Jun01 Apr20 Apr12 (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 117 6.00    
3  CARLIN CLAN Jan11 Oct11 Sep17 Jun11 May27 (falcone rober)JARA FERNANDO 121 3.00 65% 0.50    
SCR  C C GOLDRUSH Jul26 Jul03 Jun11 Jun02 Nov12 (shaw j)ADORNO ABNER 121 4.50    
5  CAPTAIN QUICK Jul27 Jul07 Jun16 Nov02 Oct13 (milne j)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 112 6.00    
SCR  HOLD OUT Jul21 Jun30 Jun21 May19 Mar08 (gonzalez claud)MARIN SAMUEL 120 3.50    
7  DIFFERENT FLAME Jul20 Jul05 Jun22 Jun01 Apr21 (o'connell kath)RENDON JAIRO 120 6.00    
8  MORETHANICANHANDLE Jul26 May26 Apr20 Mar01 Feb14 (breen j)IORIO MELISSA 116 5.00 10% 8.90    
9  SON OF LIBERTY Jul24 Jun22 Oct06 Feb15 Nov20 (antonacci phi)JARA FERNANDO 119 5.00 ★    
10  MAMA BANNED ME Jul26 Jun26 Jan14 Dec28 Dec03 (hernandez enri)MARIN SAMUEL 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
MTH-4   08/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52.5K) 2 F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY COLLECTED Jul27 Jun16       (ortega )GONZALEZ LUIS 117 12.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of MRS. COOPER by UNIFIED)
SCR  UNBOUNDED MOVEMENT Jul27         (delgado jorge)JUAREZ NIK 117 3.00 68% 0.50    
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of I THINK SO by PROUD CITIZEN)
3  MO COMPLEX         (schultz lindsa)RENDON JAIRO 117 6.00    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of MA MO by UNCLE MO)
4  SHADYSIDE         (kimmel)GRISALES DANILO 117 6.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of SMARTY BULL by SMARTY JONES)
5  PRINCESS OF OMAHA Jun16         (mcentee paul)OLVER MADISON 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of FORCE TO EXCEL by VERRAZANO)
6  I'MWISHINGONASTAR         (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 117 5.00 ★    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of MAGICAL FLAIR by DEFRERE)
SCR  BLAME THE BANKER         (synnefias pan)JARA FERNANDO 117 4.50    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of CLOSING STATEMENT by BLAME)
8  CHANTICO Aug04         (mcgaughey ii)BRAVO J 117 3.50 ★    
  (by MUNNINGS out of FIREFOOT by TAPIZAR)
 
MTH-5   08/23/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIPATIA Aug03 Jul12 Jun28 Jun08 May18 (harris )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 110 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  WONDERFULVENEZUELA Mar28 Mar07 Feb11 Jan21 Dec24 (yanez reynaldo)AGUILAR JEAN 108 15.00 7% 14.10    
3  THUNDARA Jul26 Oct28 Aug16 Jul13   (antonacci phi)JARA FERNANDO 121 3.50 55% 0.80    
4  ARMONIA Jul26 Jul12 Jun15 May03 Apr21 (avila car)CAMACHO SAMY 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  SPATIAL REALITY Aug03 Jun29 Nov20 Oct18 Aug18 (huston ro)VARGAS A 124 5.00    
6  SMART RED Aug03 Oct06 Sep04 Jul15 Jun30 (captan bassam)KAY R 119 20.00    
7  SYMPHONYS OVERTURE Jun26 Jun15 May26 Sep04 Aug05 (servis tyler)ADORNO ABNER 117 8.00    
8  DAME CATHERINE Aug03 Jul19 Jun15 Mar29 Feb16 (sweezey kent)RENDON JAIRO 117 3.00 11% 8.10    
9  CAPTIVATING SOUND Jul26 Jun15 May25 Apr14 Apr05 (delgado jorge)JUAREZ NIK 120 4.00    
 
