Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Monmouth Park
Saturday - August 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MTH-1   WIN (6/5/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/9)-(6/5/10/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/5/9)-(6/5/10/9)-(6/5/10/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MTH-2   WIN (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/6)-(2/3/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/6)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
MTH-3   WIN (6/9/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/9/5/4)-(6/9/5/1/4/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/9/5/4)-(6/9/5/1/4/11)-(6/9/5/1/4/11) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MTH-4   WIN (5/6/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/4/2)-(5/6/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/4/2)-(5/6/4/2)-(5/6/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-5   WIN (6/1/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/3/7)-(6/1/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/3/7)-(6/1/3/7)-(6/1/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-6   WIN (6/7/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/4/3)-(6/7/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/4/3)-(6/7/4/3)-(6/7/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-7   WIN (4/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/3)-(4/7/3/1/2/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    TRI (4/7/3)-(4/7/3/1/2/6)-(4/7/3/1/2/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MTH-8   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-9   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-10   WIN (6/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/7)-(6/7) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MTH-1   08/17/2024 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAINT ME BEAUTIFUL Jul27 Jun08 Aug27 Jul23 Jun24 (breen j)IORIO MELISSA 118 6.00    
2  BOURBON MISS Aug26 Aug05 Jul07 Jun30 Oct11 (jennings joseph)DAVIS KATIE 123 12.00    
3  WHISKEY AND RAIN Aug09 Jul06 Oct13 Sep15 Sep10 (simon linda)TORRES JOMAR 123 15.00    
4  CALIFORNIA ROLL Jun21 Apr27 Mar29     (schultz linds)JARA FERNANDO 119 6.00    
5  TELL ME SOME LIES Jun20 May19 Mar09     (orseno )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 112 4.00 24% 3.20    
6  MO'S VINO MESA Jul27 Jun30 May30 May04 Apr05 (wilson t)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50 52% 0.90    
SCR  WAR TERMINATRIX Jul24 Jun14 Jun09 Mar28 Mar01 (contessa gar)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 3.00    
SCR  DACTILOGRAFA Mar17 Feb16 Jan18 Dec28 Dec16 (jimenez j)VARGAS A 119 20.00    
9  WELLTON GIRL Jul27 Jul12 Jun21 May26 Sep02 (ortega )GONZALEZ LUIS 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  SHOPPINGATBLOOMIES Jun29 Jun08 Mar21 Feb28 Jan18 (falcone rober)OLVER MADISON 123 6.00 ★    
SCR  S K MOON Aug04 Jul28 Jul12 Jul06 Jun22 (pantaleo jose)OLVER MADISON 123 4.50    
SCR  MAGNOLIA WIND Aug02 Jul20 Jul12 Jun06 Mar27 (dunham bernar)RIVERA D 123 4.50    
 
