Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Wednesday - August 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (1/6/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/7/8)-(1/6/7/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (1/6/7/8)-(1/6/7/8)-(1/6/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/7/8)-(3/5/10/6) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (1/6/7/8)-(3/5/10/6)-(5/2/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-2   WIN (3/5/10/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/10/6)-(3/5/10/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (3/5/10/6)-(3/5/10/6)-(3/5/10/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/10/6)-(5/2/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (3/5/10/6)-(5/2/4)-(11/9/1/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-3   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/4)-(11/9/1/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4)-(11/9/1/2)-(7/4/6/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-4   WIN (11/9/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/9/1/2)-(11/9/1/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (11/9/1/2)-(11/9/1/2)-(11/9/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (11/9/1/2)-(7/4/6/5) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (11/9/1/2)-(7/4/6/5)-(7/8/9/4/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
PID-5   WIN (7/4/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/6/5)-(7/4/6/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/4/6/5)-(7/4/6/5)-(7/4/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/6/5)-(7/8/9/4/2) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (7/4/6/5)-(7/8/9/4/2)-(3/4/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PID-6   WIN (7/8/9/4/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/8/9/4/2)-(7/8/9/4/2) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (7/8/9/4/2)-(7/8/9/4/2)-(7/8/9/4/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/8/9/4/2)-(3/4/1) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (7/8/9/4/2)-(3/4/1)-(2/3/1/4/9) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
PID-7   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/1)-(2/3/1/4/9) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
PID-8   WIN (2/3/1/4/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/3/1/4/9)-(2/3/1/4/9) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (2/3/1/4/9)-(2/3/1/4/9)-(2/3/1/4/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   08/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEEDED Aug12 Jul11 Jan11 Dec03 Nov09 (rice linda)MORALES PABLO 120 1.60 44% 1.30    
SCR  LINDYSNOTOBNOXIOUS Jun30 Jun18 Jun11 Apr30 Apr10 (vitali j)STANLEY O 120 10.00    
3  PRECIOUS GRACE Apr14 Feb28       (hamm timothy)BAYS BROOKE 113 5.00    
4  SUNSET VIBES Aug12 Jul16 Jul10 Jun25 May27 (valdez moises)DELGADO DAVID 120 12.00    
5  PEDDLING HOPE Aug12 Jul08 Jun12     (valdez moises)LOPEZ DERECK 113 20.00    
6  HOPE SHE COMES Aug12 Jul24 Jul09 Jun26 Jun17 (morrell r)FOX CHRIS 124 3.00 24% 3.10    
7  NEXT DOT Aug05 Jul24 Jun03 May28 Apr25 (schneider k)SEVERINO VICTOR 120 6.00 8% 11.90    
8  FIGHT IN THE DOG Aug05 Jul24 Jul08 Jun11 May27 (fennessy john)WALKER M 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
PID-2   08/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NAVY PIER Jul23 Jul09 Oct30 Oct10 Sep19 (ashley julius)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 20.00    
SCR  LIGHTNING CHARLIE Jun10 Jul04 Jun14 Jun05 Sep07 (russell randall)BAYS BROOKE 115 6.00    
3  GRAEL Aug07 Jul23 Jul09 Jun24 Jun03 (cheeks k)MARTINEZ A 122 2.50 34% 1.90    
4  OSBIN Aug07 Jul16 Nov06 Oct04 Sep25 (wilson b)FOX CHRIS 122 12.00    
5  ROBO WARRIOR Aug07 Jul22 Jul03 Jun05 May22 (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 124 3.00 33% 2.00    
6  RANSEUR Aug07 Jul17 Jul01 Jun01 May11 (musarro )RODRIGUEZ O 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  PUNX Jun24 May21 Sep28 Sep13 Sep04 (stokes lance)MARTINEZ W 122 20.00    
SCR  COUNTRY RUCKUS Aug07 Dec26 Sep21 Aug30 Aug17 (wilson ariane)WALKER M 122 12.00    
9  UP FOR THE CHANCE Aug05 Jul16 Jun25 Jun10 May22 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 4.00    
10  VILLEGAS SWING Aug07 Jul17 Jun22 May30 Feb07 (rojas eduardo )LOPEZ DERECK 115 10.00 8% 12.20    
 