MTH-6   08/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52.5K) 2 F PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CROSSATI         (pompay terri)CASTILLO ISAAC 117 6.00    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of SAME CROSS by PROUD CITIZEN)
2  POWER PARTY         (hernan)ROJAS EDUARDO 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HIGHER POWER out of OASIS PARTY by DESERT PARTY)
SCR  BOSSY PANTS Jul14 Jun14       (mott will)VARGAS A 117 3.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of QUEEN MUM by PAYNTER)
4  C C GIRL Jul27         (hills timot)BURNHAM MATILDA 110 12.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of LOOKIN VIBRANT by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
5  SECURITYLIGHTNING         (o'connell kat)IORIO MELISSA 112 10.00    
  (by MAXIMUM SECURITY out of ROSESANDLIGHTNING by LIGHTNIN N THUNDER)
6  LITTLE SQUEEZE Jul27         (delgado jorge)RENDON JAIRO 117 3.50 8% 11.10    
  (by UNION RAGS out of UNCHAIN HER HEART by SHACKLEFORD)
7  STRONG LIKE SARA Jul22         (servis c)PENNINGTON F 117 4.50 23% 3.30    
  (by FROSTED out of SANTA TERESA by AWESOME AGAIN)
8  BEE BLUFF Jul27         (schultz lindsay)BRAVO J 117 2.50 49% 1.10    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of THE VAPORS by CONGRATS)
 
MTH-7   08/23/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($22K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DENYING Aug04 Jul20 Jun29 Jun15 Jun01 (ryan s)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 10.00    
SCR  JUSTINTIMEFORWINE Jul20 Jun29 Jun09 May01 Mar30 (delgado jose )JARA FERNANDO 122 3.00    
SCR  PEOPLE FORCE Aug04 Jul11 Jun09 May04 Apr05 (david a)RENDON JAIRO 119 8.00    
SCR  GINS AND TINS Aug11 Jul21 Jun24 May29 May20 (synnefias pan)OLVER MADISON 121 15.00    
5  NANTASKET BEACH Jul08 Apr11 Feb14 Jul23 May31 (breen j)BRAVO J 121 5.00 12% 7.20    
6  KOBLA MAS Dec15 Oct18 Sep14 Aug10 Jun23 (ward dan)IORIO MELISSA 116 12.00 11% 7.80    
7  HIGH TIDE Jul24 Jul05 May26 Apr14 Mar10 (atras rob)VARGAS A 121 3.50 36% 1.80    
8  HOKU Aug03 Jun18 Jun01 Mar01 Dec09 (caban carlos )OCASIO M 121 6.00    
9  MOHS Jul19 Jun22 Apr07 Mar01 Feb03 (mcburney patri)MARIN SAMUEL 122 3.50    
SCR  FLAT OUT FLYING Jul25 May01 Apr05 Mar07 Jan28 (padilla-precia)ADORNO ABNER 121 4.50    
SCR  BE HERE Jul19 Jun22 May25 Apr13 Mar17 (sacco g)GONZALEZ LUIS 121 4.50    
SCR  MAJESTIC EAGLE Aug16 Jun23 Jun08 May26 May11 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 8.00    
 
MTH-8   08/23/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOME SCHOOL (IRE) Aug10 Jul27 Jul12 Jun28 May25 (serey mario )GONZALEZ CESAR 111 15.00    
SCR  AFY KID Jul27 Jun28 Jun08 May26 Mar26 (gonzalez )VARGAS A 124 4.50    
3  COCO SHELL Aug03 Jul19 Jul07 Jun22 Jun01 (gonzale)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 3.00    
4  PORCH SWING Aug16 Aug04 Jul19 Jul12 Jun15 (serey jr)MARIN SAMUEL 121 5.00 16% 5.10    
5  OLYMPIC ROMP Aug10 Jul19 Jun29 Jun15 May04 (crowell )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 114 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  FINALIST Jul19 Jun25 May28 May06 Apr22 (linder lo)MALDONADO GABRIEL 116 4.00    
7  THE BEARRISH ONE Jul02 Jun18 May28 May04 Apr26 (pino michael)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 6.00 30% 2.40    
8  TEPEU Aug11 Aug04 Jul14 Jul05 Jun16 (ramire)ROJAS EDUARDO 121 3.50 28% 2.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.