MTH-2   08/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROSEMARY POTATOES Aug11 Aug04 Jul21 Jul07 Jun20 (serey jr)TORRES JOMAR 119 6.00    
2  EXPLOSIVE EXCHANGE Jul28 Jul04 May25 Apr05 Jan21 (dini mike)OLVER MADISON 121 2.50 65% 0.50    
3  MADE BIRDIE Jul12 Jun30 Jun15 May25 May19 (gonzalez )VARGAS A 117 2.00 ★    
SCR  CASTELLANA Jul13 Jun30 Jun15 May26 Mar06 (serey mario )GONZALEZ CESAR 110 3.00    
5  VELIKIY Jul14 Jun22 Apr26 Mar15 Mar01 (ward da)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 4.50    
6  AMIRATI Jul13 Jun30 Jun15 May22 May04 (gonzalez claud)MARIN SAMUEL 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
MTH-3   08/17/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($47.5K) 2 F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FORWARD DEPLOYED         (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 117 4.50 ★    
  (by WAR FRONT out of TRUE STYLE by TRUE COLORS)
2  TINY TEARS Aug03 Jul13       (ryan dere)BOCACHICA J 112 15.00    
  (by GUNNEVERA out of TEARLESS by IN SUMMATION)
3  STILLTHINKINGOFYOU         (ryan s)OLVER MADISON 117 15.00    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of COURAGEISAMAJORITY by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
4  ROSIEONTHERIVER         (delgado jose )JARA FERNANDO 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of DARK ARTIST by PAYNTER)
5  SUBSIDY         (brown cha)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 117 3.50 21% 3.70    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of HUDSON RIVER GAL by DYNAFORMER)
6  SERENE SPIRIT Jul13         (duarte j)RENDON JAIRO 117 3.00 30% 2.40    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of MISERICORDIA by DANSILI)
7  MYA WAY Jul27         (schultz lind)CASTILLO ISAAC 117 10.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of UNION WAY by UNION RAGS)
8  BOSS LADY BINGO Jul13         (delgado h)TORRES JOMAR 117 20.00    
  (by YOSHIDA out of POLITICAL ACT by POLITICAL FORCE)
9  PARADISE WINS Jul13         (trombetta mi)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 4.00 27% 2.70    
  (by BERNARDINI out of BIRD OF PARADISE by BIRDONTHEWIRE)
10  LADY CATALINA Jul04 Jun16       (rabadan sergio)MARIN SAMUEL 117 20.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of LADY DANCEALOT by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
11  ROCK HARD ROSE         (hernande)HERNANDEZ J 117 15.00 ★    
  (by KANTHAROS out of ROCK HARD VIXEN by ROCK HARD TEN)
SCR  SILENT SANDY         (sacco gregor)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 6.00    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of EASY GOIN LADY by CREATIVE CAUSE)
SCR  AUTHENTICATE NOW Jul04         (dini mike)BRAVO J 117 8.00    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of ANYHOW by TIZNOW)
SCR  POWER PARTY         (hernand)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 110 15.00    
  (by HIGHER POWER out of OASIS PARTY by DESERT PARTY)
 
MTH-4   08/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FATIH Aug04 Jul13 May08 Apr16 Mar27 (pompay terri)IORIO MELISSA 116 3.50    
2  CROWNEDCOUNTCRISTO Jul28 Jun01 May26 Apr27 Apr13 (serey ma)HERNANDEZ J 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  FIGHT FIERCELY Jul28 Jul07 Jun28 May11 Apr28 (serey jr)MARIN SAMUEL 124 6.00    
4  JUSTINSPEIGHTOFIT Jul28 Jul10 Jun08 May29 May13 (ramirez)GONZALEZ LUIS 121 12.00 10% 8.50    
5  FLY FLY AWAY Jul28 Jul07 Jun22 May26 May07 (potts w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 3.00 43% 1.30    
6  FIRST DEPUTY Aug04 Jul13 Jun29 Jun14 May27 (gomez )ROJAS EDUARDO 121 4.00 12% 7.20    
7  LOOKIN' SUPER Jul27 Jul13 Jun29 May19 Apr20 (gonzalez claud)CAMACHO SAMY 121 2.00    
 
MTH-5   08/17/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I SEE YOU LOOKIN Jul20 Apr27 Mar09 Jan28 Dec10 (sacco gre)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 6.00 27% 2.80    
2  RIGHTHERE RIGHTNOW Jul20 May23 Apr20 Feb02 Dec29 (stidham michael)BRAVO J 119 3.50    
3  ATTRAYANT Jul06 May03 Apr14 Mar08 Jan21 (lerman s)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 4.50 10% 9.40    
SCR  TIZ MARKS SPIRIT Aug07 Jun08 May12 Mar29 Mar16 (synnefias pan)JARA FERNANDO 117 20.00    
5  MAXIMATCH Jul21 Jun21 Aug12     (pompay terri)CAMACHO SAMY 119 8.00    
6  BATTLEFIELD PARK Jul27 Jun02 Dec03     (toner james )LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 3.00 40% 1.50    
7  TONY'S MO Jul10         (synnefias dimi)TORRES JOMAR 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  SIR PALACE PRINCE Aug10 Jul03 Jun17 Jun07 May07 (perez rupert)HADDOCK DEXTER 117 10.00    
9  CHANGE YOUR NAME         (lee jos)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 110 12.00    
SCR  GOVERNOR DUTTON Jul21 Jul06 Jun02     (pompay terri)RENDON JAIRO 119 5.00    
SCR  MISSOURI RIVER Jun15 Apr28 Dec23     (gargan danny)JARA FERNANDO 119 4.50    
 
