Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Finger Lakes
Tuesday - August 20, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FL-1   WIN (1/4/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/6/3)-(1/4/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/6/3)-(1/4/6/3)-(1/4/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/6/3)-(1/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-2   WIN (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/2)-(1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/2)-(5/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/2)-(5/3/1)-(7/2/4/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FL-3   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/1)-(7/2/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1)-(7/2/4/5)-(8/3/7/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
FL-4   WIN (7/2/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/4/5)-(7/2/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/4/5)-(7/2/4/5)-(7/2/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/4/5)-(8/3/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/2/4/5)-(8/3/7/4)-(1/8/4/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
FL-5   WIN (8/3/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/7/4)-(8/3/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/7/4)-(8/3/7/4)-(8/3/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/3/7/4)-(1/8/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-6   WIN (1/8/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/4/3)-(1/8/4/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/8/4/3)-(1/8/4/5/3)-(1/8/4/5/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/8/4/3)-(9/1/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-7   WIN (9/1/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/1/6/7)-(9/1/6/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/1/6/7)-(9/1/6/4/7)-(9/1/6/4/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/1/6/7)-(7/9/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/1/6/7)-(7/9/6/2)-(5/1/4/10/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
FL-8   WIN (7/9/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/9/6/2)-(7/9/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/9/6/2)-(7/9/6/2)-(7/9/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/9/6/2)-(5/1/4/10/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FL-9   WIN (5/1/4/10/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/1/4/10/2)-(5/1/4/10/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/1/4/10/2)-(5/1/4/10/2)-(5/1/4/10/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FL-1   08/20/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS CITY GIRL Jul27 Jun14 Nov02     (clement christ)COA J 120 1.80 47% 1.10    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of CITY SCAMPER by CITY ZIP)
TURNUPTHEMUSIC Jul23 Jul09 Jun17 May29 Apr29 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 5.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of THEYPLAYINGOURSONG by SONGANDAPRAYER)
SEVENS UP Jun24 Jun11       (iorio sa)DAVIS A 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UPSTART out of SEVEN IN A ROW by LANGFUHR)
GOING HOME NOW Aug06 Jul23 Aug07 Jul17 Nov22 (turetsky e)ROHENA JR 124 3.00 18% 4.60    
  (by TEXAS RED out of MISS DRAGON LADY by VICTORY GALLOP)
UNBRIDLED SISTER Jul23 May28 Nov20 Nov06   (huertas nirka)CRUZ JOEL 120 20.00    
  (by STEPHANOATSEE out of BEAUTIFUL HELEN by PRIME TIMBER)
BEYOND OSCAR Aug06 Jul13 Sep02 Aug12 Jun08 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 4.00 13% 6.50    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of BEYOND THE WAVES by OCEAN CREST)
SHINE MY TIARA Jul23 Jun25 May20 Jul29 Jul03 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 6.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of STORM THE TOWER by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
FL-2   08/20/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOODMORNING JOE         (shaffer ric)FLORES JEREMIAS 120 5.00    
1A  PEANUTBUTTERTOAST Jul24 Jun24 Jun03 Aug21 Aug07 (shaffer rich)HARKIE K 124 5.00 47% 1.10    
TIZ BIG MONEY Aug06 Jul10 Jun24 Jun10 May21 (grabowsk)DAVIS A 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
SHARPOON Jul31 Jul22 Jul08 Jun26 Jun17 (henry n)BROWN DALTON 124 2.00    
PLAYIN IT BIG Jul24         (ferraro michae)COA J 120 8.00    
TYRANNOSAURUS REX Aug06 Jul24 Jun24 Jun10 May20 (sells rachel)PEREZ E 124 2.50    
UNCLE TACO Jul24 Sep25 Aug23 Aug07 Jul10 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 3.50 23% 3.30    
 
FL-3   08/20/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMOKIN' ALONE Aug06 Jul08 Jun12 May21 May07 (sabine michael )ROHENA JR 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GONNA BE DANCING Aug05 Jul02 Jun10 May21 May06 (breed ronald)HARKIE K 122 6.00    
UPSTATE AND BACK Aug07 Jul24 Jul04 Oct09 Aug09 (o'callahan carl)CRUZ JOEL 122 4.00 21% 3.80    
HE'S GOT THE JACK Jul31 Jul09 Jun17 Oct16 Sep18 (englehart )DE EMANUEL 124 1.80    
MACHO MIAH Aug12 Nov21 Oct17 Jul18 May17 (saul dana)BAEZ JOSE 122 5.00 34% 2.00    
NORGAY Jul23 Jul09 Jun24 Feb18 Dec31 (gutierrez lu)BERRIOS C 124 2.50    
 
FL-4   08/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARDLY WORKING Jul23 Jul09 Jun25 May29 May14 (mcclung s)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 124 15.00    
TOWN JAK Aug06 Jul24 May15 Apr25 Feb23 (murphy timothy)BROWN DALTON 124 5.00 22% 3.50    
ALONGCAMETHEPRINCE Jul24 Jul17 Jun12 Jun03 May13 (clarke matthew)PEREZ E 124 6.00    
WAR OF THRONES Jul17 Jul04 Jun12 May28 Sep19 (acquilano jame)COA J 124 3.50 22% 3.60    
VIBE SETTER Aug06 Jul24 Jul09 Jun25 Jun12 (gutierrez luis )ROHENA JR 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
FOLLOW THE SIGNS Jul17 Jun26 May21 Apr30 Nov18 (englehart je)HARKIE K 124 4.00    
TRAPPE THE DREAM Jul16 Jun04 Sep26 Aug21 Aug01 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 2.50 25% 3.10    
NO LIME Jul08 Jun26 Jun12 Nov22 Nov13 (reed a)MULERO M 117 10.00    
 