PID-3   08/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPIRITED SOL Jul27 Jun12 May27 Sep02 Aug18 (depasquale ki)WALKER M 122 8.00    
2  WENT WEST Jul07 Jun22 Jun08 Apr21 Feb17 (rodrigue)GALLARDO A 122 2.50 24% 3.30    
3  RONDURE Jul06 Jun01 May11 Jun04 May07 (vassilie)MARTINEZ A 122 1.80    
4  GOODIE GOOMER Oct18 Sep18 Aug21 Aug10 Jul25 (bourke joh)AYALA J 122 5.00 8% 11.50    
5  DREAMING OF KONA Jul01 Jun17 Mar30 Mar01 Jan27 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 3.50 41% 1.50    
SCR  EVENING NEWS Jul14 Jun01 May11 Apr06 Mar08 (pino michael )MORALES PABLO 118 6.00    
 
PID-4   08/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAISE YOUR GAME Jul18 Jun13 May16 Nov12 Oct25 (girten t)GALLARDO A 122 2.50 9% 9.80    
2  ULTIMATE BARONESS Aug12 Jul22 Jul04 Jun19 Jun04 (morrell justi)MORALES PABLO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  EMERALD CITADELLE Aug12 Jul04 Jun19 Jun04 May21 (wilson b)FOX CHRIS 122 20.00    
SCR  TIZ PROMISING RVF Aug13 Jun25 Jun10 May28 Oct16 (valdez moises)MARTINEZ W 122 20.00    
5  WILD LOOKER Aug13 Jul22 Jul04 Jun19 Jun04 (kleine bernard)ALLEN D 122 15.00    
SCR  SO MOXIE Jul22 Jul10 Jun19 Jun04 May21 (kleine bernar)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 6.00    
7  WATERLOO SUNSET Aug05 Jul17 Jun19 Jun10 May26 (schneider k)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 12.00    
8  SCENIC VIEW Jul30 Jul10 May28 May21 Dec05 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 8.00    
9  CHEROKEE CHATTER Aug14 Jul22 Jul02 Jun11 May22 (carr-roz)MARTINEZ A 122 4.50 15% 5.70    
SCR  STRAIGHT MADNESS Aug12 Jul22 Jul10 Jun11 Oct25 (wilson arian)ALENCAR WALBER 122 30.00    
11  THREATLEVELMIDNITE (GB) Jul28 May25 Apr24 Oct13 Sep08 (dini mike)SPIETH S 122 3.50 51% 1.00    
 
PID-5   08/21/2024 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JACKIE A Aug06 Jul31 Jul05 Jun14 May24 (judd cassandr)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 10.00    
2  TONY SMALL Aug13 Jul23 Jun24 Jun12 May29 (hoffman mark)WALKER M 122 8.00    
3  STANHOPE Jul16 Jul02 Nov24 Oct16 Sep15 (vitali m)MARTINEZ A 122 6.00    
4  MISTERCHILLIWILLI Aug04 Jul08 Jul01 Jun03 May12 (fletcher j)WEATHERLY BAILEY 117 2.50 19% 4.40    
5  CASANOVA KITTEN Jul31 Jun07 May25 May11 Mar23 (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  GENERAL WINSTON Jul31 Jul15 Jun26 May22 Oct19 (kintz matthew)SPIETH S 122 5.00 9% 9.90    
7  CERTAIN Jul31 Jul15 Jul02 Jun11 Jun03 (connelly)GALLARDO A 122 4.00 43% 1.30    
8  WOODCHUCK Aug07 Jul15 Jun26 Jun10 May22 (rogers mic)AYALA J 122 4.50    
 