MTH-6   08/17/2024 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LA DE PELUCHE Jul27 Jun22 Jun08 May25 Apr21 (avila car)CAMACHO SAMY 123 5.00    
2  CHACHITA Jul27 Jun09 May26 Apr24   (gomez pompey)GONZALEZ CESAR 109 6.00    
3  BABY CAKES Jul27 Jul06 Jun22 Jun08 May18 (ortega )GONZALEZ LUIS 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  PARIS GARTERS Jul27 Jul07 May29 Apr27 Mar29 (hurley r)JARA FERNANDO 119 4.00 12% 7.70    
5  OUR GIRL FLINT Jul26 Jul07 May29 May19 Mar29 (hurley t)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50    
6  IN RETROSPECT Jul26         (gonzale)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 112 3.00 38% 1.60    
7  HIGHLAND HOLIDAY Jul27 Jul06 Jun30 Jun15 May25 (dini mike)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 2.50 18% 4.70    
 
MTH-7   08/17/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LA PACHANGA Jul27 Jun02 Apr27 May29 May13 (mcgaughey)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 3.50 ★    
2  FACTORBELLA Aug04 Jul20 Jun28 Jun02 May22 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 117 10.00 ★    
SCR  GRAY VIXEN Jul11 Jun02 May11 Apr27 Apr06 (ryan s)OLVER MADISON 122 5.00 14% 5.90    
4  HOLA GATA Jul07 Apr27 Feb24 Dec30 Oct18 (brown c)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 4.00 40% 1.50    
5  MIDNIGHT HEIRESS Jul06 Jan12 Dec02 Oct04 Sep10 (ward dan)JARA FERNANDO 121 10.00    
6  ARTEMIS SOUND Jul20 May12 Apr13 Mar08 Feb09 (pletch)MARAGH RAMSAY 117 8.00 ★    
7  LADY MADONNA Jul20 Jun02 May11 Apr06 Feb16 (pletcher a)BRAVO J 117 3.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  BAZZARINA Jul26 Jul06 Jun15 Jan25 Jan04 (mazza w)JUAREZ NIK 121 30.00    
9  POSTINO'S PROPHECY Jun28 Jun02 May11 Sep10 Aug27 (einhorn kim)TORRES JOMAR 121 12.00    
10  VICTORIA'S DANCER Jul28 Jun23 Jun01 Mar29 Mar09 (avila car)CAMACHO SAMY 117 20.00    
11  SUMMER'S COMIN Jul06 Jun09 May11 Apr20 Jan03 (dini mike)RENDON JAIRO 117 20.00    
12  JUDGEMENT TIME Jul20 Jun12 May11 Nov23 Oct12 (thompson glen)IORIO MELISSA 116 30.00    
SCR  HERON BAY Jul31 May01 Mar27 Dec31 Dec10 (drysdale neil)BRAVO J 121 10.00    
SCR  SOUTHAMPTON DOCK Jul08 Jun08 May21 Mar20 Mar01 (linder j)RENDON JAIRO 121 8.00    
 