FL-5   08/20/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
G MUNNING Aug06 Jul20 Jun07 May18 Apr28 (murphy timoth)DAVILA A 124 12.00    
SCR  COIN JAR Aug06 Jul08 Jun17     (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 3.50    
POP COYER Jul22 Jun19 May28 May06 Nov22 (buc)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 5.00 23% 3.30    
MAKAR Oct21 Sep17 Jul07 Jun09 Apr23 (gutterson ka)HARKIE K 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
AMERICAN HALITE Jul30 Jul09 Nov14 Oct31 Oct02 (o'callahan carl)CRUZ JOEL 124 15.00    
STARS N STONES Jul22 Jun24 Jun10 May20 Apr29 (ferraro anth)COA J 120 6.00    
RHUM PRESSURE Jul22 Jun24 Jun03 Aug07 Jun28 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 4.50 10% 9.20    
DOROTHYS HAPPINESS Jul22         (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 120 2.00 39% 1.60    
 
FL-6   08/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ABE HONESTLY Dec29 Dec09 Nov17 Sep29 Aug26 (johnston rob)COA J 124 3.00 49% 1.00    
DOUBLE VISION Aug06 Jul24 Sep25 Aug29 Aug16 (progno michael )FRET STEVEN 124 6.00    
TENENCY Aug06 Apr25 Nov23 Sep23 Jul26 (gutierrez)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
TRIBAL NOTION Jul05 May22 May04 Feb29 Feb09 (o'callahan carl)CRUZ JOEL 124 10.00 14% 6.20    
SCR  MASSEY HALL Jul08 Jun19 Jun10 May27 May07 (babcock edwar)DAVILA A 124 4.00    
BLUES CITY Aug06 Jul17 Jul08 Jun26 Jun12 (gutterson ka)BERRIOS C 124 12.00    
PREPARE FOR GLORY Jul23 Jul08 Jun26 Jun12 May21 (lecesse mi)DE EMANUEL 124 8.00    
TUCKABUCKAWAY Jul24 Jul08 Jun26 May28 May21 (tho)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 2.50 16% 5.30    
BLOOD MOON Dec06 Nov21 Nov13 Oct30 Sep14 (falk jac)DAVIS A 124 20.00    
 
FL-7   08/20/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEATIGER Jul29 Jul09 Jun25 Jun11 Nov15 (loaiza ilmar)HARKIE K 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
REUNION TOUR Aug05 Jul23 Jul09 Jun25 Jun11 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 12.00    
ANOINTED SPIRIT Aug05 Jul23 Jun25 Sep13 Aug22 (fun)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 4.00    
THIRTY OYSTERS Aug07 Jul23 Jul01 Jun17 Jun03 (rohena jose)CAMILO D 124 3.50    
LORENZEN Aug05 Jul23 Jul09 Jun25 Jun11 (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 15.00    
TAKE THE EDGE Aug05 Jul23 Jul09 Jun25 Jun11 (babcock edward)FRET STEVEN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
BAM BAM WARRIOR Aug05 Jul09 Jun11 Sep10 Sep02 (lopez d)PENA LUIS 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
BUSHWICK BRUISER Jul09 Jun25 Jun11 May04 Apr25 (iorio sa)DAVIS A 122 8.00    
BIG GEORGES KINGDM Jul23 Jul01 Aug28 Jul25 Apr08 (ferraro anth)COA J 122 2.50 65% 0.50    
 
FL-8   08/20/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLD TEMPLAR Jul24 Jun30 Jun19 May27 May06 (falk jacqueline)FRET STEVEN 124 10.00    
SMILE TAKES CHARGE Jul22 Jun24 Nov20 Oct19 Sep04 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 120 8.00 6% 15.30    
BENJI BROWN Jul08 Jun24 Jun10 May20 Nov07 (babcock kathl)DAVILA A 120 15.00    
PROFITABILITY Aug06 Jul22 Jun26 Jun10 May13 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 120 4.00    
FIVE ACES Jul24 Jul01       (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 12.00    
HAY HAY HARRY Aug06 Jun24 May02 Apr13 Mar08 (murphy t)DAVIS A 120 6.00 10% 8.80    
ENTICING PROSPECT Aug06 Jul08 May20 May06 Sep27 (ferraro anth)COA J 120 3.00 39% 1.60    
SCR  MORTGAGE RATE Jul24 Jul08 Jun26 Jun10 May13 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 120 12.00    
SHARP PLAY BOY Aug05 Jul22 Jul01 May20 May06 (bre)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 3.50 20% 4.10    
 
FL-9   08/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHEZENTICING Aug06 Jul23 Jul04 Oct18 Sep11 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 120 4.50 14% 6.10    
FLORA ROSE Aug05         (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
LIGON'S LEGACY Aug07 Jul10       (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 120 8.00    
NORTHUMBERLAND May29 Oct24 Sep27     (monserrate mari)ROHENA JR 124 3.00 14% 6.30    
LADY LAWRENCE Jul30 Jul10 Jun05 May22 Apr30 (reed a)COA J 120 6.00 37% 1.70    
BABI DREAMS Aug07 Jul24 Jun05 May26 May16 (ree)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 15.00    
WHISTLING GOLD Jul30         (ubbink s)DAVIS A 120 20.00    
STONEY LONESOME May07 Apr29 Mar17     (sells rache)CAMILO D 120 5.00    
JEN'S KISS Jul30 Jul01 Jun05 May22 May14 (zufelt charle)DAVILA A 120 4.00    
10  SPEEDY Z         (breed a)CRUZ JOEL 124 12.00 12% 7.20    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.