PID-6   08/21/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  VILLAGE PREACHER Aug12 Jul23 May03 Apr26 Mar22 (markgraf david)MARTINEZ W 122 10.00    
2  EL SOLITARIO Aug06 Jul22 Jul08 Jun12 May28 (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  BLUEBERRY Aug06 Jul22 Jul04 Jun24 Jun03 (musarro jos)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 20.00    
4  TIZ TACT TOE Aug06 Jul04 Jun19 Jun05 May28 (rojas ed)MARTINEZ A 122 6.00 11% 8.20    
5  GIANT PAYDAY Aug06 Jul22 Jun19 May28 May21 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 15.00    
6  SECRETARY OF WAR Jul22 Jul04 Jun19 Mar29 Mar02 (kintz ma)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 12.00    
7  DIGITAL FOOTPRINT Aug06 Jul15 Jul01 Jun12 May21 (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 122 6.00 34% 1.90    
8  CATATUMBO Aug12 Jul23 Jul02 Jun10 May28 (barron r)GALLARDO A 122 3.50 15% 5.50    
9  HAIG POINT Jul30 Jul22 Mar16 Feb07 Jan17 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 124 2.50 15% 5.60    
10  ADIOS BOBBY Jul23 Jul08 Jun25 Jun05 Jan04 (pappada micha)WALKER M 124 4.00    
 
PID-7   08/21/2024 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DECLARED Jul15 Jun24 Jun05 Jun21 May30 (bourke joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 6.00 14% 6.00    
SCR  GROUNDED Aug07 Jul15 Jul03 Jun10 Feb25 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 2.00    
3  TWILIGHT DANCER Jul22 Jul03 Jun17 Jun04 Feb19 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 120 1.80 34% 2.00    
4  DOWAGIAC CHIEF Aug07 Jul15 Jun12 May22 Feb25 (rogers j)GALLARDO A 122 8.00 17% 4.80    
5  EXTRASEXYBIGDADDEE Jul22 Jun24 Jun05 May17 Apr21 (trombett)MARTINEZ A 122 4.00    
SCR  CLARESTOWN Jul16 May10 Apr12 Mar08 Feb16 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 122 12.00    
7  SHANTY SHACK Jul16 Jun18 May20 Nov15 Oct23 (potts g)ALLEN D 122 15.00    
 
PID-8   08/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHIPS LEGACY Aug07 Jul15 Jun25     (russell )MARTINEZ A 124 4.00 24% 3.30    
2  LAST POST Jul29 Jun25 Mar16 Feb04 Dec24 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 2.50 25% 3.00    
3  FAST LEARNER Jul29 Jul15 Jul04 Jun18 May18 (rogers mich)ROJAS MARTINA 120 6.00 24% 3.20    
4  CHEERFUL TROUT Aug07 Jul31 Jul04 Jun25 Jun03 (valdez mois)SEVERINO VICTOR 115 8.00 7% 12.60    
SCR  THAT'S JUST GREAT Jul29 Jul15 Jul01 Dec14 Nov10 (kintz matthew)BAYS BROOKE 113 12.00    
6  DUKE OF SICILY Jul29         (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 20.00    
7  CROWNING PRINCE Aug07 Jul01       (morrell justin)ALLEN D 124 10.00    
8  OVERTIME CHARLIE Jul29 Jul17 Jul04 Jun10 May20 (depasquale ki)WALKER M 124 30.00    
9  MR. IMPATIENT Aug07 Jul29 Jul04 Jun12 May20 (morrell )RODRIGUEZ O 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  GRUIT Aug07 Jul15 Jul01 Jun10 Oct26 (mckinley r)FOX CHRIS 124 30.00    
SCR  PHONE EATS FIRST Jul18 Jun27 May27     (trombett)GALLARDO A 115 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.