MTH-8   08/17/2024 5610ft DIRT RC12 FAST Philip Purse ($250K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KHOZEIRESS Jul20 Jun23 May27 Jan20 Dec09 (pompay terri)RENDON JAIRO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KHOZAN out of BRIDLED HEIRESS by WILDCAT HEIR)
2  INSTANT COFFEE Apr20 Feb17 Mar25 Jan21 Nov26 (summers chad)DAVIS KATIE 118 4.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of FOLLOW NO ONE by UNCLE MO)
3  ANTIGRAVITY Jul12 Jun23 Jun01 May25 Nov11 (ward dan)BRAVO J 118 15.00    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of PORT CHARLOTTE by BLAME)
4  EVERSO MISCHIEVOUS Jul06 May31 Dec02 Oct28 Sep23 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.00 50% 1.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of EVER SO CLEVER by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
5  IL MIRACOLO May03 Mar30 Mar02 Jan27 Nov24 (sano antonio)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 2.00 19% 4.20    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of TAPIT'S WORLD by TAPIT)
6  SUBSANADOR (ARG) May27 Mar03 Dec26     (mandella richard )SMITH E 118 2.50    
  (by FORTIFY out of SAVE THE DATE by WHERE'S THE RING)
 
MTH-9   08/17/2024 3630ft TURF RC11 FIRM Select Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEAVER May18 Mar28 Feb24 Jan26 Jan04 (hills a)BRAVO J 118 8.00 6% 15.80    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of QUEEN FROSTINE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  GROOMS ALL BIZNESS Jun16 May18 Aug13 Jun18 May28 (duarte jorge )JARA FERNANDO 124 2.50    
  (by FED BIZ out of BRIDE TO BE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
3  XY SPEED May25 Apr27 Mar29 Mar01 Jan28 (lerman micha)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 3.50 25% 2.90    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of PALOMA P by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
4  SMITHWICK'S SPICE Jul31 Jul07 Jun16 Apr27 Apr07 (nunn do)GONZALEZ LUIS 124 15.00    
  (by FROST GIANT out of SPICY MCHAGGIS by GOOD AND TOUGH)
5  NOTHING BETTER Jul20 Jun08 May04 Nov18 Sep22 (duarte jr)RUIZ JORGE 124 3.00 47% 1.10    
  (by MUNNINGS out of ONE TRUE LOVE by DUKE OF MARMALADE)
6  GOLDEN BROWN Jul20 Apr26 Nov02 Oct07 Sep10 (mcburney patri)MARIN SAMUEL 118 30.00    
  (by OFFLEE WILD out of SUZEE SUNRISE by CHESTER HOUSE)
7  SENBEI Jul06 Jun07 Oct29 Aug24 Jul07 (clement christ)RENDON JAIRO 120 5.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of SWEET ALOHA by WESTERN CAT)
SCR  DANCING BUCK Jun08 May04 Mar09 Dec30 Nov18 (nevin )MARAGH RAMSAY 124 4.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of FRIVOLOUS BUCK by CATIENUS)
 
MTH-10   08/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUNNING LUCKY Aug09 Jul07 Jun22 Jun02 May18 (dini mike)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 5.00    
SCR  EL DE LEO Jul27 Jul06 Jun28 Jun02 May12 (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 119 6.00    
SCR  SCOTTO Jun16 Jun01 May02 Apr04 Mar08 (jones edua)BONILLA CRISTINA 121 12.00    
4  GUN RIGHT Jul27 Jul05 Jun16 May18 May01 (o'connell kat)IORIO MELISSA 116 3.50    
SCR  THE HEIGHTS Jul27 Jul21 Jul04 Jun16 Jun08 (serey jr)MARIN SAMUEL 121 2.50    
6  GROUP TICKET Jul14 Jul05 Jun09 May27 Apr20 (sweezey ken)JARA FERNANDO 117 3.00 43% 1.30    
7  RUN CORY RUN Jul26 Jul06 May11 Mar02 Jan21 (gomez pompey)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 4.50 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.